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Cop 29 president Babayev sets out summit action plan

  • Market: Emissions, Natural gas
  • 20/09/24

The goals might be broadly welcomed, but climate groups want to see progress on fossil fuel consumption, writes Georgia Gratton

The president-designate of the UN Cop 29 climate summit, Azeri ecology and natural resources minister Mukhtar Babayev, this week set out 14 initiatives and a detailed agenda for the conference, drawing little-addressed topics into the spotlight, but skating over some of last year's Cop outcomes.

Most tangibly, Babayev's letter, sent to parties to UN climate body the UNFCCC, listed a handful of pledges that echo the broadly popular declarations launched at last year's Cop 28 by that summit's UAE presidency.

Babayev set out a two-pronged declaration, which seeks to scale up global energy storage capacity to 1.5TW by 2030 and add or refurbish more than 80mn km of power grid by 2040. A separate proposed pledge aims to "commit to green energy zones and corridors", to maximise sustainable energy generation and ensure "cost-effective transmission over large distances and across borders". And the summit will aim to tackle the barriers — including regulatory, technical and financial ones — to a global "clean hydrogen" market.

The Cop 29 presidency also aims to address "the growing problem of methane from organic waste", it said. Methane — a potent greenhouse gas — is often a focus at Cop summits, although typically with an eye to the largest emitters, the agriculture and fossil fuel industries. Global methane emissions from agriculture and fossil fuels stood at 142mn t and 118mn t, respectively, in 2023, whereas waste was responsible for 71mn t, IEA data show.

Babayev wants governments to commit to targets to cut methane from organic waste and more countries to sign the Global Methane Pledge. The pledge, launched in 2021 at Cop 26, asks signatories to cut methane emissions by at least 30pc by 2030, from 2020 levels. Azerbaijan signed the pledge in March this year.

These goals are likely to be broadly welcomed, but environmental groups will also be watching for progress on fossil fuel consumption. Babayev's letter avoided mention of the key agreement reached at last year's Cop 28 — to transition away from fossil fuels — although it did make multiple references to the first global stocktake, the main outcome document from Cop 28.

Feeling the heat

Azerbaijan is a natural gas exporter, and keen to build on this. The majority of the country's income is from the energy sector, with oil and gas accounting for 90pc of exports and a third of its GDP, according to the World Bank, which lists Azerbaijan among the countries that have most to lose from the transition.

Babayev noted that Cop 29 — set for 11-22 November in Baku — will be the first Cop hosted in the Caucasus region. He flagged the "extreme heat [and] water scarcity" the region faces, but also pointed to its wind and solar power potential. And he provided more details of a planned $1bn climate fund, which will be capitalised by fossil fuel-producing countries and companies.

"We believe that countries rich in natural resources should be at the forefront of those addressing climate change," Babayev said, noting that the direction came from Azerbaijan's president, Ilham Aliyev. The fund will be a public-private partnership, with "concessional and grant-based support to rapidly address the consequences of natural disasters" in developing countries, Babayev said. It will "provide offtake agreement guarantees for small and medium-sized renewable energy producers and first-loss capital for green industrial projects", with a focus on food and agriculture, he said.

Babayev has already said climate finance will be the "centrepiece" in Baku. The planned fund, and any other advances on climate finance, are likely to prove the mark of success for Cop 29.


