Bitumen spot prices in Iran have risen to the highest level since October 2019, supported by unusual strength in vacuum bottom (VB) feedstock prices and steep fluctuations in the Iranian currency.
Spot prices for bulk bitumen were assessed at $290/t fob Iran on 22 January, up from $190/t in early October 2020.
Discussions this week are edging up as offers are at $295/t. But there was resistance from buyers, which retreated to the sidelines.
Prices may be near their ceiling on the back of mixed sentiment about the market outlook, given a relentless rally since the fourth quarter of 2020. Iranian market participants are also waiting for a clearer direction in terms of US sanctions, following a recent change in the US administration.
VB prices from Bandar Abbas rose this week by around $10/t excluding 9pc value-added tax from a week ago because of tight availability of bulk supplies. The value of the Iranian rial versus the US dollar has also dropped sharply following changes in the US government in recent weeks. The rial was valued at 209,000-235,000 against the dollar this week. The weekly average exchange rate on the Nima platform was 230,000 rials/$.
"No changes have happened on the sanctions [front] and difficulties in trading and transportation from Iran under the US sanctions [remain, so] we are shocked at this rally in Iran's prices," said a domestic source.
There are mixed views about foreign policies and the exchange rate volatility, with some suppliers not hopeful of quick changes under the new US administration. Expectations are that bitumen prices will move in line with market fundamentals.
Overall trading activity is muted, as the sharp rally in prices this week has left some customers confused. "We prefer to wait for a stable price. The current high prices are not logical and workable for our target markets," an Iranian trader said.

