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Bangladesh ramps up coal-fired output on LNG shortages

  • : Coal
  • 26/03/17

Bangladesh has ramped up coal-fired power generation this month so far, as the country faces an acute LNG shortage triggered by disruptions to shipments from the Mideast Gulf caused by the US/Israel–Iran war.

Coal-fired power generation in Bangladesh has risen despite costing almost double that of gas-fired generation, data from the country's power grid show. Bangladeshi coal-fired power generation is estimated to cost $53,294/GWh, compared with around $28,453/GWh for gas.

Coal burn could rise further this month, as LNG imports are set to fall sharply.

Bangladesh's LNG imports remained steady on the year at 337,000t over 1-17 March, data from analytics firms Kpler and Vortexa show. But only one vessel carrying 74,000t of LNG is signalling for arrival in Bangladesh over the rest of month, indicating monthly receipts will fall short of the 563,000t imported in March last year. The year-on-year shortfall is equivalent to about two LNG cargoes.

Around 6.6GW of gas-fired generation capacity in Bangladesh is facing fuel shortages, state-owned power grid reports show. Bangladesh has increased its power imports from India's 1.6GW Godda coal-fired plant since October, putting additional pressure on its foreign exchange balances.

In contrast, thermal coal imports have risen, with total arrivals set to be nearly 7pc higher on the year at 1.5mn t in March, Kpler data show. Bangladesh typically purchases Indonesian coal but has recently also bought small amounts of South African coal. About 608,000t of Indonesian coal has discharged in Bangladesh this month so far, alongside 55,000t from South Africa. A further 837,000t of material from Indonesia is scheduled to arrive in Bangladesh over the rest of March, according to preliminary fixtures.

The country purchases Indonesian thermal coal of GAR 5,000 kcal/kg and above, a trader said. Argus assessed Indonesian GAR 5,000 kcal/kg coal at $72.46/t fob on 13 March, up from $69.60/t before the conflict in the Mideast Gulf began. Low and mid-calorific value Indonesian coal prices are also elevated because of uncertainties surrounding mining firms' 2026 production quotas.

"Brokering into Bangladesh is not easy because of payment issues and negotiating letters of credit from banks," a trader said. The country's reliance on overseas supply continues to strain its foreign exchange reserves and is raising concern among exporters.

The war in the Mideast Gulf has led to state-owned gas distributor RPGCL awarding spot cargoes at much higher prices than usual. It awarded a 15-16 March delivery cargo to trading firm Gunvor at $28.28/mn Btu, and another for 18-19 March shipment to trading firm Vitol at $23.08/mn Btu, traders said. Bangladesh was last in the spot market late last year, securing a cargo for 4-5 January delivery at $10.37/mn Btu from TotalEnergies, and a 9-10 January delivery cargo from South Korean trading firm Posco at $9.99/mn Btu.


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