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Ukraine sets wheat exports cap for 2024-25

  • : Agriculture
  • 24/09/03

Ukraine's agriculture ministry and grain market participants have agreed to set a 16.2mn t wheat export cap for the 2024-25 marketing year.

The government and exporters signed an addendum to the preliminary agreement for the 2024-25 marketing year, which sets the cap, irrespective of quality. This is exceeds the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) projection of 14mn t.

The parties will monitor monthly grain export volumes and if needed adjust the cap in January 2025.

Ukraine's millers had asked the ministry to cap 11pc and higher-protein milling wheat exports at 4.6mn t, citing a 30:70 split between milling and feed grade wheat in the 2024-25 harvest. Other market participants, including exporters, said the split is closer to 50:50 this year.

Ukraine has implemented export caps since 2011 to shore up domestic food security.


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24/10/02

California adds oilseed limits as vote nears: Update

California adds oilseed limits as vote nears: Update

Updates throughout with more detail on revisions. Houston, 2 October (Argus) — California regulators advanced stricter limits on crop-based biofuels as revisions to a key North American low-carbon incentive program drew closer to a vote. The California Air Resources Board (CARB) late yesterday added sunflower oil — a feedstock with no current approved users or previous indicated use in the program — to restrictions first proposed in August on canola and soybean oil feedstocks for biomass-based diesel. The new language maintained a proposal to make the program's annual targets 9pc tougher in 2025 and to achieve by 2030 a 30pc reduction from 2010 transportation fuel carbon intensity levels. Board decisions that could come as early as 8 November may reconfigure the flow of low-carbon fuels across North America. The state credits anchor a bouquet of incentives that have driven the rapid buildout of renewable diesel capacity and dairy biogas capture systems far beyond California's borders, and inspired similar, but separate, programs along the US west coast and in Canada. CARB staff's latest proposals, published a little before midnight ET on 1 October, offer comparatively minor adjustments to the shock August revisions that spurred a nearly $20 after-hours rally in LCFS prompt prices. Prompt credits early in Wednesday's session traded higher by $3 than they closed the previous trading day before slipping back by midday. LCFS programs require yearly reductions in transportation fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed these annual limits incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution to the market of approved, lower-carbon alternatives. California's program has helped spur a rush of new US renewable diesel production capacity, swamping west coast fuel markets and inundating the state's LCFS program with compliance credits. CARB reported more than 26mn metric tonnes of credits on hand by April this year — more than enough to satisfy all new deficits generated in 2023. Staff have sought through this year's rulemaking to restore incentives to more deeply decarbonize state transportation than thought possible during revisions last made in 2019. Participants have generally supported tougher targets, with some fuel suppliers warning about potential price increases and credit generators urging CARB to take a still more aggressive approach. But proposals to limit credit generation to only 20pc of the volume of fuel a supplier made from canola, soybean and now sunflower has found little public support. Environmental opponents have argued that the CARB proposals fall short of what is necessary to add protections against cropland expansion and fuel competition with food supply. Agribusiness and some fuel producers have warned the concept, proposed in August, ran counter to the premise of a neutral, carbon-focused program and against staff's own view last spring. The proposal exceeded what CARB could do without beginning a new rulemaking, some argued. CARB yesterday proposed a grace period for facilities already using the feedstocks to continue generating credits while seeking alternatives. Facilities certified to use those feedstocks before changes are formally adopted could continue using those sources until 2028, compared to a 2026 cut off proposed in August. No facilities currently supplying California have certified sunflower feedstock, and it was not clear that any were planned. "We're not aware of any proposed pathway or lifecycle analysis for sunflower oil, so that addition is just baffling," said Cory-Ann Wind, Clean Fuels Alliance America director of state regulatory affairs. "Clearly not based in science." The latest revisions include a change to how staff communicate a new, proposed automatic adjustment mechanism (AAM). The mechanism would automatically advance to tougher, future targets when credits exceed deficits by a certain amount. Supporters consider this a more responsive approach to market conditions than the years of rulemaking effort already underway. Opponents argue such a mechanism cedes important authority and responsibility from the board. Staff proposed quarterly, rather than annual, updates on whether conditions would trigger an adjustment, and to use conditions during the most recent four quarters, rather than by calendar year. Obligations and targets would continue to work on a calendar-year basis. CARB staff clarified that verifying electric vehicle charging credits would not require site visits to the thousands of charging stations eligible to participate in the program. Staff also clarified how long dairy or swine biogas harvesting projects could continue to generate credits if built this decade, with a proposed reduction in credit periods only applying to projects certified after the new rules were adopted. California formally began this rulemaking process in early January after publishing draft proposals in late December. Regulators initially proposed adjusting 2025 targets lower by 5pc for 2025 — a one-time decrease called a stepdown — to work toward a 30pc reduction target for 2030. CARB set its sights on 21 March for adoption. But staff pulled that proposal in February as hundreds of comments in response poured in. Updated language released on 12 August proposed a steeper stepdown for 2025 of 9pc while keeping the 30pc target for 2030. Public comment on yesterday's publication will continue to 16 October. By Elliott Blackburn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU commission pushes for 12-month deforestation delay


