China emissions prices surge as ETS starts operations

  • : Coal, Crude oil, Emissions, Metals, Natural gas, Petrochemicals
  • 21/07/16

Prices of China emission allowances (CEAs) have risen sharply on the first day of trading in the country's national emissions market.

China's emissions trading scheme (ETS) started operations at 9.30am local time in Shanghai today, coming on line following years of preparations and several weeks later than planned. The market opened at 48 yuan/t (€6.30/t or $7.40/t) of CO2 equivalent (CO2e) and rose as high as Yn52.8/t, the maximum 10pc increase allowed under market rules.

Prices closed up by 6.7pc at Yn51.23/t. Total trading volumes were 4.1mn t for a value of Yn210mn.

The prices are well below those in the EU ETS, where December 2021 allowances traded last week at €54.25/t CO2e, around eight times higher than today China's ETS closing price at the equivalent of €6.70/t.

About 4.5bn t/yr of CO2 emissions are covered in the initial stage of the ETS, making it the world's largest such trading scheme, Huang Runqiu, China's environment and ecology minister, said at today's opening ceremony.

The ETS will initially cover only the thermal power sector, with around 2,200 coal- and gas-fired power generation plants included in the scheme. The first compliance cycle ends on 31 December this year covering emissions allowances for 2019-20.

Ten state-owned companies, accounting for a large proportion of the emissions covered, participated in today's trading. These comprised power utilities Huadian, Huaneng, Datang, China Energy Investment, SPIC and CR Power; provincial energy firms Shenergy and Zhejiang Energy; and state-controlled oil and gas giants Sinopec and PetroChina, which have captive power plants.

Some state-owned power firms have set up carbon asset management teams to represent their multiple power generation plants across the country, and to trade allowances in the ETS on their behalf.

Sinopec trading arm Unipec and PetroChina International are representing the captive power plants at the two companies' refineries and oil fields. The two firms have a total of 31 power subsidiaries covered by the ETS entities.

Market participants are not expecting much liquidity in the ETS any time soon, as only the 2,200 entities with physical power plants are allowed to participate. There is not yet any clear timeline for third-party traders, such as financial firms and independent carbon asset management companies, to enter the market.

China has been operating pilot emissions trading schemes since 2013 in provinces and cities including Beijing, Tianjin, Shanghai, Chongqing, Guangdong, Hubei and Shenzhen.

Total traded volumes in these pilot projects were 480mn t as of June, valued at Yn11.4bn ($1.76bn), while the weighted average carbon price in the past two years was around Yn40/t of CO2e, according to environment and ecology ministry (MEE) figures.

The MEE plans to expand the ETS to include other emissions-intensive sectors including steel, nonferrous metals, cement, petrochemicals, chemicals, paper and aviation in the longer term.


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24/04/30

Canada’s TMX pipeline ready to move crude: Update

Canada’s TMX pipeline ready to move crude: Update

Adds regulatory approvals received. Calgary, 30 April (Argus) — Canada's 590,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) crude pipeline can now start moving volumes to the Pacific coast after receiving final regulatory approvals today, more than a decade after the project was first conceived. The Canada Energy Regulator (CER) approved Trans Mountain's final applications on Tuesday, giving the midstream company a green light to put its C$34bn ($25bn) project into service. Trans Mountain had recently maintained its commitment to being ready by 1 May. The expansion nearly triples the existing 300,000 b/d Trans Mountain line that runs from Edmonton, Alberta, to Burnaby, British Columbia. Also expanded was the Westridge Marine Terminal from one dock to three, all capable of loading Aframax-sized vessels. The line will provide Canadian oil sands producers with a significant export outlet without having to first go through the US. Much of the new volume to flow on TMX is expected to be heavy sour crude. Federally-owned Trans Mountain had submitted applications as recent as 15 April for the final section of the pipeline about 140 kilometers (87 miles) east of the line's terminus in Burnaby. The final applications concerned piping, valves and other components at two pipeline inspection device traps and the mainline pipe between the two traps. The traps were added for safety assurance when the operator was allowed by CER to use a smaller diameter pipe as part of the Mountain 3 deviation. Mountain 3 was the last segment of the pipeline to be constructed because of delays relating to difficult terrain while tunneling. The "golden weld" marking the end of construction occurred on 11 April, according to Trans Mountain. A group of shippers last week expressed concern that TMX would not be ready for commercial service by 1 May. The pipeline had been marred by legal challenges and cost over-runs since it was first proposed in 2013 by its then-owner US midstream firm Kinder Morgan. The Canadian government took ownership of it in 2018. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New US rule may let some shippers swap railroads


