• 14 de junio de 2024
  • Market: Chemicals, Chlor-Alkali

PVDF demand to increase chlor-alkali consumption

The demand growth of polyvinylidene fluoride (PVDF) is dependent on lithium-ion batteries for battery-operated electric vehicle (EV) demand and stationery electrical storage. Argus forecasts global lithium-ion battery demand in EVs to reach 3.8GWh by 2034 from 0.7GWh in 2023. EV sales are expected to rise at an average growth rate of 10pc in the next 10 years reaching more than 46mn units.

Global caustic soda demand into battery materials for leading regions is shown in the figure. Argus’s latest caustic soda analytics forecast explains an exponential rise in caustic soda consumption for battery material processing. Global caustic soda consumption in the processing of lithium hydroxide, lithium carbonate, cathode materials and recycled black mass was at 1.5mn dmt in 2023 and is expected to reach 3mn dmt in 2033 at a CAGR of 10pc in the first five years.

Global Caustic Demand

The relationship between chlor-alkali products and battery materials is gaining focus in the market. With increasing Lithium-based battery capacity globally, demand for associated battery materials is expected to rise. Among the other components of the Li-ion battery stack, PVDF plays an important role as a binder and separator coating, optimizing energy storage efficiency and reducing battery weight in EVs. 

PVDF utilizes caustic soda and chlorine in its production at different stages. Primary feedstock includes vinylidene chloride or vinylidene fluoride, which are derivatives of caustic soda and chlorine.

Some significant developments in PVDF capacity are taking place in North America and Northeast Asia. Belgian chemical company Solvay entered into a joint venture with Mexico-based PVC producer Orbia to build the largest production facility of battery-grade suspension PVDF in North America with a capacity of 20,000 t/yr. Commercial production is expected to start in 2026 and the expected caustic soda and chlorine demand can be 8,000 t/yr and 12,000 t/yr respectively. 

Solvay has doubled its capacity in Changshu, China in the past five years and raised its capacity in France by 35pc reaching 35,000 t/yr making it the largest production site in Europe. Another major producer French chemical company Arkema increased production capacity by 50pc last year at its Changshu site in China.

Japan-based producer Kureha is undergoing expansion at its Iwaki site in Japan, having a production capacity of 6,500 t/yr. The expansion is in two phases, first is a new capacity of 8,000 t/yr and another 2,000 t/yr in the second phase by debottlenecking resulting in a total capacity of 20,000 t/yr by 2026.

This article was created using data and insight from Argus Caustic Soda Analytics and Argus Battery Materials.

 

 

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28/03/26

Gulf war may push beverage prices up

Gulf war may push beverage prices up

Houston, 28 March (Argus) — Two of the world's largest beverage makers warn that higher costs to their operations from the war in the Mideast Gulf — including higher prices for polyethylene terephthalate (PET) bottles — may soon be passed onto consumers. Both PepsiCo and Coca-Cola in the past week warned in corporate filings that higher feedstock costs and freight rates stemming from curtailed vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz could lead to higher prices for their customers. "Our operations … including the distribution of our products and the ingredients of other raw materials used in the production of our products, may be disrupted if such [geopolitical] events persist for a prolonged period of time," PepsiCo said in its 2025 Annual Report, released 27 March. These higher costs could be passed on to customers, reducing "volume, revenue, margins and operating results." Coca-Cola also noted similar sentiments in its 10K filings on 23 March. "Geopolitical instability has in the past led, and may in the future lead, to logistical, transportation and supply chain disruptions," the company said. Some suppliers are located in regions facing that instability, so sustained disruption to manufacturing or product sourcing "... could increase costs and interrupt product supply, which could adversely impact our business." Most bottled drinks are packaged in PET bottles. The PET resin spot price in Europe has climbed significantly since the war started, up by about 65pc since late February. During the week ended 27 March Argus assessed the price at €1,450-1,600/t delivered, up from €890-960/t delivered in late February. One US PET producer has nominated a 10¢/lb increase for March PET resin, up about 17pc from the February contract. PET producer Indorama also announced an additional 5¢/lb war surcharge to all PET resin grades effective immediately in a letter to customers. "Due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, there have been significant cost increases in the major and minor raw materials for PET resin, driven by a continuous increase in crude oil price and severe supply chain disruption," according to Indorama's letter. "In addition, there have also been increases in inbound and outbound freight and transportation costs." Container freight costs for PET have increased by 30pc from 27 February to 20 March, closing at $83-103/t from East Asia to the US West coast, according to Argus data. Prices for aluminum, which is also used widely for beverage containers, rose multi-year highs in the first weeks of the war, but they have since fallen due to an unclear global demand outlook and other factors. Packaging costs are generally higher than the liquids they hold for companies such as Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. But they remain a relatively small component in the final costs. Distribution and logistics costs are often higher than the manufacturing costs, which expose these companies to the higher fuel costs caused by the war. By Nicole Johnson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US styrene exporters move to fulfill supply constraints


