Exxon humbled by shareholder revolt: Update
Updates with shareholder vote throughout.
ExxonMobil suffered a historic defeat today after shareholders voted in favor of at least two of the four directors proposed by an upstart activist in the biggest challenge to date over how the oil and gas industry is preparing for a low-carbon future.
According to preliminary results, two nominees put up by activist investor Engine No 1 were voted onto the board: Gregory Goff, former chief executive of US refiner Andeavor, and Kaisa Hietala, a past head of renewable products at European refiner Neste. Eight existing ExxonMobil board members were re-elected.
But the results may change after the final votes are ready. Shareholders had the choice of voting between ExxonMobil's 12 current directors and four from Engine No 1 at the virtual annual meeting.
"Investors are no longer standing on the sidelines,'' said Anne Simpson, managing investment director for board governance and sustainability at the pension fund Calpers, which backed the activist. "This is a day of reckoning."
The outcome of today's vote, which followed one of the most hotly-contested proxy battles in recent years, will put pressure on rivals that are further ahead in their efforts to take climate change into account to do even more. A Dutch court earlier ordered Shell to slash net emissions by 45pc by 2030, while a majority of Chevron investors voted in favor of a proposal urging the oil giant to curb emissions from its customers.
ExxonMobil's showdown with investors today marked the culmination of a five-month campaign by Engine No 1, a San Francisco-based hedge fund, to overhaul the board amid criticism ExxonMobil has been slow to embrace clean energy while at the same time its financial performance has lagged others.
Although ExxonMobil regularly faces pressure from smaller shareholders over its environmental record — including its role for many years funding climate change skeptics — this year's efforts gained greater momentum following a disastrous financial performance in 2020.
The shareholder battle follows a stunning fall from grace for the oil major which was forced to write down billions of dollars in bad bets on natural gas, saw debt levels balloon and investor returns shrink. While the company's finances have improved of late as oil prices rebounded, detractors say shareholder pressure should take the credit rather than management.
The oil producer earlier today took investors by surprise by halting the meeting for one hour to allow more votes to be counted, drawing a strongly-worded rebuke from Engine No 1, which said shareholders shouldn't be fooled by the company's efforts to "stave off much-needed board change."
Support for dissidents grew
The hedge fund, which accused ExxonMobil of having "no credible strategy to create value in a decarbonizing world," won support from some of the biggest US pension funds based in California and New York. Meanwhile, leading proxy advisory companies including Institutional Shareholder Services also backed some of its nominees.
A last-minute attempt by ExxonMobil to head off the investor revolt by promising to add two new directors with energy and climate experience over the next year was earlier given short shrift by the dissident shareholder.
"What the Board needs are directors with experience in successful and profitable energy industry transformations who can help turn aspirations of addressing the risks of climate change into a long-term business plan, not talking points," Engine No 1 said in a statement earlier this week.
In response to the activist campaign, ExxonMobil laid out modest emissions targets, announced plans to invest $3bn in a low-carbon business, and announced some changes to the board. But those measures were inadequate to thwart the shareholder unrest in the end.
And just last week the IEA warned that new fossil-fuel investments must stop if the world stands a chance of cutting net emissions to zero by 2050 — putting even greater pressure on the industry.
The results of the ExxonMobil vote will show "whether companies can justify any more having a slow roll strategy on pivoting to cleaner energy," Amy Myers Jaffe, a research professor at Tufts University, told the FT Energy Source Live conference this week.
