Estoques de etanol no Centro-Sul recuam em abril
Os estoques de etanol no Centro-Sul caíram 18pc na primeira metade de abril, à medida que as atividades da safra de cana-de-açúcar de 2024-25 começaram.
Os estoques do biocombustível na principal região produtora do Brasil recuaram para 2,2 milhões de m³ até o dia 16 de abril, em comparação com 2,7 milhões de m³ registrados na quinzena anterior, segundo dados do Ministério da Agricultura. Na comparação com o mesmo período do ano passado, quando os estoques foram de 1,9 milhão de m³, o avanço foi de 17pc.
Os estoques de etanol hidratado representaram 1,3 milhões de m³ do total acumulado no período, baixa de 14pc na quinzena e alta de 12pc na variação anual. Já o etanol anidro totalizou cerca de 875.700m³, queda de 23pc na comparação com a quinzena anterior e crescimento de 25pc no ano.
Até 16 de abril, 171 plantas haviam iniciado as operações para a nova temporada, em comparação com 166 unidades no mesmo período do ciclo anterior, de acordo com a União da Indústria de Cana-de-Açúcar e Bioenergia (Unica).
O início da safra facilitou o acesso de participantes de mercado aos estoques do biocombustível, ao passo que alguns players reportaram dificuldades em comprar de estoques no fim de março.
| Produção sucroalcooleira do Centro-Sul | |||
| 15-Abril | ano atrás | ± | |
| Etanol total m³ | 830.437 | 721.630 | 15% |
| Cana-de-açúcar '000t | 15.847 | 15.155 | 5% |
| Açúcar t | 675.822 | 582.476 | 16% |
| Mapa | |||
Related news posts
La Nina outlook offers boost to Australian agriculture
La Nina outlook offers boost to Australian agriculture
Sydney, 16 May (Argus) — The outlook for Australia's crop and beef production is turning more positive in 2024-25, with the country's Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) updating its climate forecast towards a La Nina weather trend forming at the end of this year. BoM updated its El Nino-Southern Oscillation (Enso) outlook to a La Nina Watch alert on 14 May, with indicators suggesting this phase developing in late 2024. Approximately half of all watch alerts have followed with the projected Enso event occurring. Crop production and grazing conditions will likely benefit from increased rainfall should the weather trend eventuate. La Nina is associated with higher than average winter-spring rainfall from the northwest to southeast of Australia. Grain yields and production in Australia's eastern cropping regions typically increase with a La Nina. Australia experienced record production during La Nina events that occurred during 2020-23. Winter crop production peaked at 69mn t and 63mn t in the 2022-23 and 2021-22 fiscal year respectively, according to Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (Abares) data. The La Nina Watch alert comes as the US Department of Agriculture projected Australia's wheat production to increase by 3mn t from a year earlier to 29mn t in the 2024-25 marketing year, according to data released in its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates on 10 May. Coarse grain production is also projected to rise by 4pc to 14.87mn t. But Enso weather events have limited impact on southwest Western Australia (WA). A potential La Nina is unlikely to aid WA cropping zones currently experiencing very low soil moisture levels . Increased rainfall from a La Nina developing in late 2024 may not coincide with the growing season of east Australia's wheat crops, which are typically sown during April-June and harvested in November–January. Too much rain around the harvest can damage crops and degrade quality. Floods in late 2022 damaged harvests in New South Wales, resulting in Abares at the time downgrading the state's production projections by 2mn t. Increased rainfall in east Australia will boost pasture availability for cattle producers. Increased capacity of feed may encourage producers to increase herd sizes, potentially supporting future slaughter and beef production. But the agriculture industry may be wary of the BoM's latest outlook. BoM was widely criticised after last year's El Nino declaration in September, which promoted some producers to pre-emptively destock at low prices in fear of dry conditions that did not occur. By Edward Dunlop Australia winter-spring rainfall during La Nina years (deciles) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Australia’s live cattle exports slip back in April
Australia’s live cattle exports slip back in April
Sydney, 16 May (Argus) — Australian cattle exports fell in April from a month earlier as demand from Indonesia waned, Department of Agriculture Fisheries and Forestry (DAFF) data show. Live cattle exports fell by 20pc to 60,521 head in April, as Indonesian demand dropped by 16pc but still made up 86pc of the monthly total. Indonesian imports rose sharply in March , likely in preparation for the end of Islamic fasting month Ramadan celebrations in early April. Total exports may have also been affected by the continued wet season in northern Australia, supporting domestic prices and motivating producers to retain stock. The fall was partially offset by increased exports to Vietnam that rose by 37pc in April from March and comprised a 14pc share of shipments. January-April exports were 20pc higher than the same period of 2023. Australia as at 3 May has used 16pc of the total quota of 672,669 head of live male cattle under the Indonesia-Australia Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement, according to DAFF. By Edward Dunlop Australia live cattle exports (head) Apr '24 Mar '24 Apr '23 Apr '22 Apr '21 Jan-Apr '24 Jan-Apr '23 Jan-Apr '22 Jan-Apr '21 Indonesia 51,941 62,041 26,926 35,936 39,659 129,381 97,170 102,860 138,384 Vietnam 8,290 6,041 9,580 4,688 3,713 32,037 20,721 7,730 44,367 China 0 3,500 7,160 1,609 7,061 32,306 27,003 41,439 34,600 Malaysia 290 0 0 59 1,893 1,490 1,749 879 6,667 Israel 0 501 9,252 1,596 0 2,728 19,798 13,041 11,909 Total 60,521 75,704 55,611 45,288 59,396 209,592 175,299 171,482 250,100 Source: DAFF Totals include all destinations not just those listed Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Australia to explore biofuels mandate, incentives
