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Maersk warns of US east, Gulf coast ports strike

  • : Metals, Oil products, Petrochemicals
  • 25/01/02

Containership owner Maersk is warning clients that a potential port labor strike could disrupt cargo shipping operations on the US east coast and Gulf coast later this month.

A temporary agreement on wages that was struck in October between the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) and the United States Maritime Alliance (USMX) is set to expire on 15 January. The short-term agreement, which ended a brief strike, was intended to provide more time for negotiating the remaining contract issues.

"Considering the status, we strongly encourage our customers to pick up their laden containers and return empty containers at US east and Gulf coast ports before 15 January," Maesrk said on 31 December. "This proactive measure will help mitigate any potential disruptions at the terminals."

During negotiations last year, the ILA's demands included no new automation technology at US ports that would replace workers, describing this position as "non-negotiable".

US president-elect Donald Trump appeared to back the union after meeting with ILA's president and executive vice president in mid-December. "The amount of money saved [from automation] is nowhere near the distress, hurt, and harm it causes for American workers, in this case, our longshoremen," Trump said on social media.

The US president does not have direct power over union negotiations, but the president can issue executive orders affecting workers and intervene in strikes, if doing so would be in the national interest.

The current labor agreement covers approximately 25,000 workers employed in container and roll-on/roll-off operations at ports from Maine to Texas.

Movements of dry bulk cargo, such as coal and grains, are expected to be less affected by any work stoppage, though there could be side effects from the congestion of other products being rerouted to ports not affected by the strike.

Movement of crude, refined products and many petrochemicals would like be unaffected by a strike, as ILA members do not work within the private terminals that handle nearly all US dry bulk, oil, and gas exports. But some polymers that are moved by container, including polyvinyl chloride, polyethylene, and polypropylene, could be disrupted.

A segment of US steel imports could also be disrupted by the strike, as about 9pc of those imports come in via containers, according to data from Global Trade Tracker.


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25/01/31

Trump tariffs most likely to bite US east coast market

Trump tariffs most likely to bite US east coast market

Houston, 30 January (Argus) — The prospect of the US imposing 25pc tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico would most likely have the greatest impact on US Atlantic coast motor fuel markets. President Donald Trump repeated plans to impose the tariffs this weekend , although he said crude may be exempted from the plan. But a crude exemption would not matter in the case of Irving Oil's 320,000 b/d Saint John, New Brunswick, refinery, which is a regular source of gasoline and diesel to the US' upper Atlantic coast markets. The US imported roughly 595,000 b/d of oil products from Canada in October, according to the latest Energy Information Administration data, most of it bound for the Atlantic coast. New York Harbor spot market gasoline prices are currently around $2/USG, meaning a 25pc tariff on Canadian imports could up that price by as much as 50¢/USG. This could prompt buyers in New England or other East coast markets to look to other supply options. Canadian refiners could also start sending their product to west Africa or Latin America. In the US midcontinent, as much as 4.25mn b/d of US midcontinent refining capacity relies on heavy sour Canadian crudes for up to 70pc of their supplies. In theory, US midcontinent refiners could run lighter, US-produced grades. But there are relatively few pipelines serving the midcontinent with such grades and they would be much less profitable to refine compared to a pre-tariff WCS barrel. Chicago gasoline spot prices were just under $2/USG today, so a 25pc tariffs would also add 50¢/USG to prices. Chicago Buckeye Complex ultra low sulphur diesel (ULSD) prices were at $2.18/USG today while West Shore/Badger ULSD prices below that at $2.15/USG. Imports of Mexican refined products should be less of an issue as Mexico sent only 180,000 b/d of products to the US in October, according to the latest data. Counter tariffs on crude and oil products by Mexico or Canada would also be an issue for US refiners and blenders. US refiner Valero said today that the tariffs could cause a 10pc cut in refinery runs depending on how long the tariffs go and how fast they are implemented. By Dave Ruisard and Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US PVC producers weigh cutbacks on lower margins


