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Oman latest to insist that oil, gas is 'here to stay'

  • : Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 24/04/24

Omani and Oman-focused energy officials this week joined a growing chorus of voices to reiterate the pivotal role that hydrocarbons have in the energy mix, even as state-owned companies scramble to increase their share of renewables production.

Some producers cite the risk of leaving costly, stranded oil and gas assets as renewable energy alternatives become more favoured.

"This is a common concern among producers who are focusing on short-term developments to maximize cash flow — [but] if we continue to do that, with the clean energy transition, will we be left with stranded assets in the long-term", state-controlled PDO's technical director Sami Baqi told the Oman Petroleum and Crude Show conference in Muscat this week. "We need to redefine and revamp our operation model to produce in a sustainable manner."

"We are in an era where most of the production does not come from the easy oil but comes from difficult oil," Oman's energy ministry undersecretary Mohsin Al Hadhrami said. "It requires more improved and enhanced oil recovery (EOR) type technologies to extract it."

Oman is heavily reliant on tertiary extraction technologies like EOR given its maturing asset base and complicated geology.

"We know that most of the oil fields [in the region] are maturing and costs are going to escalate, so we need to be mindful of it while discussing cleaner solutions going forward," Hadhrami said.

PDO, Oman's largest hydrocarbon producer, aims for 19pc of its output to come from EOR projects by 2025, and has said it is looking at 'cleaner' ways to implement the technology. PDO in November started a pilot project to inject captured CO2 for EOR at its oil reservoirs.

Baqi's concerns were echoed by PDO's carbon capture, utilisation and storage (CCUS) manager Nabil Al-Bulushi, who said even solutions like CCUS can be expensive and come with their own challenges. There is a need for a proper ecosystem or regulatory policies to avoid delays in executing such projects, he said.

When it comes to challenges associated with commercialising green hydrogen, Saudi state-controlled Aramco's head of upstream Yousef Al-Tahan said higher costs already make hydrogen more expensive than any other energy sources.

"Not only should the costs go down, but the market has to be matured to take in the hydrogen," he said. "We also need pipelines and facilities that are able to handle hydrogen, especially when it gets converted to ammonia."

Gas here to stay

Oman, like many of its neighbors in the Mideast Gulf, insists gas needs to be part of the global journey towards cleaner energies.

"Asia-Pacific is still heavily reliant on coal, this is an area where gas can play an important role," Shell Oman's development manager Salim Al Amri said at the event. "I think there is no doubt that gas is here to stay."

Oman is a particularly interesting case as it "has moved from a position of gas shortage to surplus", Al Amri said, enabled by key developments in tight gas. "Output from fields like Khazzan and Mabrouk will continue to produce nearly 50pc of output even by 2025, which is indicative of how important tight gas developments are," he said. The Khazzan tight gas field has 10.5 trillion ft³ of recoverable gas reserves. Mabrouk North East is due to reach 500mn ft³/d by mid-2024.

But even as natural gas is touted as the transition fuel, executives from major producers like state-owned OQ and PDO warned there are technical risks associated with extracting the fuel, including encountering complex tight reservoirs, water production and difficult geology.


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25/01/17

Australia rejects gas exploration permit near Sydney

Australia rejects gas exploration permit near Sydney

Sydney, 17 January (Argus) — Australia has refused further permits to two explorers for the controversial petroleum exploration permit 11 (PEP-11) in the offshore Sydney basin, citing public interest and financial stability concerns. The 4,500km² block near the NSW state cities of Sydney and Newcastle contains shale and conventional gas reserves. It was controlled by 85pc stakeholder Asset Energy, 100pc-owned by unlisted oil and gas explorer Advent Energy, and 15pc owner Australia-listed Bounty Oil and Gas. The Commonwealth-New South Wales (NSW) offshore oil joint authority refused the stakeholders' PEP-11 applications on 16 January, federal Labor industry minister Ed Husic said on 17 January. "The joint authority refused the applications for reasons of public interest, concerns about the applicants' estimate of the cost of works and their ability to raise the necessary capital to fund the proposed works," Husic added. The firms were initially refused an extension for PEP-11 in 2021, by then Coalition prime minister Scott Morrison. But Asset appealed this decision , alleging procedural unfairness. Electorates in the northern suburbs of Sydney were considered crucial in Australia's 2022 federal election, which Morrison and his Coalition ultimately lost. Gas exploration and production is politically unpopular in many parts of Australia, despite ongoing concerns about energy shortfalls. Bounty claimed PEP-11 contains potential gas resources of 4.7 trillion ft³ (133bn m³) but the region has not produced any commercial quantities to date. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump tariffs may move gas prices, not flows


