US in talks with Canada, Mexico on tariffs: Update

  • : Metals
  • 18/10/01

Adds comments from Nucor.

The Trump administration opened the door to lifting tariffs on steel and aluminum from Canada and Mexico in exchange for quotas after reaching a deal on a renegotiated North American Free Trade Agreement (Nafta), a move that is expected to help "normalize" US steel prices.

"We are engaging in talks now [with Canada and Mexico on steel and aluminum tariffs] with an effort to try to preserve the effect of our program," US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer said today at a press conference at the White House.

US President Donald Trump said the tariffs will remain in place "until such time as we can do something that would be different, like quotas, perhaps, so that our industry is protected."

Canada's leaders said the conclusion of Nafta re-negotiations created "new momentum" around tariff negotiations.

"We are definitely looking to take advantage of that momentum to intensify conversations about steel and aluminum," Canada's foreign minister Chrystia Freeland said in a separate press conference.

US steel market participants were largely still assessing the impact of the announcement, but the removal of tariffs on two of the country's largest suppliers of foreign steel is expected to weigh on US steel prices that have surged in the wake of the 25pc tariff.

Trade agreements with Canada, Mexico and others "hold the keys to eventual US pricing normalization, particularly for hot-rolled coil," should the deals lead to quotas and/or freer trade, Cleveland-based investment bank KeyBanc said in a research note.

Canada and Mexico combined to account for 52pc of hot-rolled sheet imports of 2mn t and 26pc of total US steel imports of 34mn t in 2017.

Steel imports from the two countries fell by a combined 10pc through July from a year earlier, in line with a 10pc drop in overall US steel imports.

Trump and Lighthizer made their remarks while announcing a new trilateral trade deal that will replace Nafta.

The agreement, dubbed the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), modernizes the terms of a 25-year old Nafta pact that Trump has long-contended was the worst trade deal ever made.

The pact includes new provisions on digital trade, expands opportunities in Canada and Mexico for US farmers and alters the rules of origin for automobile production in an effort to boost North American manufacturers by limiting imports of parts made offshore.

The American Iron and Steel Institute (AISI) lauded the automobile provisions in the agreement, suggesting they will "ensure north American steel continues to be used in automobile production."

US steelmaker Nucor, the country's largest producer, called the USMCA "good for US steelmakers and US manufacturing as a whole" in a statement, noting the changes to the rules of origin for automobiles will benefit north American steelmakers.

The agreement must be approved by the US Congress before taking effect.

Still, the USMCA and negotiations over the tariffs will remain on two separate tracks, the US and Canada said.

The US negotiated similar tariff exemptions with Australia, Argentina, Brazil and South Korea earlier this year in return for quotas in most cases.

But sources in Canada suggested the country may be resistant to quotas, potentially setting the stage for a fight with Trump on a key piece of his domestic policy agenda ahead of the US mid-term elections.

"[US steel producers] are hiring thousands of workers all over the country," Trump said. "I am not giving that up."


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24/05/03

Brazil's Gerdau eyes special steel mill in Mexico

Brazil's Gerdau eyes special steel mill in Mexico

Sao Paulo, 3 May (Argus) — Brazilian steelmaker Gerdau is considering building another steel plant in Mexico as it seeks to expand its footprint in the country. The company started a feasibility study for the construction of a special steel unit that would have a production capacity of up to 600,000 metric tonnes (t)/yr, chief executive Gustavo Werneck said today. The move follows an optimistic outlook for the country's automotive industry and increased nearshoring — where companies move production closer to the US to tackle supply chain snarls seen during the pandemic. "Important players in the automotive industry, including current Gerdau customers, are expanding their operations to Mexico, which is becoming one of the most relevant countries in the production of automotive parts," Werneck said on a LinkedIn post. He did not give financial details. Gerdau's first quarter crude steel production in North America fell by 2.8pc , but it posted 3.3pc output growth in its special steel business — which includes operations in Brazil and US — mainly driven by automobile production in Brazil, it said. Mexico's auto sales to the US were 0.9pc higher year-on-year in March and first quarter auto exports rose by 1.9pc from the same period of 2023. Gerdau operates two mills in Mexico with a combined nameplate capacity of 1.5mn t/yr. By Carolina Pulice Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US job growth nearly halved in April: Update


