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Asphalt — North America market commentary

  • : Oil products
  • 08/06/02

US East coast
Midwest wholesale rail quotes to the East coast for June supply was in the $500-540 fob range for PG 64-22. Even at these prices, Midwest wholesale asphalt supply was far from abundant as Midwest refiners were cutting runs as a result of high production costs and lagging asphalt prices.

Future cargo prices for PG 64-28 were being priced in the mid-$500 range on a delivered basis into the New England market. Some wholesale asphalt buyers said there does not appear to be an abundance of asphalt on the East coast, which is causing concern.

In southern Connecticut, prices were holding in the mid-$400s for PG 64-28 but were expected to increase to the low $500s in a week to 10 days. The price increase was expected to be around $80. The prices were exclusive of the gross receipts tax. One supplier was informing its customers of the imminent price change.

In Massachusetts, one supplier was raising its price by $100 from the upper $400s to the upper $500s. The price increase was for PG 64-28.

The East coast retail market was relatively stable, despite the substantial pressure from higher wholesale prices from other markets, together with the higher cost of production from crude price strength. But some big price increases were expected to occur on 1 June, according to various sources.

A western New York supplier had no price changes following its increase from $405 to $425 fob, effective 21 May. One Baltimore, Maryland supplier was holding its prices at $425-435 fob for PG 64-22

One inland Carolinas supplier was reported to have increased its prices to the $470 fob level.

In Atlanta, Georgia, one supplier raised its posted prices from $430 to $510, while another supplier was at $425. One supplier in the Chattanooga, Tennessee market raised its prices from the $430 fob level to $470 fob, effective from 24 May. The state index was lagging at $413.

On 24 May, one Florida supplier raised its Tampa price from $420 to $460. The supplier also raised its Jacksonville and southern Florida prices from $435 to $475.

US Gulf coast
A Gulf coast supplier sold 50,000bl of PG 67-22 for June loading at $415 fob. Previous transactions for late May were done at the $390 fob level for PG 67-22. The wholesale asphalt market in the Gulf coast was considered to be “tight” as suppliers were focussed on meeting their own terminal requirements for wholesale barrels.

An Alabama asphalt supplier raised its prices in northern and central Alabama by $25 to $425, effective from 23 May. Another Alabama supplier was reported to be increasing its price to the $500 fob level on 27 May. Last prices heard in southern Alabama were at $425 fob.

One southern Mississippi supplier raised its prices to the $425 fob level, while another raised its prices to $470 fob for PG 64-22, an increase of $40 compared with its previous prices. A further southern Mississippi supplier raised its prices to $465 fob on 24 May. Another Mississippi supplier was reported to be increasing its prices to $500 effective from 27 May.

One Texas supplier was raising its price by $100 on 1 June to $500 in the Houston market and $510 in Brownsville. Reduced supply availability in the Oklahoma market forced one supplier to keep its inland Texas market lower at $450 fob, to provide an incentive to its Oklahoma customers to pick up from the Texas market.

PG 70-22 in southern Texas had an $80 premium over PG 64-22 and was expected to go to the $580 fob level on 1 June. PG 76-22 had a $110 premium over PG 64-22 and was expected to move to the $610 fob level on 1 June. AC-10 had a $27 premium over PG 64-22, while AC-15P had a $108 premium over PG 64-22. AC-15P had a $108 premium over PG 64-22 in southern Texas markets. Emulsion grades were around the $765-830/st range.

In New Mexico, one supplier informed its customers that it would be raising its prices to the $475 fob level, effective from 1 June.

US Midwest
Midwest asphalt refiners have been cutting crude runs as a result of weak margins for asphalt production. Midwest wholesale asphalt range for barge sales rose to $460-520 fob for PG 64-22, compared with $430-510 in the previous week. One Midwest supplier had its prompt rail sales at $500 fob or higher. Some quotes were heard at prices as high as $540 fob for June delivery.

A Midwest refiner sold 50-60,000bl of roofing flux for June at $425 fob. The supplier said it was negotiating to sell another block of asphalt for June but the deal was not yet completed at the time of going to press. The premium for wholesale volumes of PG 58-28 was $20-50 over PG 64-22, depending on the supply source.

One supplier informed its customers that it was increasing its retail prices on 1 June by $75 across the board. With this increase, the supplier's prices in Oklahoma and Kansas would increase to $500 fob for PG 64-22.