25/01/30
25/01/30

US PVC producers weigh cutbacks on lower margins

Houston, 30 January (Argus) — US polyvinyl chloride (PVC) producers are weighing operation cutbacks in February after grappling with deteriorating sales margins underpinned by elevated feedstock costs and stagnant end-product values. PVC producer profitability eroded in January as prices for key feedstock ethylene leapt to four-month highs by mid-January, various sources said. Ethylene is a main component in ethylene dichloride (EDC) manufacturing, which is then cracked into vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) before being converted into PVC. Some domestic PVC production is fully integrated and feature ethylene crackers, but many producers still purchase spot or contract ethylene and remain exposed to price fluctuations in the spot market. Spot US ethylene prices to-date in January have averaged 18pc higher than in December and 66pc higher than in January 2024, according to Argus data. Meanwhile, PVC spot values in Houston appreciated at a much slower rate between December and January, climbing by 1pc. Elevated ethylene spot prices are expected to persist in the near-term, maintaining pressure on PVC margins, due to planned maintenance and recovery from unplanned shutdowns in mid-January stemming from sub-freezing temperatures that gripped the US Gulf coast. The expectation for ethylene values to persist at current levels is anticipated to result in PVC production cutbacks, according to several exporters. Some producers, though, remain incentivized to maintain operating rates after bringing online expanded capacity last year. Formosa and Shintech collectively brought more than 500,000 metric tonne (t)/year of new PVC capacity on line during the second half of 2024. The ramp up in added capacity coincided with increasing trade barriers into key offshore destinations, which is expected to keep more volumes within the US while consumer demand outlooks this year remain cautiously optimistic . US buyers are unsure if domestic demand will be strong enough in 2025 to absorb additional volume, placing a ceiling on upward price direction. Exporters are even less optimistic operating in a global market increasingly defined by anti-dumping duties and plentiful Chinese supply. Domestic contract negotiations have highlighted the contrast between higher operating costs and a well-supplied PVC market. Producers cited higher operating costs to argue against lower contract negotiations in January, especially after prices fell in October and November. Several producers announced increases for February volumes, with some rising as high as 5¢/lb. But buyers said current demand does not support increases and instead view price hikes as to recapture lost margin. While producers sought price stability for January monthly contracts, they are also competing to lock in volume commitments through 2025 with aggressive annual contract discussions. Producers are trying to establish a price floor domestically by limiting price erosion among already-low-priced customers, but the additional capacity has made steeper price concessions difficult to avoid in other instances. One evolving upstream market variable is a firmer US Gulf coast spot export caustic soda market, which could encourage producers to maintain current rates and delay any cuts. Integrated PVC producers also manufacture chlorine and caustic soda through chlor-alkali units. Caustic soda is a co-product of chlorine — the latter a key feedstock in EDC production — and price swings in chlorine or caustic soda values can influence production decisions for PVC manufacturers. Caustic soda export prices from the US Gulf coast this week rose by $10/dry metric tonne (dmt) from the prior week and remains 8pc higher than the same week last year, according to Argus data. Tightened spot supply availability is a tailwind for spot values in the near-term, but values remain 24pc lower than peak levels in September when caustic soda prices last offset tighter PVC margins. By Aaron May and Connor Hyde Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tariffs could cut refinery throughput by 10pc: Valero


25/01/30
25/01/30

Tariffs could cut refinery throughput by 10pc: Valero

Houston, 30 January (Argus) — US refiner Valero is in a strong position to find alternative sources of crude if the US imposes a 25pc tariff on Canadian imports, but the switch could still cut throughputs by 10pc, the company said today. Valero's refining footprint in the US Gulf coast allows it to source feedstocks from around the world, but there is a point where a limit on heavy feedstocks like those from Canada could affect production of refined products, said chief operating officer Gary Simmons during a fourth quarter earnings call. "You might see a 10pc change in throughputs" depending on how long the tariffs go and how fast they are implemented, he said. Valero operates 1.6mn b/d of refining capacity in the US. President Donald Trump has threatened to impose 25pc tariffs on all imports from Canada and Mexico as soon as 1 February. But commerce secretary nominee Howard Lutnick said earlier this week that the tariffs may not be imposed if the countries cooperate on border security. Trump frequently makes the case that foreign suppliers are solely responsible for paying tariffs, while it is actually US importers that pay the tariffs. In the case of Canadian and Mexican crude, the US refiners that buy from those countries would pay a tax on the value of crude imports. Whether the price of Canadian crude falls by a sufficient amount to offset the 25pc tariff would depend on the market power of individual US refiners and Canadian producers, as well as actions by the Alberta government, according to a recent report by the Congressional Research Service. Valero does not have any details on how the tariffs would be applied and will just "have to deal with it when it comes up," Simmons said. The company reported record high throughputs of heavy sour crude in the fourth quarter of 2024. Heavy sour crude runs averaged 608,000 b/d, compared with 485,00 b/d in the same period in 2023. The increase showed the refining system's flexibility and the company's ability to secure and process the most economic crude oils, Valero said. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Marine biodiesel sales drop in Rotterdam port 4Q 2024