25/01/16
25/01/16

Trump tariffs may move gas prices, not flows

New York, 16 January (Argus) — US president-elect Donald Trump's threat to impose 25pc tariffs on all imports from Canada would likely raise US natural gas prices if enacted, but not by enough to significantly alter flows across the border. As anxiety over US-imposed tariffs mounted over the past week, gas prices for February delivery on the Pacific coast of southern Canada began trading at a steeper discount to their US counterparts. The February price at Westcoast station 2, a key indicator of western Canadian gas prices, on Wednesday was at a $4.38/mmBtu discount to northwest US gas hub Northwest Sumas, compared with a $3.43/mmBtu discount a week earlier. The February price at Canadian benchmark NIT/AECO on Wednesday also moved to a $2.56/mmBtu discount to the US benchmark Henry Hub in Louisiana from a $2.22/mmBtu discount a week earlier. While other factors could be at play, the wider Canadian discounts line up with a shift in sentiment by Canadian oil and gas groups and politicians over the past week, as those groups coordinate to try and halt the threatened tariffs. "They're likely to come in on January 20th," Danielle Smith, premier of Alberta, a major oil and gas-producing Canadian province, said of the tariffs this week. The attitude is starkly different from a month earlier, when Michael Rose, chief executive of Tourmaline Oil, the largest Canadian gas producer, said at a Goldman Sachs energy conference that he thought there was a "low likelihood" that the tariffs would be imposed. "We'd agree with you," replied Goldman Sachs head of gas research Samantha Dart. But while US-Canadian gas price spreads would widen if gas were not exempted from Trump's tariffs, the western US would probably not reduce purchases of Canadian gas, because "there's nowhere else for them to get the supply," FactSet senior energy analyst Connor McLean said. Moreover, even with a 25pc price increase, Canadian gas is still highly competitive against US-sourced gas and alternative power generation sources like coal. This is also the case for the US' upper midcontinent and east coast, though gas buyers in those regions could also source gas from Appalachia, Oklahoma or the Rockies if there were spare pipeline capacity. The effect of tariffs on gas prices would also probably be dwarfed by more humdrum market dynamics, like the weather. Demand-boosting cold weather this month has quickly drawn down US gas inventories, which appear slated in the coming weeks to flip to a deficit to the five-year average for the first time in more than two years. Even colder weather early next week is also likely to trigger freeze-offs, which are production curtailments caused by extreme cold. Given those more pressing concerns, "tariffs do not come up" in meetings with other market participants, Appalachian gas producer Seneca Resources marketing manager Rob Lindroos told Argus . Approximately 99pc of US gas imports are from Canada via pipeline, with flows into the US averaging 8 Bcf/d (227mn m³/d) in 2023, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Those Canadian sales, accounting for nearly half of western Canada's production, provide crucial energy supplies to the US Pacific northwest and midcontinent, parts of which are far from US reservoirs. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexico’s oil states led labor market losers in 2024


