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Brazil's Bndes grants R480mn to ethanol producer

  • : Agriculture, Biofuels, Electricity
  • 25/01/14

Brazil's Bndes development bank approved R480mn ($79mn) for sugar and ethanol producer CMAA to increase biofuel production in the state of Minas Gerais.

The bank will grant R220mn from its Climate Fund to raise the private-sector company's anhydrous ethanol output in its Vale do Pontal sugar and ethanol unit, in Limeira do Oeste city, by around 1,470 b/d. The plant will be able to produce up to 3,650 b/d.

With new investments, the Vale do Pontal plant will process 4mn metric tonnes (t) of sugarcane/crop, up from 2.7mn t/crop previously, producing hydrous ethanol, raw sugar and electric power for the Brazilian domestic market.

The Climate Fund will be also used to double CMAA's power generation to 68MW.

The remaining R260mn will be taken from Bndes' services and machinery program to modernize existing equipment and buy new agricultural machines. CMAA's Vale do Pontal, Vale do Tijuco and Canapolis units are expected to use R50mn, R160mn and R50mn, respectively.

These resources can be allocated to buy, sell or produce machines, industrial systems or technological and automation goods, as well as hiring national services and machine imports, Bndes said.

The company will also be able to increase issuance of Cbio carbon credits, following the rise in ethanol output.


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25/01/31

Trump tariffs create risks for US ag exports

Trump tariffs create risks for US ag exports

St Louis, 31 January (Argus) — New US tariffs on Chinese and Mexican imports could lead to disruptions in US corn and soybean sales to those countries, creating substantial risks for US agriculture markets. China and Mexico are the two largest purchasers of US produced corn and soybeans, collectively accounting for 48pc of US corn exports and 61pc of US soybean exports since 2019, according to US Department of Agriculture (USDA) data. With US president Donald Trump's plans of a 25pc tariff placed on US imports from Mexico, and a 10pc tariff place on imports from China to be enacted on 1 February, the future of those trade flows could by threatened by retaliatory tariffs. In 2018, during Trump's first term, similar tariffs placed on China resulted in counter-tariffs on US agricultural exports and a substantial reduction in trade. Over 2018, US exports of corn and soybeans to China dropped by 74pc from the prior year, according to USDA data. For the recently harvested 2024 US corn and soybean crops, some of this risk has been mitigated by higher-than-normal exports ahead of Trump's presidency. US exports of corn reached 20.9mn t through 23 January of the 2024-25 marketing year, 29pc ahead of last year's export pace. Similarly, US soybean exports reached 33mn t through 23 January, 21pc ahead of year ago levels. But there is still a substantial amount of the two crops that has yet to be shipped. As of 23 January, 2.4mn t of US soybeans purchased by China had yet to be exported to the country. Mexican buyers had 1.3mn t of US soybeans and an additional 7.9mn t of US corn yet to be exported. These purchases could be canceled as a result of tariffs, placing this supply back into the US market. The risks also extend to the volumes of the two crops yet to be sold for export. According to USDA projections, the US will export 62.2mn t of corn and 49.7mn t of soybeans over the 2024-25 marketing year. To reach these levels, the US will need to export an additional 22.4mn t of corn and 9.7mn t of soybeans. Historically, China and Mexico would be viewed as the primary purchasers of the volumes. By Ryan Koory Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