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09/07/25

Australian carbon industry criticises key method update

Australian carbon industry criticises key method update

Sydney, 9 July (Argus) — Australian carbon industry lobby group Carbon Market Institute's (CMI) taskforce on the long-planned Integrated Farm and Land Management (IFLM) carbon credit method has urged the government not to further delay development of the method, following an update today. The Department of Climate Change, Energy, the Environment and Water (DCCEEW) said today that there were "considerable technical issues yet to resolve" on key components of the planned Australian Carbon Credit Unit (ACCU) method — the first in the country to combine multiple activities that store carbon in soil and vegetation in a single method . It aimed to deliver an exposure draft method to the Emission Reduction Assurance Committee (Erac), the statutory body responsible for ensuring the integrity of Australia's carbon crediting framework, "by the end of 2025". Erac would need to assess the draft before leading a public consultation, which would then help inform its decision to recommend the method to assistant minister for climate change and energy Josh Wilson. The DCCEEW's update suggests the method would be very unlikely to be legislated this year as expected by some in the industry, with the delay to further impact the industry need to boost future ACCU issuances to address an expected shift in the supply-demand balance within a few years . "CMI and the IFLM taskforce have been vocal about the market impact of the protracted delays in the development of the IFLM method and the current timeline is inadequate and lacks the urgency and required collaboration to finalise a technical draft," IFLM taskforce co-chairs, carbon project developer Climate Friendly co-chief executive Skye Glenday and carbon developer Australian Integrated Carbon chief executive Adam Townley, said in a statement sent to Argus . The taskforce is calling for a commitment to a legislative draft to be put before Erac in September. Four modules proposed The DCCEEW is proposing that the method includes four activity modules setting out different abatement activities, with project proponents able to undertake one or more modules in a project. Modules 1 and 3 generally have a strong evidence base and well-known policy and legislative positions, as they would be based on the Native Forest from Managed Regrowth and Reforestation by Environmental or Mallee Plantings methods, respectively. But module 4 would be based on the Soil Organic Carbon 2021 method, which is currently being reviewed by Erac. This means "more work may be required" to adequately address the review's recommendations, the DCCEEW said today. Module 2 is the one facing "considerable technical issues yet to resolve", according to the DCCEEW. While module 1 would credit abatement for activities that promote the regeneration of native forest on land that had been comprehensively cleared and kept that way by mechanical or chemical destruction, module 2 would credit abatement for regeneration on land previously suppressed by other management actions, such as grazing pressure. "The department recognises regeneration under this module would be a result of multiple drivers, including rainfall variability, and that a management signal from the permitted activities may not always be clear," it said. The greater uncertainty in the attribution of the project activity to carbon stock change means a higher risk of not meeting Erac's Offsets Integrity Requirements, it warned. Taskforce calls for one regeneration activity module The DCCEEW established two new stakeholder reference groups to help it address the more complex method components, with the first meetings held in June. But while welcoming the creation of the groups, the CMI IFLM taskforce co-chairs said they were concerned with the ongoing delays with the method development and the potential limitation of the proposals published today. The proposed method framework continues to be based on binary "cleared/uncleared" land classifications , and could limit IFLM's national application and scalability, they said. The suggestion that there are significant issues around the attribution of regeneration to management changes is "inaccurate and contrary to the weight of evidence", including several government reviews of the human-induced regeneration ACCU method, which expired on 30 September 2023, they noted. "From an IFLM taskforce perspective, there should be one regeneration activity module that is nationally applicable and based on a land condition framework," they added. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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EU MEPs reject urgency procedure for 2040 climate goal


