YPF joins cautious trend of restoring refinery runs

  • : Crude oil, Oil products
  • 20/05/12

Argentina's state-controlled YPF is the latest oil company to partially revive refinery activity in response to an easing of pandemic-related lockdowns.

"We reached a bottom in sales in mid-April," Sergio Giorgi, YPF's strategy and business development vice president, said in a first quarter earnings call today.

YPF's gasoline sales plunged by 72pc in April while diesel sales declined by 38pc after Argentina's government imposed a national lockdown on 20 March.

The decline in diesel sales was moderated by agricultural activity during the harvest season as well as the circulation of trucks for distribution.

In the past few weeks, fuel sales have begun to recover as the government has gradually loosened the lockdown. Although social restrictions remain strict in Buenos Aires and its suburbs, there are now more exceptions and several provinces with few cases of Covid-19 are starting to reopen industry.

"We are seeing that fuel demand is increasing," said YPF investor relations manager Ignacio Rostagno.

In a separate earnings call this morning, Colombia's state-controlled Ecopetrol echoed the recovering demand assessment and signaled increasing its refinery runs as well.

Flipping the on switch

To deal with the demand destruction, YPF had stopped buying crude from third parties and halted its 25,000 b/d Plaza Huincul refinery in southwestern Neuquen province.

Its other two refineries—189,000 b/d La Plata in Buenos Aires province and 105,000 b/d Lujan de Cuyo in western Mendoza province—operated at 47pc of capacity in April.

Now YPF has restarted Plaza Huincul and its refineries are currently operating at around 55pc of capacity, Giorgi said.

Even as it restores refinery runs, YPF does not foresee more crude purchases from other producers. The company has stored around 7.2mn-7.5mn bl of crude, including three floating storage units, meaning its oil storage capacity of 8mn bl is nearly full.

In refined products, YPF has used up 75pc of its 14mn bl of storage capacity.

"We believe in terms of storage, the worst is behind us," Rostagno said.

Upstream, YPF has curtailed 10pc-12pc of its production, which amounts to 30,000 b/d, Rostagno said.

About half of that total is in Loma Campana, the shale oil field in the Vaca Muerta formation that YPF operates in a 50:50 partnership with Chevron.

Capex reductions

YPF is now planning capital spending cuts off an initial planned outlay of around $2.8bn.

"We need to become leaner to be able to move faster," said chief executive Sergio Affronti, who was appointed to the role on 30 April and spoke briefly at the start of today's call.

At the company's shareholders' meeting last month, YPF board chairman Guillermo Nielsen said the only projects that "will move forward are those with high profitability and returns in the short-medium term."

Although the company's executives said it was too early to give an investment estimate for this year, Giorgi said there are opportunities to cut capital and operating expenditures "all across the chain."

Capital investment in the first quarter was $598mn, a 23pc decline from the same period last year.

"This quarter capex will probably be much lower than the first quarter," Giorgi said.

As part of its effort to reduce costs, YPF is slashing salaries of non-union workers by as much as 25pc, a YPF official said this afternoon.


