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Nornickel sees global Ni surplus at 150,000t in 2024-25

  • : Metals
  • 24/12/12

Russian multi-metals producer Norilsk Nickel (Nornickel) expects the global nickel surplus to hit 150,000t in 2024-25, up by around 50pc from its earlier forecast of 100,000t.

It largely attributed this to a surge in high-grade nickel production capacities in China. Nickel inventories on exchange platforms have more than doubled on the year to over 100,000t in 2024, according to Nornickel. This, coupled with off-warrant inventories and under-reported stocks, could boost the class 1 nickel surplus to 150,000t in 2024-2025.

The surplus is concentrated in the high-grade nickel sector, mainly because of a surge in new cathode capacities. The London Metal Exchange (LME) approved four new nickel cathode brands from China and Indonesia this year, with a fifth brand, JIEN, which recently just applied to be listed on the platform. If approved, the additional combined production capacity from 2024 could reach 130,000 t/yr.

About 40pc of the global nickel producers are contending with losses, but prices could rise given an influx of lower-cost Indonesian nickel products that is pushing operations in other regions out of the market, according to Nornickel. The nickel market could also be more balanced owing to high nickel consumption from the stainless steel sector and potential supply disruptions from Indonesia, given uncertainty in RKAB work plan approvals and deteriorating nickel pig iron grades.


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25/02/19

Australian fertilizer, copper, zinc rail line to reopen

Australian fertilizer, copper, zinc rail line to reopen

Sydney, 19 February (Argus) — The Mount Isa rail line — which connects multiple Queensland phosphate and copper mines to the Port of Townsville — will reopen today, after floods damaged the track earlier this month. The track is expected to open on 19 February, the line's operator Queensland Rail (QR) confirmed to Argus. But QR did not specify the reopening time. The company announced the line closure on 10 February, after nearly two weeks of heavy rains. QR identified 1.6km of track damage along the Mount Isa rail by 14 February. The rail operator's staff were unable to access parts of the track at the time, as water covered 2km of the line. Fertilizer suppliers Incitec Pivot and Centrix use the lines for DAP/MAP and phosphate rock shipments respectively from their Phosphate Hill and Ardmore projects. Metals producer Glencore also moves copper and zinc from its Mount Isa mining complex to Townsville via the track. Centrix is planning to ship approximately 10,000t of phosphate concentrate out of the Port of Townsville in mid-March. The company also moved 25,000t of concentrate out of the port on 18 February, supported by its phosphate stockpile in Townsville. Queensland's recent floods also disrupted loadings at many of the state's coal ports, including the Ports of Abbot Point, Hay Point, and Dalrymple Bay, in early February. Coal loadings across Australia's east coast dipped to 5.42mn deadweight tonnes (dwt) over the week to 8 February, down by 27pc from 7.42mn dwt a week earlier, because of the weather issues. Argus ' MAP/DAP fob Townsville price was last assessed at $620-640/t on 13 February. By Avinash Govind Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

BYD plans give solid-state batteries clearer timeline


25/02/18
25/02/18

BYD plans give solid-state batteries clearer timeline

Beijing, 18 February (Argus) — The rollout of electric vehicle (EV) solid-state batteries has been given a clearer timeline after China's largest EV producer BYD unveiled plans to launch massive production of such vehicles around 2030. "We will start demonstration in 2027 and achieve large-scale production around 2030," Sun Huajun, chief technology officer at BYD Lithium Battery, said at the second China All-Solid-State Battery Innovation and Development Summit Forum on 16 February. The firm has started feasibility studies into the industrialisation of solid-state batteries, covering key material technology, cell system development and production line construction, Sun added. BYD rolled out a 60 ampere hour all-solid-state battery last year. Its new energy vehicle (NEV) sales surged by 41pc to more than 4.27mn units in 2024, accounting for 27pc of global sales. It is also a major battery manufacturer, with almost 154GWh installed last year, accounting for 17pc of global EV battery installations, industry data show. This timeline is later than earlier predictions by some domestic automakers and research institutions, as most of them said last year that they will deploy full solid-state batteries at their own EV brands from 2025 and start mass production in 2026 or 2027. Solid-state batteries with a longer EV driving range, smaller size and safer performance are considered the main development direction for the next generation of power batteries, but there are several challenges restricting mass production, particularly significantly higher costs. More than 100GWh of solid-state battery capacity is being planned in China, according to industry estimates, but it remains uncertain when they will be turned into real production, and some of the capacity is for solid-liquid hybrid batteries. "To realise the industrialisation of solid-state batteries, we still need to solve the problems with the technology, process and cost," Miao Wei, former minister at China's ministry of industry and information technology said at the same forum. "Looking at the current progress of global research and development, the technology to support massive production is yet to mature. There will be small-scale production around 2027." Several EV and battery producers have unveiled development plans or announced production launches for solid-state batteries in the past few years, but many are semi-solid-state batteries that have lower EV driving ranges, according to market participants. "Semi-solid-state batteries still belong to the category of liquid batteries. We should not get the two mixed up," Miao added. But the development of such batteries is expected to boost the adoption of EVs in the longer term, because anxiety over driving ranges is one of the main reasons why many potential buyers have not opted to buy an EV, especially in China. Some full-solid-state batteries being developed can support a driving range of more than 1,000km. China last year unveiled a plan to devote 6bn yuan ($829mn) to accelerate development of such batteries. Chinese consumers bought fewer NEVs than gasoline vehicles in January for a second straight month, while gasoline demand picked up thanks to the lunar new year holiday, when people typically drive long distances to hometowns. NEV refers to battery electric vehicles (BEVs), plug-in hybrids and fuel cell vehicles in the country. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Anglo to sell Brazilian nickel business to MMG