09/07/25
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09/07/25

EU MEPs reject urgency procedure for 2040 climate goal

Brussels, 9 July (Argus) — Members of the European Parliament (MEPs) today rejected a motion put forward by the centre-left S&D group yesterday to fast-track discussions on the EU's 2040 climate targets, after far-right group the Patriots for Europe was given the lead on these discussions. MEPs rejected the urgency procedure motion — which would have sped up discussions on the European Commission's proposal to cut greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 90pc by 2040 from 1990 levels — with 379 votes against and 300 in favour. Dutch Renew member Gerben-Jan Gerbrandy, in favour of the proposal, argued that an EU 2040 target will contribute to the success of Cop 30 UN climate talks in Belem, Brazil. "The proposal to amend the European climate law has only been tabled last week, which is very, very late," Gerbrandy said. The urgency procedure would have allowed for faster debate, amendments and votes at committee and plenary level, according to German S&D member Tiemo Wolken. He noted that parliament has previously used the procedure to change environmental and climate laws, and recently to amend the protected status of wolves. Wolken's S&D had signed the motion with the Greens and Left. Parliament's largest group, the centre-right EPP, did not support the motion. Dutch EPP member Jeroen Lenaers called for realism. "We're not voting today on the climate law. We are voting on which procedure we're going to use," he said. He sees no justification as the climate proposals were only recently put forward by commissioner Wopke Hoekstra. "We want to work alongside the council in a parallel process," Lenaers said. EU states and parliament will have to adopt the final legal text of any amendments to the bloc's 2021 climate law. The text currently contains an obligation for the EU to achieve climate neutrality by 2050 and an intermediate net GHG cut of at least 55pc by 2030, compared with 1990 levels. Austrian Green Lena Schilling said the EPP has opened the door for climate change deniers to further delay and undermine Europe's climate protection. "Right-wing extremist climate change deniers in powerful negotiating positions are a threat to the fight against the climate crisis," Schilling said. The Patriots group has been selected to choose one of its members to draw up and negotiate legal amendments following the commission's proposal. "The left's attempt to remove our influence on EU climate negotiations has been voted down," Danish member Anders Vistisen said. He called for a "realistic and responsible" climate policy rather than "[campaigner] Greta Thunberg rhetoric and climate nonsense". Vistisen also indicates that the commission's proposed 90pc GHG reduction is " not going to happen ". By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Australian liquid fuels policy to free up ACCUs: CEFC


09/07/25
News
09/07/25

Australian liquid fuels policy to free up ACCUs: CEFC

Sydney, 9 July (Argus) — Annual demand for Australian Carbon Credit Units (ACCUs) could be reduced by as much as 7.5mn t of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) by 2050 if Australia adopted policy changes to develop a low-carbon liquid fuels (LCLF) industry, according to a report this week. Encouraging companies to reduce direct scope 1 emissions through changes to the federal safeguard mechanism and/or voluntary adoption would drive the development of an Australian LCLF market and free up ACCUs for use in sectors that cannot achieve on-site decarbonisation due to technical challenges, state-owned green investment fund Clean Energy Finance (CEFC) said in a report authored by consultancy Deloitte . Under its central case scenario, which would involve constraining the use of carbon offsets, CEFC said that a 7bn litres/yr LCLF market could be created by 2050, abating up to 12mn t CO2e in 2040 and 20mn t CO2e in 2050 as a result. Annual ACCU demand across six sectors covered by the report — mining, aviation, rail, heavy freight, maritime, and construction — could be reduced by around 6.8mn t CO2e by 2050 in that case, to 2.4mn t CO2e/yr. Demand for ACCUs could reach as low as 1.7mn t CO2e by 2050 under an accelerated scenario, which would involve EU-style mandates for LCLF. Demand for ACCUs would be around 9.2mn t CO2e/yr under the base scenario, which assumes a market-led transition in which carbon prices remain low and LCLF demand is driven by a small group of customers willing to pay significant premiums to reduce their scope 3 emissions. 30pc cap under the safeguard mechanism The central case scenario assumes a hypothetical government intervention to cap the use of ACCUs under the safeguard mechanism at 30pc of the baseline for liquid fuel-related emissions. Currently, there is no limit to the number of ACCUs or safeguard mechanism credits (SMCs) that facilities can use to manage their excess emissions under the scheme, but those that surrender carbon units equivalent to 30pc or more of their baselines need to publish a statement explaining why they have not undertaken more on-site abatement activities . The central case scenario also assumes the removal of baseline adjustments for trade-exposed baseline-adjusted facilities . Adopting a minimum 70pc direct on-site decarbonisation would trigger a positive supply-side response, driving significant technology deployment and competition between pathways and feedstocks, the CEFC said. Stakeholders claim that the current safeguard mechanism and ACCU pricing are not enough to drive early LCLF uptake, the report said. Policy intervention is needed to accelerate the bridging of the cost gap between the LCLF production cost and the ACCU price, which is currently not expected to happen until the 2040s, the report said. A market-led transition, on the other hand, would lead to greater pressure on the ACCU market, with up to 7.35mn t CO2e of ACCUs needed to meet demand in 2035 and 15.5mn t CO2e in 2050. ACCU supply reached an all-time high of 18.78mn in 2024 and is forecast at 19mn-24mn for 2025 . But the industry needs to boost future issuances to address an expected shift in the supply-demand balance within a few years . By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Heatwave eats into Japanese utilities’ LNG stocks


