US energy transition path will pressure Mexico: Update

  • : Crude oil, Natural gas
  • 21/11/18

Adds meeting remarks in fourth, fifth paragraphs.

US president Joe Biden's energy transition plans will put pressure on Mexico to keep up with its larger neighbor's policies regardless of President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's preferences, a senior US official said.

Biden today hosted Lopez Obrador and Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau for a North American leaders summit, reviving a format that lay dormant for four years. With Biden's election, the US and Canada are aligned on decarbonization goals, but Mexico under Lopez Obrador has moved in the opposite direction with a set of policies designed to extend fossil fuels' prevalence in the country's energy mix.

"When we think about North America in that regard, it is as partners," the US official said ahead of Biden's meeting with his Mexican counterpart. "And what we want to lay out are kind of the opportunities and the opportunity costs of certain decisions."

The shared vision for North America is one where problems are solved together, particularly ending the Covid-19 pandemic, solving the climate crisis, and taking effective actions for immigrants in the region, Biden said during the combined 20-minute message offered by the continent's three heads of state.

Neither Lopez Obrador nor Trudeau touched on the energy issues that are a of vital importance for the Biden administration in the initial message before the private meeting. Lopez Obrador asked president Biden to stop rejecting migrants and push back against prejudices and myths to grow the labor force of the region.

The US is monitoring Mexico's electricity sector overhaul that would restore state power company CFE's market dominance and shutter the country's energy regulators — actions that critics say are designed to protect Mexico's fossil fuel-powered generation.

"Given where the US economy is going to be going over the course of this administration and the priority that this president has placed on addressing the climate emergency," the US hopes to have Mexico on its side, the official said.

US investors are concerned that "attempts to favor state-owned enterprises at the expense of renewable and other private energy providers only undermine investment certainty" and put shared climate change goals at risk, US business group the Chamber of Commerce said ahead of the presidents' meeting.

Mexico is a major importer of US natural gas — US exports by pipeline averaged 6 Bcf/d in January-August, up by 12pc on the year, Energy Information Administration data show.


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24/04/23

Vancouver Aframax rates at 6-month lows ahead of TMX

Vancouver Aframax rates at 6-month lows ahead of TMX

Houston, 23 April (Argus) — An oversupply of Aframax-size crude tankers on the west coast of the Americas in anticipation of the Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) pressured Vancouver-loading rates to six-month lows on 19 April. With the 590,000 b/d TMX project expected to commence commercial service on 1 May, shipowners have positioned more vessels to be on the west coast to satisfy anticipated demand in Vancouver, but that demand has yet to materialize, leaving the Aframax market oversupplied for now, market participants said. Aframax rates from Vancouver to the US west coast began falling in mid-to-late March as an increase of ballasters added to tonnage in the region, helping drop the rate to ship 80,000t of Cold Lake on that route to $1.50/bl on 19 April from $2.55/bl on 21 March, according to Argus data. The rate held at $1.50/bl on 22 April, the lowest since 2 October and just 3¢/bl higher than the lowest rate since Argus began assessing the route on 21 April 2023. Similarly, the Vancouver-China Aframax rate also fell to a six-month low of $6.59/bl for Cold Lake on 19 April, down from $7.78/bl on 2 April, according to Argus data. In addition to the ballasters, two Aframaxes — the Jag Lokesh and the New Activity — are hauling Argentinian crude to the US west coast and are expected to begin discharging on 3 and 6 May, respectively, according to Vortexa. The Argentinian port of Puerto Rosales is mostly restricted to Panamaxes but can accommodate smaller Aframaxes. Downward pressure from across canal A recent slump in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Aframax market, due in part to falling Mexican crude exports to the US Gulf coast , has exerted additional downward pressure, a shipowner said. "Though markets at each side of the (Panama) Canal are different, softer sentiment looms in the region," the shipowner said. Last week, a charterer hired two Aframaxes for west coast Panama-US west coast voyages, the first at WS102.5 and the second at WS95, equivalent to $12.71/t and $11.78/t, respectively, as multiple shipowners competed for the cargoes. The Vancouver Aframax market typically draws from the same pool of vessels as the west coast Panama market. For example, the Yokosuka Spirit , one of the Aframaxes hired to load in west coast Panama, discharged a Cold Lake cargo in Los Angeles on 21-22 April after loading in Vancouver in mid-March, according to Vortexa and market participants. By Tray Swanson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

