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Newly agreed EU, Mercosur FTA faces uphill battle

  • : Agriculture, Biofuels, Fertilizers, Hydrogen, Metals
  • 24/12/06

The EU and South America's Mercosur closed a free-trade agreement (FTA) nearly 25 years in the making, but there is still a long road to ratification.

Uruguayan president Luis Lacalle and European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen announced the deal at a Mercosur summit in Montevideo, the Uruguayan capital. The presidents of the three other Mercosur founding members — Argentina, Brazil and Paraguay — were present.

The FTA will remove tariffs on more than 90pc of goods among the members. Von der Leyen called the agreement a historic milestone that would benefit 700mn consumers. She said the agreement "is not only a trade agreement, but also a political necessity."

Lacalle said "an agreement of this kind is not a magical solution, but an opportunity."

Leaders recognized that the agreement still has major hurdles to clear as it requires approval from member states.

The agreement will go to legal review and translation in the next month in view of its future signing, according to the Mercosur-EU declaration.

While the Mercosur countries are in favor of the agreement, opposition is strong in France, Poland and several smaller EU states. Argentinian president Javier Milei, who supports the agreement, criticized Mercosur as a block.

"Mercosur, which was born with the idea of deepening our commercial ties, ended up like a prison that does not allow its members to take advantage of their comparative advantages or export potential," he said.

Van der Leyen said that more than 60,000 businesses, half of them small, export to Mercosur. The EU exported $59bn to Mercosur in 2023, while Mercosur's four founding members shipped $57bn to the EU.

She also stressed the importance of EU investment in Mercosur, including in sustainable mining, renewable energy and sustainable forestry.

Brazilian president Luiz Lula da Silva said during the summit that the region had to take advantage of its resources, including agriculture and energy.

The four Mercosur countries are major food producers, including crops such as corn, soy and sugarcane, used for biofuels.

Brazil is the world's top soy producer, while Argentina is third, Paraguay sixth and Uruguay in the 14th spot. Bolivia, which joined Mercosur in July, is the 10th producer.

Brazil is a major mineral producer and Argentina is slowly beginning to strengthen its mining sector. It has the world's second-largest lithium resources. Argentina is also beginning to monetize its unconventional gas formation, Vaca Muerta, the second largest in the world with 308 trillion cf of reserves. It is working on different LNG projects, with a focus on exports to Europe.

The Mercosur countries also have in common plans for low-carbon hydrogen production, which also see the EU as an export market for value-added products, such as fertilizers.


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25/07/17

South Korea’s SK exports first 2025 HVO cargo in June

South Korea’s SK exports first 2025 HVO cargo in June

Singapore, 17 July (Argus) — South Korean refiner SK Energy exported what is likely its first hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) cargo this year in June, which due to reach Europe in August. SK Energy exported around 5,000-6,000t of co-processed HVO in early June, said a source close to the company and traders. This was confirmed by Kpler data. The cargo loaded from SK Energy's Ulsan refinery on the vessel Solar Susie on 8 June. The refiner's last HVO export was 5,000t in December 2024, making this the first HVO cargo in 2025, according to Kpler . The Solar Susie subsequently loaded 27,700t of HVO from Incheon around 15-16 June, which is due to reach Europe in mid-August, vessel lineups and Kpler data also show. The cargo's price could not be confirmed. But European HVO prices have been rising since end-May. The fob Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) Class II HVO price reached a seven-month high of $2,216/t on 20 June, before easing to $2,124/t on 16 July. HVO consumption in northwest Europe could even reach record-highs in 2026 , given stricter biofuel mandates and as suppliers shift away from conventional biodiesel to meet EU targets. SK Energy started sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production at Ulsan in 2024 and exported its first SAF cargo to Europe in January . It also has an agreement with Hong Kong-based airline Cathay Pacific to supply at least 20,000t of SAF by 2027. By Sarah Giam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Singapore holds safety drill for methanol bunkering


25/07/17
25/07/17

Singapore holds safety drill for methanol bunkering

Shanghai, 17 July (Argus) — Singapore's Maritime and Port Authority (MPA) conducted a large-scale chemical spill drill simulating a methanol leak on 15 July, ahead of the upcoming issuance of the first batch of methanol bunkering licences. This exercise tested safety protocols and emerging technologies, MPA said in a release on 15 July. The drill involved 11 vessels and over 150 personnel from more than 10 government agencies and industry stakeholders. The simulation was conducted off Singapore's southern coast and aimed to validate operational readiness ahead of commercial-scale methanol bunkering activity. The MPA is currently evaluating 13 applications for its first methanol bunkering licences following an open call in March, it said in the release. The five-year licence, valid over 1 January 2026-31 December 2030, will be issued to firms meeting stringent criteria, particularly on bunkering safety and operational readiness. MPA also plans to issue the licences in the fourth quarter of 2025, it said in the release. Only three to four bunker suppliers may be awarded, and prospective applicants are actively preparing for bunkering trials to increase their success rate, market sources said. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia northern feeder cattle: Demand increases