DeepSeek undermines AI power demand forecasts


25/01/31
25/01/31

DeepSeek undermines AI power demand forecasts

Gas and power suppliers predicting an AI demand boom hope that greater efficiencies could still underpin their plans through wider use, writes Julian Hast New York, 31 January (Argus) — Unexpected efficiency achievements by Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) firm DeepSeek have cast a shadow over a bullish narrative on booming US electricity demand in the coming decade to power data centres running AI software. Share prices for US independent power producers, natural gas producers and gas pipeline companies fell sharply at the beginning of the week as investors feared DeepSeek's achievement implied significantly less electricity might ultimately be needed to run and train AI models than has been expected. This greater efficiency "calls into question the significant electric demand projections for the US", as the investment case for independent power producers and integrated utilities is "dependent on data centres", US bank Jefferies says. DeepSeek's apparent ability to achieve comparable results to some major US AI companies using far less computing power — and so far less electricity — may also be bad news for what is widely expected to be the main fuel source to generate incremental power for AI this decade — natural gas. EQT, a leading US gas producer, has called growing power demand from planned data centres the "cornerstone" to its "natural gas bull case". Large US gas pipeline companies such as Williams, operator of the Transcontinental pipeline, have also touted recent forecasts showing surging demand for gas-fired power, as greater gas generation would require greater pipeline capacity to move those incremental volumes from wellhead to generator. Even the US oil majors are getting in on the act. Chevron announced this week a team-up with investment firm Engine No 1 and energy firm GE Vernova to build gas-fired generation plants to power data centres. DeepSeek's achievement could even cast doubt on the investment case for nuclear power, which has been recast as a silver bullet for US technology giants looking to secure zero-emission electricity to enable AI development. Revise the revisions? News of DeepSeek's efficiency achievements are a shock to prevailing expectations for surging US power demand in the coming decade, when those expectations have already been substantially revised over the past year, following decades of stagnant power demand. PJM, the largest US grid operator, on 24 January released a report showing significant upward revisions in its peak seasonal power demand projections. Peak summer power demand in PJM's territory in the mid-Atlantic was projected to surge to 210GW in 2035 and 229GW in 2045, substantially steeper than PJM's load forecast just one year earlier, which showed peak summer power demand rising to 177GW in 2034 and 191GW in 2039. Consultancy firm McKinsey recently forecast US data centre power demand to reach 606TWh by 2030, up from 147TWh in 2023. Under this scenario, data centres at the end of the decade would comprise 12pc of total US power demand. If efficiency gains in AI reduce power demand as much as some investors fear, those big forecasts might require big revisions. But efficiency improvements can go two ways — they can reduce demand for fuel, or simply increase output. In the case of AI, more efficient operations could be exploited to accelerate the development of more powerful models — using the same amount of power that was previously expected, but to greater effect. That latter explanation is why, "despite uncertainties", data analytics firm FactSet's head of power markets Matthew Hoza tells Argus he remains "bullish" on power demand growth in the coming years. "With AI's increasing integration into company tech stacks and its growing presence in daily life through AI agents, we anticipate continued growth in AI adoption and the resulting power needs," Hoza says. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Study calls for e-fuels bunker subsidies, GHG tax


25/01/30
25/01/30

Study calls for e-fuels bunker subsidies, GHG tax

New York, 30 January (Argus) — E-fuel subsidies and a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions tax is needed for e-fuels to compete as a bunkering fuel before 2044, said a study by maritime consultancy University Maritime Advisory Services (Umas) and the UCL Energy Institute. The study found that adding a multiplier of the GHG intensity credit given to e-fuels could help to make e-fuel use financially competitive, but it would have to be set at high levels at the start. Using a multiplier of two, where one ship running on zero emissions e-fuel could generate credits to offset three other similar ships operating on conventional fossil fuels, was not able to make e-fuels more competitive before 2041. The multiplier would have to be set initially at 15 in 2030, falling to 10 by 2035, to enable the competitiveness of e-fuels, concludes the study. Additionally, levying a GHG tax or fee of $150-$300/t of CO2-equivalent would also make e-fuels more competitive. A tax of $30-$120/t CO2e is close to the aggregate level of subsidies, and would not create a sustained promotion of e-fuels. Under the current marine fuel standards, a combination of fossil fuels, including LNG, biofuels and carbon capture and storage systems would be most competitive up until 2036. After, blue ammonia dual fuel ships would be the lowest-cost solution until 2044. Ships that were more competitive from 2027-2035 would have at least 25pc higher operating cost from 2040 onwards. Thus, if ship owners order newbuild vessels to maximize short-term competitiveness, the sector is at a "major risk of technology lock-in" and will not be as cost-effective for reaching net zero by 2050. The study models a 2027-build, 14,000 twenty-foot equivalent unit container ship. The vessel sails between Asia and Latin America using different marine fuels such as bio-methanol, e-methanol, LNG, bio-LNG, e-LNG, bio-marine gasoil (MGO), e-MGO and very low-sulphur fuel oil. By Stefka Wechsler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EIB's transition, climate finance hit €50.7bn in 2024


25/01/30
25/01/30

EIB's transition, climate finance hit €50.7bn in 2024

London, 30 January (Argus) — The European Investment Bank (EIB) lifted its finance for the energy transition, climate action and environmental sustainability to a record €50.7bn ($52.8bn) in 2024 — 57pc of the bank's total financing last year. The EIB lifted its "green" financing by 14pc on the year . The bank signed €88.8bn in new financing in 2024, with the majority — €68.2bn — going to EU members. The projects financed in 2024 are expected to result in 21GWh of renewable power generation, as well as 107,370km of installed or upgraded power lines, the EIB said. The bank has an existing target for more than 50pc of its total annual financing to go to climate action and environmental sustainability by 2025. It surpassed this goal in 2021, 2022 and 2023, with 51pc, 58pc and 60pc, respectively, going towards climate action in those years. The EIB also aims to support €1 trillion of climate and sustainability investment by 2030 and remains "well on track" to reach this goal, it said. The EIB is the EU's lending arm, owned by EU member states. It is classed as a multilateral development bank (MDB). Countries often call on MDBs to do more to address climate change, as the institutions have significant leveraging power. The bank expects to lift its signed financing to €95bn this year, with plans to support renewable energy, grids and interconnectors, green hydrogen and storage and reduced emissions in heavy industry. "Far-reaching technological changes, the increasing costs of climate change and demand for more investment in defence, housing and global needs are the expected focus for 2025 to 2027," the EIB said today. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Marine biodiesel sales drop in Rotterdam port 4Q 2024


