KRG oil field shut in after pipeline outage

  • : Crude oil
  • 23/03/27

Forza Petroleum was shutting in production from oil fields in the Hawler license area in the semi-autonomous Kurdistan region of northern Iraq, after pipeline exports of Iraqi Kurdish oil to the Turkish Mediterranean port of Ceyhan were halted over the weekend.

Canadian-based Forza is the first foreign operator to announce a halt in production in the areas controlled by the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG). Ceyhan-bound deliveries via pipeline were halted after the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) in Paris had ruled in favor of Iraq in a case that pitted Baghdad against Ankara. Iraq has challenged Turkey's authorization for KRG to export crude through the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline without Baghdad's consent.

Foreign oil firms operating in the Kurdistan region have been diverting their crude output into storage tanks following the pipeline shut-in.

"With Hawler storage nearing full capacity, production from the Hawler license area is being shut in pending the resumption of deliveries from the license area," Forza said today.

Another operator of KRG-based oil fields, HKN Energy, said today that its storage facilities were approaching capacity and that it would shut down production within a week unless the Kirkuk-Ceyhan pipeline resumes operations.

"We have urged the governments of Turkey and Iraq to resume the flow of oil through the Iraq Turkey pipeline," the US State Department said today. "Disruptions to global energy supply would not serve anyone's interest."

Crude exports from northern Iraq, Kirkuk blend, averaged 452,000 b/d last year, according to Argus tracking data. More than 380,000 b/d of this was marketed by the KRG. Iraq's federal oil marketing firm Somo accounted for the rest, all of which all went to Turkish refiner Tupras.


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24/05/02

Abu Dhabi’s Adnoc puts crude capacity at 4.85mn b/d

Abu Dhabi’s Adnoc puts crude capacity at 4.85mn b/d

Dubai, 2 May (Argus) — Abu Dhabi's state-owned Adnoc has nudged up its self-reported crude production capacity to 4.85mn b/d, from 4.65mn b/d previously. The UAE state energy giant did not formally announce the increase but updated the figure on its website. It did something similar when its capacity reached 4.65mn b/d in late 2023, up from 4.5mn b/d in the middle of last year. This latest hike takes the company a step closer to its long-term 5mn b/d crude capacity target, which it aims to reach by 2027. Adnoc set the 5mn b/d target back in 2018 when its capacity was 3.5mn b/d. At that time, the company said it was aiming to deliver the increase by 2030, but in November 2022 it brought the timeframe forward by three years, citing the "UAE's robust hydrocarbon reserves". The change in timeline had been expected, with sources telling Argus earlier that year that discussions had been taking place in the upper echelons of Adnoc about significantly accelerating its capacity growth plans . Given the speed at which the company has been delivering capacity gains over the past few years, and how close it is to meeting its target already, it is not inconceivable that Adnoc will reach 5mn b/d ahead of schedule. Put your best foot forward The UAE's rising capacity comes as Opec+ producers engage with independent agencies to update their respective crude output capacities for use in production policy decisions from 2025. At their meeting in June last year, all Opec+ members committed to undergo an external assessment of their sustainable capacities in the first half of 2024 by three independent consultancies, IHS, Wood Mackenzie and Rystad. The updated capacity assessment will help address a key criticism of the Opec+ production restraint agreements in their current format, namely that many of the countries involved have been cutting output from a baseline level of production that they can no longer actually deliver, in most cases due to natural decline. The UAE has been one of a handful of countries in the group that has been raising its capacity over the past few years. This means it should, in theory, benefit from the latest assessment, as a higher accepted capacity will afford it a higher production baseline under any Opec+ agreements struck from 2025 onwards. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Shell's 1Q profit supported by LNG and refining