25/07/17
25/07/17

Australia northern feeder cattle: Demand increases

Sydney, 17 July (Argus) — The Argus Australian northern steer price rose by 9A¢/kg to 393A¢/kg this week. Feeder cattle supply is easing as graziers retain stock on winter forage to reach heavier weights, capitalizing on stronger returns and avoiding high replacement costs. Heightened demand from southern Australia feedlots is also intensifying competition. Crossbred saleyard and feedlot prices ranged between 380-412A¢/kg. Feedlots are contracting cattle for August, relying on backgrounded and company-owned stock to maintain throughput amid tightening supply. A major southern Queensland feedlot purchased 108 oat-finished Santa Gertrudis heavy feeder steers from the Dalby cattle sale on 16 July for 408A¢/kg. Brahman-infused cattle from northern pastoral properties are in plentiful supply and presenting in excellent forward condition, with southern Queensland feedlots offering 350A¢/kg. Pregnancy-tested empty heavy feeder heifers sold at the Dalby cattle sale for 371A¢/kg, while local feedlots are offering 350A¢/kg. A total of 1,214 head sold at a special feeder sale in Roma on 11 July, with prices averaging 412A¢/kg for crossbred steers and 331A¢/kg for crossbred heifers, with local and southern feedlots the highest bidders. The growth of winter forage and grain crops, which has stalled from dry, cold weather could be assisted by forecast rain of up to 15mm on 17-18 July in southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales (NSW). Further forecast precipitation across southern Queensland and most of NSW next week could also raise winter crop yields and encourage winter herbage growth in pastures. While forecast rainfall is largely excluding central Queensland, graziers have sufficient quality pasture available. The Argus Angus steer price rose by 13A¢/kg to 493A¢/kg this week. Saleyards and feedlots priced Angus cattle at 485-500A¢/kg. Feedlots are contracting cattle for August. Southern feedlots are continuing to purchase cattle in the paddock and at saleyards across northern NSW and southern Queensland because of drought. A pen of 63 Angus steers from Warialda, with an average weight of 445kg, sold online on 11 July for 496A¢/kg. A pen of Angus heavy feeder steers at the Dalby cattle sale on 16 July sold for 476A¢/kg. Feedlot offers for Angus feeder heifers are between 410-420A¢/kg. The Argus Angus steer price has risen by 34A¢/kg in the past three weeks because of tight supply as winter progresses. The price spread between the Argus Australian northern feeder steer and the Argus Australian northern feeder Angus steer is now 100A¢/kg. Many feedlots are reporting a 100A¢/kg difference between their offers for crossbred and Angus steers. The price spread is rarely seen, most market participants say, but the value difference is 23pc. While export demand is firm, the high prices being paid for Angus feeders are becoming unsustainable, meat traders said. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Alcoa's global Al output up, bauxite and alumina fall