27/03/26
News
27/03/26

US styrene exporters move to fulfill supply constraints

Houston, 27 March (Argus) — US styrene monomer (SM) exporters are working to fill widening supply gaps in Europe following the outbreak of the Mideast Gulf war, which has impeded vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz and sharply reduced Middle East SM export flows. The global supply constraint has pushed US styrene to a nearly two-year high just days before the start of the American Fuel & Petrochemical Manufacturers' International Petrochemical Conference in San Antonio, Texas, from 29-31 March 2026, where industry participants gather from around the world to discuss pertinent topics in petrochemical markets and construct forward-looking views for the forthcoming year. Producers in the Middle East make up a significant portion of global styrene trade. Saudi Arabia accounts for 44pc of China's SM imports, 40pc of India imports and 33pc of European imports, according to Global Trade Tracker data. Europe has been particularly exposed as shipments through the Mideast Gulf have slowed down. European SM prices have risen by 40pc since the start of the conflict because of tight SM supply, reaching $1,697.50/t on 26 March, according to Argus data. US SM prices increased by 27pc over the same period to $1,450/t, opening the paper arbitrage from the US Gulf coast (USGC) to Europe. Heading into April, US exporters are attempting to secure more vessels for trans Atlantic shipments, but tight tanker availability has created significant export bottlenecks, market participants said. Bulk freight shipping availability from the USGC to northwest Europe and the Mediterranean remained restricted in March, pushing freight rates sharply higher. Estimated shipping costs from the USGC to Europe nearly doubled to around $140/t this week from $72/t in February. Estimated North American SM operating rates ranged from 56-60pc this week, according to a generic Argus model with run rates pegged by market participants. Operating rates have been reduced because of planned maintenance at two USGC SM plants: SABIC and TotalEnergies' joint venture facility in Carville, Louisiana, and Ineos Styrolution's plant in Bayport, Texas. The Carville, Louisiana, unit is expected back on line in early April, potentially lifting regional rates to around 65pc, but US Gulf coast spot availability remains limited. Sources estimate roughly 5,000 metric tonnes of SM is available for April spot sales without producers drawing from their derivative units. Export constraints are compounded by a heavy global turnaround season. At least two US SM units are in planned outages, two Saudi Arabian plants were scheduled for maintenance in March and at least two European feedstock ethylene crackers underwent work in the first quarter. More recently, Saudi Arabian state-controlled petrochemicals producer [Sabic has declared force majeure] (https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/2806297) on its methanol and SM sales, effective 26 March, citing logistics disruptions stemming from the ongoing US-Iran war and impeded vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz. Tight SM supply has begun to filter into downstream markets. Polystyrene (PS) and acrylonitrile butadiene styrene (ABS) producers are entering a seasonably stronger demand period with higher pricing. The impact is expected to ripple through consumer goods such as plastic take-away containers, disposable cutlery, foam packaging and ABS based products including toys and Lego bricks, sources said. As the US and global styrene turnaround season continues, market participants expect inventories to remain tight until domestic maintenance wraps up in the second quarter. Global SM availability is likely to stay constrained while vessel shortages persist and shipments remain restricted through the strait of Hormuz, sources said. By Jake Caldwell Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Braskem to appeal Brazil's AD ruling on US PE: CEO


27/03/26
News
27/03/26

Braskem to appeal Brazil's AD ruling on US PE: CEO

Sao Paulo, 27 March (Argus) — Petrochemical giant Braskem will appeal the Brazilian government's Thursday decision setting definitive antidumping duties of $199/t on imports of US polyethylene (PE) and $238/t on Canadian grades, chief executive Roberto Ramos said. Ramos said the government, in its 26 March decision, "did not properly assess" the technical evidence presented in the investigation, which runs through 14 May, and reiterated that the local foreign trade chamber of commerce, Camex, had previously recommended duties of $734/t. "The study is very robust and clearly demonstrated predatory pricing by US producers", he said. Ramos also highlighted the sharp increase in feedstock costs stemming from the conflict in the Middle East, especially petrochemical naphtha. Braskem sources most of its naphtha from Brazilian state-controlled Petrobras but still imports volumes from the US, Algeria and the Middle East. "The government should have been more sensitive to our situation," Ramos added. "We are effectively in a state of war", he said, calling the ruling "regrettable". Ramos said Braskem will conduct a deeper review of the government's decision but confirmed the company will move ahead with a formal appeal. Results Braskem's margins narrowed in the fourth quarter as global oversupply and seasonal softness continued to pressure spreads. Recurring earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) fell to $109mn in the fourth quaarter from $150mn in the prior quarter, on thinner resin and chemical spreads and lower sales in Brazil and export markets. Braskem's operations in Brazil and South America remained the largest drag. Cracker utilization dropped to 59pc, a drop of 6 percentage points from the prior quarter, because of scheduled maintenance in Bahia state and reduced feedstock supply to Sao Paulo state. Domestic resin sales fell by 6pc and chemical sales dropped by 15pc from the prior quarter. Segment recurring Ebitda slipped by 30pc to $143mn from the third quarter. At Braskem's operations in the US and Europe, weaker polypropylene (PP) prices, pressured by higher imports in Europe and turnarounds, pushed segment Ebitda to $32mn. Utilization fell to 71pc, a fall of 8 percentage points from the previous quarter, while PP sales eased by 3pc. Mexico was the sole operational bright spot. Utilization at its joint venture there rose to 85pc, an increase of 38 percentage points from the third quarter, as ethane supply normalized with higher imports through the TQPM ethane terminal. PE sales increased by 52pc, while recurring Ebitda remained modest at $11mn. Braskem posted a fourth-quarter loss of $1.9bn, driven mainly by deferred tax asset write offs and other non cash impacts. Full-year 2025 recurring Ebitda totaled $557mn, down by 49pc year on year. Braskem's year-end gross debt reached $9.4bn, with $2.1bn in cash, the company said. By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Brazil imposes duties on US, Canada PE