24/05/03
24/05/03

US job growth nearly halved in April: Update

Adds services PMI in first, fifth paragraphs, factory PMI reference in sixth paragraph. Houston, 3 May (Argus) — The US added fewer jobs in April as the unemployment rate ticked up and average earnings growth slowed, signs of gradually weakening labor market conditions. A separate survey showed the services sector contracted last month. The US added 175,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported today, fewer than the 238,000 analysts anticipated. That compared with an upwardly revised 315,000 jobs in March and a downwardly revised 236,000 jobs in February. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9pc from 3.8pc. The unemployment rate has ranged from 3.7-3.9pc since August 2023, near the five-decade low of 3.4pc. The latest employment report comes after the Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its target lending rate unchanged for a sixth time and signaled it would be slower in cutting rates from two-decade highs as the labor market has remained "strong" and inflation, even while easing, is "still too high". US stocks opened more than 1pc higher today after the jobs report and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.47pc. Futures markets showed odds of a September rate cut rose by about 10 percentage points to about 70pc after the report. Services weakness Another report today showed the biggest segment of the economy contracted last month. The Institute for Supply Management's (ISM) services purchasing managers index (PMI) fell to 49.4 in April from 51.4 in March, ending 15 months of expansion. The services PMI employment index fell to 45.9, the fourth contraction in five months, in today's report. Readings below 50 signal contraction. On 1 May, ISM reported that the manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in April, after one month of growth following 16 months of contraction. In today's employment report from the Labor Department, average hourly earnings grew by 3.9pc over the 12 month period, down from 4.1pc in the period ended in March. Job gains in the 12 months through March averaged 242,000. Gains, including revisions, averaged 276,000 in the prior three-month period. Job gains occurred in health care, social services and transportation and warehousing. Health care added 56,000 jobs, in line with the gains over the prior 12 months. Transportation and warehousing added 22,000, also near the 12-month average. Retail trade added 20,000. Construction added 9,000 following 40,000 in March. Government added 8,000, slowing from an average of 55,000 in the prior 12 months. Manufacturing added 9,000 jobs after posting 4,000 jobs the prior month. Mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US met coal suppliers expect belated supply tensions


24/05/03
24/05/03

US met coal suppliers expect belated supply tensions

London, 3 May (Argus) — US coking coal prices have so far brushed off any impact of the collapse of the Francis Scott Key bridge in Baltimore on 26 March and the subsequent disruption of vessel traffic via the Port of Baltimore. Suppliers such as Arch Resources and Blackhawk that utilise the Baltimore shipping route have sought effective alternative arrangements so far and buyers have been largely comfortable despite some delays in laycans. Other suppliers such as Northern Appalachia's largest producer, Consol Energy's Bailey mine , which is a key supplier to Atlantic end-users, have faced more challenges, market participants suggest. The decline in fob Australia coal prices from last year's highs amid improved supply availability has also weighed on prices. The Argus assessed premium low-volatile coking coal fob Australia price was at $242.80/t on 3 May, largely unchanged from $254/t on 26 March after reaching a low of $224/t on 8 April. The US east coast prices have followed a similar trajectory, with low-volatile fob US east coast at $215/t today down from $220/t on 26 March after falling to a low in April. Low European demand has been one of the reasons behind the tepid response to coking coal shipment delays from the US. But with expectations of at least some recovery in the second half of 2024 and still no firm date on when the Baltimore traffic will return to normal, some US suppliers suggest coking coal prices may face some upward pressure later this year. Luxembourg-based steelmaker ArcelorMittal has kept its apparent steel demand outlook in Europe unchanged for 2024, expecting a growth of 2-4pc on the year . European steel association Eurofer downgraded its apparent steel consumption outlook for 2024 again , to 3.2pc from a previous forecast of 5.6pc, owing to worsening geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty, energy prices, inflation and higher interest rates. But this would still be an improvement from a 9pc fall in steel consumption in 2023. There is also optimism among US coal suppliers that Brazil may be a source of renewed demand in the coming months with domestic steel production expected to improve. The Brazilian government is due to increase taxes for some imported steel products after facing pressure from the domestic steel industry to apply tariffs on imports, in particular on Chinese steel. Taxes will be increased to 25pc on 11 steel products — mainly flat rolled — contingent on such import levels exceeding prescribed quotas, the trade ministry's committee on foreign commerce, Gecex/Camex, said. Brazil's crude steel output reached 31.9mn t in 2023, down by 6.5pc on the year, World Steel Association data show. In the US, the fall in seaborne met coal prices also points to potential consolidation in the sector and the possibility of supplies tightening down the road. Industry participants highlight that some of the small and mid-sized mining operations that have emerged in the past two years amid a strong price environment are struggling. Bens Creek Group, which operates the Bens Creek Mining project in West Virigina with around 30,000-35,000st (27,200-31,800t) per month of coking coal output, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in April. The year-to-date average price of high-volatile A for 2024 stands at $242.62/t fob Hampton Roads and is estimated to be above production costs for some of these mines. In 2022, high-volatile A prices averaged $347.81/t fob Hampton Roads, driven by a combination of market concerns over the Russia-Ukraine conflict and supply disruptions in Australia. While Russian coking coal remains available and competitively priced in the market, in particular a key supply source for China, US sanctions will continue to put pressure on major coal importers such as India and South Korea to reduce their Russian imports. The US announced fresh sanctions against Russian coal producer Sibanthracite's group of companies earlier this week. By Siew Hua Seah Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US job growth nearly halved in April


