Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

Australia sees cost as key challenge for hydrogen

  • : Hydrogen
  • 21/12/10

The Australian federal government sees three main barriers to the development of the country's hydrogen strategy, including building demand for the fuel and its derivatives, achieving low-cost production at scale and reducing delivery costs, according to Canberra's first progress report on its hydrogen strategy launched in 2019.

The federal government and all of the country's six state government each have outlined respective hydrogen plans as part of the energy transition from fossil fuels to lower greenhouse gas (GHG) intensive fuels such as hydrogen. Australia is the world's largest exporter of LNG and the second-largest thermal coal supplier.

"Like any nascent industry there will be challenges, and it is to be expected that demand-side indicators have slower progress than the supply side. It will take time to lower costs and to build export supply chains," Australian energy minister Angus Taylor said in the State of Hydrogen 2021 report.

Widespread global adoption of clean hydrogen will require sustained effort to offset the three biggest barriers facing industry globally, not just in Australia, including building demand, achieving low-cost hydrogen production at scale and reducing delivery costs.

Australian governments are next focusing on how to build up Australia's demand for hydrogen products, with the strategy laying out the pathway to achieve its vision.

The private sector has committed more than A$1.6bn ($1.14bn) of investment in hydrogen ventures in Australia, with public sector investment reaching $1.27bn in June 2021, the report said. Project announcements indicate scale could reach over 100MW by 2025.

The cost of producing clean hydrogen in Australia in 2025 is expected to be between A$2.30-5/kg, depending on the production method from around A$5/kg currently. In 2030 it will cost an estimated A$2-4/kg, the report said. The main cost drivers are capital costs and electricity costs. Renewable hydrogen production costs could fall below A$2/kg after 2030 if electrolysers and renewable energy become cheap enough, it said.

The average size of operating electrolysers around the world was approximately 1.1MW last year, the report said. But in early 2021 the 20MW Air Liquide Plant in Canada started operation with a four-module polymer electrolyte membrane electrolyser. Australia's largest operating electrolyser is the 1.25MW project at Hydrogen Park in South Australia. The Australian government has funded three electrolyser projects of 10MW each, which are expected to be operational in the near future.

Australian government future priorities include helping to drive down the cost of hydrogen production towards the A$2/kg goal and continuing to engage internationally to build export relationships, the report said.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

Germany revives law to accelerate H2 permitting


25/07/09
25/07/09

Germany revives law to accelerate H2 permitting

Hamburg, 9 July (Argus) — The German government has put forward a draft 'hydrogen acceleration law', with some changes from a version that its predecessor failed to pass before it collapsed late in 2024. The law is intended to accelerate development of a hydrogen economy by setting shorter deadlines for permitting procedures and requiring more extensive digitalisation of processes. The text designates electrolysis plants, storage sites, import facilities and associated cracking or dehydrogenation plans, pipelines and dedicated electricity transmission lines for hydrogen production as being of "overriding public interest". It adds to this list facilities for production of synthetic fuels that comply with the EU's definition of renewable fuels of non-biological origin (RFNBO). Infrastructure considered as being of overriding public interest takes priority in case of conflicts with certain other rules, for instance those related to environmental disputes or building law. The special status will be in place for all infrastructure covered by the new hydrogen acceleration law until 2045. The previous government had foreseen the overriding public interest would be in place for electrolysis plants and storages until 2045, but limited to 2035 for other infrastructure . The new draft no longer includes provisions requiring electrolysis plants to demonstrate they are using renewable power until the end of 2029. The previous government's version would have required such facilities to be either directly connected to renewable assets until 2029 or, if connected to the power grid to commit to procuring at least 80pc of electricity through power purchase agreements for renewable power. The new government has added hydrogen and helium as 'free mineral resources' under the federal mining act. This should facilitate exploration activities for natural hydrogen, sometimes also referred to geological or sub-surface hydrogen, the government said. Industry participants can respond to the draft until 28 July. Initial reactions were positive. Getting the draft ready before the summer break shows the government recognises the relevance of spurring on the hydrogen sector, energy and water association BDEW said. The group praised a "pragmatic approach" to the law but reiterated recent warnings around planned funding cuts for hydrogen . European industry body Hydrogen Europe's chief executive Jorgo Chatzimarkakis said the law will be an "enabling act" for the hydrogen economy. The regulation "finally matches the urgency of industrial transformation," Chatzimarkakis said, urging the EU to follow suit with similar rules. By Stefan Krumpelmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil’s biofuels production boom could spur H2 demand