25/07/17
25/07/17

Alcoa's global Al output up, bauxite and alumina fall

Sydney, 17 July (Argus) — US producer Alcoa's aluminium output increased on the year in April-June despite the months-long closure of its San Ciprián aluminium smelter in Spain. But its bauxite and alumina output fell in the quarter. Aluminium Alcoa smelted 572,000t of aluminium in April-June, up by 5.3pc on the year, the company said in a quarterly report on 17 July. It has maintained its 2025 aluminium production guidance at 2.3mn-2.5mn t, which it set in January. The increase came from the continued ramp-up of its 447,000 t/yr Alumar smelter in Brazil. It operates the smelter with Australian producer South32 . The two companies reopened the aluminium smelter in 2024 after a nine-year production halt. Alcoa's Alumar ramp-up offset production declines from the shutdown of its San Ciprián aluminium smelter in Spain. The company initially paused production at the 228,000 t/yr plant in December 2021. It began a phased restart in early 2024 , but paused it in late-April 2025 because of a major power outage. Alcoa will fully restart the plant by mid-2026 with the support of energy solutions provider Ignis Equity Holdings. Alcoa shipped 581,000t of produced aluminium in April-June, as well as 53,000t of third-party aluminium, pushing down its total shipments by 6.5pc on the year ( see table ). The company also reduced its 2025 aluminium shipment guidance to 2.5mn-2.6mn t from its April forecast of 2.6mn-2.8mn t because of the San Ciprián shutdown. Alcoa, like many other global aluminium producers, faced tariff pressures in April-June. The company redirected some Canadian-produced aluminium away from the US over the quarter, it told investors. Alcoa expects tariffs to cost $90mn in July-September. US tariffs similarly cost UK-Australian producer Rio Tinto in April-June . It paid $712/t of aluminium shipped to the US over the quarter, the company told investors on 16 July. Bauxite and alumina Alcoa produced 9.3mn t of bauxite and 2.4mn t of alumina in April-June, down by 2.1pc and by 7.4pc on the year respectively. It shut its 2.2mn t/yr Kwinana alumina refinery in late 2024, reducing its production capacity. The company has maintained its 2025 calendar year alumina production guidance at 9.5mn-9.7mn t, unchanged from April. It also cut its produced alumina shipments in the quarter to 2.4mn t, down from 2.6mn t a year earlier, but this was supplemented by third-party shipments. The company maintained its 2025 alumina shipment guidance at 13.1mn-13.3mn t. Alcoa will ship more alumina than it produces in 2025 because it plans to use third-party sales as a substitute for Kwinana production to meet existing shipment obligations. By Avinash Govind Alcoa quarterly report mn t Apr-Jun '25 Apr-Jun '24 y-o-y Change (%) Jan-Jun '25 Jan-Jun '24 YTD Change (%) Production Bauxite 9.3 9.5 -2.1 18.8 19.6 -4.1 Alumina 2.4 2.5 -7.4 4.7 5.2 -9.7 Aluminium 0.6 0.5 5.3 1.1 1.1 4.7 Shipments Alumina (produced) 2.4 2.6 -8.1 4.7 5.2 -9.9 Alumina shipments (other) 3.3 3.3 -0.2 6.5 6.6 -2.3 Aluminium (produced) 0.6 0.6 -2.4 1.1 1.1 0.3 Aluminium (other) 0.05 0.1 -36.6 0.1 0.2 -43.4 — Alcoa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

New tariff threat could disrupt Mexico GDP outlook


25/07/16
25/07/16

New tariff threat could disrupt Mexico GDP outlook

Mexico City, 16 July (Argus) — Mexico's association of finance executives IMEF held its 2025 GDP growth forecast steady at 0.1pc in its July survey but warned the outlook could deteriorate if the US raises tariffs to 30pc. The survey of 43 analysts maintained projections for year-end inflation at 4pc and for the central bank's benchmark interest rate to fall from 8pc to 7.5pc by the end of 2025. The sharpest variation came in formal employment, after Mexico's social security administration IMSS reported a net loss of 139,444 formal jobs in the second quarter. IMEF cut its 2025 job creation forecast to 160,000 from 190,000 in June — the seventh and largest downgrade this year. Job losses increased in April, May and June, "a situation not seen since the pandemic in 2020," IMEF said. "If this trend is not reversed, the net number of formal jobs could fall to zero by year-end." "It is still too early to call it a recession, but the rise in job losses is worrying," said Victor Herrera, head of economic studies at IMEF. "The next risk we face is in auto plants. Some halted production after the 25pc US tariff was imposed in April. They did not lay off workers right away — they sent them home with half pay. But if this is not resolved in the next 60-90 days, layoffs will follow." The July survey was conducted before US president Donald Trump said on 12 July he would raise tariffs on Mexican goods from 25pc to 30pc starting 1 August. "What we have seen in the past is that when the deadline comes, the tariffs are postponed or canceled," Herrera said. "Hopefully, that happens again. If not, you can expect GDP forecasts to shift into contraction territory." While the full impact would vary by sector, Herrera said the effective average tariff rate would rise from 4pc to 15pc, with most exports either exempt or subject to reduced rates under regional content rules. But 8–10pc of auto exports would face the full 30pc duty. IMEF expects the peso to end 2025 at Ps20.1/$1, stronger than the Ps20.45/$1 estimate in June. But the group warned that rising Japanese rates — which influence currency carry trades — and falling Mexican rates could put renewed pressure on the peso once the dollar rebounds. For 2026, the GDP growth forecast dropped to 1.3pc from 1.5pc, while the peso is seen ending that year at Ps20.75/$1, slightly stronger than the previous Ps20.90/$1 forecast. By James Young Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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