25/02/18
25/02/18

Anglo to sell Brazilian nickel business to MMG

Singapore, 18 February (Argus) — UK-South African mining firm Anglo American has agreed to sell its nickel assets in Brazil to Chinese firm MMG for up to $500mn as it looks to focus on copper, iron ore and crop nutrients. The sale to the Chinese company's MMG Singapore Resources arm is expected to close by September. Anglo will receive an upfront cash payment of $350mn when the deal is completed, up to $100mn in a price-linked earnout and a contingent cash payment of $50mn for the development projects, it said today. The Brazilian nickel assets covered by the deal include the Barro Alto and Codemin ferronickel operations and the Jacaré and Morro Sem Boné greenfield projects. Anglo produced 39,400t in nickel metal equivalent in 2024, down by 1.5pc on the year. It expects to produce 37,000-39,000t in 2025. Brazilian multi-metals mining group Vale is also reviewing options for its nickel mining assets, including a potential sale, as it aims to optimise its mining portfolio and increase the competitiveness of its vertically integrated nickel business. China imported 40,048t of ferronickel from Brazil in 2024, down by 36.3pc from a year earlier as Indonesian nickel pig iron (NPI) gained ground in the stainless steel sector. MMG is a subsidiary of Chinese diversified metals company Minmetals. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending


25/02/15
25/02/15

EU may trigger clause to boost defense spending

Munich, 15 February (Argus) — European Commission president Ursula von der Leyen wants to trigger an emergency clause that would allow member EU countries to significantly increase their spending on defense. She also warned that "unjust" tariffs on the EU will not go unanswered. Speaking at the Munich Security Conference on Friday, Von der Leyen said she "will propose to activate the escape clause for defense investments". Such a move would "allow member states to substantially increase their defense expenditure", she said. Von der Leyen's proposal would exempt defense from EU limits on government spending. Highly indebted EU members such as Italy and Greece have voiced support for the move, arguing that activating the escape clause would enable them to increase defense spending while avoiding other budget cuts. Fiscally conservative EU countries, including Germany, could push back against the idea. Von der Leyen's proposal comes at a sensitive time for the EU, with US president Donald Trump pressuring Europe to finance more of its own defense. Trump wants EU members of Nato to more than double military expenditure to protect themselves from potential aggression rather than leaning on Washington's support. Trump is also pushing to end the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. "Let there be no room for any doubt. I believe when it comes to European security, Europe has to do more. Europe must bring more to the table," Von der Leyen said, adding that the EU needs to increase its military spending from just below 2pc of GDP to above 3pc. The increase "will mean hundreds of billions of euros of more investment every year", she said. Tariffs will be answered Von der Leyen also reemphasized the EU's position on the recent US tariff decision, noting that tariffs act like a tax and drive inflation. "But as I've already made clear, unjustified tariffs on the European Union will not go unanswered," she said. "And let me speak plainly, we are one of the world's largest markets. We will use our tools to safeguard our economic security and interests, and we will protect our workers, our businesses and consumers at every turn," she added. Trump on 11 February imposed a 25pc tariff on all US imports of steel and aluminum effective on 12 March, although he said he would consider making an exemption for imports from Australia. US 25pc tariffs on steel and aluminum imports could result in a 3.7mn t/yr decrease in European steel exports, as the US is the second-largest export market for the bloc, European steel association Eurofer said. By Bachar Halabi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Aperam’s stainless steel deliveries fall on year in 4Q


25/02/14
25/02/14

Aperam’s stainless steel deliveries fall on year in 4Q

London, 14 February (Argus) — Luxembourg-based global stainless steel producer Aperam's stainless and electrical steel shipments fell on the year in the fourth quarter owing to a sharp contraction in demand. But its deliveries recovered on a quarter-on-quarter basis as the European market did marginally better, while Brazil recorded better than expected demand. Aperam's stainless and electrical steel shipments fell by 1.5pc year on year to 401,000t in October-December. Fourth-quarter shipments rose by 2.56pc relative to the third quarter, with full-year 2024 sales registering a 4.9pc rise to 1.626mn t. Higher 2024 shipments can be attributed to the low base of 2023 driven by downstream distributor destocking. Aperam's stainless and electrical steel segment's adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (ebitda) rose to €42mn in the fourth quarter, up from a loss of €34mn over the same period in 2023. Revenues for full-year 2024 nearly doubled to €175mn, up from €92mn in 2023. Shipments in the group's services and solutions segment rose by 9pc on the year in the fourth quarter to 169,000t, with deliveries of alloys and specialties flat on the year at 10,000t. Scrap metal shipments in Aperam's recycling and renewables segment — including scrap processor ELG and the group's Brazilian entity Aperam BioEnergia — fell by 7.4pc on the year to 312,000t, but full-year volumes rose by 6.63pc to 1.464mn t. Aperam's overall adjusted ebitda in 2024's fourth quarter more than doubled on the year to €116mn, attributed to a record-high performance of its alloys segment with together with strong results at its Recycling & Renewables division. Aperam expects ebitda in the first quarter of 2025 to be at a lower level relative to 2024's fourth quarter. The group is also expecting significantly higher net financial debt in the first quarter owing to the consolidation of Universal Stainless & Alloy Products completed in recent weeks. By Raghav Jain Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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