25/07/08
25/07/08

Brazil’s biofuels production boom could spur H2 demand

Hydrogenation is set to play a growing role in biorefining, with tradeable credits issued for cleaner hydrogen use, writes Pamela Machado Paris, 8 July (Argus) — Already the world's second-largest biofuels producer, Brazil aims to ramp up its output in the coming years. The push for increased biorefining, which is underpinned by strong legal frameworks, could provide domestic offtake options for clean hydrogen producers. Brazil trails only the US in terms of its biofuels production. The country's combined biodiesel and bioethanol output reached 43bn litres in 2023, the latest government data show, and production is tipped to rise substantially going forward — not least because of government interventions. Brasilia last year approved the "fuel of the future" law, a bill that aims to increase the use of biofuels for road transport and that sets minimum blending quotas for sustainable aviation fuel (SAF). The SAF quotas start at 1pc in 2027 and rise to 10pc in 2037. The government hopes the law will unlock 1 trillion Brazilian reals ($180bn) in biofuels investment over the next decade. A biofuels boom could be a boon for the nascent clean hydrogen industry. Brazil currently consumes about 500,000 t/yr of hydrogen, mainly in state-controlled Petrobras' refineries and almost exclusively of the conventional kind made from natural gas with unabated emissions. Biorefining alone could roughly double this demand in less than a decade, government energy planning and research agency EPE projects. Hydrogen demand is poised to grow thanks to the sheer volume of biofuels production, but also because biorefining production routes that use hydrogen as a direct feedstock during the hydrogenation phase — namely the hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids and alcohol-to-jet routes — "are expected to become more relevant", EPE says. Both routes can be used for production of biodiesel and SAF. Biodiesel produced through the fatty acid methyl esters route — the main technology used in current plants — requires using methanol as a feedstock, which could indirectly boost demand for hydrogen by about 175,000-260,000 t/yr by 2034, EPE estimates. Not all hydrogen demand for biorefining will necessarily be clean — even in the long term. But supportive regulations could encourage use of renewable hydrogen or supply that involves carbon capture and utilisation or storage (CCUS) over conventional output with unabated emissions. Cleaning up Brazil's CBIO scheme provides decarbonisation credits to biofuels producers based on "well-to-wheel" lifecycle emissions and allows these to be traded on Sao Paulo's B3 stock exchange. Trimming the product's carbon content by using cleaner hydrogen in the refining process would lift the amount of credits generated. Initial plans for this are under way. The Riograndense refinery in the southernmost state of Rio Grande do Sul — owned by Petrobras, petrochemicals firm Braskem and logistics company Ultrapar — is expected to make about 16,000 b/d of SAF and renewable diesel from 2028. And Petrobras has outlined broader plans for using renewable and CCUS-based hydrogen across its refineries. Many firms have announced plans for large export-focused renewable hydrogen projects in Brazil, but finding domestic anchor demand will arguably be crucial to help the sector to lift-off. Biorefineries could be one such anchor industry, alongside fertiliser production and — further down the line — cement and steel. Brasilia clearly sees an opportunity to capitalise. The "synergy between bioenergy and hydrogen positions us with unique advantages in the global energy transition", energy ministry biofuels department director Marlon Arraes says. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Q&A: Arup urges joined-up approach to H2 deployment


