Urgent action needed for UK to hit net zero goals: CCC
The UK increased the rate of reduction in its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in 2023, but "urgent action" is needed if the country is to hit its targets in 2030 and beyond, the independent advisory Climate Change Committee (CCC) found today.
The report assessed the UK's progress towards its net zero goals against policy set out by the previous Conservative government. The new Labour government, which has been in power since 5 July, has already set the scene for a stronger decarbonisation agenda. But it "will have to act fast to hit the country's commitments", the CCC said. The committee tracked progress on 28 key indicators. Of the 22 that have a benchmark or target, just five are assessed as "on track".
The UK's GHG emissions stood at 393mn t/CO2 equivalent (CO2e) in 2023, down by 5.4pc, or 22mn t/CO2e, on the year, provisional data show. This estimate excludes contributions from international aviation and shipping, as these are not included in the UK's 2030 target of a 68pc cut in GHG emissions, from a 1990 baseline.
The UK's GHG emissions including the country's share of international aviation and shipping were 423.3mn t/CO2e in 2023, preliminary data show, 49.5pc lower than in 1990. The drop in GHGs has largely been driven by the decrease in coal-fired power generation over that time span.
Although progress has been made, the previous administration "signalled a slowing of pace and reversed or delayed key policies", the CCC noted. The reduction in GHG emissions in 2023 is "roughly in line with the annual pace of change needed" to hit the 2030 target, but the average annual rate over the previous seven years is "insufficient", the committee added. The UK's 2030 emissions reduction goal is the first in line with reaching net zero by 2050.
The new government has placed strong focus on decarbonising electricity in its first days in office, but this is "not enough on its own", CCC acting chief executive James Richardson said. The average annual rate of GHG reduction outside the electricity supply sector over the previous seven years was 6.3mn t/CO2e, but this will need to more than double to 2030 if the UK is to meet its targets, the CCC found.
The committee found that in order to reach targets, "annual offshore wind installations must increase by at least three times, onshore wind installations will need to double and solar installations must increase by five times" by 2030, while oil and gas use should be "rapidly" reduced. The CCC also recommended that around 10pc of UK homes will need to be heated by a heat pump by 2030, in comparison to approximately 1pc today. And the market share of new electric cars needs to increase to "nearly 100pc" by 2030, from a current share of 16.5pc.
Labour pledged in its manifesto to restore the 2030 phase-out date for sales of new gasoline or diesel-fuelled cars, while it has set ambitious targets for renewable energy installations and pledged zero-carbon power by 2030. It has also committed to no new oil, gas or coal licences.
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Francine shuts in 24pc of US Gulf oil output: Update
Francine shuts in 24pc of US Gulf oil output: Update
Includes production shut-in figures, port status updates and spot crude price information. New York, 10 September (Argus) — US offshore operators shut in 24pc of Gulf of Mexico oil production ahead of tropical storm Francine, which is expected to gain hurricane status later today and hit Louisiana Wednesday. About 412,070 b/d of offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET due to storm preparations, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). About 494mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 26pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators evacuated workers from 130 platforms. The storm was about 380 miles southwest of Morgan City, Louisiana, packing maximum sustained winds of 65mph, according to a 2pm ET advisory from the National Hurricane Center. It is expected to continue to move across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico tonight and make landfall in Louisiana on Wednesday evening. The storm will track through an offshore region that accounts for about 15pc of US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. Ports closing ahead of storm Ports along the storm's path are restricting inbound and outbound traffic ahead of the storm, with many planning to close in the next day. Lightering operations were paused off of Galveston, Texas, starting Monday night due to high seas, and the Louisiana Offshore Oil Port export/import facility said it was following its inclement weather plans, which includes shutting down ahead of a storm like Francine. The port of Houston closed to both inbound and outbound vessel traffic at 1pm ET Tuesday due to worsening weather conditions from Francine, a ship agent said. The US Coast Guard's captain of the port expected port condition Zulu, where gale force winds are anticipated within 12 hours and port operations are suspended, to be in place by 7pm ET Tuesday. In Louisiana, terminal operations at the port of New Orleans will be closed Wednesday , with operators expected to resume on Thursday. Operations at the New Orleans Public Belt, which connects major railroads to the port, will continue Tuesday before closing Wednesday and are expected to resume on Thursday. Offshore crude flows curtailed Chevron initiated shut-in procedures for its Anchor and Tahiti platforms, 190 miles south of New Orleans, and began transporting all personnel from the facilities. Production from its other operated platforms in the Gulf of Mexico remained at normal levels. Non-essential staff were also being removed from the Big Foot and Jack/St. Malo platforms, around 225 miles and 280 south of New Orleans, respectively. Crude from Tahiti is transported to the Boxer platform, from where it can move along pipelines that feed into multiple streams — Mars, medium sour grades Poseidon and Southern Green Canyon (SGC) — as well as lighter sour grades Eugene Island and Bonito. Production from the recently-started Anchor platform feeds into the Amberjack pipeline, which carries crude into the Mars stream. Mars has been heard trading at 70-90¢/bl discounts to the US benchmark in Cushing, Oklahoma, on Tuesday, rising over the day from a volume-weighted average discount of 96¢/bl on Monday. Francine's path over Louisiana means it has the potential to weigh more on refinery demand there than on offshore crude production. ExxonMobil said all staff had been transported off the Hoover platform, located about 200 miles south of Houston, and operations shut-in, while Shell said it was shutting in production at its nearby Perdido platform after earlier pausing drilling operations from the facility. Hoover and Perdido both feed into ExxonMobil's Hoover Offshore Oil Pipeline System (HOOPS), that delivers the HOOPS Blend to the Texas Gulf coast. HOOPS Blend is a medium sour crude that is not actively traded in the spot market. Competing Texas-delivered medium sour SGC was discussed at a 70¢/bl discount to the US benchmark today, which is where it traded in the prior session when narrowed its discount by about 35¢/bl from ahead of the weekend. So far, no major problems are expected at BP's offshore facilities in the region. Non-essential personnel have been evacuated from Shell's Enchilada/Salsa and Auger assets, located about 120 miles south of Vermillion Bay, Louisiana. By Stephen Cunningham, Tray Swanson and Amanda Smith Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Port of NOLA to close prior to TS Francine
