Australia seeks clarity from China on coal import curbs
The Australian government has approached China seeking more clarity over potential disruption to its coal shipments, after many large importers were told by the government to stop buying Australian coal.
Coal trade between the two countries has been dragged into political disputes on more than one occasion this year, after Canberra's calls for an independent investigation into the origins of the Covid-19 outbreak drew a strong reaction from Beijing.
But Chinese bids have notably dried up in recent days on buyer concerns over whether Australian coal would be able to clear customs, threatening the biggest impact on trade so far.
Canberra is still unsure whether the halt to buying is related to the China's quota system that limits imports of Australia coal, or whether it is something new linked to trade tensions between the two nations. Australian trade minister Simon Birmingham has been unable to secure a meeting with his counterpart in Beijing, despite seeking one on several occasions this year.
Australian coal producers are also looking for more clarity, with few willing to comment on whether Chinese customers have cancelled shipments or cut buying. Most Australian coal mining firms are struggling to make a profit, although a rebound in prices over the past month has offered some relief for exporters of higher-grade coal.
Coal exports to China have made up proportionally more sales of Australian coal in 2020 than in previous years, as other key customers — such as Japan, South Korea and India — struggle to emerge from Covid-19 lockdowns.
The Minerals Council of Australia, the main industry body, downplayed the threat from a halt to sales to China. "The trade with China changes through the year based on a range of factors, including quotas. Australia will continue to see demand for its high quality of coal and the medium term outlook remains positive," the MCA's chief executive Tania Constable said.
Australia sold A$9.7bn ($7bn) of metallurgical coal and A$3.97bn of thermal coal to China in 2019, accounting for 24pc and 18pc respectively of the total value of these exports.
China's thermal coal imports from Australia totalled 45.77mn t last year, according to data from China's general administration of customs (GAC).
Imports were 38.65mn t in January-August this year, up by 14pc from the same period in 2019. But arrivals have slumped in recent months. July and August intakes registered year-on-year declines of 34pc and 55pc to hit 4.09mn t and 2.97mn t, respectively.
Coal trade is much smaller than China's A$79bn of iron ore purchases from Australia in 2019, which made up 82pc of total sales, but is significant enough to make Canberra pay attention. Coal is a politically charged subject in Australia, given the industry provides employment in key marginal seats in Queensland, where a state election will be held on 31 October.
China's customs authorities are stepping up their supervision of Australian coal imports, a GAC spokesman said today.
Questioned further by reporters about China's attitude to Australian coal, the spokesman emphasised the volume of Australian-China trade that he said totalled almost 860bn yuan (A$177bn or S128bn) in January-September.
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US-Australia’s Coronado to lift coal sales
US-Australia’s Coronado to lift coal sales
Sydney, 25 July (Argus) — US-Australian coal producer Coronado Coal will boost coal sales during July-December despite logistical challenges, as it maintains its output guidance of 16.4mn-17.2mn t for 2024. The firm sold 7.8mn t of coal during January-June, leaving it a target of 8.6mn t for July-December to meet the bottom of its 2024 guidance . It has maintained this guidance despite warning that shipments from its Australian Curragh mine will be affected by a two-week rail disruption from the end of July . Coronado operates the Curragh mine in Queensland and two mining complexes in the US' Virginia. All produce coking and thermal coal. Coronado's revenues were supported during April-June compared with January-March by a smaller discount for pulverised injection coal (PCI) against hard coking coal prices, which saw the PCI price rise while other metallurgical coal prices were under pressure. Its sales prices will remain strong in July-September, forecasts chief executive Douglas Thompson, on restocking in India and the rail disruption in Queensland, as well as the fire at Anglo American's Grosvenor mine that will disrupt Australian exports. Thompson warned that there was some downside risk of $5-10/t to Australian PCI pricing but if this was realised it will see China restart buying from Australia. In the long term he expects more competition from Russia-origin PCI, as Russian coal producers find new routes to the seaborne market and regain market share lost because of an European embargo. The premium for premium hard coal prices over PCI coal prices has shrunk to around $30/t from $145/t over the past six months. Argus last assessed the premium hard low-volatile price at $224/t fob Australia on 24 July and the PCI low-volatile price at $193.65/t. Coronado's group sales volumes were up 8.3pc to 4.1mn t in April-June compared with January-March , reflecting higher sales from its Australian and US operations. The increase in volumes combined with reduced need to remove waste materials allowed Coronado to cut is mining costs by 27.5pc from the previous quarter to an average of $91.10/t of coal sold. The firm expects costs to fall further in July-December as it demobilises more of its mining fleet at its Curragh mine. This reflects reduced waste removal and should have no impact of coal production at Curragh, Thompson said. Production at Curragh should increase in the second half of 2024, with 100,000t of coal production deferred from June to July because of heavy rainfall. By Jo Clarke Coronado Coal (mn t) Apr-Jun '24 Jan-Mar '24 Apr-Jun '23 Jan-Jun '24 Jan-Jun '23 Sales (mn t) Australia (Curragh) 2.7 2.5 2.5 5.2 4.7 US 1.4 1.2 1.5 2.6 3.0 Total 4.1 3.7 4.0 7.8 7.6 Sales data % coking coal of total sales 81.0 78.7 76.0 79.9 75.3 Australian realised met coal price (fob) ($/t) 216.2 225.2 237.7 220.5 239.7 US realised met coal price (for) ($/t) 161.7 170.9 196.0 166.0 215.5 Source: Coronado Australian coal price comparisons ($/t) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Australian coal rail line to shut for 2 weeks: Coronado
