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Venezuelan crude flows threaten US HSFO gains
Venezuelan crude flows threaten US HSFO gains
Houston, 23 January (Argus) — Recent gains in US high-sulfur fuel oil (HSFO) prices remain vulnerable to an expected rise in heavy sour crude imports that could boost HSFO supplies following the US takeover of Venezuela's oil trade. HSFO prices initially fell on 6 January after US president Donald Trump said Venezuela's interim government would transfer 30mn–50mn bl of sanctioned oil to the US following the capture of former Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro. Losses deepened the next day after US energy secretary Chris Wright said Washington is in talks with Caracas to indefinitely take control of oil sales by state-owned PdV and provide equipment to increase Venezuelan crude output. But HSFO prices rebounded alongside crude benchmarks as concerns grew over potential supply disruptions from Iran, following escalating US-Iran tensions tied to protests in the country and fears of a possible US military response. As US-Iran tensions eased, crude and HSFO found renewed support from rising trade and tariff risks between the US and EU, linked to Trump's push to take over Greenland for national security reasons. HSFO prices at New York Harbor (NYH) rose on 22 January to $58.33/bl, up by $8.23/bl from a five-year low of $50.10/bl on 8 January, averaging a daily increase of 91¢/bl over that period. US Gulf coast HSFO prices recovered to $51.83/bl, rising $4.63/bl from a five-year low of $47.35/bl on 7 January for a daily average increase of 46¢/bl through Thursday. Despite short-term support from geopolitical developments, HSFO prices are expected to face longer-term pressure from rising Venezuelan heavy sour crude flows into the US. Higher Venezuelan crude imports weigh on HSFO prices because refining heavier grades yields more HSFO and also reduces refinery demand for HSFO as a potential feedstock for coke units and hydrocrackers. Increased US control over Venezuelan crude is also expected to lift domestic HSFO availability, as more barrels would be refined in the US rather than exported to Asia, according to market sources. The US has so far received about 54pc of all Venezuelan crude exports in the first 21 days of January, a 14 percentage point increase from the same period in December, while exports to Asia-Pacific have halted over the same period in January after accounting for 37pc of exports in December, according to ship-tracking firm Vortexa data. As rising Venezuelan crude flows boost HSFO production, prices are expected to steadily fall, according to a fuel oil trader. HSFO prices could face additional pressure from new EU restrictions on products refined from Russian crude that took effect on 21 January. While the US has banned direct imports of Russian crude and refined products, it can still receive products made from Russian barrels in third countries. This could prompt some cargoes that would normally go to Europe to now deliver Russian-derived products to the US, according to market sources. Trade data from Kpler indicates an early example of this shift, with a Turkish fuel oil cargo that would typically move to Europe now heading to the US. Additional HSFO inflows would further increase domestic supply and add to downward pressure on prices. By John E Huber Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
EcoCeres Malaysia sells first bionaphtha to LG Chem
EcoCeres Malaysia sells first bionaphtha to LG Chem
Singapore, 23 January (Argus) — Hong Kong-based biofuels producer EcoCeres has exported the first bionaphtha produced at its 420,000 t/yr biofuels facility in Johor, Malaysia, to South Korean chemical company LG Chem, it said today. This follows the export of EcoCeres' first sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) cargoes from the plant in mid-December . The bionaphtha cargo was 2,000t of International Sustainability and Carbon Certification (ISCC) Plus-certified product, delivering to South Korea in January. In 2025, LG Chem agreed to buy a total of 4,000t of bionaphtha from EcoCeres in 2026 at a fixed price, with the second cargo expected to be delivered during the second half of 2026, a market source said. Bionaphtha is a byproduct of producing biofuels hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) through the hydrotreated esters and fatty acids (HEFA) pathway. Yields vary, but can range at 5-10pc when maximising HVO output, and 10-25pc when maximising SAF production at a plant. Bionaphtha plays a small role in gasoline blending to meet renewables in transport targets in Europe. But in Asia, it is typically used as a drop-in alternative feedstock to fossil naphtha for producing low-carbon chemicals, driven by voluntary demand. EcoCeres' bionaphtha enables up to 90pc reduction in greenhouse gas emissions, against a fossil fuel comparator of 94g CO2 equivalent/MJ, the