25/07/08
25/07/08

Q&A: Arup urges joined-up approach to H2 deployment

Mumbai, 8 July (Argus) — UK-headquartered engineering firm Arup has supported governments around the world with policy, regulatory and infrastructure advisory services across the renewable hydrogen value chain. The firm has also carried out front-end engineering design for projects geared towards producing renewable hydrogen or derivatives. Argus spoke with Arup's India hydrogen lead and vice-president of the Hydrogen Association of India, Sachin Chugh, about the evolving global hydrogen market and the critical gaps that must be addressed to accelerate deployment. Edited highlights follow: How do you assess green hydrogen's development globally? The hydrogen space is fragmented. I would not say it is slow. Production capacities are increasing, scale is getting enhanced and we are seeing larger-sized electrolysers coming on line. The bottlenecks I see are production costs, technology maturity and uncertainty around hydrogen trade protocols, such as the standardisation of products. The recent definitions are not helping a uniform development of the ecosystem globally. Offtake and technology risks are talked about a lot and investors are already pricing them in. But I would like to highlight another risk — co-ordination. We must understand that hydrogen is a secondary molecule. And it has a multi-nodal chain — renewables, electrolyser, transportation, conversion, shipping terminals and final use. There are lot of independent elements influencing the value chain. If we are not linking these individual elements together for optimisation, this brings a lot of risk. At Arup, we have been trying to integrate this value chain and minimise these risks. What is your view on India's plan to export 70pc of the 5mn t/yr of renewable hydrogen that it aims to be producing by 2030? The 70pc figure is coming from the fact that there is a cost differential and limited appetite from local industry to absorb that additional cost in their processes. We're talking about sectors like fertilisers, which are highly subsidised. Even the refining sector is under a lot of pressure because of geopolitical developments. That said, focusing only on exports can be catastrophic for India. If we look at the west, the EU is driving demand for green hydrogen. But when we look at the Middle East, we see more emphasis on low-carbon hydrogen. Competing with them on cost is going to be challenging. Putting all our eggs in one basket can be risky. Exports should act as a catalyst to trigger demand, but the foundation must be domestic demand. We need to identify markets within India that have the appetite to absorb that cost differential. It's about addressing the right pain point in sectors such as oil and gas. The pain point isn't merely the inclusion of hydrogen in the ecosystem, but how to mitigate CO2 emissions. When you marry these two — growing a green hydrogen market and using that hydrogen to mitigate emissions, not just through direct substitution, but by combining CO2 into e-fuels — that's where the opportunity lies. Even blending just 0.1pc of e-fuels — which will naturally be costlier than conventional fuels — can still bring considerable volumes into the ecosystem. Are there challenges for the hydrogen sector that are specific to Asian countries and that differ from the EU or US? The nature of business is completely different in Asia. Here, we have a cost-sensitive market where affordability for the masses is one of the paramount decisions when it comes to energy. A lot of calibration is required when pushing green hydrogen in Asian markets. The real challenge is Asia's aspiration to adopt hydrogen without localisation... I'm not considering China here. If the technology comes from Europe or China, one of the biggest challenges is the lack of real-environment performance. These technologies have been developed in regions with very different grid intermittency, and environmental conditions. We don't know how these technologies will perform here and that introduces risk. On the policy side, Asia lacks inter-regional hydrogen diplomacy. In the EU region, you see common platforms to push the hydrogen economy. In Asia, there is no representation of hydrogen on platforms like the South Asian Association for Regional Co-operation or the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. What kind of innovations could improve project economics? One area is trying to reduce electrolysers' requirement for 24-7 electricity. The idea here is to develop direct DC-coupled hydrogen microgrids, so that energy storage systems are not required in between. If we can develop something like this, it can reduce costs. Secondly, using artificial intelligence for two key purposes — predictive maintenance of machines and dynamic load shaping. At Arup, we are doing a lot of work in this space. This, along with energy optimisation, could impact up to 15-20pc of the lifecycle costs of hydrogen. We are also trying to address the fact that the engineering world lacks hydrogen-specific references. The current engineering models used are retrofits from the hydrocarbon sector. We're assuming many things based on that experience — using those factors and scaling parameters to design hydrogen plants, which will introduce a lot of engineering risks in the future. Particularly for the Indian ecosystem, there is a need to devise the stage-gate approach in these new energy domains. The mechanism that can move from concept to feasibility in a phased manner is currently missing due to an assumption that the hydrogen and green molecule industry is mature and can be scaled up with the traditional approach. What is your view on the Indian production-linked incentive (PLI) schemes for green hydrogen production and electrolyser manufacturing? We need to understand the fundamental deficiencies of the PLI scheme. It is focused on triggering production, but doesn't cover system-level integration, and it ignores the ecosystem interdependence — things like land, utilities, renewable energy and offtake. This can lead to stranded assets. This is a concern for companies, which is why they are reshaping their strategies and the pace at which they are moving forward. And the scheme doesn't de-risk demand. Lastly, the scheme favours incumbents over innovators. There's a need for traditional energy incumbents to align with innovators, start-ups and incubators to find novel solutions. What else can the government do to support the sector? More than subsidies, what's really needed are predictive sovereign guarantees from the government, meaning price floors that are linked to macro variables in the hydrogen ecosystem — like renewable energy tariffs, ammonia demand, etc. This will make the system self-correcting. The guarantor won't need to overpay, and sovereign guarantees would kick in when there's stress in the market. This would depend on how commodity prices behave in international markets, for products like methanol and ammonia, where we see a lot of price volatility. It's very similar to how crop insurance works in agriculture. There, adjustments are made based on changing weather conditions. In this case, the weather conditions can be replaced by the ecosystem — such as changing renewable energy prices or fluctuations in ammonia and methanol prices. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Spain consults on renewable hydrogen transport quotas


