Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

Canada delays completion of clean fuel standard

  • : Biofuels, Emissions, Oil products
  • 21/11/10

Canada will not finalize its national low-carbon fuel standard before next spring, missing a December target, the country's environmental agency said today.

Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) still expects trading and enforcement of the federal Clean Fuel Standard (CFS) to begin as planned in early 2023, the agency said in a call in which it also presented proposed changes to credit generation under the program. The country's Renewable Fuel Regulation, a set of renewable mandates, would also end as planned at the end of 2022.

But this year's snap election and subsequent cabinet change required a delay that will shorten the amount of time for participants to generate compliance credits ahead of the 2023 start, the agency said.

The shortened time between when the program is finalized and when enforcement begins could be significant for "individual companies" but would not meaningfully change the program overall, ECCC executive director Paola Mellow said.

"When you do the math, it comes out a bit in a wash," Mellow said. "It is not a significant change in stringency at the national, global level."

Canada's CFS would become the second largest low-carbon fuel standard in North America, following California. Such programs set a declining ceiling for the carbon intensity of transportation fuels distributed in their markets. Canada's draft CFS would by 2030 reduce the carbon intensity of its transportation fuels by 13pc relative to 2016 levels.

Conventional, higher-carbon fuels incur deficits that obligated parties must offset with credits generated from the supply of lower-carbon fuels to their markets.

Limiting generation

ECCC today also proposed limiting those credits to sources more directly tied to Canada's fuel supply and not required by other legislation. That proposal would narrow eligible carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) projects to only those associated with fossil fuel production and in excess of other requirements.

Renewable fuel projects with CCUS components, including foreign projects, would instead gain benefits through an associated reduction in the carbon intensity of their products. Biofuel groups in particular worried that ECCC's original draft language would allow too much credit generation from sources unrelated to liquid transportation fuels.

British Columbia's LCFS program would continue to generate credits in addition to the national program under the new definition.

Canada plans to publish its lifecycle analysis methodology this fall, with training on the system available early next year. The system will determine how many credits and deficits each fuel will generate under the Canadian system. Each LCFS program so far has used its own, non-fungible system.

ECCC will separately develop a system to account for renewable natural gas used to produce low-carbon intensity hydrogen for use at fossil fuel facilities in summer 2022.

The agency restarted its stakeholder outreach for the CFS this month. Discussions with provinces resumed this week, with plans for additional stakeholder meetings in December, February and March.

Regulators originally planned to finalize the rule by the end of this year, with trading of credits to satisfy the new requirements beginning in 2023. The government said it does not expect deficit generation to outpace credits before 2027.

"I understand this is significant," Mellow said of the delays. "This is simply the best we could do."


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

25/04/17

IMF anticipates lower growth from US tariffs

IMF anticipates lower growth from US tariffs

Washington, 17 April (Argus) — Economic growth projections set for release next week will include "notable markdowns" caused by higher US tariffs that have been disrupting trade and stressing financial markets, IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said today. The IMF earlier this month warned that the tariffs that President Donald Trump was placing on trading partners could pose a "significant risk" to the global economy. Those higher trade barriers are on track to reduce growth, raise prices for consumers and create incremental costs related to uncertainty, the IMF plans to say in its World Economic Outlook on 22 April. "Our new growth projections will include notable markdowns, but not recession," Georgieva said Thursday in a speech previewing the outlook. "We will also see markups to the inflation forecasts for some countries." Trump has already placed an across-the-board 10pc tariff on most trading partners, with higher tariffs on some goods from Canada and Mexico, a 145pc tariff on China, and an exception for most energy imports. Those tariffs — combined with Trump's on-again, off-again threats to impose far higher tariffs — have been fueling uncertainty for businesses and trading partners. The recent tariff "increases, pauses, escalations and exemption" will likely have significant consequences for the global economy, Georgieva said, resulting in a postponement of investment decisions, ships at sea not knowing where to sail, precautionary savings and more volatile financial markets. Higher tariffs will cause an upfront hit to economic growth, she said, and could cause a shift in trade under which some sectors could be "flooded by cheap imports" while other sectors face shortages. The IMF has yet to release its latest growth projections. But in January, IMF expected global growth would hold steady at 3.3pc this year with lower inflation. The IMF at the time had forecast the US economy would grow by 2.7pc, with 1pc growth in Europe and 4.5pc growth in China. The upcoming markdown in growth projections from the IMF aligns with analyses from many banks and economists. US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell on 16 April said the recent increase in tariffs were likely to contribute to "higher inflation and slower growth". Those comments appear to have infuriated Trump, who has wanted Powell to cut interest rates in hopes of stimulating growth in the US. "Powell's termination cannot come fast enough!" Trump wrote today on social media. Powell's term as chair does not end until May 2026. Under a longstanding US Supreme Court case called Humphrey's Executor , Trump does not have the authority to unilaterally fire commissioners at independent agencies such as the Federal Reserve. Trump has already done so at other agencies such as the US Federal Trade Commission, creating a potential avenue to overturn the decision. By Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Nabisy sperrt Biokraftstoffproduzenten