Australian coal rail line to shut for 2 weeks: Coronado
Sydney, 25 July (Argus) — The Blackwater rail line in Queensland, Australia will be closed for up to two weeks because of maintenance, which will restrict coal deliveries to the key port of Gladstone. The maintenance program will run from late July to early August, coal mining firm Coronado said on 25 July. This is limiting metallurgical supply from Queensland and pushing up the price of pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal relative to Australian premium low-volatile coal, it added. The two-week shutdown was planned before Coronado released its 16.4mn-17.2mn t saleable coal guidance for 2024 , which it still expects to reach despite a week-long outage on the Blackwater line in June-July following a collision . Shippers appear prepared for the reduction in shipping from the 102mn t/yr Gladstone port over the next couple of weeks, with just 12 ships queued outside the port on 25 July, down from 23 on 6 June and below-average queues of around 20. Coal is delivered to Gladstone through the 100mn t/yr capacity Blackwater rail line and the 30mn t/yr capacity Moura line, both of which are operated by Australian rail firm Aurizon. Gladstone's shipments fell by 9.5pc in June compared with a year earlier, partly because of rail constraints. Around two-thirds of Gladstone's coal shipments are metallurgical coal and a third are thermal. A fire at UK-South African mining firm Anglo American's Grosvenor mine already hit Australian metallurgical coal exports, which led the firm to cut its 2024 production guidance to 14mn-15.5mn t from 15mn-17mn t. The premium for premium hard coal prices over PCI coal prices has shrunk to around $30/t from $145/t over the past six months. Argus last assessed the premium hard low-vol price at $224/t fob Australia on 24 July, with the PCI low-vol price at $193.65/t. Aurizon and Gladstone Port were contacted for comment, but have yet to respond at the time of writing. By Jo Clarke Australian coal price comparisons ($/t) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US House passes waterways bill
US House passes waterways bill
Houston, 23 July (Argus) — The US House of Representatives overwhelmingly approved a bill on Monday authorizing the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps) to tackle a dozen port, inland waterway and other water infrastructure projects. The Republican-led House voted 359-13 to pass the Waterways Resources Development Act (WRDA), which authorizes the Corps to proceed with plans to upgrade the Seagirt Loop Channel near Baltimore Harbor in Maryland. The bill also will enable the Corps to move forward with 160 feasibility studies, including a $314mn resiliency study of the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway, which connects ports along the Gulf of Mexico from St Marks, Florida, to Brownsville, Texas. Water project authorization bills typically are passed every two years and generally garner strong bipartisan support because they affect numerous congressional districts. The Senate Environment and Public Works Committee unanimously passed its own version of the bill on 22 May. That bill does not include an adjustment to the cost-sharing structure for lock and dam construction and other rehabilitation projects. The Senate's version is expected to reach the floor before 2 August, before lawmakers break for their August recess. The Senate is not scheduled to reconvene until 9 September. If the Senate does not pass an identical version of the bill, lawmakers will have to meet in a conference committee to work out the differences. WRDA is "our legislative commitment to investing in and protecting our communities from flooding and droughts, restoring our environment and ecosystems and keeping our nation's competitiveness by supporting out ports and harbors", representative Grace Napolitano (D-California) said. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US House to vote on waterways bill
US House to vote on waterways bill
Houston, 22 July (Argus) — The US House of Representatives is expected to vote on 22 July on a waterways bill that would authorize new infrastructure projects across ports and rivers. The Water Resources Development Act (WRDA) is renewed typically every two years to authorize projects for the US Army Corps of Engineers (Corps). The bipartisan bill is sponsored by representative Rick Larsen (D-Washington) and committee chairman Sam Graves (R-Missouri). The full committee markup occurred 26 June, where amendments were added, and the bill was passed to the full House . A conference committee will need to be called to resolve the different versions of the bill. The major difference between the bills is that the House bill does not include an adjustment to the cost-sharing structure for the lock and dam construction and other rehabilitation projects. The Senate Committee on Environment Public Works passed its own version of the bill on 22 May, with all members in favor of the bill. The House version of the bill approves modifications to the Seagirt Loop Channel near the Baltimore Harbor in Maryland, along with 11 other projects and 160 feasibility studies. One of these studies is a $314.25mn resiliency study of the Gulf Intracoastal Waterway, which connects ports along the Gulf of Mexico from St Marks, Florida, to Brownsville, Texas. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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