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Italian urea spring needs mostly covered

  • : Fertilizers
  • 26/04/21

Italian urea imports will probably be limited for the rest of the quarter as high international prices have curbed demand, leaving buying interest for the 2026 spring corn season almost fully covered.

Market estimates put urea demand destruction at 15pc for the mid-March/mid-June spring season this year, meaning that total demand could slip to 300,000-350,000t. Combined lined-up imports since March and domestic production estimates over the period are expected at around 300,000t, meaning that Italy has already mostly covered its urea needs for the corn season, limiting its need for further imports this quarter.

Italian urea demand for the spring season, typically concentrated from around mid-March to mid-June for corn applications, usually amounts to 350,000-400,000t. But importers and distributors expect demand destruction for the season of 10-20pc of normal levels.

Domestic urea prices have leapt since the start of the war in the Middle East and the closure of the strait of Hormuz. They rose from €522/t fca in big bags at the midpoint at the end of February to €770/t fca in big bags on 16 April, Argus data show. This is up from €435/t at the midpoint on 11 April last year, a 77pc year-on-year rise.

Yara's Ferrara plant returned to full production in early March, following maintenance in most of December-February. The plant is understood to have a monthly production capacity of slightly under 50,000t. Assuming full-capacity output in March-May, this could add around 150,000t of urea supply to the market.

And up to 149,000t of urea has been lined up for arrival in Italy in March-April, vessel tracking data show. This is below the 249,000 t/yr average for the period over 2021-25, but adds to 139,000t of urea imports in January-February, GTT data show.

Importers and distributors this week have reported that traders aim to re-export at least 30,000t of urea to India, where importer IPL has secured a record 2.79mn t in its 15 April tender. This could not be confirmed with the alleged relevant parties, and IPL's tender is yet to be finalised.


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