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Brazil’s inflation decelerates to 4.83pc in December

  • : Agriculture, Electricity, Oil products
  • 25/01/10

Brazil's headline inflation decelerated to 4.83pc at the end of 2024, as declines in power costs were only partially offset by gains in fuel and food, according to government statistics agency IBGE.

The consumer price index (CPI) slowed from 4.87pc in November and compared with 4.76pc in October. The year-end print compared with 4.62pc in December 2023, but was down from 5.79pc in December 2022.

Food and beverage costs rose by an annual 7.69pc in December, accounting for much of the monthly increase, following a 7.63pc annual gain in November.

Beef costs increased by an annual 20.84pc in December following a 15.43pc annual gain for the prior month.

Higher beef costs in the domestic market are related to the Brazilian's real depreciation to the US dollar, with the Brazilian real depreciating by 27.4pc to the US dollar between 31 December 2023 and the same date in 2024. Still, beef prices decelerated by 5.26pc in December alone, down from 8pc in November.

Soybean oil rose by 29.21pc over the year, an increase of 1.64 percentage points from November.

Fuel prices rose by an annual 10.09pc in December after an 8.78pc gain in November. Motor fuel costs grew by 0.7pc in December, compared with a 0.15pc drop in the prior month, thanks to higher gasoline prices. Diesel prices increased by 0.66pc in the 12-month period, while it decreased by 2.25pc in November.

Gasoline prices — the major individual contributor to the annual high, according to IBGE — rose by 9.71pc in December from 9.12pc in the prior month. Still, that was lower than in December 2023, when the annual inflation for gasoline stood at 11pc.

Power costs in December contracted by an annual 0.37pc in December, as improvements in power generation allowed for removal of a surcharge from customer bills, after a gain of 3.46pc the prior month. In November, Brazil faced lower river levels at its hydroelectric plants after a period of severe droughts.

Brazil's central bank is targeting CPI of 3pc with a margin of 1.5 percentage point above or below.

Brazil's central bank in December raised its target rate to 12.25pc from 11.25pc as the real's depreciation accelerated. It also signaled it is likely to increase the rate to 14.25pc by March.

Monthly inflation accelerated to 0.52pc in December from 0.39pc in November. But the rate was lower than in December 2023, when it stood at 0.56pc.


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25/07/11

US to loan 1mn bls crude to Louisiana refinery: Update

US to loan 1mn bls crude to Louisiana refinery: Update

Adds details on crude quality issues from Mars pipeline. Washington, 11 July (Argus) — ExxonMobil will borrow up to 1mn bl of crude from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) for its 522,500 b/d refinery in Baton Rouge, Louisiana, in response to a disruption to offshore supply of crude for the facility. ExxonMobil warned suppliers last week of "serious quality issues" related to elevated levels of zinc in crude supplied by the Mars pipeline, which brings crude from a series of deepwater fields in the Gulf of Mexico to shore, according to market sources. In letters to suppliers ExxonMobil said the crude quality issues were "... significantly affecting the operations at our Baton Rouge Refinery," and that it would stop accepting Mars crude "... in an effort to avoid further damages." The US Department of Energy said today it had approved the loan to ExxonMobil, called an exchange, to ensure a stable supply of transportation fuels in Louisiana and the US Gulf coast. The agency said the crude loan will support ExxonMobil's "restoration of refinery operations that were reduced due to an offshore supply disruption." Chevron, one of the producers that contributes crude to the Mars pipeline, said it has "identified a potential contributing source to the Mars crude composition changes, which is associated with the start-up of a new well." Chevron said it was working to resolve the matter and does not expect it to affect current production guidance. In April Chevron started production from a new deepwater field , Ballymore, which ties into the Mars system. Shell, which owns a majority stake in the Mars pipeline, did not respond to a request for comment. Mars premium to WTI falls The August Mars premium to Nymex-quality WTI has dropped nearly $1/bl in the last week. The August Argus Mars volume-weighted average assessment on Thursday was a 9¢/bl premium to the Nymex-quality WTI Cushing benchmark, nearly $1/bl lower than a week earlier. Mars averaged a 63¢/bl premium for the August trade month through Thursday, but was at a $1.40-$1.50/bl premium at the start of the trade month. The August trade month started 26 June and ends 25 July. The SPR, which consists of four underground storage sites in Texas and Louisiana, held 403mn bl of crude as of 4 July. Under the exchange announced today ExxonMobil will eventually return the borrowed crude — along with additional crude as payment for the loan — to the SPR. The SPR's Bayou Choctaw site connects to refineries in Baton Rouge through the Capline pipeline. In 2021, the Department of Energy authorized a loan of up to 3mn bl from the SPR to ExxonMobil's refinery in Baton Rouge to address disruptions related to Hurricane Ida. ExxonMobil was initially scheduled to return the crude in 2022, but that deadline has been repeatedly pushed back, most recently to require a return of the crude by March 2026. By Chris Knight, Eunice Bridges and Amanda Smith Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Congress resumes push to cut US shipping pollution