24/04/30
24/04/30

New US rule may let some shippers swap railroads

Washington, 30 April (Argus) — US rail regulators today issued a final rule designed to help customers switch railroads in cases of poor rail service, but it is already drawing mixed reviews. Reciprocal switching, which allows freight shippers or receivers captive to a single railroad to access to an alternate carrier, has been allowed under US Surface Transportation Board (STB) rules. But shippers had not used existing STB rules to petition for reciprocal switching in 35 years, prompting regulators to revise rules to encourage shippers to pursue switching while helping resolve service problems. "The rule adopted today has broken new ground in the effort to provide competitive options in an extraordinarily consolidated rail industry," said outgoing STB chairman Martin Oberman. The five-person board unanimously approved a rule that would allow the board to order a reciprocal switching agreement if a facility's rail service falls below specified levels. Orders would be for 3-5 years. "Given the repeated episodes of severe service deterioration in recent years, and the continuing impediments to robust and consistent rail service despite the recent improvements accomplished by Class I carriers, the board has chosen to focus on making reciprocal switching available to shippers who have suffered service problems over an extended period of time," Oberman said today. STB commissioner Robert Primus voted to approve the rule, but also said it did not go far enough. The rule adopted today is "unlikely to accomplish what the board set out to do" since it does not cover freight moving under contract, he said. "I am voting for the final rule because something is better than nothing," Primus said. But he said the rule also does nothing to address competition in the rail industry. The Association of American Railroads (AAR) is reviewing the 154-page final rule, but carriers have been historically opposed to reciprocal switching proposals. "Railroads have been clear about the risks of expanded switching and the resulting slippery slope toward unjustified market intervention," AAR said. But the trade group was pleased that STB rejected "previous proposals that amounted to open access," which is a broad term for proposals that call for railroads to allow other carriers to operate over their tracks. The American Short Line and Regional Railroad Association declined to comment but has indicated it does not expect the rule to have an appreciable impact on shortline traffic, service or operations. Today's rule has drawn mixed reactions from some shipper groups. The National Industrial Transportation League (NITL), which filed its own reciprocal switching proposal in 2011, said it was encouraged by the collection of service metrics required under the rule. But "it is disheartened by its narrow scope as it does not appear to apply to the vast majority of freight rail traffic that moves under contracts or is subject to commodity exemptions," said NITL executive director Nancy O'Liddy, noting it was a departure from the group's original petition which sought switching as a way to facilitate railroad economic competitiveness. The Chlorine Institute said, in its initial analysis, that it does not "see significant benefit for our shipper members since it excludes contract traffic which covers the vast majority of chlorine and other relevant chemical shipments." By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

First TMX cargo booked on Aframax to China


24/04/30
24/04/30

First TMX cargo booked on Aframax to China

Houston, 30 April (Argus) — The first cargo shipped on the Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) crude pipeline is scheduled to load on an Aframax in Vancouver, British Columbia, beginning 18 May for June delivery in China, according to sources with knowledge of the transaction. Suncor provisionally booked the Aframax Dubai Angel for a Vancouver-China voyage at $3.5mn lumpsum, equivalent to $6.39/bl for Access Western Blend, market participants said. In March, China's state-run Sinochem purchased the first TMX cargo — 550,000 bl of Canadian Access Western Blend — for June delivery. The shipping fixture would mark the first Vancouver-China crude delivery since May 2023, according to Vortexa, a possible indicator of steady Asia-Pacific demand to come with increased maritime access for Canadian oil producers. China already receives heavy sour Canadian crude re-exported from the US Gulf coast, with about 110,000 b/d arriving in 2023, Vortexa data show. The new 590,000 b/d pipeline begins commercial service on 1 May, with three Aframax-capable berths at Vancouver's Westridge Marine Terminal, up from one previously. An oversupply of Aframax crude tankers on the west coast of the Americas in anticipation of TMX-driven demand pressured Vancouver-loading rates to six-month lows on 19 April , according to Argus data, but market participants expect demand to increase beginning in the second half of May. Three regulatory approvals remained under assessment by the Canada Energy Regulator (CER) on 30 April. The applications concern piping, valves and other components at two pipeline inspection device traps and the mainline pipe between the two traps. The traps were added for safety assurance when the operator was allowed by CER to use a smaller diameter pipe as part of the Mountain 3 deviation. By Tray Swanson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Canada’s TMX awaits regulator OK on eve of service