25/01/16
25/01/16

Mexico’s oil states led labor market losers in 2024

Mexico City, 16 January (Argus) — Mexico's oil and gas-dependent states led state job losses in 2024, driven by a sharp contraction in spending by state-owned Pemex and the completion of the Olmeca refinery, according to energy market sources and state data, even as two-thirds of the country's states posted job growth. Annually, the total employment in Mexico grew by 213,993 jobs in 2024, 67pc fewer than the 651,490 jobs added in 2023, according to the Mexican social security (IMSS) institute's tally of formal jobs, which have full benefits like better access to housing credits and public medical services. The deceleration in the number of jobs created last year adds to signals of a Mexican economy that was cooling as the year progressed, according to economists and energy market sources. "In 2024, the second lowest generation of jobs in the last 15 years was recorded, only after 2020, the year in which the Covid-19 pandemic hit," according to a report from Mexican think tank Mexico Como Vamos. Tabasco state, one of the most important for the energy sector in Mexico, led the reduction in employment among the 11 states that experienced job losses during 2024. Tabasco lost 28,675 jobs over the year, for a 12pc annual decline in employment in the state, according to IMSS data. Twenty-one states, including the capital, posted job growth. Campeche, the state with the second biggest annual percentage of job losses, and Tamaulipas, the other state with a high dependence on the oil sector, also reported significant declines in 2024, with annual formal job losses of 5,952 and 3,120, representing 4pc and 1pc decreases from a year earlier, respectively. These IMSS figures only account for formal jobs registered with the institute, which provide access to medical, pensions, and housing credits, and totaled 22.24mn as of December. The official statistics agency Inegi counts employment nationwide at 59.5mn as of the third quarter last year. Inegi's count of employment includes the informal sector, made up of jobs without social security and other benefits. Inegi's estimates put the informal labor sector at over 54pc of all jobs. According to IMSS, the country lost 405,259 jobs in December compared with November, the largest loss recorded for that month since 2000. Still, December is typically marked by heavy job losses because of seasonal adjustments. But last year the final month's tally was pulled even lower than normal by overall weak hiring over the year, Inegi said, even as total job growth was positive for the full year. While the labor situation in Mexico worsened in 2024 because of the weakening of the national economy, including a sharp depreciation of the peso to the dollar, the decline has hit the states most closely tied to the oil and gas sector and Pemex spending, said Carlos Ramirez, founder of consultancy Integralia. Tabasco hangover "Tabasco benefited greatly from the investment poured into Pemex by the administration of AMLO (former president Juan Manuel Lopez Obrador), Ramirez said. "This is going to change now with the (Claudia) Sheinbaum administration, and the state will suffer a hangover as the new government reduces its support for the oil and gas industry." Still, the national unemployment rate is low, at 2.6pc in November, according to Inegi. And the country added 361,000 jobs in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to Inegi's broader base of data. But the economy was slowing in the second half of 2024. Growth in gross domestic product slowed to an annual 1.6pc in the third quarter from 2.1pc in the second quarter, according to Inegi. Inegi's IGAE, an index that tracks the real economy, showed that the Mexican economy contracted 0.73pc in October, as economists lowered growth estimates for the Mexican economy for this year. Pemex chief executive Victor Rodriguez in early October implemented a 20pc cut to the company's upstream budget, aiming to save Ps26.78bn ($1.32bn). This decision, combined with delays in payments for contracts and a halt in new service agreements, severely impacted local companies in Tabasco and Campeche, according to oil services company association Amespac. Some companies announced layoffs as Pemex's financial constraints rippled through the supply chain. Part of Tabasco's workforce reduction could also be tied to the near-completion of the 340,000 b/d Olmeca refinery, said Jesus Carrillo, an analyst at think tank IMCO. While the major construction phases have concluded, the facility remains in a testing phase, contrary to Pemex's previous promises of full operations in 2024. Despite the recent downturn, heavy Pemex spending during the administration of former president Lopez Obrador made Tabasco the leading state in job creation between December 2018 and December 2024, Ramirez said. But with the refinery now completed and Pemex projecting further budget cuts for 2025, analysts expect labor market challenges in oil-reliant states to persist. By Édgar Sígler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU gas stockdraw in first half of Jan at four-year high