25/07/11
25/07/11

Congress resumes push to cut US shipping pollution

New York, 11 July (Argus) — US lawmakers reintroduced two bills Thursday to slash greenhouse gas emissions from the shipping industry. Senators Sheldon Whitehouse (D-Rhode Island) and Alex Padilla (D-California), along with US House of Representatives members Doris Matsui (D-California) and Kevin Mullin (D-California), reintroduced the International Maritime Pollution Accountability Act, which would impose pollution fees on large ships calling at US ports. The bill targets vessels over 5,000 gross tonnes with a $150/t fee on carbon, plus fees on nitrogen oxides at $6.30/lb, sulfur dioxide at $18/lb, and fine particulate matter at $38.90/lb. Ship operators would only pay the carbon fee if no equivalent global measure from the International Maritime Organization (IMO) is in place. Revenue would go toward modernizing the Jones Act fleet with low-emission ships, electrifying shipbuilding, and addressing pollution at US ports. The group also reintroduced the Clean Shipping Act of 2025, led in the House by Representatives Robert Garcia (D-California). It directs the Environmental Protection Agency to impose carbon intensity standards for marine fuels, targeting 30pc lifecycle CO2-equivalent emissions reduction from 2030, 58pc from 2034, 83pc from 2040, and 100pc from 2050. It also requires all ships at berth or anchor in US ports to emit zero emissions by 2035. The lawmakers say the proposed bills also close a major loophole. Marine shipping is largely exempt from fuel taxes unlike other transport sectors. They say the plan will also support US manufacturing and help reduce the US trade deficit. The International Maritime Pollution Accountability Act is endorsed by environmental and advocacy groups including Friends of the Earth, Sierra Club and Ocean Conservancy, among others. The original bills were introduced in 2023 and expired without being enacted. The bills follow the IMO's decision in April to adopt a net-zero framework and a global carbon price proposal for shipping. The US delegation was absent from IMO's April meeting, issuing a statement that "President Trump has made it clear that the US will not accept any international environmental agreement that unduly or unfairly burdens the US or the interests of the American people ." By Stefka Wechsler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

USDA boosts soy view on biofuel policy changes


25/07/11
25/07/11

USDA boosts soy view on biofuel policy changes

St Louis, 11 July (Argus) — The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) today raised its projected US soybean crush for the 2025-26 marketing year following recent policy changes that are expected to increase domestic soybean oil demand for biofuel production. US soybean crush is expected to rise to a record 69.1mn metric tonnes (t) in the 2025-26 marketing year, the USDA said Friday in its monthly World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (Wasde) report, up by 1.36mn t from the June report. The latest forecast marks a 5pc increase from volume projected for the 2024-25 marketing year. The higher outlook for soybean crush was driven by a substantial increase in anticipated soybean oil use for biofuel production, which the USDA places at 7.03mn t for the marketing year ahead, up by 27pc from the volume expected for the current marketing year. The increased biofuel use outlook follows US policy changes that significantly strengthen support for biofuels made from domestically produced feedstocks through changes to the 45Z biofuels tax credit and Renewable Identification Number credits generated through the Renewable Fuel Standard. The US is also proposing to require record biofuel blending into the US fuel supply over the next two years, including unexpectedly strong quotas for biomass-based diesel. With the increase in soybean crush, USDA expects domestic soybean oil production will rise to a record 13.6mn t in 2025-26, up by 4.1pc from the current marketing year. Additionally, the USDA revised higher its expectation for soybean oil imports in 2025-26 to 200,000t, up by 13pc from the current marketing year. Following an elevated export rate over the first half of the current marketing year, US soybean oil exports are projected to collapse in 2025-26, down by 73pc from the current marketing year to 318,000t. The reduction in exports, in combination with increased supply, is projected to exceed the gains in biofuel demand, increasing stocks to 758,000t by the end of the 2025-26 marketing year, up by 15pc from the inventory level projected for the end of 2024-25. Soybean meal supplies swell The jump in soybean oil demand is as also expected to result in a record level of US soybean meal production in 2025-26, up 4.5pc from 2024-25 to 54.3mn t, according to USDA. Both domestic use and exports of soybean meal are projected higher for the next marketing year following the increased supply outlook. US soybean meal exports are projected to reach 17mn t, up 7.5pc from 2024-25, while US soybean meal domestic use is projected to rise by 2.8pc to 37.9mn t. Soybean mean stocks are projected to increase as well, reaching 431,000t by the end of 2025-26, up 5.6pc from the level projected for the end of the 2024-25 marketing year. By Ryan Koory July 2025 USDA projections 2025-26 Chg from Jun 2024-25 Chg from Prior MY U.S. soybean oil supply and use ( mn t ) Supply -Beginning stocks 0.66 - 0.70 - -Production 13.59 0.27 13.06 - --Extraction ratio (pc) 19.67 0.00 19.83 - -Imports 0.20 0.07 0.18 -0.05 Total supply 14.46 0.34 13.95 -0.05 Use -Domestic disappearance 13.38 0.73 12.11 -0.14 --Biofuel 7.03 0.73 5.56 -0.39 --Food, feed and other Industrial 6.35 - 6.55 0.25 -Exports 0.32 -0.45 1.18 0.09 Total use 13.70 0.27 13.29 -0.05 -Ending stocks 0.76 0.06 0.66 - -Stocks-to-use (pc) 5.53 0.36 4.95 0.02 U.S. soybean meal supply and use ( mn t ) Supply -Beginning stocks 0.41 - 0.41 - -Production 54.30 1.04 51.98 - --Extraction ratio (pc) 78.54 -0.04 78.92 - -Imports 0.59 - 0.66 0.09 Total supply 55.29 1.04 53.05 0.09 Use -Domestic disappearance 37.90 0.41 36.85 0.09 -Exports 16.96 0.64 15.79 - Total use 54.86 1.04 52.64 0.09 -Ending stocks 0.43 - 0.41 - -Stocks-to-use (pc) 0.79 -0.02 0.78 -0.00 October-September markeing year — USDA, Argus Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump Brazil tariff threat concerns US beef importers