24/05/02
24/05/02

Shell's 1Q profit supported by LNG and refining

London, 2 May (Argus) — Shell delivered a better-than-expected profit for the first quarter of 2024, helped by a strong performance from its LNG and oil product businesses. The company reported profit of $7.4bn for January-March, up sharply from an impairment-hit $474mn in the previous three months but down from $8.7bn in the first quarter of 2023. Adjusted for inventory valuation effects and one-off items, Shell's profit came in at $7.7bn, 6pc ahead of the preceding three months and above analysts' estimates of $6.3bn-$6.5bn, although it was 20pc lower than the first quarter of 2023 when gas prices were higher. Shell's oil and gas production increased by 3pc on the quarter in January-March and was broadly flat compared with a year earlier at 2.91mn b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d). For the current quarter, Shell expects production in a range of 2.55mn-2.81mn boe/d, reflecting the effect of scheduled maintenance across its portfolio. The company's Integrated Gas segment delivered a profit of $2.76bn in the first quarter, up from $1.73bn in the previous three months and $2.41bn a year earlier. The segment benefited from increased LNG volumes — 7.58mn t compared to 7.06mn t in the previous quarter and 7.19mn t a year earlier — as well as favourable deferred tax movements and lower operating expenses. For the current quarter, Shell expects to produce 6.8mn-7.4mn t of LNG. In the downstream, the company's Chemicals and Products segment swung to a profit of $1.16bn during the quarter from an impairment-driven loss of $1.83bn in the previous three months, supported by a strong contribution from oil trading operations and higher refining margins driven by greater utilisation of its refineries and global supply disruptions. Shell's refinery throughput increased to 1.43mn b/d in the first quarter from 1.32mn b/d in fourth quarter of last year and 1.41mn b/d in January-March 2023. Shell has maintained its quarterly dividend at $0.344/share. It also said it has completed the $3.5bn programme of share repurchases that it announced at its previous set of results and plans to buy back another $3.5bn of its shares before the company's next quarterly results announcement. The company said it expects its capital spending for the year to be within a $22bn-$25bn range. By Jon Mainwaring Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer


24/05/01
24/05/01

US Fed signals rates likely to stay high for longer

Houston, 1 May (Argus) — Federal Reserve policymakers signaled they are likely to hold rates higher for longer until they are confident inflation is slowing "sustainably" towards the 2pc target. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds target rate unchanged at a 23-year high of 5.25-5.5pc, for the sixth consecutive meeting. This followed 11 rate increases from March 2022 through July 2023 that amounted to the most aggressive hiking campaign in four decades. "We don't think it would be appropriate to dial back our restrictive policy stance until we've gained greater confidence that inflation is moving down sustainably," Fed chair Jerome Powell told a press conference after the meeting. "It appears it'll take longer to reach the point of confidence that rate cuts will be in scope." In a statement the FOMC cited a lack of further progress towards the committee's 2pc inflation objective in recent months as part of the decision to hold the rate steady. Despite this, the FOMC said the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals "have moved toward better balance over the past year," shifting prior language that said the goals "are moving into better balance." The decision to keep rates steady was widely expected. CME's FedWatch tool, which tracks fed funds futures trading, had assigned a 99pc probability to the Fed holding rates steady today while giving 58pc odds of rate declines beginning at the 7 November meeting. In March, Fed policymakers had signaled they believed three quarter points cuts were likely this year. Inflation has ticked up lately after falling from four-decade highs in mid-2022. The consumer price index inched back up to an annual 3.5pc in March after reaching a recent low of 3pc in June 2023. The employment cost index edged up in the first quarter to the highest in a year. At the same time, job growth, wages and demand have remained resilient. The Fed also said it would begin slowing the pace of reducing its balance sheet of Treasuries and other notes in June, partly to avoid stress in money markets. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cenovus boosts oil sands output by 4pc in 1Q