In Minneapolis/St Paul, Minnesota, one supplier raised its prices by $60 to $450 fob for PG 64-22, effective from 27 May. Northern Illinois prices went to $475 on 27 May, an increase of $45. One supplier raised its Illinois prices on 27 May by $55 to $475 fob for PG 64-22.

One supplier reported the Chicago market to be at $550-570/st fob for PG 64-22. Northwest Indiana was at $520-560 fob for PG 64-22. One supplier in the Indianapolis market was at $480-520 fob, while another raised its prices to $465 on 27 May. Southern Indiana prices rose by $40 to $457 on 24 May.

One supplier raised its Detroit, Michigan prices and northern Ohio prices to $450, effective from 27 May. Northern Kentucky prices went to $475, an increase of $25, effective from 27 May. The Louisville, Kentucky price rose by $40 to $445 fob. Catlettsburg prices rose to $455 from $395 fob, an increase of $60.

Chattanooga, Tennessee prices rose to $470 fob on 24 May from $430 fob for PG 64-22. Knoxville prices rose by $40 to $475 fob, as did Memphis prices, to $455 fob. Nashville prices rose to $460.

US Rocky Mountain & West Coast
One Rocky Mountain refiner was focussed on running its coker, but said if it did have any asphalt, its price was preliminarily discussed around the $450 fob level.

Another wholesale asphalt supplier sold PG 64-22 at $425 fob and PG 58-28 at $440 fob by rail. The supplier said it had no additional wholesale asphalt to sell in June as it had reduced crude runs because of high production costs. The supplier said it was considering changing to a lighter and sweeter crude slate in June.

One Rocky Mountain supplier said it has no wholesale asphalt availability for June. The supplier said it was in a two-week unexpected hydro-treater turnaround and was running crude at 50pc of capacity, while maximizing the coker. The supplier said if it were to sell any wholesale asphalt in June, the prices would have to compete with coker economics, which were at around $525/st fob.

One wholesale asphalt buyer said it has seen a $100/st increase in its wholesale prices from its traditional wholesale suppliers from May to June.

Rocky Mountain refiners were uncertain about their availability of wholesale asphalt for July and no preliminary numbers were quoted. If wholesale suppliers have any asphalt available, they are only supplying their historical customers. One wholesale asphalt buyer said it has seen a $100/st increase in its wholesale prices from its traditional suppliers from May to June.

In Montana, there has been very little conventional asphalt bid. Recent bids on PG 64-28 were reported to be around the $525 fob level. The grade typically has a $60 premium over PG 64-22 in this market.

In Wyoming and Colorado there was very little new work bid. One supplier commented that with prices moving so rapidly, it would only quote new highway work at a number that was equivalent to coker economics. Older contacts on the books are around $350 fob, but these older contracts expire in June. One marketer commented that if July prices do not reach coker economics, it would move out of the retail asphalt market and focus only on the wholesale asphalt market.

In Oregon, the price range for May was at $450-525 fob for PG 64-22. One supplier forecast the June market would move to the $500-550 range.

One Arizona and Nevada supplier said its price would increase by $50-100 fob, effective from June. Last prices heard in Las Vegas, Nevada for May were at $535 fob. Arizona prices were in the $550-575 range for conventional asphalt.

In California, several suppliers are unwilling to give forward price quotes unless the quotes are tied to a pricing index. Since cities and counties do not have indexes, they are unable to get quotes from suppliers for summer or fall paving work. The city of San Diego adopted the CalTrans Asphalt Index to get pricing for jobs that will pave in the summer or beyond.

Almost all suppliers on the West coast are changing their prices once every two weeks or even more frequently to keep pace with rising crude costs.

Significant crude price increases over the past month have forced California suppliers to raise their asphalt prices significantly to keep pace with the rising production costs. At the same time, refiners have reduced runs as a result of weak margins. This could lead to tightness in the California market or neighboring markets over the summer months, especially if the flow of wholesale asphalt slows as wholesale suppliers begin to focus on meeting their own market needs during the peak paving months.

Some big price increases have been announced in California, effective from 1 June. In northern California, one supplier will be increasing its prices by $70 to $655. The range of selling prices in northern California was reported to be at $540-585 for PG 64-10 and PG 64-16.

In northern California, one supplier raised its prices on 1 June to $675 fob for PG 64-10, $680 for PG 64-16 and $685 for PG 70-10. Another supplier was raising its prices to $690 fob for PG 64-10 and PG 64-16.

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