24/05/03
24/05/03

US job growth nearly halved in April

Houston, 3 May (Argus) — The US added fewer jobs in April as the unemployment rate ticked up and average earnings growth fell, signs of gradually weakening labor market conditions. The US added 175,000 jobs in April, the Labor Department reported today, fewer than the 238,000 analysts anticipated. That compared with an upwardly revised 315,000 jobs in March and a downwardly revised 236,000 jobs in February. The unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9pc from 3.8pc. The unemployment rate has ranged from 3.7-3.9pc since August 2023, near the five-decade low of 3.4pc. The latest employment report comes after the Federal Reserve on Wednesday held its target lending rate unchanged for a sixth time and signaled it would be slower in cutting rates from two-decade highs as the labor market has remained "strong" and inflation, even while easing, is "still too high". US stocks opened more than 1pc higher today after the jobs report and the yield on the 10-year Treasury note fell to 4.47pc. Futures markets showed odds of a September rate cut rose by about 10 percentage points to about 70pc after the report. Average hourly earnings grew by 3.9pc over the 12 month period, down from 4.1pc in the period ended in March. Job gains in the 12 months through March averaged 242,000. Gains, including revisions, averaged 276,000 in the prior three-month period. Job gains occurred in health care, social services and transportation and warehousing. Health care added 56,000 jobs, in line with the gains over the prior 12 months. Transportation and warehousing added 22,000, also near the 12-month average. Retail trade added 20,000. Construction added 9,000 following 40,000 in March. Government added 8,000, slowing from an average of 55,000 in the prior 12 months. Manufacturing added 9,000 jobs after posting 4,000 jobs the prior month. Mining and logging lost 3,000 jobs. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UK decoiler Atlantic Steel enters administration


24/05/03
24/05/03

UK decoiler Atlantic Steel enters administration

London, 3 May (Argus) — Birkenhead-based decoiler Atlantic Steel filed for administration yesterday, according to a filing seen by Argus . The company has been under pressure since its previous owners took a large chunk of cash out of the business as part of a management buyout in 2022. Credit insurers began to pull cover on the business towards the end of last year, and suppliers have been calling retention of title, which protects suppliers in the event of insolvency or bankruptcy, in recent days. Sources suggest the debt of the business at the time of administration is around £18mn. The previous owners are preferential creditors after the banks, as they were due another £5mn from the business, according to Companies House filings. Market sources suggest it is likely the business will be bought out of administration, with other service centres interested in the assets — the lease on the site expires in the next few years but is extendable, and Atlantic operates the largest decoiler in the UK, capable of decoiling over 2.5m wide. It is also situated on the dock at Birkenhead, which cuts inland transportation costs. The UK HRC market has been under pressure for a number of months, in line with the struggles seen in Europe. Argus ' weekly assessment was £605/t ddp West Midlands on 2 May, down from a recent peak of £700/t at the start of February. The assessment reached an all-time high of £1,200/t on 31 March 2022, and the management buyout took place later that year. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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