USGC LNG-VLSFO discount to steady itself


24/04/23
24/04/23

USGC LNG-VLSFO discount to steady itself

New York, 23 April (Argus) — The premium for US Gulf coast (USGC) very low-sulphur fuel oil (VLSFO) to LNG is expected to linger but not widen this spring, maintaining interest in LNG as a bunkering fuel. US Gulf coast LNG prices slipped from a premium to a discount to VLSFO in March 2023 and have remained there since. The discount surpassed 200/t VLSFO-equivalent in January (see chart). Both LNG and VLSFO prices are expected to remain under downward pressure due to high inventories, which could keep the current LNG discount steady. The US winter natural gas withdrawal season ended with 39pc more natural gas in storage compared with the five-year average, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Henry Hub natural gas monthly average prices dropped below $2/mmBtu in February, for the first time since September 2020, Argus data showed. The EIA expects the US will produce less natural gas on average in the second and third quarter of 2024 compared with the first quarter of 2024. Despite lower production, the US will have the most natural gas in storage on record when the winter withdrawal season begins in November, says the EIA. As a result, the agency forecasts the Henry Hub spot price to average less than $2/mmBtu in the second quarter before "increasing slightly" in the third quarter. EIA's forecast for all of 2024 averages about $2.20/mmBtu. US Gulf coast VLSFO is facing downward price pressure as demand falls and increased refinery activity signals a potential supply build . Rising Gulf coast refinery activity was likely behind some of the drop in prices. Gulf coast refinery utilization last week rose to 91.4pc, the highest in 12 weeks and up by 0.9 percentage points from the prior week. US Gulf coast suppliers are also eyeing strong fuel oil price competition from eastern hemisphere ports such as Singapore and Zhoushan, China, importing cheap Russian residual fuel oil. In general, LNG's substantial discount to VLSFO has kept interest in LNG for bunkering from ship owners with LNG-burning vessels high. The EIA discontinued publishing US bunker sales statistics with the last data available for 2020. But data from the Singapore Maritime & Port Authority, where the LNG–VLSFO discount widened to over $200/t VLSFOe in February, showed Singapore LNG for bunkering demand increase 11.4 times to 75,900t in the first quarter compared with 6,700t in the first quarter of 2023 and 110,900t for full year 2022. By Stefka Wechsler US Gulf coast LNG vs VLSFO $/t VLSFOe Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

India’s Chhara LNG terminal faces commissioning delay


24/04/23
24/04/23

India’s Chhara LNG terminal faces commissioning delay

Mumbai, 23 April (Argus) — Indian state-owned refiner HPCL's 5mn t/yr Chhara LNG import terminal is again facing delays in receiving and unloading its commissioning cargo, a market source told Argus . Fender failure at the terminal has caused problems in berthing the LNG vessel. The fender acts as a buffer or cushion between the ship hull and the dock, and prevents damage as a result of contact between the two surfaces. HPCL on 22 April issued a tender offering the commissioning LNG cargo , which is onboard the 160,000m³ Maran Gas Mystras. The vessel is currently laden offshore the terminal and ready to redeliver to another Indian LNG terminal on 25-30 April, according to HPCL. The company is seeking bids at a fixed price, and custom duty has already been paid by the firm. Indian firm Gujarat State Petroleum (GSPC) facilitate HPCL's purchase of the cargo on 26 March, with the cargo for delivery over 9-12 April. HPCL has put up the commissioning cargo for auction, and it can be discharged from any alternative port in India. LNG terminals closer to Chhara include Indian state-controlled importer Petronet's 17.5mn t/yr Dahej, Shell's 5.2mn t/yr Hazira or state-owned gas distributor Gail's 5mn t/yr Dhabol LNG terminal. HPCL also has not awarded a tender that is seeking another early-May delivery cargo , which closed on 19 April. Commissioning of the Chhara LNG terminal has been delayed since September 2022 owing to pipeline issues. The terminal is the country's eighth LNG import facility, which would lift total regasification capacity to 52.7mn t/yr from 47.7mn t/yr currently. The pipeline runs from the terminal and connects the city gas distribution network from Lothpur to Somnath district in Gujarat. There has been a delay in opening the pipeline as it passes through the eco-sensitive zone of the Gir wildlife sanctuary for 25.816km, a government document shows. The facility was completed in February, but is set to be closed from 15 May-15 September ahead of the completion of a breakwater facility , which is required to ensure safe LNG tanker berthing during India's monsoon season. No specific timeline has been given for building the breakwater, but the terminal will be able to operate year-round once it is completed. By Rituparna Ghosh Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