24/10/02
24/10/02

EU commission pushes for 12-month deforestation delay

Brussels, 2 October (Argus) — The European Commission has proposed an extra 12 months' "phasing-in time" to implement the bloc's EU deforestation regulation (EUDR). The commission also published the outlines of the EUDR methodology to classify countries as low, standard or high-risk. It said a large majority of countries worldwide will be classified as "low risk". The commission said that three months ahead of the intended implementation at the end of this year, "several global partners" have repeatedly expressed concerns about preparedness and that European stakeholder preparation is "also uneven". It added that the delay in "no way puts into question the objectives or the substance of the law". German agriculture minister Cem Ozdemir last month called for the commission to "urgently" postpone the EUDR's implementation by six months . The commission can "create all the necessary conditions on its own" for a delay, without renegotiating the EUDR, he said. Parliament's largest centre-right EPP group has also pushed to delay the regulation. Officials published "additional" guidance documents and a "stronger" international co-operation framework for global stakeholders, EU states and third countries. The change requires approval from EU states and European Parliament to make the EUDR applicable from 30 December 2025 for large companies. The date would be pushed back to 30 June 2026 for small firms. A group of major firms such as Ferrero, Mars Wrigley, Mondelez International and Nestle called for no reopening of the EUDR's "substance". The group, joined by several campaign organisations including Fairtrade International, said renegotiating aspects of the EUDR would only increase uncertainty and jeopardise the investments made for application. By Dafydd ab Iago Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

California eyes more oilseed limits as LCFS vote nears


24/10/02
24/10/02

California eyes more oilseed limits as LCFS vote nears

Houston, 2 October (Argus) — California regulators proposed late Tuesday expanding limits on the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credits certain oilseeds may generate while keeping the program's tougher targets and adoption schedule unchanged. The latest proposed California Air Resources Board (CARB) revisions add sunflower oil — a feedstock with no current approved users or previous indicated use in the program — to restrictions first proposed in August on canola and soybean oil feedstocks for biomass-based diesel. The new language maintained a proposal to make the program's annual targets 9pc tougher in 2025 and to achieve by 2030 a 30pc reduction from 2010 transportation fuel carbon intensity levels. CARB staff's latest proposals, published a little before midnight ET on 1 October, offer comparatively minor adjustments to the shock August revisions that spurred a nearly $20 after-hours rally in LCFS prompt prices. Prompt credits early in Wednesday's session traded higher by $3 than they closed the previous trading day. LCFS programs require yearly reductions in transportation fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed these annual limits incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution to the market of approved, lower-carbon alternatives. California's program has helped spur a rush of new US renewable diesel production capacity, swamping west coast fuel markets and inundating the state's LCFS program with compliance credits. CARB reported more than 26mn metric tonnes of credits on hand by April this year — more than double the number of new program deficits generated in all of 2023. Staff have sought through this year's rulemaking to restore incentives to more deeply decarbonize state transportation than thought possible during revisions last made in 2019. California formally began this rulemaking process in early January after publishing draft proposals in late December. Regulators initially proposed adjusting 2025 targets lower by 5pc for 2025 — a one-time decrease called a stepdown — to work toward a 30pc reduction target for 2030. CARB set its sights on 21 March for adoption. But staff pulled that proposal in February as hundreds of comments in response poured in. Updated language released on 12 August proposed a steeper stepdown for 2025 of 9pc while keeping the 30pc target for 2030. The proposal also added a limit on credit generation from certain crop-based feedstocks, to 20pc of the associated volume delivered to California in certain cases. Respondents generally supported the tougher targets, though fuel suppliers warned of higher prices and some credit generators argued that the state should be even more ambitious. No one praised the proposed limits on credit generation. Environmental advocates said the proposal fell short of the protections they sought against crop conversion and other risks; agribusiness warned that the concept distorted the LCFS and could spark lawsuits. By Elliott Blackburn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Clean fuel credit not on Treasury priority list