27/03/26
News
27/03/26

Brazil imposes duties on US, Canada PE

Sao Paulo, 27 March (Argus) — Brazil has imposed definitive antidumping duties on polyethylene (PE) imports from the US and Canada amid tighter supply, at $199.04/metric tonne (t) on US-origin resin and $238.49/t on Canadian material, locking in the trade measures for five years at the same rates applied during the six-month provisional phase. The decision was approved during a meeting of the foreign trade chamber Camex's executive management committee (Gecex), and published in the government's official gazette earlier on Friday. The definitive ruling closes the door on an earlier proposal that would have raised US-origin duties to as high as $734/t, a level widely viewed as commercially prohibitive. Market participants said those proposed rates had effectively cut off nearly all trade between the two countries during consultation discussions, as such a steep tariff would have wiped out the competitiveness of US resin entirely. The government ultimately abandoned the higher figure, opting instead to lock in the lower provisional rates Gecex said the tariff levels were maintained "in the public interest", avoiding additional strain on downstream industries, a message reinforced in a separate note from the trade ministry Mdic. The ministry highlighted that duty modulation reflected the supply chain environment observed during the six months of provisional enforcement. The decision comes as Brazil's PE market faces acute supply tightness, compounded by global logistics disruptions. Earlier this month, a distributor of domestic producer Braskem warned clients that all PE grades were unavailable, with no forecast for replenishment, and several product lines had already hit zero inventory. Market participants at the time anticipated further price increases as Braskem issued back-to-back hikes in March amid rapidly depleted stocks. These domestic constraints coincided with the expiration of the provisional antidumping duty in February, prompting Brazilian buyers to shift aggressively back to US PE. Reduced availability from the Middle East, as the US-Israel war with Iran disrupted shipping routes and left over 140 container vessels and 470,000 containers stranded or delayed across the Mideast Gulf, further tightened alternatives. Spot freight rates surged, and war risk premiums multiplied, reinforcing the appeal of US supply, which benefited from stable logistics and shorter transit times. Although US producers sought heavy price increases during the month, their resin remained competitive for Brazilian importers, especially with freight on the Houston–Santos route rising only modestly. Buyers diversified carriers, revisited cfr offers from the US and rebalanced procurement strategies to offset domestic shortages. The ruling stabilizes the regulatory backdrop. While duties are now fixed for five years ahead of the investigation's legal deadline of 14 May, sourcing patterns are unlikely to shift immediately. Continued scarcity in Brazil, constrained Middle Eastern cargoes and global freight volatility mean US PE will remain a critical supply option, despite the renewed tariff burden. By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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US methanol exporters seek to fill war supply gaps


26/03/26
News
26/03/26

US methanol exporters seek to fill war supply gaps

Houston, 26 March (Argus) — US methanol producers are vying to fill a gap in global methanol supply as the war in the Mideast Gulf has threatened about 17pc of global methanol production capacity as it stretches into its fourth week. Middle East methanol production is estimated at about 26.49mn metric tonnes (t)/yr, with about 90pc of regional capacity beholden to transit through the strait of Hormuz, Argus estimates. Middle East methanol producers are critical suppliers to China and India importers, and the lack of supply is creating sales opportunities for US producers. The shift in the market is likely to be a topic of discussion as participants gather at the annual American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers International Petrochemical Conference in San Antonio, Texas, next week. Heightened offshore demand in March has supported an 18pc increase in US methanol barge prices, which are expected to remain supported. US methanol production is insulated from volatile energy prices and shipping disruptions stemming from ongoing fighting in the Mideast Gulf, positioning domestic producers to fill supply gaps for key global importers. US producers are able to meet domestic and growing global demand after a decade of rapid capacity growth. Europe is an emerging sales opportunity for US producers following a 49pc jump in spot values since the outbreak of the war, Argus data show. Producers are buying up spot barges this month to piece together export cargoes. More than 300,000 bl of methanol has traded at the US Gulf coast so far this month, the highest monthly volume in March since 2021 , Argus data show. Europe is a major importer of US methanol, with importers in the Netherlands and Belgium comprising nearly half of total US exports in 2025 for a combined 2.25mn metric tonnes, census data compiled by Global Trade Tracker show. By Steven McGinn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.