Australia to explore biofuels mandate, incentives
Sydney, 15 May (Argus) — Australia's federal budget is funding mandate studies and pursuing certification schemes, given the increasing likelihood biofuels will play a significant role in the nation's energy transition. The federal government has pledged A$18.5mn ($12.3mn) in the four years from 2024-25 to develop a certification scheme for low-carbon liquid fuels, including SAF and renewable diesel, by expanding its guarantee of origin programme for long-term demand by the industry . An extra A$1.5mn over two years from 2024-25 will go to analysis of the regulatory impact of the costs and benefits of introducing mandates for low-carbon liquid fuels, while the government has promised consultation on possible production incentives for domestic project developers. Money from the A$1.7bn Future Made in Australia innovation fund will also be made available for liquid fuels research, to be administered by the Australian Renewable Energy Agency to commercialise net zero technology. "The package of announcements is dealing with crucial areas essential for deployment, including certification to ensure Australia develops a sustainable liquid fuels industry, resourcing to support key demand side interventions such as a low carbon fuels standard and consultation on additional supply-side measures such as production credits," Bioenergy Australia chief executive Shahana McKenzie said on 15 May. The funding pales in comparison to the $9bn hydrogen investment promised by the government, although much of that is deferred to the decade from the 2027-28 fiscal year. About 45pc of Australia's energy use is supplied by liquid fuels but the nations lags behind many countries on decarbonising its transport sector. Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation forecasts demand for jet fuel will grow 75pc by 2050. But no domestic production facility has yet reached a financial close, despite major airlines committing to increasing their SAF use. Domestic feedstocks including agricultural residues could meet 60pc of Australian jet fuel demand initially, growing to 90pc by 2050, Bioenergy Australia has said, while pursuing renewable fuels could cut the country's dependence on oil product imports from 90pc to 61pc by 2040. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Falling D4 RIN values alter RD strategy
Falling D4 RIN values alter RD strategy
Houston, 14 May (Argus) — Soaring US renewable diesel production is cutting renewable fuel credit prices and pressuring biofuel production margins, potentially curbing industry growth. Renewable diesel (RD) production in North America last year jumped by 36pc to a record 3.45bn USG, and output this year is expected to climb by another 28pc to 4.43bn USG, according to Argus estimates. Rising production has cut the value of biomass-based diesel D4 credits, or renewable identification numbers (RINs), by 75pc over the past year, as credit generation from renewable diesel production has outpaced the the US Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) biofuel blending targets. D4 RINs credits reflect compliance costs of biofuel that has been blended with diesel, used by fuel suppliers in accordance with the EPA's annual Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) mandates. They also act as an incentive for renewable fuel production, as producers can sell RINs once their biofuels are blended with conventional road fuels. Lower prices on D4 RINs generate less revenue for the biofuels industry and also reduce compliance costs for obligated parties. Some refiners have shifted their strategic focus to compensate for lower RIN values, with some cutting back on renewable fuels production. Vertex Energy plans to idle renewable diesel production at its Mobile, Alabama, facility as the company anticipates generating wider margins by returning a converted hydrocracker back to fossil fuel production. Vertex remains open to restarting its renewable diesel production if market conditions improve. CVR Energy is considering changing feedstocks to improve its renewable diesel margins, possibly substituting corn oil for soybean oil. Chevron has shared similar sentiments, saying feedstock flexibility can be a major advantage across its operations. The company recently closed two biodiesel facilities in the US midcontinent as attention shifts to more profitable renewable diesel in the long term. Valero is nearly finished converting its renewable diesel unit to sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) at its Diamond Green Diesel joint venture facility in Port Arthur, Texas. The venture with Darling Ingredients is the largest producer of renewable diesel in North America and a major contributor to the increase in supply over the past two years. Valero views the D4 RIN market as in persistent oversupply due to the growth of renewable diesel, but the company remains optimistic due to other clean fuels incentives, including state-level low carbon fuel standard (LCFS) programs that provide incentives for reducing the carbon intensity of transportation fuels. "The long-term outlook of RD is still positive, because you look at the number of LCFS programs that are still being contemplated by legislation this year," Valero executive vice president Gary Simmons said. More renewable diesel capacity is expected to come online by the end of this year. Marathon Petroleum's Martinez, California, refinery is undergoing a full conversion from conventional petroleum refining to renewable fuels and is currently running at 50pc of capacity. Phillips 66 has taken a similar approach with the conversion of their Rodeo, California, plant, with 30,000 b/d of renewable diesel online. With EPA biofuel blending targets fixed through 2025, an aggregate decrease in renewable diesel production and subsequent lower generation of D4 RINs could counter the weakened RIN prices that are contributing to the industry's depressed production margins. By Matthew Cope Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more