25/01/30
25/01/30

Marine biodiesel sales drop in Rotterdam port 4Q 2024

London, 30 January (Argus) — Marine biodiesel demand fell in the final quarter of last year in the port of Rotterdam, while LNG sales picked up ahead of the introduction of FuelEU Maritime regulations at the turn of the new year. Sales of marine biodiesel blends in Rotterdam fell by 13.8pc on the quarter and just under 50pc on the year in October-December. This contrasts with an increase of about 62pc on the quarter for marine biodiesel blend sales in Singapore, pointing to a continued trend of voluntary demand shifting east of Suez. Participants reported this trend throughout last year, with more competitive prices for the blends in Singapore. Argus assessed B24 dob Singapore, a blend comprising very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome), at an average discount of $10.58/t against B30 Advanced Fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0 dob ARA in the final quarter of 2024. B24 dob Singapore was marked at an average discount of $119.34/t against B30 Ucome dob ARA. Consequently, shipowners seeking to deliver proof of sustainability documentation to their customers, to offset the latter's scope 3 emissions, shifted their marine biodiesel demand to Singapore when feasible. FuelEU Maritime regulations, which came into effect in January and require a reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from vessels every year, will probably incentivise regulatory-driven demand for marine biodiesel blends. But the regional price dynamics between ARA and Singapore will probably remain relevant to regulatory-driven demand as well, as energy consumed from blends bunkered in Singapore can be mass balanced to be fully accounted for under the scope of FuelEU Maritime. The pooling mechanism within FuelEU Maritime would also allow for vessels operating on the east-west route to potentially utilise compliance generated from marine biodiesel blends bunkered in Singapore across other vessels that operate solely in Europe. LNG sales picked up by 19.5pc on the quarter and soared by 76.6pc on the year ahead of the introduction of FuelEU Maritime regulations at the start of 2025. Fossil LNG, depending on the type of engine used on board, can help shipowners with LNG-capable vessels meet their FuelEU compliance targets for 2025. The Gate LNG import terminal is planning to start operations at a second jetty for LNG bunker vessels in 2028, pointing to expectations of greater demand. Bio-LNG sales were reported for the first time in 2024 since small volumes in 2021, ahead of FuelEU Maritime regulations. Conventional bunker fuel sales comprising VLSFO, ultra-low sulphur fuel oil (ULSFO), marine gasoil (MGO), marine diesel oil (MDO), and high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) dipped by 4.7pc on the quarter but rose by 17.7pc on the year in October-December. VLSFO sales alone were marked higher than HSFO's for the first time at the port since the last three months of 2023. Total VLSFO volumes traded in the fourth quarter came to nearly 811,000t, down by 3pc from the previous quarter, while HSFO sales totalled 780,500t, down by 14pc. Market participants attribute this retail drop-off to considerable local HSFO supply-side constraints at the end of 2024. Thin volumes produced by CDUs at refineries in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub meant imported volumes were needed to cover shortfalls. Refineries cut throughput runs, reducing residual byproduct output. Biomethanol sales dropped by over half on the quarter, under pressure from thin trading activity, but were 86pc higher on the year in the final quarter of 2024. Shipping giant Maersk has signed several letters of intent for the procurement of biomethanol and e-methanol from producers such as Equinor , Proman and OCI Global . But the European Commission's proposal to exclude automatic certification of biomethane and biomethane-based fuels for the Union Database for Biofuels if relying on gas that has been transported through grids outside the EU, could slow some negotiations for 2025 imports of biomethanol of US origin into the EU. By Hussein Al-Khalisy, Bob Wigin and Evelina Lungu Rotterdam bunker sales t Fuel 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 q-o-q% y-o-y% VLSFO & ULSFO 1,004,398 1,045,774 847,862 -4 18.5 HSFO 780,437 906,737 643,218 -13.9 21.3 MGO/MDO 395,903 334,752 361,585 18.3 9.5 Conventional total 2,180,738 2,287,263 1,852,665 -4.7 17.7 Biofuel blends 118,201 137,175 233,108 -13.8 -49.3 LNG (m³) 263,068 220,120 148,933 19.5 76.6 bio-LNG (m³) 575 0 0 na na biomethanol 930 2,066 500 -55 86 Port of Rotterdam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US growth slowed to 2.3pc in 4Q


25/01/30
25/01/30

US growth slowed to 2.3pc in 4Q

Houston, 30 January (Argus) — US economic growth slowed in the fourth quarter as falling private investment and exports offset gains in consumer spending. Growth in gross domestic product (GDP) slowed to a 2.3pc annual pace in the fourth quarter, down from 3.1pc in the third quarter, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reported Thursday. Consumer spending in the fourth quarter rose to a 4.2pc annual pace, up from 3.7pc in the prior quarter and the highest rate since the first quarter of 2023. Spending on goods rose by 6.6pc from a year earlier and spending on services rose by 3.1pc. Private investment fell by 5.6pc following an annual gain of 0.8pc in the third quarter. Residential investment rose at a 5.3pc annual pace after a 4.3pc drop in the prior quarter. Spending on equipment fell by 7.8pc after gaining 11pc in the prior quarter. Government spending and investment slowed to a 2.5pc annual gain from 5.1pc in the prior quarter. Defense spending rose by 3.3pc after climbing at a 13pc pace in the third quarter. Net exports in the fourth quarter fell by 0.8pc from a year earlier after a gain of 9.6pc in the prior quarter. Net imports fell on the year by 0.8pc. US economic growth for full-year 2024 slowed to 2.8pc from 2.9pc in 2023. GDP in 2022 rose by 2.5pc. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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