24/05/01
24/05/01

Cenovus boosts oil sands output by 4pc in 1Q

Calgary, 1 May (Argus) — Canadian integrated Cenovus Energy increased its oil sands production by 4pc in the first quarter, led by gains at Lloydminster Thermal and Foster Creek heavy crude assets, and the company plans to boost output further to supply the newly opened Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) pipeline. Cenovus pumped out 613,000 b/d of crude from its oil sands projects in Alberta, up from 588,000 b/d in the same quarter last year, the Calgary-based company reported on Wednesday. This was one of the highest producing quarters for Cenovus' oil sands assets since acquiring Husky in early 2021, second only to the 625,000 b/d produced in the fourth quarter that year. Cenovus has a commitment of about 144,000 b/d on the newly completed 590,000 b/d TMX pipeline, which was placed into service on Wednesday , and the company has plans to push upstream output higher over the next several years across its portfolio to meet its commitment. The pipeline nearly triples the amount of Canadian crude that can reach the Pacific coast without first having to go through the US. First-quarter production from the Lloydminster Thermal segment rose to 114,000 b/d, up from 99,000 b/d a year earlier, because of higher reliability, according to Cenovus. Cenovus' Foster Creek production rose to 196,000 b/d of bitumen, up from 190,000 b/d in first quarter 2023. The company plans to bring another 30,000 b/d online at the steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) asset by the end of 2027 through optimization projects. To the north, Christina Lake's first-quarter bitumen output of 237,000 b/d was steady with previous quarters. The asset is expected to get a significant boost by the end of 2025 when a pipeline connecting the project to output from the neighbouring Narrows Lake asset is completed. The 17 kilometer (11 mile) Narrows Lake tie-back will add 20,000-30,000 b/d of bitumen to Christina Lake, which already ranks as the industry's largest SAGD project. The pipeline is 67pc complete and should be placed into service in early 2025, Cenovus executives said Wednesday on an earnings call. Northeast of Fort McMurray, Alberta, new well pads are planned at Sunrise in 2025, where Cenovus also plans to push production higher by 20,000 b/d. Sunrise produced an average of 49,000 b/d in the first quarter this year, up from 45,000 b/d in the same quarter 2023. Cenovus' output company-wide rose to 801,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the first quarter, up from 779,000 boe/d a year earlier. This includes oil sands, natural gas liquids, natural gas, conventional and offshore assets. Cenovus posted a profit of C$1.2bn ($871mn) in the quarter, up from a C$636mn profit during the same quarter of 2023. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tankers can take TMX crude mid-May: Trans Mountain


24/05/01
24/05/01

Tankers can take TMX crude mid-May: Trans Mountain

Calgary, 1 May (Argus) — Commercial operations for the 590,000 b/d Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) crude pipeline in western Canada have officially started today, but tankers will not be able to load crude from the line until later this month. Line fill activities, which began on 16 April, are still ongoing for the C$34bn ($25bn) project that stretches from Edmonton, Alberta, to the docks in Burnaby, British Columbia. About 70pc of the volumes needed are in the 1,181 kilometre (733 mile) line, Trans Mountain said on Wednesday. "As of today, all deliveries for shippers will be subject to the Expanded System tariff and tolls, and tankers will be able to receive oil from Line 2 by mid-May," Trans Mountain said. Aframax-size crude tankers started to take position on the west coast last month in anticipation of the new line. But the inability to deliver crude at Burnaby, while still having to pay full tolls, was a concern raised by several shippers on 23 April. "Trans Mountain must be able to receive, transport and deliver a shipper's contract volume," the shippers said in a letter to the CER. The ability to deliver the crude is "clearly central and fundamental qualities of firm service." The CER in November approved interim tolls for the system that will further connect Albertan oil sands producers to Pacific Rim markets. Shippers will, at least initially, pay C$11.46/bl to move crude from Edmonton, Alberta, to the Westridge terminal in Burnaby, British Columbia. The fixed portion accounts for C$10.88/bl of this and has nearly doubled from a C$5.76/bl estimate in 2017. The Canada Energy Regulator (CER) on 30 April gave Trans Mountain a green light to put TMX into service , ending years of uncertainty that the project would ever be completed. The expansion project, or Line 2, nearly triples the capacity of Canadian crude that can flow to the Pacific coast, complementing the original 300,000 b/d line, or Line 1, that has been operating since 1953. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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