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24/05/13

FTC flexes muscles over US oil mergers

FTC flexes muscles over US oil mergers

New York, 13 May (Argus) — US antitrust regulator the Federal Trade Commission's insistence that the former chief executive of independent Pioneer Natural Resources, Scott Sheffield, be barred from ExxonMobil's board as a condition of approving their $64.5bn merger serves as a cautionary tale for other pending deals. The FTC alleged that Sheffield, a long-time industry leader who made Pioneer one of the biggest producers in the Permian, sought to collude with Opec. It cited hundreds of text messages in which he discussed pricing and output with officials from the oil cartel, as well as efforts to co-ordinate with other Texas producers. The fallout for other transactions still going through the approvals process may be limited, given the specific nature of the allegations against Sheffield, but the FTC's action shows the agency will not hesitate to demand concessions in order to wave deals through. Given heightened political sensitivities to fuel prices in an election year, that should put the industry on notice. At the very least, future reviews are likely to include requests to turn over any records — electronic or otherwise — that involve discussions with competitors or other oil-producing jurisdictions, according to former FTC chairman Bill Kovacic. "It's a reminder that conversations with your competitors about production levels and pricing levels are exceedingly unwise," Kovacic says. It was significant that the FTC did not tamper with the basic fundamentals of the Pioneer acquisition. "I suspect the former CEO is unhappy about being placed on the sidelines," he says. But it is also a "relatively inexpensive price to pay for getting this done". Under the leadership of Lina Khan, the FTC has taken a tougher line when it comes to mergers, and second requests for information have become the norm when it comes to oil deals. Chevron's planned $53bn acquisition of US independent Hess has been held up by such a request, even as a dispute over the target company's stake in a giant offshore find in Guyana has cast a cloud over the transaction. Diamondback Energy's announced $26bn takeover of Endeavor Energy Resources was also subject to a second request. Occidental Petroleum chief executive Vicki Hollub told analysts in February that "some of our teams felt like [the FTC] asked for everything" when going through the approval process for the company's $12bn purchase of CrownRock. But Occidental said this week that its teams are working "constructively" with the regulator, and that the deal is expected to close in the third quarter. Consolidation over consumers? The rapid pace of consolidation in the US oil and gas sector since late last year has led to mounting calls for increased scrutiny on antitrust grounds. "Let's not kid ourselves, these mergers aren't just about efficiency or lowering costs," US Senate Democratic majority leader Chuck Schumer wrote in a letter signed by 50 Senate and House Democrats in March. They are about "buying out the competition so the newly consolidated industry can boost profits at the expense of consumers". Given long-serving company executives' preference to stick around after selling their firms, the FTC's action in relation to Pioneer could theoretically dissuade other ‘big-name' founders from going down the same road, consultancy Rystad senior analyst Matthew Bernstein says. On the other hand, the loss of control for family-owned operators has already served as a big enough obstacle for some companies that would otherwise be seen as takeover targets. As for Sheffield, Pioneer has said the FTC's complaint reflects a "fundamental misunderstanding" of US and global oil markets and "misreads the nature and intent" of his actions. Pioneer more than doubled its daily production between 2019 and 2023, playing its part in adding to domestic energy supply, the firm said. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

German heating oil demand surges as diesel declines


24/05/13
24/05/13

German heating oil demand surges as diesel declines

Hamburg, 13 May (Argus) — German heating oil sales have hit their second highest weekly average this year on the back of falling prices and low household stocks. Daily average traded volumes rose by 45pc last week compared with the previous week, with increases in all regions. Lower prices are the main reason for the growth in demand. The volume weighted average cost of heating oil in Germany was around €79.40/100 litres last week, the lowest since the start of the year. A significant factor behind the low heating oil price is a drop in the value of Ice gasoil futures, which has been driven by a diesel surplus in Europe. Low household stocks are also supporting German heating oil demand. Stocks reached a year-to-date low at the start of May, as in previous years, Argus MDX data shows. In contrast, German diesel sales dropped slightly last week, as an uptick in demand from the agriculture sector was offset by lower-than-expected demand from industry and logistics. There have been some tentative signs of economic recovery that may support diesel demand. Mileage of trucks on German motorways was up on the year in April and 1pc higher than in March, data from the federal statistical office Destatis show. This was the first year-on-year increase since August 2022. Construction activity in Germany rose by 3.9pc in January-March compared with the final quarter of 2023. By Johannes Guhlke Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Thailand’s base oil exports hit seven-year low in March


24/05/13
24/05/13

Thailand’s base oil exports hit seven-year low in March

Singapore, 13 May (Argus) — Thailand recorded its lowest base oil exports since March 2017 in March, reversing a brief recovery in February, according to GTT data. Exports fell to a new low because inventories remained tight owing to production issues at both Thai refineries from December 2023 to February 2024. Thai producers prioritised the domestic market and term obligations, leaving little surplus for the spot market. Thai suppliers typically export Group I heavy grades, which are valued for their higher solvency and viscosity properties for products such as marine lubricants and metalworking fluids. The monthly average Argus -assessed Asia fob export price for Group I SN 500 rose to $905/t, the highest since January; while bright stock increased to $1,104/t, its highest level since August 2022. Bright stock gained more upward support because it is typically the hardest to replace with other base oil grades. By Tara Tang Thailand's base oil exports kl Countries Mar'24 Feb'24 Feb'23 m-o-m ± % y-o-y ± % Vietnam 712.0 228.5 2,087.6 211.5 -65.9 China 565.9 3,877.5 7,380.3 -85.4 -92.3 Malaysia 248.4 0.0 0.0 NA NA Singapore 21.5 8,943.2 13,714.1 -99.8 -99.8 Total 1,568.6 15,857.9 24,519.6 -90.1 -93.6 Source: GTT Total includes all countries, not just those listed Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