25/07/04
25/07/04

Spain consults on renewable hydrogen transport quotas

Paris, 4 July (Argus) — Spain's ecological transition ministry (Miteco) has opened a consultation on its plans to introduce binding quotas for use of renewable hydrogen in the transport sector. The ministry is proposing a 2.5pc quota for use of renewable fuels of non-biological origin (RFNBOs) — which includes renewable hydrogen and derivatives — in the transport sector in 2030. It has not outlined general transport RFNBO quotas prior to 2030, but the proposal includes a separate "intermediate use" quota for fuel suppliers that decide to use renewable hydrogen to replace fossil-based hydrogen in refineries, the document states. This method is known as the refinery route in some other European countries such as the Netherlands . Intermediate use quotas could be introduced as early as 2027, starting at 0.25pc and be gradually increased to 1.5pc by 2030 ( see table ). Any surplus hydrogen from the intermediate route would count towards the general RFNBO transport target, according to the document. The introduction of intermediate use quotas follows feedback from more than 50 industry participants in previous consultations, the ministry said, in which the majority called for the inclusion of RFNBOs used in refineries in the calculation of transport sector targets. The proposal states that Spain would take into account multipliers, which means that the real RFNBO requirement in energy terms is lower than the stipulated quota. The ministry is proposing a multiplier of two for RFNBOs used in transport, and an additional multiplier of 1.5 would apply for RFNBOs used in air and maritime transport. In effect, this could mean that the 2030 target could be met with 0.75pc quota for the intermediate use route and up to 1.25pc for the general transport sector. The EU's revised renewable energy directive (RED III) obliges countries to make sure that at least 1pc of all fuels used across different transport sectors by 2030 are RFNBOs. The ministry has not outlined quotas beyond 2030 in the document, nor has it specified penalties for non-compliance with the quotas. But it said Spain plans to recognise the companies with the largest volumes of certified RFNBOs with a "leader in certified renewable hydrogen" seal which will be displayed on the ministry's website. Industry participants can submit their comments to the ministry until 8 September. Like most EU member states , Spain missed the 21 May deadline for transposing the RED III rules into national law. But momentum seems to be picking up with governments in Belgium , France , Germany and Denmark having outlined plans recently. By Pamela Machado Spain's proposed RFNBO quotas for intermediate use* % Year Share 2027 0.25 2028 0.50 2029 0.75 2030 1.50 *After application of multipliers Spanish ecological transition ministry Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more