09/07/25
News
09/07/25

Heatwave eats into Japanese utilities’ LNG stocks

Osaka, 9 July (Argus) — LNG inventories at Japan's main power utilities fell for the second consecutive week during the week to 6 July, as hotter than normal weather boosted electricity demand for cooling and increased gas-fired generation. The utilities held 2mn t of LNG inventories on 6 July, down by 7pc from a week earlier and by 12pc from the recent high of 2.27mn t on 22 June, according to a weekly survey by the trade and industry ministry Meti. But the latest volume was almost in line with the 1.99mn t recorded for 7 July 2024. A large part of Japan has experienced unusually hot weather since the middle of June, with the country's environment ministry, together with the Japan Meteorological Agency, occasionally issuing heatstroke alerts. This boosted the country's power demand to an average of 113GW during the 30 June-6 July period, up by 10pc on the week and by 7pc from a year earlier, according to the Organisation for Cross-regional Co-ordination of Transmission Operators (Occto). Firm electricity demand encouraged power producers to raise gas-fired output by 9.1pc on the week to an average of 36GW during the week to 6 July, the Occto data showed. Coal- and oil-fired generation also rose by 22pc to 31GW and 49pc to 1GW, respectively. Generation economics for Japan's gas-fired power plants improved with higher wholesale electricity prices, which was supported by stronger bidding demand. Margins from a 58pc-efficent gas-fired unit running on spot LNG averaged ¥2.82/kWh ($19.18/MWh) across 30 June-6 July, up from the previous week's ¥0.88/KWh, based on the ANEA — the Argus assessment for spot LNG deliveries to northeast Asia — and Japan Electric Power Exchange' systemwide prices. The 58pc spark spread using oil-priced LNG supplies also rose by 35pc to an average of ¥3.90/kWh. By Motoko Hasegawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Paving Amazon road may spoil Brazil climate target


08/07/25
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08/07/25

Paving Amazon road may spoil Brazil climate target

Sao Paulo, 8 July (Argus) — Brazil suspended the paving and reconstruction of the northern BR-319 highway, which would drive up deforestation and make it impossible for Brazil to meet its climate targets by 2050, according to the environment ministry. Reconstructing the highway would increased deforestation and generate 8bn metric tonnes (t) of CO2 by 2050, according to the environment ministry. This would run counter to Brazil's efforts to eliminate deforestation — both legal and illegal — by 2030, to meet its emissions reductions targets under the Paris climate agreement. A federal court decision from October 2024 allowed plans by former-president Jair Bolsonaro's administration to rebuild and pave BR-319 to move forward through a preliminary license. The federal court reassessed the case on 2 July, suspending the preliminary license for the second time. The first suspension dates back to July 2024, when a federal environmental court stopped the work under an argument of irreversible risks to the Amazon forest if the concession remained active. The 918km BR-319 connects the capitals northern Amazonia and Rondonia states, Manaus and Porto Velho, both in the Amazon forest biome. While the preliminary license was in force, deforestation around the highway more than doubled, including in conservation areas, Brazilian climate network Observatorio do Clima said. An increase in deforestation could cut water supply to large cities in the center-south and reduce agriculture and cattle raising by interfering in the rainfall pattern, according to the ministry. It also added that 95pc of Amazon's deforestation happens within 5.5km of highways. Brazil's environmental watchdog Ibama has strengthened its monitoring in the BR-319 to prevent deforestation and other illegal practices in the surrounded areas. Ibama agents have seized tractors and power generators near Tapaua city, in Amazonas, which were used to support illegal activities in the Amazon forest, such as wood extraction. Ibama also applied R8mn ($1.46mn) in environmental fines and blocked access to 1,600 hectares (ha) of deforested areas to fight ongoing illegal activities, it said today. By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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