25/07/11
25/07/11

Trump Brazil tariff threat concerns US beef importers

Sao Paulo, 11 July (Argus) — US president Donald Trump's threat to apply a 50pc tariff on Brazilian imports was not welcomed by US beef importers, Brazilian beef exports association ABIEC's president Roberto Perosa said. Perosa said while meeting with around 50 US companies that import beef from Brazil this week he discussed the possible economic effects from the threatened tariffs , which could raise prices that he said used to be beneficial for American consumers. "It's a damaging decision with no technical basis in [the companies'] perspective," he said. Brazil beef imports into the US in April were nearly five times higher than imports from a year earlier, but they dropped in May and June due to other US tariffs . The US has been the second-largest buyer of Brazilian beef since 2022, with almost 230,000 metric tonnes (t) imported last year. The US accounted for 8pc of Brazil's beef exports in 2024, only behind China with 46pc, according to Netherlands-based investment bank Rabobank. Brazil, the world's largest meat exporter, shipped a record 2.9mn t of beef in 2024, a 26pc increase from a year before, according to ABIEC. Open gates The World Organisation for Animal Heath (WOAH)'s May decision to declare Brazil free from the highly contagious foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) affecting livestock without vaccinations may allow access to new markets and boost exports , according to the government. Brazil has opened its beef market to 19 countries so far, according to ministry of agriculture and cattle raising's trading and international affairs secretary Luis Rua. The last countries to open their markets to Brazilian beef were El Salvador and the Bahamas, according to the ministry. By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

DOE to halt wind transmission line: US senator


25/07/11
25/07/11

DOE to halt wind transmission line: US senator

Houston, 11 July (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration has pledged to halt an 800-mile transmission line designed to deliver wind power from Kansas to eastern states, according to a US senator. US energy secretary Chris Wright has said he "will be putting a stop" to the Grain Belt Express transmission line, senator Josh Hawley (R-Missouri) said on Thursday via the X social media platform. Hawley has made repeated calls for the Department of Energy (DOE) to cancel a $4.9bn conditional loan awarded to the project in the waning days of former president Joe Biden's administration. The senator has called the project an "elitist land grab harming Missouri farmers and ranchers". Whether Wright pledged to rescind the loan or take other action to stop work on Grain Belt Express was not immediately clear from Hawley's statement. Neither the senator's office nor DOE immediately responded to requests for additional information. Hawley's statement is "bizarre", according to Invenergy, the Chicago-based developer behind the project. The company said that the transmission line has already received approvals from all four states that it will traverse, acquired 1,500 agreements with landowners tied to construction and announced "significant" supply chain agreements for materials sourced domestically. "Senator Hawley is attempting to kill the largest transmission infrastructure project in US history, which is already approved by four states and is aligned with the president's energy dominance agenda," the company said. The Grain Belt Express would deliver wind power from Kansas to converter stations in Missouri and Indiana, with the Missouri station connecting to grids overseen by the Associated Electric Cooperative and Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO), while the Indiana station links with the PJM Interconnection. Invenergy plans to build the project in two phases, with the first delivering 2,500MW into Missouri and the second ferrying another 2,500MW to the PJM region, which includes the District of Columbia and 13 states in the Midwest and mid-Atlantic. DOE in November 2024 awarded the project a conditional loan of up to $4.9bn to help finance the initial stage as part of Biden's larger push to decarbonize the electricity sector. Invenergy intends to start construction on the first phase next year. Ultimately, the line would supply 15mn MWh/yr to Missouri, with 60pc of the capacity allocated to MISO and the remainder to the Associated Electric Cooperative. Another 15mn MWh/yr would flow into the PJM markets. Altogether, the line would supply enough electricity to cover the demand of more than 2.8mn households. Landowner groups in Missouri have long targeted the Grain Belt Express, but have failed to stymie the project through a challenge to its use of eminent domain . Opponents have since continued their efforts against the project, and Missouri attorney general Andrew Bailey, a Republican, last week called on state utility regulators to rescind the line's permit on grounds that Invenergy relied on "deceptive" information to secure its approval. By Patrick Zemanek Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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