26/03/19
N Dakota perks up on widening Brent-WTI spread
Calgary, 19 March (Argus) — A widening spread between US and international oil
prices has "certainly" caught the attention of North Dakota's regulators, but
capitalizing on it would require producers to switch tack. North Dakota
producers pumped out 1.16mn b/d of oil in January, down by 13,000 b/d from the
same month 2025, the state's Department of Mineral Resources (DMR) said on
Thursday, as both winter weather and low prices hampered production. But a sharp
increase in oil prices on account of the US-Iran war, and the subsequent supply
shortages, has suggested a rebound could be afoot for the US' third-largest
producing state. State regulators indicated that potential outcome, but only if
prices remain elevated. The price of May Brent — the main global benchmark for
waterborne shipments — settled at $107.38/bl on Wednesday, compared with
$95.46/bl for the May WTI contract. This spread of $11.92/bl between the two
benchmarks is a near-doubling of the $6.03/bl recorded on 12 March and
represents a growing uplift for volumes that can reach markets connected to
global prices, including the US west and east coasts. "That spread certainly has
my attention and I'm sure it has the market's attention of whether or not we
could see incremental North Dakota barrels starting to feed into those US
refineries," North Dakota Pipeline Authority director Justin Kringstad said
Thursday. Meaningful changes in capital spending for operators could increase
output, but additional flows would likely lag by 6-12 months, he added. "At what
point do operators have confidence that the price environment is going to be
somewhat elevated to the point where it would justify increased capital, across
not only in North Dakota, but the US?" asked Kringstad. Refiners on the west and
east coasts imported 230,000 b/d and 84,000 b/d, respectively, from the Mideast
Gulf in 2025, according to the US Energy Information Administration. Any
increased flows to those markets from North Dakota would need to be done using
rail, which adds another lay of complexity. An increase in output would be a
reversal in strategy for a number of companies, which only weeks ago were making
plans to dial down activities in North Dakota. In January, weak oil prices
prompted plans by Continental Resources, one of the largest oil producer in the
state, to take its drilling rigs from three to zero . By Brett Holmes Send
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