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Asian butadiene prices hit four-month high

  • : Petrochemicals
  • 20/08/14

Asia-Pacific butadiene (BD) prices have risen to a four-month high this month on the back of a fall in deep-sea cargoes from the US, Brazil and Europe.

Argus assessed BD prices at $550-610/t on a cfr northeast Asia basis today, the highest since April.

Supplies of BD, especially for September delivery, have been tight because of a fall in incoming cargoes from the three countries since early July. The significantly lower influx of BD cargoes from the US, Brazil and Europe was mainly a result of a feedstock switch from naphtha to propane among cracker operators because of higher margins, leading to a fall in BD production.

Prior to the feedstock switch, producers in the three countries were gearing up to run their crackers at full operating rates because of profitable ethylene and propylene margins. This led to an excess of BD output and sellers started to look for outlets in Asia-Pacific. A total of around 60,000-70,000t of deep-sea BD cargoes were shipped to Asia-Pacific in April, leading to a supply glut in the following months.

Demand for BD has been bleak since early April as tyre producers and automakers have shut down indefinitely because of the Covid-19 outbreak. The market sentiment turned weaker when prices plunged to an all-time low of $310/t on 30 April because of the influx of cargoes during the month, mainly from Europe.

But a rise in BD prices since the beginning of July has prompted China's state-controlled Sinopec to increase its BD list prices several times. Its prices have risen from Yn3,600/t in early July to Yn5,200/t today. Producers in China's domestic market have also gradually raised their ex-works prices to around Yn5,000/t today, equivalent to about $612/t on an import parity basis.

But sentiment may turn weaker in the coming weeks as most market participants expect more supplies to be available in China, following the start-up of Bora LyondellBasell's 120,000 t/yr BD unit this week. Bora LyondellBasell brought on line its 1.1mn t/yr ethylene cracker project at Panjin in northeast China's Liaoning province on 5 August, which also comprises polyethylene and polypropylene units. Its BD unit achieved output this week, but further details are unclear. Bora LyondellBasell is a 50:50 joint venture between global petrochemical firm LyondellBasell and Chinese refiner Bora Chemical.


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