24/04/30
24/04/30

Canada’s TMX awaits regulator OK on eve of service

Calgary, 30 April (Argus) — Regulatory approvals needed for the 590,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) crude pipeline in western Canada are coming down to the wire on the eve of entering commercial service. The major crude pipeline last week maintained its plan to start commercial operations on 1 May, but three filings remain under assessment by the Canada Energy Regulator (CER) with less than 24 hours to go. Federally-owned Trans Mountain requires all sections, called spreads, of the pipeline to receive regulatory blessing before the line can be put into service. Outstanding are applications pertaining to Spread 5B Part 3, which runs from kilometer post 1064 to 1067, according to CER's website. The segment is near Hope, British Columbia, about 140 kilometers (87 miles) east of the line's terminus in Burnaby. The three applications concern piping, valves and other components at two pipeline inspection gauge (pig) traps and the mainline pipe between the two traps. The traps were added for safety assurance when the operator was allowed by CER to use a smaller diameter pipe as part of the Mountain 3 deviation. Mountain 3 was the last segment of the pipeline to be constructed because of delays relating to difficult terrain while tunneling. TMX will nearly triple the existing 300,000 b/d Trans Mountain system that connects oil-rich Alberta to the docks in Burnaby, British Columbia. Importantly, the line will provide Canadian oil sands producers with a significant export outlet without having to first go through the US. The "golden weld" marking the end of construction occurred on 11 April, according to Trans Mountain. A group of shippers last week expressed concern that TMX would not be ready for commercial service by 1 May. Spreads 6, 7A and 7B stretching from kilometer post 1075 to 1180 were approved earlier in the week, bringing the total number of approvals up to 39. The expansion was first conceived more than a decade ago with the intention of being operational by late-2017, but that date slipped amid cost overruns and repeated delays. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Oversupply and fragmentation challenge steel market


24/04/30
24/04/30

Oversupply and fragmentation challenge steel market

London, 30 April (Argus) — Participants in the Turkish and European long steel markets at a major industry event this week anticipated a difficult remainder of 2024, expecting demand to be generally supplied by local capacities. With the Chinese Metallurgical Industry Institute forecasting a 1.7pc drop in Chinese steel demand in 2024 and the country's steel output expected to remain stable, Chinese exports are likely to continue putting pressure on global rebar prices. China's overall steel exports this year so far are on course to exceed the 91.2mn t shipped in 2023. Traders were concerned over the Chinese real estate sector, which, along with infrastructure construction, drives the bulk of Chinese steel demand but has been plagued by a mismatch between housing demand and supply in recent years. Markets outside of China are also likely to be well-supplied for the rest of the year or longer, with a weak construction outlook in Europe and with steel capacity on an upward trend in India and southeast Asia. Government investment in construction projects is likely to drive Indian steel demand to at least 190mn t by 2030, said Somanath Tripathy of the Steel Authority of India Limited (SAIL). But in the near term Indian demand growth has been sluggish while output has increased, with steelmakers Tata and JSW both reaching record steel output in the financial year of 2023-2024. Meanwhile, participants had weak expectations for the European and Turkish rebar markets for the rest of the year. Expectations of a recovery in the European steel sector have largely been pinned on the likelihood the European Central Bank will reduce interest rates at some point in the second half of the year. But a German trader noted while this move would lend some support, high interest rates are far from being the only challenge for the sector. The EU construction sector faces increasingly high costs, partly caused by sustainability requirements, participants noted, slowing investment and weighing on property demand by pushing up prices. The combination of high interest rates and inflation in Turkey, as well as dwindling export options, means several Turkish steel mills are currently running at near 50pc of capacity. Turkish rebar exporters face stiff competition in most export markets from Chinese suppliers, whose fob prices are currently around $70/t lower than Turkey, as well as from north African producers. The challenge for Turkish exporters is structural, with the business model of importing scrap and exporting steel no longer as viable due to higher scrap demand from other regions as well as the significantly lower energy costs of north African and Middle Eastern producers. Some market participants noted in this context, the introduction of the European Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) could favour Turkish EAF mills in the long run, who are no longer competitive in terms of price in most markets, but whose use of scrap versus direct reduced iron (DRI) makes their production less carbon-intensive than other EAF-based producers in the region. Turkish producers are working to make sure they will be compatible with EU environmental requirements, a Turkish mill source said. But government support for these efforts has been lacking, he added. Overall, protectionist measures have significantly harmed Turkey's export options, as has the outbreak of conflicts and tensions in the region over the past two years. Some Turkish mills have lost up to half of their regular export sales as a result of the halt of exports to Israel and a slowdown in sales to Yemen as a result of the conflict in Gaza and Houthi vessel attacks. Until European prices pick up significantly and north Africa is selling at capacity, Turkish long steel exports will not be competitive in the near future, a trader noted. By Brendan Kjellberg-Motton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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