25/01/16
25/01/16

EU gas stockdraw in first half of Jan at four-year high

London, 16 January (Argus) — European firms boosted gas withdrawals in the first half of January to meet stronger heating-related demand and compensate for the drop in Russian supply following the end of Ukrainian transit. The European gas stockdraw has accelerated since the turn of this year. Combined EU withdrawals averaged 6.57 TWh/d on 1-15 January, the quickest stockdraw for the period since 8.7 TWh/d in 2021 and up from 4.1 TWh/d in the second half of December, according to GIE transparency platform data. Cold weather has boosted heating demand across much of the continent, particularly in recent days, increasing the call on stocks. Overnight lows in Paris, Milan, Essen and Amsterdam were 2-4°C below the seasonal average on 10-14 January. Quick withdrawals drew combined EU stocks down to 736TWh — 64pc of capacity — on the morning of 15 January. This is down from an average 908TWh and a 80pc fill level on the same date in 2023-24, but still above the 2021-22 average of 620TWh and 56pc of capacity. German withdrawals has been particularly strong over the past week. Withdrawals doubled to 2.4 TWh/d on 8-15 January from 1.2 TWh/d on 1-7 January. The quick stockdraw helped support exports to countries affected by the end of Russian transit gas on 1 January. Inflows of German gas to Austria at Oberkappel and the Czech Republic at VIP Brandov have risen to nearly 300 GWh/d in the first half of this month from a combined 48 GWh/d in December. These countries have also turned to underground reserves to compensate for the lost Russian supply. Austria withdrew 515 GWh/d on 1-15 January, up from 360 GWh/d in December. The stockdraw in the Czech Republic averaged 210 GWh/d on these dates, inching up from 205 GWh/d, as German imports compensated for a larger share of Russian flows . In northwest Europe, high weather-related UK demand pushed UK NBP prompt prices far above the Peg and ZTP, encouraging firms to direct Norwegian supply to the UK instead of France and Belgium. This led to slower Norwegian gas flows to France, which in turn contributed to the higher call on French underground storage. Firms also may have used withdrawn volumes to boost exports to Belgium, as high UK demand weighed on supply from the UK to Belgium on the Interconnector pipeline. The French stockdraw averaged 950 GWh/d on 1-15 January, up from a three-year average of 880 GWh/d for the period. Among countries with the largest storage capacity, the Netherlands has the lowest stocks in percentage terms. Its underground sites stood at 48pc of capacity on the morning of 15 January. Further south, the Italian stockdraw ramped up over the past week to help meet strong consumption and to make up for slower receipts from the Trans Adriatic Pipeline (Tap) after a partial outage at Azerbaijan's Shakh Deniz field. Spain has only 1.2TWh from which it can draw, with another 26TWh in storage that form the state-controlled strategic reserves and can be used only under certain conditions. But quick LNG imports so far this month have rapidly boosted the country's available supply, with LNG stocks having reached 11.2TWh on 15 January after reaching a seven-year low of 6.5TWh on 24 December. The pace of EU withdrawals will continue to largely follow changes in heating-related consumption for the remainder of January. And cold weather today was forecast to persist across much of Europe, with overnight lows in Amsterdam, Paris, Essen, Milan and Madrid anticipated to hover at 1-4°C below seasonal values over much of the next week. While heating-related consumption is likely to remain strong in the coming weeks, wider LNG supply availability could alleviate the call on storage. Several cargoes so far this month have diverted away from Asia towards higher-priced European markets, which may support LNG sendout in the continent later this month. By Isabel Valverde Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Danish Tyra gas field back on line


25/01/16
25/01/16

Danish Tyra gas field back on line

London, 16 January (Argus) — The Danish Tyra field came back on line today, following the early completion of maintenance by operator TotalEnergies. The field returned to operation at 01:00 CET (12:00 GMT) today, TotalEnergies said in a Remit message, earlier than the scheduled end date of 18 January. The Tyra field first went off line on 5 January because of issues at a compressor station. The end of the commissioning period for the 8.1mn m³/d hub remains 31 January, having been delayed from 21 January in connection with the works. The firm expects Tyra to reach plateau capacity in the second half of January. Half of the Tyra hub's wells still needed to be brought on line, Tyra stakeholder BlueNord said last week. By Lucas Waelbroeck Boix Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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