24/10/01
24/10/01

Clean fuel credit not on Treasury priority list

New York, 1 October (Argus) — The US Department of Treasury says it will prioritize issuing final guidance around qualifying for a handful of Inflation Reduction Act clean energy tax credits before the end of President Joe Biden's administration, though guidance around a new credit for low-carbon fuels will likely take longer. The agency's new timeline suggests that granular rules around how to qualify for the 2022 climate law's clean fuels incentive will ultimately be decided by the winner of this year's presidential election. Kicking off in January and lasting through 2027, the 45Z tax credit will replace a suite of expiring fuel-specific credits and offer up to $1/USG for low-carbon road fuels and up to $1.75/USG for low-carbon aviation fuels. Treasury is still "actively" working on guidance around the 45Z incentive, Treasury acting assistant secretary for tax policy Aviva Aron-Dine told reporters today. But unlike for other credits, officials have not provided any timeline for proposing or finalizing that guidance or any signal of whether they could issue any safe harbor assurances before final guidance is available. The Biden administration has not yet clarified how it will calculate greenhouse gas emissions or account for the benefits of "climate-smart" agricultural practices for fuels derived from crop feedstocks, potentially deterring investments until final guidance is available. The 45Z credit requires fuel to meet an initial carbon intensity threshold and then increases the subsidy as a fuel's greenhouse gas emissions fall. Policy clarity is essential, biofuel groups say, since fuel and feedstock offtake contracts are hashed out months in advance and the credit is relatively short-lived compared to other Inflation Reduction Act incentives. Some farm state lawmakers have also pushed for final guidance to bar refiners using foreign feedstocks — such as used cooking oil from China — from being able to claim the credit. The Biden administration still expects to finalize guidance for the 45V clean hydrogen tax credit by year-end out of recognition that the industry "needs certainty" to invest, Aron-Dine said. The final guidance will provide "appropriate adjustments and additional flexibilities" to help projects move forward, she said, while adhering to requirements to consider indirect greenhouse gas emissions caused by the production of clean hydrogen. Treasury also expects to issue final guidance by the end of the administration on the 45Y clean electricity production credit and clean electricity investment credit, a technology-neutral tax credit it proposed earlier this year. The final guidance will continue the "explosive growth" of wind and solar and also provide tax credits to emerging technologies that produce no net greenhouse gas emissions, Aron-Dine said. Other tax credits set to be finalized by the end of the administration include the section 48 investment tax credit and the 45X advanced manufacturing production credit that is supporting the buildout of domestic supply chains, Aron-Dine said. By Cole Martin and Chris Knight Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil's Parana 2024-25 soy works ahead on year


24/10/01
24/10/01

Brazil's Parana 2024-25 soy works ahead on year

Sao Paulo, 1 October (Argus) — Planting for the 2024-25 soybean crop in Brazil's southern Parana state advanced quickly this past week and surpassed last season's progress at the same time in 2023. Activities advanced by 12 percentage points to 22pc of the expected sowed area in the week ended 30 September, as recent rainfalls in the state favored soybean field works, according to the state's department of rural economics Deral. The pace now is 2 percentage points ahead of the 2023-24 cycle a year ago. Crop conditions remained stable between 23-30 September, with 100pc of areas considered in good conditions. Summer corn Sowing for the 2024-25 first corn crop reached 74pc of expected area as of 30 September. That is an increase of 14 percentage points from the prior week. Works remain behind the 2023-24 crop, which was 82pc sowed at the same time last year. Summer corn crop conditions were also unaltered this week. Areas rated in good quality account for 96pc, while the 4pc remaining is evaluated in medium conditions. Wheat The 2024 wheat crop harvest advanced by 14 percentage points to 62pc of Parana's planted area in the week ended 30 September. That is still behind the 2023 season's pace at the same time last year by 7 percentage points. Wheat crop conditions improved further this week for the third consecutive week. Areas considered in good conditions rose by 6 percentage points to 40pc, following the decreases of 2 and 4 percentage points in those evaluated in medium and bad conditions, to 39pc and 21pc, respectively. By Maria Albuquerque Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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