A slump in imports versus robust offtake kept Indian DAP stocks under pressure in January, leading to the fourth consecutive monthly stock draw, according to government data.
Argus estimates India's DAP stocks at the end of January at just below 1.9mn t.
India imported just 70,000t of DAP in January, while domestic DAP production was steady at 342,000t. Domestic sales fell seasonally but, at 535,000t, surpassed the average for the same month over the previous three years by almost 100,000t.
But total DAP sales so far this rabi season — beginning in October 2025 — are broadly level against the same period a year earlier. Farmers likely prioritised urea in December, deferring some DAP buying until January, while distributors also say that increased sown acreage and possible early buying ahead of the kharif season beginning in April is supporting offtake across all fertilizers.
Higher production has not made up for lagging imports compared with this point during rabi last year, leading to a stock draw — production plus imports minus sales — so far this rabi season of 573,000t.
Indian importers prioritised unloading urea earlier in rabi, slowing DAP trade and leaving fewer berthing opportunities for DAP cargoes.
But firm imports earlier in the fertilizer year — starting in April 2025 — and a slip in total offtake so far have allowed India's DAP stocks to build by almost 600,000t year on year, according to Argus data.
India imported just over 6mn t of DAP over April-January, well above the 4.4mn t imported over the period a year before. Sales of around 8.5mn t of DAP so far this fertilizer year are lagging the same period a year earlier by around 200,000t.
But combined DAP and TSP sales so far this fertilizer year total 9.14mn t, likely more than 100,000t ahead of last year, according to Argus data.
Even though domestic TSP offtake has almost doubled on the year, and India has no domestic TSP production, the country has already imported around 145pc more TSP than it did over the 2024-25 fertilizer year — all from Morocco. This has allowed India's TSP stocks to swell by 563pc since April 2024, according to Argus estimates.