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Tanker freight rates expected to rise from 4Q: Appec
Tanker freight rates expected to rise from 4Q: Appec
Singapore, 12 September (Argus) — Tanker freight rates are expected to pick up in October-December and into next year's first quarter on recovering demand for dirty tankers, delegates said at the S&P Global Commodity Insights Appec conference in Singapore. Clean tanker freight rates for Long Range (LR) 2 and LR1 vessels fell in the third quarter because of competition from dirty tankers, Rohit Radhakrishnan, general manager, tanker and gas, Pacific Carriers, said at the conference on 11 September. Rates were dampened on higher competition from increased vessel supply, largely because several dirty tankers such as very large crude carriers (VLCCs) switched to ship clean products. A fully laden VLCC equates to slightly more than three LR2 cargoes, which are the vessels normally used to ship diesel and gasoil from the Middle East to Europe. This was in line with a trend since July when several dirty tankers such as VLCCs were booked to carry clean petroleum products from the Mideast Gulf and Asia to Europe, given weak seasonal demand for VLCCs in the northern hemisphere and higher time-charter equivalent (TCE) rates for clean LR vessels. But the dirty tanker freight market has risen since late last week. With the recent increase in demand for dirty tankers, its $/t discount with clean tankers has decreased, said Peter Kolding, vice president of commercial and pool management at Hafnia, a tanker company. As the winter season is also coming up, demand should increase, lending a general recovery in the fourth-quarter rates, Kolding added. VLCC freight rates have steadily moved higher from about 11 months-low because of active chartering activity late last week, with several freight participants also noting that they have already touched a bottom and should continue rebounding. The Argus -assessed rate for a VLCC carrying a dirty cargo from the Mideast Gulf to southeast Asia rose to $7.52/t on 11 September, from the 11 months-low of $6.49/t on 4 September. Tanker freight rates in 2025 will still be strong compared with past years, Radhakrishnan said, but might be slightly weaker than in 2024. With freight rates in the first quarter being seasonally strong, the market should be off to a good start, Kolding added, but noted that "we still got to keep an eye on geopolitical effects." The Red Sea conflict has played a huge part in freight rates this year because of increased tonne-mile demand and costs as vessels reroute through the Cape of Good Hope, said Kolding, adding that it would take a while for the conflict to be resolved. Rates could also find further support if crude prices continue to fall, attracting charterers to book tankers such as VLCCs as offshore storage for oil, the conference moderator said. By Sean Zhuang Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
China slowdown drags global oil demand: IEA
China slowdown drags global oil demand: IEA
London, 12 September (Argus) — A sharp slowdown in China continues to weigh on global oil demand growth, the IEA said today. In its latest Oil Market Report (OMR), the IEA sees China's demand increasing by just 180,000 b/d in 2024, compared with its forecast for 300,000 b/d last month and well below the 710,000 b/d it had projected in January. This was the main reason the IEA cut its 2024 global oil demand forecast by 70,000 b/d to 900,000 b/d. The Paris-based agency said year on year gains of just 800,000 b/d in the first half were the lowest since 2020 and based on "actual data received year-to-date." It sees demand growth remaining subdued in 2025 at 950,000 b/d, unchanged from last month's estimate. The gloomy outlook comes after China recorded a fourth consecutive oil monthly consumption decline in July, at 280,000 b/d, the IEA said. The Paris-based agency attributes the slowdown in China's oil use to a "broad-based economic slowdown and an accelerating substitution away from oil in favour of alternative fuels weigh on consumption." China is not the only country where oil demand is weaker than previously anticipated. The IEA halved its US oil demand growth estimate for this year to just 70,000 b/d, noting a sharp drop in gasoline deliveries in June. "With the steam seemingly running out of Chinese oil demand growth, and only modest increases or declines in most other countries, current trends reinforce our expectation that global demand will plateau by the end of this decade," the IEA said. The agency's latest medium term oil outlook sees world oil demand peaking at 105.6mn b/d in 2029. The IEA's latest projections add to concerns about the health of oil demand this year. Even Opec, which had until August kept its highly bullish oil demand forecast unchanged, has trimmed its expectations for this year and next although its 2024 projection of over 2mn b/d demand growth remains well above most other outlooks. Supply surplus incoming The IEA's forecast does not bode well for a plan by some members of Opec+ to start unwinding 2.2mn b/d of voluntary cuts starting in December. "With non-Opec+ supply rising faster than overall demand — barring a prolonged stand-off in Libya — Opec+ may be staring at a substantial surplus [next year], even if its extra curbs were to remain