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Abu Dhabi boosts reserves with unconventional oil

  • : Crude oil
  • 20/11/22

Abu Dhabi has boosted its estimated conventional oil reserves by 2bn bl to take its total to 107bn bls, the emirate's Supreme Petroleum Council (SPC) announced today. This is the second consecutive reserves increase in as many years.

It also added another 22bn bl of recoverable unconventional oil resources following a major onshore appraisal program by state-owned Adnoc covering 25,000 km2 in Abu Dhabi.

The reserve additions were confirmed by Houston-based independent petroleum consultants Ryder Scott, according to the SPC.

At 22 billion barrels, the newly discovered recoverable unconventional resource would be bigger than Abu Dhabi's existing major oil fields, the SPC said, and have production potential comparable to "the largest shale oil operations in North America".

The announcement followed a meeting of the SPC, Abu Dhabi's highest hydrocarbon policy and strategy body, which was chaired by the UAE's de facto ruler, Abu Dhabi's crown prince Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan.

The additions come just one year after the SPC boosted its estimate of Abu Dhabi's oil reserves by 7 bn bl to 105bn bl. This lifted it from seventh to sixth position in global reserves ranking.

And further announcements on reserves could be on the way in the coming years if exploration work at blocks included in Abu Dhabi's second licensing round prove successful. The SPC is preparing to announce the winners of the upstream exploration licensing round, which was held in 2019. Two onshore and three offshore blocks were offered in that round, as well as unconventional oil and gas prospects for the first time.

"Based on the data available from detailed studies of the petroleum system and seismic surveys obtained from exploration and evaluation wells, it is estimated that the new areas within the second round of competitive bidding contain large resources estimated at several billions of barrels of oil and trillions of cubic feet of natural gas," the SPC said.

Adnoc aims to use discoveries made the licensing rounds to help sustain its long-term production capacity target of 5mn b/d by 2030. The emirate can currently produce as much as 4mn b/d.

Along with the reserves hike, the SPC also approved a 448 billion dirham ($122 billion) capital spending plan for Adnoc to help fund energy projects for the coming five years. Further details on the outlay were not provided however.


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25/06/18

Market risks grow as Trump threatens Iran: Update

Market risks grow as Trump threatens Iran: Update

Updates with details throughout Washington, 18 June (Argus) — The prospect of wider escalation in the Middle East if the US joins Israel's attacks on Iran is affecting marine insurance, freight and middle distillate prices, even though the flow of energy commodities out of the Mideast Gulf so far remains unfettered. US president Donald Trump, in wide-ranging remarks throughout the day, hinted at a potential US role in Israel's bombing campaign against Iran. But he also suggested that a diplomatic solution is still possible, noting that he has yet to make a decision on whether to target Iran. Trump told reporters at around 3:10pm ET that he would shortly convene another meeting with his top national security advisers to discuss US options. Speaking from Tehran earlier in the day, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, warned of "irreparable damage" to the US if it joins the attacks. Trump, in remarks to reporters at the White House this morning, said he presented an "ultimate ultimatum" to Tehran. And as for a potential US air raid on Iran, Trump said: "I may do it. I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do." Speaking from the Oval Office in the afternoon, Trump said, "I'd like to make a final decision one second before it's due." Khamenei, in a televised address today, denounced Trump's "absurd, unacceptable rhetoric to openly demand that the Iranian people surrender to him". Iran will oppose any "imposed peace", Khamenei said. The escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a surge in Europe-bound freight rates for medium range tankers loading in the US Gulf coast. Mideast Gulf middle distillate premiums are at multi-month highs. Additional War Risk Premiums in the Mideast Gulf could rise sharply in the coming days, as the number of insurance underwriters willing to commit at current levels appears to be shrinking. Some LNG carriers that have held off from transiting the strait of Hormuz in recent days have since sailed through or have approached the strait, while no carriers loaded in the Mideast Gulf have slowed from sailing via the strait. Few barriers to US participation Domestically and internationally, there is no significant pushback against a potential US involvement. But the isolationist wing of Republican politicians and media figures loyal to Trump, including former Fox New anchorman Tucker Carlson, is urging him to avoid involvement in an Israel-Iran war. Trump's extensive commentary suggests a perceived need to push back on criticism of his sudden eagerness to involve the US in another war in the Middle East after years of lambasting his predecessors for having done so. Trump told reporters this afternoon that "Carlson called and apologized the other day because he thought he said things that were a little too strong." The argument Trump says he is trying to make is that preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon may be worth a military intervention. "I'm not looking to fight," Trump said. "But if it's a choice between fighting or having a nuclear weapon, you have to do what you have to do." The US intelligence community assessed, most recently in April, that Iran has not restarted work on nuclear weapons despite building up enriched uranium stockpiles since 2018, when Trump terminated a functioning agreement that curbed that program. "I've been saying for 20 years, maybe longer, that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon," Trump said today. Mixed messages on talks Trump claimed that Iran's government has reached out to him for a diplomatic solution and has expressed willingness to send a high-ranking official to the White House. The offer is "courageous", Trump said, but added, "I said it's very late to be talking." Iran's mission to the UN subsequently denied a request for a meeting at the White House. Iran after the Israeli attack canceled a round of talks scheduled to take place in Oman on 15 June. Khamenei, in his remarks today, hinted at a "suspicion" that the US diplomatic approach had been part of Israel's preparation for military strikes. "Considering their recent remarks, this suspicion is growing stronger day by day," Khamenei said. Trump said he began to consider the possibility of US military action in the immediate aftermath of the Israeli attack. "The first night was devastating, and it really knocked the one side off," Trump said. Russian president Vladimir Putin reached out with an offer to mediate in the Israel-Iran conflict, Trump said. The conversation took place on 14 June, according to the Kremlin. "I said, do me a favor, mediate your own," Trump said, referring to Russia's war in Ukraine. "Let's mediate Russia first. OK?" By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed sees 2 rate cuts in '25, eyes tariffs: Update


