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Biomarine discounts fails to spur demand gains on war

  • : Biofuels, Oil products
  • 26/03/12

Marine biodiesel discounts to fossil bunker fuels have yet to support demand growth as market volatility as a result of the Iran-US war is weighing on marine fuel trading activity.

B100 advanced fatty acid methyl ester (Fame) dob Netherlands flipped to a discount to marine gasoil (MGO) dob ARA when accounting for EU emissions trading system (ETS) costs on 2 March, the first trading session after the start of the US-Iran war. The marine biodiesel product has since sustained this discount, reaching $83.66/t on 11 March. And B100 was also marked at an outright price discount to MGO dob ARA on 9 March, not accounting for ETS costs.

Market participants told Argus that the new dynamic will have to be sustained for a while longer for significant demand shifts to materialise — with shipowners and buyers hesitant to make significant changes to their procurement strategy based on an acute price spread.

Shipowners are also staying out of the spot market for non-urgent volumes because of bunker fuel price volatility, and many are concerned about pre-agreed contract volumes for near-term voyages.

Some told Argus that their focus is on ensuring that those volumes are met as suppliers could call in a force majeure if product shortages emerge from a prolonged war in the Mideast Gulf. Others added there were concerns about engine compatibility as well as the lower energy content of B100 product versus conventional fuels.

Other marine biodiesel blends have also flipped to ETS-inclusive discounts to conventional counterparts in recent sessions. B24 dob Algeciras-Gibraltar achieved an $11.92/t discount to very-low sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) prices in the west Mediterranean hub on 9 March, once ETS costs were accounted for. And B30 Advanced Fame and MGO dob Netherlands was also at a discount to MGO dob ARA on 4 and 9 March, inclusive of ETS costs.

Beyond consideration of ETS-inclusive price spreads, FuelEU Maritime requirements, which set a 2pc greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction for vessels operating in EU waters this year. FuelEU used cooking oil methyl ester (Ucome)-MGO abatement ex-ETS prices averaged €85.78/tCO2e between 2-11 March. This compares with FuelEU compliance surplus values seen at €170-185/tCO2e for 2026 compliance and €185-200/tCO2e for 2025 compliance during the same period. This means that it is currently cheaper for shipowners to generate FuelEU compliance using marine biodiesel blends instead of MGO volumes, than it is to buy FuelEU compliance surplus.


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