TotalEnergies to fully own Malaysian gas firm SapuraOMV


24/04/23
24/04/23

TotalEnergies to fully own Malaysian gas firm SapuraOMV

Singapore, 23 April (Argus) — TotalEnergies has signed an agreement to acquire Sapura Upstream Assets' 50pc stake in Malaysian private gas producer and operator SapuraOMV, which will take TotalEnergies' total stake to 100pc. The acquisition will cost $530mn, subject to closing adjustments, with closing expected to take place in the second half of this year, said TotalEnergies. This latest deal follows a previous agreement that TotalEnergies signed in January with Austrian firm OMV to acquire its 50pc interest in SapuraOMV. This means TotalEnergies will own 100pc of SapuraOMV once both transactions are completed. "Following the transaction with OMV announced two months ago and this new transaction with Sapura Upstream Assets, TotalEnergies will have full ownership of SapuraOMV and become a significant gas operator in Malaysia," said TotalEnergies' chairman and chief executive officer Patrick Pouyanné. "The SapuraOMV assets are fully in line with our strategy to grow our gas production to meet demand growth, focusing our portfolio on low-cost and low-emission assets," he added. SapuraOMV in 2023 produced 500mn ft³ of gas, which was used to feed the Bintulu LNG plant operated by state-controlled Petronas, as well as 7,000 b/d of condensates. SapuraOMV holds 40pc and 30pc operating interests, respectively, in blocks SK408 and SK310, which are offshore Sarawak, Malaysia. Block SK408's Jerun gas field, which could hold up to 84.9bn m³, is on track to start up in the second half of this year. SapuraOMV also has interests in exploration licences in Malaysia, Australia, New Zealand, and Mexico, where there was a discovery on block 30 last year, with estimated resources of 200mn-300mn bl of oil equivalent. TotalEnergies holds interests in two production sharing contracts in Malaysia. It in June last year signed an agreement with Petronas and Japanese trading firm Mitsui to jointly develop a carbon capture and storage project in Malaysia as well as assess maturing depleted fields and saline aquifers for storage. The firms hope to develop a CO2 merchant storage service to help industrial customers in Asia decarbonise. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Australia’s Tamboran agrees NT gas sales deal


24/04/23
24/04/23

Australia’s Tamboran agrees NT gas sales deal

Sydney, 23 April (Argus) — Australian independent Tamboran Resources has signed a long-term gas sales agreement with the Northern Territory (NT) government for supplies from the Beetaloo joint venture's (BJV) proposed Shenandoah South pilot project. The binding deal for 40 TJ/d (1.07mn m³/d) on a take-or-pay basis from Shenandoah South in the onshore Beetaloo sub-basin of the NT equates to a total 131.4PJ (3.5bn m³) and begins in January-June 2026, running for nine years with an option to extend 6½ further years to 2042, Tamboran said on 23 April. This represent about two-thirds of the NT's present gas requirements and is conditional on the BJV entering a binding transportation agreement with pipeline operator APA for the planned 35km Sturt Plateau Pipeline , as well as reaching a final investment decision (FID) for Shenandoah South. Tamboran has a working interest of 47.5pc in Shenandoah South, which is aiming for a FID mid-year, following Canadian independent Falcon Oil and Gas' decision to reduce its participation from 22.5pc to 5pc in March to reduce its cost exposure to the project. BJV is operated by Tamboran, which holds a 50:50 interest in the Tamboran B2 joint venture with privately-held Daly Waters Energy controlled by US billionaire Bryan Sheffield. The BJV also holds a 10-year, 36.5 PJ offtake deal with Australian utility Origin Energy signed in 2022. The NT is dependent on gas-fired power generation. Continuing supply problems at Italian oil firm Eni's offshore Blacktip field has it currently sourcing gas from Australian independent Santos' depleting Bayu-Undan field in the Timor Sea and the onshore Mereenie joint venture . Tamboran is aiming in the long term to develop its proposed 6.6mn t/yr Northern Territory LNG project , for which it is aiming to complete initial engineering this year. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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