25/06/18
25/06/18

US Fed sees 2 rate cuts in '25, eyes tariffs: Update

Adds Powell comments, economic backdrop. Houston, 18 June (Argus) — US Federal Reserve policymakers kept the target interest rate unchanged today and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year while downgrading forecasts for the US economy in the face of largely tariff-driven uncertainty. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc, in the fourth meeting of 2025. This followed rate cuts of 100 basis points over the last three meetings of 2024, which lowered the target rate from more than two-decade highs. In the Fed's first release of updated economic projections since President Donald Trump's 2 April "Liberation Day" announcement of far-ranging tariffs, policymakers continued to pencil in two quarter-point rate cuts for the remainder of the year. "Changes to trade, immigration, fiscal and regulatory policies continue to evolve and their effects on the economy remain uncertain," Fed chair Jerome Powell told reporters after the meeting. "Today, the amount of the tariff effects — the size of the tariff effects, their duration and the time it will take, are all highly uncertain. So that is why we think the appropriate thing to do is to hold where we are as we learn more." Policymakers and Fed officials Wednesday lowered their median estimate for GDP growth this year to 1.4pc from a prior estimate of 1.7pc in the March economic outlook. They see inflation rising to a median 3pc for 2025 from the prior estimate of 2.7pc, with unemployment rising to 4.5pc from 4.4pc in the prior forecast. Economists have warned that Trump's erratic use of tariffs and plans to raise the national debt, along with mounting geopolitical risk highlighted by the latest Israel-Iran clashes, threaten to throw the economy into a recession or marked slowdown. Consumer confidence has tumbled and financial markets have been volatile while the dollar has slumped to three-year lows. Still, the labor market and inflation — the two pillars of the Fed's policy mandate — have remained relatively stable into the fifth month of Trump's administration. "As long as the economy is solid, as long as we're seeing the kind of labor market that we have and reasonably decent growth, and inflation moving down, we feel like the right thing to do is to be where we are, where our policy stance is and learn more," Powell said. US job growth slowed to 139,000 in May, near the average gain of 149,000 over the prior 12 months and unemployment has remained in a range of 4-4.2pc since May 2024. Consumer inflation was at an annual 2.4pc in May, down from 3pc in January. US GDP growth contracted by an annual 0.2pc in the first quarter, largely due to an increase in imports on pre-tariff stockpiling, down from 2.4pc in the fourth quarter and the lowest in three years. "What we're waiting for to reduce rates is to understand what will happen with the tariff inflation," Powell said. "And there's a lot of uncertainty about that. Every forecaster you can name who is a professional is forecasting a meaningful increase in inflation in coming months from tariffs because someone has to pay for the tariffs." Before Wednesday's FOMC announcement, Trump made a rambling attack on the Fed's policy under Powell, in remarks to reporters at the White House. "I call him 'too late Powell', because he's always too late" in lowering rates. "Am I allowed to appoint myself at the Fed? I do a much better job than these people." Powell's term in office as Fed chair expires in May 2026. Powell declined to directly address Trump's comments. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US Fed keeps rate flat, still eyes 2 cuts in 2025


25/06/18
25/06/18

US Fed keeps rate flat, still eyes 2 cuts in 2025

Houston, 18 June (Argus) — US Federal Reserve policymakers kept the target interest rate unchanged today and signaled two quarter-point cuts are still likely this year. The Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) held the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25-4.50pc, in the fourth meeting of 2025. This followed rate cuts of 100 basis points over the last three meetings of 2024, which lowered the target rate from more than two-decade highs. In the Fed's first release of updated economic projections since President Donald Trump's 2 April "Liberation Day" announcement of far-ranging tariffs, policymakers continued to pencil in two quarter-point rate cuts for the remainder of the year. Policymakers and Fed officials Wednesday lowered their estimate for GDP growth this year to 1.4pc from a prior estimate of 1.7pc in the March economic outlook. They see inflation rising to 3pc for 2025 from the prior estimate of 2.7pc, with unemployment rising to 4.5pc from 4.4pc in the prior forecast. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Mexican president floats 'general agreement' with US


