Iran said today that US airstrikes on its nuclear facilities have expanded the range of legitimate military targets for its armed forces, intensifying concerns over supply disruptions in a region that underpins global oil trade.
Powerful and targeted operations with "serious consequences" await the US in response to its direct involvement in strikes on Iranian soil, according to Ebrahim Zolfaqari, spokesperson for Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya central military headquarters. "Mr. Trump, the gambler, you may start this war, but we will be the ones to end it," Zolfaqari said.
The US strikes on three heavily fortified nuclear facilities in Iran early on 22 June local time marked a clear shift, with Washington now openly joining Israel's military campaign against Tehran's nuclear programme, which Israel views as an existential threat. Israel and Iran have been trading airstrikes and missiles since 13 June.
The US has thousands of troops stationed across the Middle East, including in Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Iraq. While Iran has threatened retaliation, it has so far held back from steps often floated by its leadership, such as striking US bases in the region or closing the strait of Hormuz — a vital waterway through which about a quarter of global seaborne oil trade flows.
The US bombing and Iran's threats of retaliation caused crude futures to rise sharply in early trading on 23 June, with front-month Ice Brent climbing above $80/bl for the first time in five months, as the US bombing raised fears of wider escalation. But markets later pared gains. The August Ice Brent contract was trading at $76.56/bl as of 08:25 GMT, down by 45¢/bl from its 20 June settlement.
Trump warned Iran against retaliating for the strikes and signalled he is open to regime change in Tehran. "If the current Iranian Regime is unable to MAKE IRAN GREAT AGAIN, why wouldn't there be a Regime change??? MIGA!!!" he said on Sunday, as Tehran continued to show defiance. He followed up by claiming the strikes had caused "monumental" damage to Iran's nuclear sites, adding that the "biggest damage took place far below ground level. Bullseye!!!"
The full extent of the damage remains unverified. But "even if nuclear sites are destroyed, game isn't over, enriched materials, indigenous knowledge, political will remain", said top Iranian military and nuclear adviser, Ali Shamkhani.
The UN's nuclear watchdog, the IAEA, said on 22 June that no increases in off-site radiation levels had been reported following the US strikes. Director general Rafael Grossi, in an address to the UN Security Council, confirmed that Fordow — Iran's main facility for enriching uranium to 60pc — was hit. He also said the Esfahan nuclear site and the Natanz enrichment facility were struck again.