in place," the agency said. The IEA's latest balances show a supply surplus of more than 1mn b/d in 2025. On global supply, the IEA lowered its growth estimate to 660,000 b/d compared with 730,000 b/d last month. But global growth next year could be as high as 2.1mn b/d even if all Opec+ cuts are maintained, the IEA said. The agency said global observed oil stocks declined for a second consecutive month in July, by 47.1mn bl, although it noted a steep build in oil products stocks to the highest since January 2021. The IEA attributes the recent oil price declines to demand-based fears centred on China and noted the falls came despite "hefty supply losses in Libya and continued crude oil inventory draws." By Aydin Calik Global oil demand/supply balance mn b/d Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US summer gasoline demand lagged pre-Covid levels
US summer gasoline demand lagged pre-Covid levels
Houston, 11 September (Argus) — US gasoline demand ended the 2024 summer driving season well below pre Covid-19 pandemic norms and at the lower end of average post-Covid levels. US summer driving season gasoline demand — measured from the last Monday in May to the first Monday in September — averaged 9.1mn b/d this year, according to US Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly demand data released Wednesday. That is up by 49,000 b/d from the same period in 2023 and up by 291,000 b/d from 2022 but well below the 9.4mn b/d levels in the summer of 2021 when demand surged in the wake of the pandemic as the US economy reopened. In the ten years prior to the pandemic, weekly US gasoline demand averaged 9.3mn b/d in the peak summer months ( See chart) . Even as Americans drive more than ever , demand has failed to keep pace, likely due to increases in the efficiency of internal combustion engines and fully-electric vehicles (EVs) and hybrids comprising a greater portion of the automotive fleet. The weekly EIA data released Wednesday is less accurate than the monthly numbers published by the agency at a lag, but those too have shown summer demand below pre-pandemic levels . Gasoline demand was 9.1mn b/d in June, the most recent monthly data, down by 246,000 b/d from the same month last year and down by 583,000 b/d from June 2019. Future outlook lowered The agency has also downgraded its demand outlook in recent days. On Tuesday it lowered its demand, price and inventory expectations for road fuels such as gasoline in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO). The agency revised down its expectations for gasoline demand in the second and third quarters of this year by 1.1pc and 0.4pc respectively to just over 9.1mn b/d. Demand in the second quarter of next year is expected to be 30,000 b/d higher than this year, but third quarter demand is expected to be 90,000 b/d lower, helping drive an overall 20,000 b/d gasoline demand decline next year. Headed into the third quarter, US refiners have been cutting runs after weaker-than-expected summer gasoline demand raised inventories and narrowed margins. Refiners also take plants offline for maintenance in the fall amid seasonally narrower margins. Access to the export markets could be a hedge against an uncertain domestic demand outlook, and several coastal refineries up for sale in North America could give a buyer access to global markets for the road fuel. US refiners have steadily exported more gasoline since about 2007, sending 298mn bls overseas last year compared to 46mn bls in 2007. By Nathan Risser US summer driving season gasoline demand ’000 b/d Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Francine spurs more US Gulf oil shut-ins: Update 2
Francine spurs more US Gulf oil shut-ins: Update 2
Update with BSEE production data. New York, 11 September (Argus) — US energy producers curtailed nearly 39pc of offshore Gulf of Mexico oil production as Hurricane Francine bore down on the Louisiana coastline today. About 674,833 b/d of offshore oil output was off line as of 12:30pm ET, according to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE). Around 907mn cf/d of natural gas production, or 49pc of the region's output, was also off line. Operators evacuated workers from 171 platforms. Companies including Chevron, ExxonMobil and Shell relocated offshore workers and suspending some drilling operations ahead of the hurricane. Ports along the hurricane's path announced traffic restrictions in advance, with some setting out plans to close until it passes, including the port of New Orleans. Francine was last about 60 miles south-southwest of Morgan City, Louisiana, according to a 4pm ET update from the National Hurricane Center. Maximum sustained winds were reported at 90mph. The hurricane is set to make landfall in Louisiana by this evening before moving north across Mississippi on Thursday. Rapid weakening is forecast and Francine is expected to be a post-tropical system on Thursday. With the hurricane's track locked in on Louisiana, the port of Houston reopened to all vessel traffic at 1pm ET Wednesday, a ship agent said, after closing Tuesday afternoon. The Gulf of Mexico accounts for around 15pc of total US crude output and 5pc of US natural gas production. By Stephen Cunningham and Tray Swanson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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