25/04/17
25/04/17

Nabisy sperrt Biokraftstoffproduzenten

Hamburg, 17 April (Argus) — Die Bundesanstalt für Landwirtschaft und Ernährung hat am 15. April den Zugang eines Biokraftstoffherstellers zum deutschen Biomasseregister Nabisy gesperrt. Dies führte zu einem Anstieg der Ticketpreise in Deutschland und den Niederlanden sowie der HVO-Preise in der ARA. "Dem Nabisy-Nutzer mit der ID: EU-BM-13-SSt-10022652 wurde der Zugang zur staatlichen Datenbank Nabisy [Nachhaltige - Biomasse - Systeme] gesperrt", teilte die Datenbank in einer E-Mail vom 15. April mit. Weiter hieß es, die Bundesanstalt für Landwirtschaft und Ernährung (BLE) prüfe die von diesem Nutzer in der Nabisy-Datenbank ausgestellten Nachhaltigkeitsnachweise und die daraus resultierenden Teilnachweise. Die BLE teilte Argus mit, dass sie aufgrund von Datenschutzbestimmungen keine weiteren Informationen zu der suspendierten Produktionsanlage bereitstellen kann. Die BLE prüfe derzeit die eingegangenen Beweise. Alle vom suspendierten Produzenten ausgestellten Nachweise bleiben für die Dauer der Untersuchung ungültig. Das bedeutet, dass verpflichtete Parteien keine deutschen Zertifikate zur Reduzierung von Treibhausgasemissionen von ihm einfordern können. Elmar Baumann, Geschäftsführer des Verbands der Deutschen Biokraftstoffindustrie erklärte, dass der Verband das Vorgehen des BLE für das Durchführen einer gründlichen Prüfung zur Klärung des Verdachts als zwingend erforderlich einschätzt. Weiter geht der Verband davon aus, dass "der Behörde klare Anhaltspunkte für gravierende Verstöße vorliegen" müssen. Das Ausmaß der von der Untersuchung betroffenen Biokraftstoffmengen ist unklar. Marktteilnehmer berichteten Argus jedoch, dass der Nabisy-Code des Produzenten auf Nachweisen für HVO aus Abfällen und fortschrittlichen Rohstoffen gefunden wurde. Die Nachricht führte zunächst zu höheren Preisen für deutsche THG-Zertifikate sowie für niederländische Zertifikate für erneuerbare Kraftstoffe (HBE). Verpflichtete Unternehmen befürchteten Lücken in der Erfüllung der Treibhausgasminderungsquote, sollten sie die Nachweise des suspendierten Produzenten verlieren. Die deutschen doppelt anrechenbaren THG-Zertifikate für das Jahr 2025 stiegen am 16. April um 10 €/t CO2eq auf rund 270 €/t CO2eq und blieben zum Ende der Woche weitgehend stabil. Auch die europäischen HVO-Preise stiegen, wenn auch in begrenztem Umfang. Der Fob-ARA-Aufschlag für HVO auf Palmölmühlenabwasser (POME)-Basis stieg um rund 25 $/m³, die Spotpreise für HVO auf Basis von Altspeiseöl (UCO) stiegen im Vergleich zum Ende der letzten Woche um rund 40 $/m³. Im deutschen HVO-Markt lässt sich bisher keine Reaktion erkennen. Von Svea Winter Senden Sie Kommentare und fordern Sie weitere Informationen an feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . Alle Rechte vorbehalten.

Risks rising for possible recession in Mexico: Analysts


25/04/17
25/04/17

Risks rising for possible recession in Mexico: Analysts

Mexico City, 17 April (Argus) — The Mexican finance executive association (IMEF) lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast for a second consecutive month in its April survey, citing a rising risk of recession on US-Mexico trade tensions. In its April survey, growth expectations for 2025 fell to 0.2pc, down from 0.6pc in March and 1pc in February. Nine of the 43 respondents projected negative growth — up from four in March, citing rising exposure to US tariffs that now affect "roughly half" of Mexico's exports. The group warned that the risk of recession will continue to rise until tariff negotiations are resolved, with the possibility of a US recession compounding the problem. As such, IMEF expects a contraction in the first quarter with high odds of continued negative growth in the second quarter — meeting one common definition of recession as two straight quarters of contraction. Mexico's economy decelerated in the fourth quarter of 2024 to an annualized rate of 0.5pc from 1.7pc the previous quarter, the slowest expansion since the first quarter of 2021, according to statistics agency data. Mexico's statistics agency Inegi will release its first estimate for first quarter GDP growth on April 30. "A recession is now very likely," said IMEF's director of economic studies Victor Herrera. "Some sectors, like construction, are already struggling — and it's just a matter of time before it spreads." The severity of the downturn will depend on how quickly trade tensions ease and whether the US-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) free trade agreement is successfully revised, Herrera added. But the outlook remains uncertain, with mixed signals this week — including a possible pause on auto tariffs and fresh warnings of new tariffs on key food exports like tomatoes. IMEF also trimmed its 2026 GDP forecast to 1.5pc from 1.6pc, citing persistent tariff uncertainty. Its 2025 formal job creation estimate dropped to 220,000 from 280,000 in March. The group slightly lowered its 2025 inflation forecast to 3.8pc from 3.9pc, noting current consumer price index should allow the central bank to continue the current rate cut cycle to lower its target interest rate to 8pc by year-end from 9pc. IMEF expects the peso to end the year at Ps20.90/$1, slightly stronger than the Ps21/$1 forecast in March. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Saudi petchem expansion plans to cap naphtha exports