China, US pledge joint methane action at climate talks


24/05/13
24/05/13

China, US pledge joint methane action at climate talks

San Francisco, 13 May (Argus) — The US and China have pledged to further co-operate on methane reduction, among other topics, following a first meeting between the countries' new climate envoys in Washington during 8-9 May. The meeting follows video conferencing between the two sides in January under their "working group on enhancing climate action in the 2020s" initiative. China and the US reaffirmed their 2021 agreement to co-operate on reducing carbon emissions in the power generation sector, cutting methane emissions and boosting renewable energy in the " Sunnylands Statement on Enhancing Cooperation to Address the Climate Crisis " last November in San Francisco. China confirmed the appointment of Liu Zhenmin to replace Xie Zhenhua as the country's climate advsior in January. Liu's US counterpart John Podesta replaced John Kerry in January. Liu and Podesta discussed co-operation "on multilateral issues related to promoting a successful COP 29 in Baku, Azerbaijan" at the latest talks, the US state department said on 10 May. They also discussed issues identified in the Sunnylands statement, including energy transition, methane and other non-CO2 greenhouse gases, the circular economy and resource efficiency, deforestation,as well as low-carbon and sustainable provinces, states and cities. They plan to co-host a second event on reducing methane and other non-CO2 greenhouse gases in Baku and "conduct capacity building on deploying abatement technologies". It remains to be seen how the two new climate advisors will bring the two countries closer in climate negotiations. The Sunnylands statement and the close relationship of their predecessors were instrumental in bringing consensus at last year's Cop 28 UN climate summit in Dubai. China released a much anticipated methane plan last November, although Xie has flagged challenges with data monitoring in the sector. But China and the US have agreed to develop and improve monitoring to "achieve significant methane emissions control and reductions in the 2020s". China has also not signed on to the Global Methane Pledge to cut methane emissions by 30pc by 2030, from 2020 levels. The country's emissions may also rise more than expected after it redefined its meaning of energy intensity, according to the Helsinki-based Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

California refineries required to report turnarounds


24/05/10
24/05/10

California refineries required to report turnarounds

Houston, 10 May (Argus) — Refiners in California starting in June must file maintenance schedules with the state's energy commission at least 120 days in advance of planned work, and diagnostic reports within two days of unplanned shutdowns. The new reporting requirements, part of the SB X1-2 bill passed in March 2023, take effect following an 8 May meeting of the California Energy Commission (CEC) where the measures were finalized. The CEC will now be able to gather a broad range of data from refiners and set a maximum gross gasoline refining margin in an effort to avoid price spikes at the pump. If companies identify a need for maintenance less than 120 days before the planned work, a report to the CEC is required within two business days of the discovery, according to the reporting form posted in the SB X1-2 docket. The reporting form includes space for a description of the work, unit level details and information on the expected effect of a turnaround on transportation fuel inventories at the refinery. The same information will be required for unplanned maintenance, with a report to be sent to the CEC within two business days of the initial outage or lowered rates, and within two business days of the completion of work or return to normal throughputs. The additional information will aide the CEC in analyzing refiner margins and determine whether a margin cap and subsequent penalties are warranted, according to the commission. Industry groups think many of the reporting requirements are burdensome and politically motivated , often requesting information unnecessary to determine margins. Marine import reporting on horizon At the same 8 May business meeting, the CEC moved closer to finalizing a requirement for importers of foreign and domestic refined products and renewable fuels to report shipments at least four days before delivery. The reporting form includes information on vessel routes, costs and products shipped. The CEC approved for the marine reporting requirements to be submitted to the state's Office of Administrative Law for a 10-day review before a targeted 20 May start date. By tracking import data, the CEC aims to build a more accurate picture of what drives retail fuel prices and refiner margins in the state. "In many cases these forms request information that has questionable or no relevance at all to the CEC's efforts to minimize or prevent price spikes," said Sophie Ellinghouse, general counsel for trade group the Western States Petroleum Association, during public comments on the marine reporting requirements at the 8 May meeting. By Nathan Risser Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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