25/01/30
25/01/30

Marine biodiesel sales drop in Rotterdam port 4Q 2024

London, 30 January (Argus) — Marine biodiesel demand fell in the final quarter of last year in the port of Rotterdam, while LNG sales picked up ahead of the introduction of FuelEU Maritime regulations at the turn of the new year. Sales of marine biodiesel blends in Rotterdam fell by 13.8pc on the quarter and just under 50pc on the year in October-December. This contrasts with an increase of about 62pc on the quarter for marine biodiesel blend sales in Singapore, pointing to a continued trend of voluntary demand shifting east of Suez. Participants reported this trend throughout last year, with more competitive prices for the blends in Singapore. Argus assessed B24 dob Singapore, a blend comprising very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) and used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome), at an average discount of $10.58/t against B30 Advanced Fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) 0 dob ARA in the final quarter of 2024. B24 dob Singapore was marked at an average discount of $119.34/t against B30 Ucome dob ARA. Consequently, shipowners seeking to deliver proof of sustainability documentation to their customers, to offset the latter's scope 3 emissions, shifted their marine biodiesel demand to Singapore when feasible. FuelEU Maritime regulations, which came into effect in January and require a reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from vessels every year, will probably incentivise regulatory-driven demand for marine biodiesel blends. But the regional price dynamics between ARA and Singapore will probably remain relevant to regulatory-driven demand as well, as energy consumed from blends bunkered in Singapore can be mass balanced to be fully accounted for under the scope of FuelEU Maritime. The pooling mechanism within FuelEU Maritime would also allow for vessels operating on the east-west route to potentially utilise compliance generated from marine biodiesel blends bunkered in Singapore across other vessels that operate solely in Europe. LNG sales picked up by 19.5pc on the quarter and soared by 76.6pc on the year ahead of the introduction of FuelEU Maritime regulations at the start of 2025. Fossil LNG, depending on the type of engine used on board, can help shipowners with LNG-capable vessels meet their FuelEU compliance targets for 2025. The Gate LNG import terminal is planning to start operations at a second jetty for LNG bunker vessels in 2028, pointing to expectations of greater demand. Bio-LNG sales were reported for the first time in 2024 since small volumes in 2021, ahead of FuelEU Maritime regulations. Conventional bunker fuel sales comprising VLSFO, ultra-low sulphur fuel oil (ULSFO), marine gasoil (MGO), marine diesel oil (MDO), and high-sulphur fuel oil (HSFO) dipped by 4.7pc on the quarter but rose by 17.7pc on the year in October-December. VLSFO sales alone were marked higher than HSFO's for the first time at the port since the last three months of 2023. Total VLSFO volumes traded in the fourth quarter came to nearly 811,000t, down by 3pc from the previous quarter, while HSFO sales totalled 780,500t, down by 14pc. Market participants attribute this retail drop-off to considerable local HSFO supply-side constraints at the end of 2024. Thin volumes produced by CDUs at refineries in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp (ARA) hub meant imported volumes were needed to cover shortfalls. Refineries cut throughput runs, reducing residual byproduct output. Biomethanol sales dropped by over half on the quarter, under pressure from thin trading activity, but were 86pc higher on the year in the final quarter of 2024. Shipping giant Maersk has signed several letters of intent for the procurement of biomethanol and e-methanol from producers such as Equinor , Proman and OCI Global . But the European Commission's proposal to exclude automatic certification of biomethane and biomethane-based fuels for the Union Database for Biofuels if relying on gas that has been transported through grids outside the EU, could slow some negotiations for 2025 imports of biomethanol of US origin into the EU. By Hussein Al-Khalisy, Bob Wigin and Evelina Lungu Rotterdam bunker sales t Fuel 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 q-o-q% y-o-y% VLSFO & ULSFO 1,004,398 1,045,774 847,862 -4 18.5 HSFO 780,437 906,737 643,218 -13.9 21.3 MGO/MDO 395,903 334,752 361,585 18.3 9.5 Conventional total 2,180,738 2,287,263 1,852,665 -4.7 17.7 Biofuel blends 118,201 137,175 233,108 -13.8 -49.3 LNG (m³) 263,068 220,120 148,933 19.5 76.6 bio-LNG (m³) 575 0 0 na na biomethanol 930 2,066 500 -55 86 Port of Rotterdam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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