25/04/17
25/04/17

Saudi petchem expansion plans to cap naphtha exports

Dubai, 17 April (Argus) — Saudi Arabia's plans to integrate downstream petrochemical units with its oil refineries could weigh on naphtha exports and gasoline blending. State-controlled Aramco recently signed a deal with Chinese state-controlled Sinopec to build and integrate a 1.8mn t/yr mix-feed ethylene steam cracker and a 1.5mn t/yr aromatics complex into the 400,000 b/d Yasref refinery. This sort of integration would typically redirect naphtha to the petrochemical units and away from the gasoline blending pool, traders said. Market participants point to a likely fall in overall Saudi naphtha exports, as has been the case since the integration of petrochemical operations at the 400,000 b/d Jizan and PetroRabigh refineries in 2021 and 2008, respectively. Joint Organisations Data Initiative (Jodi) data show Saudi naphtha exports in steady decline to 93,000 b/d in 2024, 108,700 b/d in 2023, 144,800 b/d in 2022 and 169,200 b/d in 2021. Data from Kpler show naphtha exports from the Yasref refinery at 22,000 b/d in 2024, down from 25,000 b/d a year earlier but higher than 19,000 b/d in 2022. The majority of these exports went to Indonesia, Malaysia and South Korea. Yasref has the capacity to produce 112,000 b/d gasoline but it exported only 17,000 b/d in 2024 and 26,000 b/d in 2023. Market participants said the integration may not have any immediate significant effect on gasoline output but the addition of the aromatic complex, in theory, could need pull in more heavy full-range naphtha that is otherwise used as a blendstock for gasoline production. It remains to be seen if the new mixed feed cracker would favour naphtha or LPG as a feedstock. Ethane accounts for the majority of feedstock for Saudi crackers. The shift of focus from producing transportation fuels to petrochemicals comes as Saudi gasoline demand continues to lag pre-pandemic levels and faces pressure from growing uptake of electric vehicles. Saudi gasoline demand averaged 514,000 b/d in 2024, well below the 550,000 b/d in pre-pandemic 2019, mainly because of higher retail prices . Aramco has a target to process up to 4mn b/d of crude into petrochemicals by 2030, from 1mn b/d currently. It is developing an $11bn petrochemical expansion project at the 460,000 b/d Satorp refinery joint venture with TotalEnergies. By Rithika Krishna Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Japan’s Mitsui invests in US e-fuel producer


25/04/17
25/04/17

Japan’s Mitsui invests in US e-fuel producer

Tokyo, 17 April (Argus) — Japanese trading company Mitsui has invested in California-based synthetic fuel (e-fuel) producer Infinium, aiming to acquire knowledge on technology and commercialisation in the emerging sector. The investment in Infinium was conducted in March, Mitsui told Argus on 16 April, declining to disclose the specific amount. This marks Mitsui's second investment in e-fuel producers. The firm invested in California-based synthetic sustainable aviation fuel (e-SAF) producer Twelve Benefit . Infinium produces green hydrogen from water by electrolysis, and converts the hydrogen and CO2 into e-fuels by using renewable energy. The firm is planning to launch its second plant, which will specialise in e-SAF production. International Airlines Group (IAG) and American Airlines have agreed to receive the e-SAF that will be produced at the plant. E-fuels can help reduce over 90pc of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions compared with conventional fossil fuels, and are notable as "drop-in" substitutes for conventional fuels, applicable to existing engines and infrastructures, Mitsui said. Mitsui is observing the e-SAF market. SAF is a relatively promising prospect in the renewable energy sector, on the back of the target by the UN's International Civil Aviation Organisation (ICAO) to achieve net-zero emissions in international aviation by 2050, as well as governmental policies bolstering the deployment of SAF, a representative of the firm told Argus . Japan plans to replace 10pc of the jet fuel consumed by domestic airlines with SAF in 2030. By Kohei Yamamoto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more