US ethanol falls as midcon rail returns
Restored railroad service through the US midcontinent has returned ethanol prices to levels seen before flooding in March caused rail damage throughout the region.
Prices for fob Union Pacific railcars of the fuel in Iowa traded at 124¢/USG yesterday, down from a peak of 149¢/USG on 22 March that was driven by multiple storms that led to high waters making some rail routes impassible. Prices for fob UP railcars in the region traded at 124.5¢/USG on 13 March, just prior to the floodwater damage to railways heading to the east and west.
Prices for Chicago Rule 11 railcars, which peaked at 149¢/USG on 22 March, dropped to 134.25¢/USG yesterday. Railcars were trading near 132.5¢/USG on 13 March.
A late winter storm last week threatened to slow restoration efforts in parts of Nebraska and Iowa, but service remained close to normal early this week. The National Weather Service still has a flood warning in place for parts of Missouri river, stretching north of Omaha, Nebraska, to just north of Kansas City, Kansas.
Rail service over the Platte river between Council Bluffs, Iowa, and Kansas City is expected to return to normal in late May, according to Union Pacific's most recent flood recovery update on 12 April. That impasse caused prices in Dallas, Texas, to strengthen sharply this month — from a typical 2¢-3¢/USG discount to Houston to a 1¢/USG premium on 4 April.
Ethanol prices in Dallas have since retreated slightly, trading at a 0.75¢/USG discount to Houston today.
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Mexico's long refining quest tilts in its favour
Mexico's long refining quest tilts in its favour
Mexico City, 6 May (Argus) — Mexico's six-year campaign to boost refinery output and cut its dependence on US oil imports is starting to pay off, but time will tell if it can sustain the effort. State-owned Pemex's six domestic refineries processed more than 1mn b/d of crude in March for the first time in almost eight years, boosting its gasoline and diesel output by 32pc and cutting its imports by 25pc from a year earlier. Combined with Pemex's still declining crude production, this has pulled approximately 500,000 b/d of Mexican crude exports — mostly medium and heavy sour grades — from the market compared with a 2023 peak of 1.2mn b/d in June — equivalent to the loss of about 175,000 b/d on average this year compared with 2023. The government said earlier this year that it was not planning "significant" export cuts after cancelling some term contracts. But the drop in shipments combined with the eventual start of its long-delayed 340,000 b/d Olmeca refinery, possibly in 2025, has the potential to shift global flows. At least two independent US Gulf coast refiners are sceptical of major shifts. Road fuel demand is expected to exceed capacity additions in the coming years, Marathon Petroleum chief executive Michael Hennigan said recently. Valero, which is opening a marine storage terminal in Mexico, where about 250 retail outlets carry its brand, expects demand from Mexico to remain strong and grow, chief operating officer Gary Simmons said in its latest earnings call. The impact of Mexico's shift to greater self-sufficiency will depend heavily on its ability to sustain its long-promised refinery renaissance. Mexico's crude exports have already picked up in April from March, to roughly 660,000 b/d based on ship tracking data, although still about 125,000 b/d lower than a year earlier. Energy independence Pemex's refining rates started to fall in 2014 after the previous administration chose to rely less on domestic production and focus more on opening the energy market to outside investment. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador vowed to make Pemex great again and build a big refinery to reach "energy independence" when he took office in late 2018. Lopez Obrador poured at least $3.7bn into maintenance alone at Pemex's ageing refineries in 2019-23, excluding major projects including uncompleted ones to add cokers at two refineries that will cost $6bn-8bn and a spiralling $16bn-20bn for the Olmeca plant. It bought out Shell's share in the Deer Park refinery in Texas , taking full control of the plant in 2022. With presidential elections set for June, it was time to show results. But Pemex has a long history of high accident rates , making refinery operations unreliable. The next administration may have to sustain some of this spending and tackle Pemex's $101.5bn debt at a time of calls for structural reform. In addition, the 330,000 b/d Salina Cruz and 315,000 b/d Tula refineries — Mexico's largest — have long struggled with elevated high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) production that takes up valuable storage space and makes it hard to run both plants at high rates simultaneously. Record-high exports of HSFO in March helped and Pemex is building coking units at both refineries to solve this, but they are unlikely to both start until early 2025. Attention is on whether and when the Olmeca refinery will affect Mexican demand and offer balance more permanently. Pemex said it will start producing diesel in late May, but also does not expect more than 9,000 b/d of output of all fuels this year . The refinery has missed multiple deadlines, the latest in April. Olmeca's crude unit — the first processing unit — faces "major issues", a source familiar with Pemex refinery operations says. But others say secondary processing units are ready. Pemex refinery operating rates % Domestic refineries Mar 24 Feb 24 Tula 78 80 Salina Cruz 72 40 Madero 69 60 Salamanca 62 60 Cadereyta 58 60 Minatitlan 53 50 Pemex Pemex exports, imports ’000 b/d Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Neste inks deal to supply SAF to Singapore's SIA, Scoot
Neste inks deal to supply SAF to Singapore's SIA, Scoot
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Fire hits Vance Bioenergy's Pasir Gudang facility
Fire hits Vance Bioenergy's Pasir Gudang facility
Singapore, 6 May (Argus) — A fire broke out at Malaysian biodiesel producer Vance Bioenergy's Pasir Gudang facility in southern Johor today, but did not affect biodiesel production, said sources close to the company. Some auxiliary products were affected, a source said but declined to name them because of commercial sensitivity. The cause of the fire is still under investigation. Vance Bioenergy produces biodiesel for the Malaysian and European markets, but there has been limited market reaction to the news so far. The company has a total biodiesel production capacity of 450,000 t/yr, with 300,000 t/yr at Tanjung Langsat and 150,000 t/yr at Pasir Gudang. By Sarah Giam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Indonesia’s PIS seeks MR vessels to ship oil products
Indonesia’s PIS seeks MR vessels to ship oil products
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