company said. LG Chem is one of the largest bionaphtha buyers and bio-chemicals producers in the region. It began commercial production of bio-based phenol and acetone in July 2022 , and has since added products including based plastics bio-ABS and bio-poly olefin and bio-acrylic acid. Argus last assessed ISCC Plus-certified bionaphtha at $1,925/t cfr northeast Asia on 22 January. Prices have risen by $45/t since the start of the year to more than a two-year high. The uptrend has been driven by tighter supply on regional outages and a price-driven pivot to HVO over SAF production lowering byproduct yields, while demand from chemical producers has stayed firm. By Lauren Moffitt Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Trump withdraws EU, UK tariff threat
Trump withdraws EU, UK tariff threat
Washington, 21 January (Argus) — President Donald Trump said Wednesday he will not proceed with plans to impose a 10pc tariff on imports from the UK and seven EU members over their position on US ownership of Greenland, averting a possible tariff war with Europe. Trump, writing via his social media platform, explained his decision by having reached the "framework of a future deal with respect to Greenland and, in fact, the entire Arctic Region." Trump is in Davos, Switzerland, where he met with Nato secretary general Mark Rutte and delivered a rambling speech to explain his motivation for trying to annex Denmark's Greenland territory. Trump and the White House did not provide details of a possible deal. Trump on 17 January threatened to impose an additional 10pc tariff on US imports from the UK, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, The Netherlands, Norway and Sweden. Those countries pushed back on his Greenland plans and sent a military mission to the Arctic island to examine its security needs. Trump also said he tasked vice president JD Vance, secretary of state Marco Rubio and special presidential envoy Steve Witkoff with negotiating the placement of the so-called Golden Dome missile defense network in Greenland. Trump's threats to annex Greenland and to impose tariffs on European countries that pushed back against his plans sent US stock and financial markets lower on Tuesday, out of concern that a tariff war may erupt between the US and the EU. The European parliament was preparing to freeze work on implementing laws for the EU-US trade deal agreed to last summer. Stock and financial markets bounced back after Trump earlier Wednesday appeared to have ruled out the use of military force to take over Greenland, with further gains after he said he would not proceed with tariffs. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US energy advocates ready last push on E15 deal
US energy advocates ready last push on E15 deal
New York, 21 January (Argus) — US energy groups are readying a last-minute push for Congress to authorize year-round sales of a higher-ethanol gasoline blend, including a meeting at the White House today. The American Petroleum Institute (API) and ethanol groups agreed on the framework for a sweeping biofuel policy bill earlier this month and have lobbied lawmakers to include the deal in larger legislation to fund the government after 30 January, multiple people familiar with the deal told Argus . But oil refiners that would lose the ability to bid for exemptions from annual biofuel blend quotas have pushed back aggressively. Supporters of the deal will head to the White House today for a meeting today to lobby for President Donald's Trump support, according to three people familiar with the matter. API will attend the meeting along with farm and ethanol advocates. The White House did not immediately respond to a request for comment. US representative Zach Nunn (R-Iowa) proposed an amendment to the spending package this week to include the deal hashed out by the oil group and farm interests. The deal would immediately authorize year-round sales of 15pc ethanol gasoline (E15) and would, starting in 2028, prevent larger companies from seeking exemptions from annual biofuel blend mandates while offering some small refiners that remain eligible annual 75pc exemptions. The US House Rules Committee is holding a meeting on Wednesday to decide whether to allow a vote on the Nunn amendment during eventual floor debate on the spending package. Any deal would have to be added to the House legislation and then confirmed by the Senate too before heading to Trump's desk. Unlocking permanent access to E15 would be a major victory for ethanol producers, who have long claimed wider access to the typically-cheaper blend would benefit farmers and drivers alike. Oil majors have grown more comfortable with E15 too unlike some of their smaller refining rivals, preferring consistent nationwide rules to costly workarounds like a looming shift in the midcontinent to a boutique fuel blend that would allow more ethanol. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