Port of NOLA to close prior to TS Francine
Houston, 10 September (Argus) — The port of New Orleans (Nola) in Louisiana and terminal operators there are limiting operations today in preparation for a full closure Wednesday as tropical storm Francine passes. Terminal operators are expected to reopen on 12 September after damages are assessed. United Bulk Terminals (UBT) issued a force majeure this morning from the Davant terminal on concerns for employee safety. The company did not disclose a timeline for reopening. UBT specializes in coal and petcoke along with other commodities. Associated Terminals will suspend operations 11-12 September and will assess damages on 13 September. The National Weather Service forecasts Francine to make landfall tomorrow on the Louisiana coast as a hurricane. Commodities including petcoke, coal, agriculture and fertilizer are likely to be affected by the port closure. By Meghan Yoyotte Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
2024 RD production outlook up, 2025 down: EIA
2024 RD production outlook up, 2025 down: EIA
New York, 10 September (Argus) — The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) today upped its forecast for 2024 domestic renewable diesel (RD) production but continued to trim its projections for 2025 as challenging economics for refiners persist. The US is expected to produce on average 208,000 b/d of renewable diesel this year, EIA said Tuesday in its latest Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), up by around 1pc from August's forecast. Renewable diesel consumption is expected to hit 237,000 b/d this year, an increase of 1.3pc from the prior month's STEO. But next year, EIA now expects 236,000 b/d of renewable diesel production, down by 3.2pc from the prior forecast and down by 19.7pc from the agency's initial projection in January this year of 294,000 b/d. The agency is also forecasting renewable diesel consumption to reach 255,000 b/d in 2025, a 2.3pc decrease from its estimate last month. Renewable diesel producers have struggled over the last year, as ample supply of fuels used for compliance with government clean fuel programs has helped depress the prices of environmental credits and hurt production margins. More capacity has come online this year — with EIA recently pegging production of renewable diesel and related biofuels like sustainable aviation fuel at an all-time high of 4.9bn USG/yr in June — but uncertainty persists about whether future capacity additions will come on line as planned. EIA also upped its projection for US net imports of renewable diesel, raising its 2024 forecast by 7.1pc to 30,000 b/d and its 2025 forecast by 5.6pc to 19,000 b/d. While a federal tax credit starting next year is expected to discourage biofuel imports, since the incentive can only be claimed for fuel produced in the US, EIA's projections have inched upwards over the course of this year. Biodiesel output target up US biodiesel production this year is expected to average 105,000 b/d, up by around 1pc from August's STEO. US Biodiesel consumption should reach 121,000 b/d this year according to the EIA, down by 0.8pc from the prior forecast. For 2025, EIA raised its outlook for biodiesel production by 5.3pc to 100,000 b/d and for biodiesel consumption by 4.4pc to 94,000 b/d. Today's outlook also includes for the first time more granular data about biodiesel and renewable diesel "that better capture how biofuels are being consumed and the share of total distillate fuel they account for," EIA said. While the agency expects total distillate fuel oil consumption to fall slightly this year, biofuels will account for 9pc of that consumption, up from 8pc last year and 5pc in 2022. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Firms’ short-term climate plans not Paris-aligned: TPI
Firms’ short-term climate plans not Paris-aligned: TPI
London, 10 September (Argus) — Only a low proportion of the world's highest-emitting companies analysed by the Transition Pathway Initiative (TPI) have 2025 and 2035 climate targets that align with the Paris climate agreement's temperature goals, although longer-term commitments are increasing. About 30pc of the 409 companies in 11 sectors assessed by TPI — which is based at the London School of Economics — now have climate targets out to the middle of the century that are aligned with limiting global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, compared with 7pc in 2020. And another 14pc have 2050 plans aligned with limiting global warming to below 2°C. The Paris deal seeks to limit the temperature increase to "well below" 2°C above the pre-industrial average and preferably to 1.5°C. But shorter-term plans for 2025 and 2035 remain largely unaligned with the temperature goals, TPI analysis published today found. "This indicates both that historical rates of emissions reduction have been inadequate, and that, on average, company targets imply plans to postpone deep emissions cuts until the 2040s," TPI said. The analysis indicates that the world's highest-emitting companies will cumulatively overshoot the emissions intensity budget for 2020-50 required to keep to the 1.5°C goal by 61pc, based on a calculation that weights firms and sectors by market capitalisation. "Oil and gas companies are a major driver of the exceedance," TPI said. Only 6pc of those analysed have plans aligned with the 2°C goal in the medium and long term — 2035 and 2050. Food producers are also one of the least-aligned sectors, at just 8pc. The sector with the most companies aligned to the goal is diversified mining at 50pc, followed by the steel sector at 46pc and electricity at 41pc. Regionally, European firms have the highest rate of alignment at 66pc, followed by 64pc of Australasian companies and 56pc of Japanese groups. Only 18pc of Chinese companies are either aligned with the temperature goals or disclosed the information needed for analysis, and only 30pc of those headquartered in other Asian countries. By Victoria Hatherick Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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