25/06/18
25/06/18

Mexican president floats 'general agreement' with US

Mexico City, 18 June (Argus) — Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum said she proposed to US president Donald Trump that their countries could sign a "general agreement" on key cross-border problems, suggesting the deal could be made before the US, Mexico and Canada free trade agreement (USMCA) is renegotiated. The presidents were set to meet this week at the G7 summit in Canada, but Trump left early and had a "good call" with Sheinbaum on the phone instead, Sheinbaum and the White House said. Sheinbaum said today she proposed Mexico and the US sign a single agreement on cross-border security, including drugs crossing into the US, migration and commerce — topics Trump flagged as major issues between the countries. Mexico has mostly managed to steer clear of Trump's on-again/off-again trade action , but has not been able to convince Trump to remove steep import tariffs on steel, aluminum and automotive parts. Sheinbaum previously said she hoped to get Trump to remove these tariffs by addressing security and migration issues while getting support from the US to stem the flow of arms into Mexico. Trump on Monday described ongoing trade negotiations as an easy process. "We are dealing with really, if you think about it, probably 175 countries, and most of them can just be sent a letter saying, 'It will be an honor to trade with you, and here's what you're going to have to pay to do'", Trump said. But that same day he pushed back on calls from Canada and the EU to negotiate trade deals, arguing that their approach is too complicated. "You get too complex on the deals and they never get done," Trump said. Canada and the US also aim to strike a trade deal within 30 days, Canadian prime minister Mark Carney said on Monday after meeting with Trump. Trump has been pushing Mexico into an early renegotiation of the USMCA. But the talks with Canada and the call with Mexico suggest Trump could finalize separate deals with Mexico and Canada before the USMCA's renegotiations are finished. By Cas Biekmann Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump talk of Iran attacks spreads market risks


25/06/18
25/06/18

Trump talk of Iran attacks spreads market risks

Washington, 18 June (Argus) — The prospect of wider escalation in the Middle East if the US joins Israel's attacks on Iran is affecting marine insurance, freight and middle distillate prices, even though the flow of energy commodities out of the Mideast Gulf so far remains unfettered. US president Donald Trump's repeated hints at a potential US role in Israel's bombing campaign against Iran prompted Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to warn of "irreparable damage" to the US if it joins the attacks. Trump in remarks to reporters at the White House today said he presented an "ultimate ultimatum" to Tehran and said of a potential US air raid on Iran, "I may do it. I may not do it. I mean, nobody knows what I'm going to do." Khamenei in a televised address today denounced Trump's "absurd, unacceptable rhetoric to openly demand that the Iranian people surrender to him." Iran will oppose any "imposed peace", Khamenei said. "The harm the US will suffer will definitely be irreparable if they enter this conflict militarily," Khamenei said. The escalating conflict in the Middle East is causing a surge in Europe-bound freight rates for medium range tankers loading in the US Gulf coast. Mideast Gulf middle distillate premiums are at multi-month highs. Additional War Risk Premiums (AWRP) in the Mideast Gulf could rise sharply in the coming days as the number of insurance underwriters willing to commit at current levels appears to be shrinking. Some LNG carriers that have held off from transiting the strait of Hormuz in recent days have since sailed through or have approached the strait, while no carriers loaded in the Mideast Gulf have slowed from sailing via the strait. Few barriers to US participation Domestically and internationally, there is no significant pushback against a potential US involvement. The isolationist wing of Republican politicians and media figures loyal to Trump are urging him to avoid involvement in an Israel-Iran war. A group of Democratic senators on Tuesday circulated legislation to require Trump to ask for congressional authorization to use force against Iran, but senate majority leader John Thune (R-South Dakota) would not commit to allowing a vote on the resolution. "Dismantling Iran's nuclear program is what this is all about," Thune said in a televised interview Tuesday. "It can happen diplomatically, voluntarily, or can happen via force." There is also no unanimity among the other G7 leaders on the future course of conflict. The group in a statement on 16 June that Trump endorsed called Iran "the principal source of regional instability and terror." The Pentagon is ready to execute on any order by Trump, US defense secretary Pete Hegseth told a Senate panel today. Hegseth declined to say if Trump made any decision on an attack. Mixed messages on talks Trump claimed today that Iran's government has reached out to him for a diplomatic solution and has expressed willingness to send a high ranking official to the White House. The offer is "courageous", Trump said, but added that "I said it's very late to be talking." Iran's mission to the UN subsequently denied a request for a meeting at the White House. Trump said today that Russian president Vladimir Putin reached out with an offer to mediate in the Israel-Iran conflict. The conversation took place on 14 June, according to the Kremlin. "I said, do me a favor, mediate your own," Trump said, referring to Russia's war in Ukraine. "Let's mediate Russia first. Okay?" By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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