Brussels sticks to transition amid price spikes

  • : Electricity, Emissions, Natural gas
  • 21/10/11

Record gas and power prices in Europe have raised critical questions over the region's energy resilience as it aims to accelerate its energy transition in pursuit of urgent climate goals, but national responses and potential plans for co-ordinated action so far show no sign of backsliding on climate goals.

"The problem is in the market conditions, with the highest demand in 25 years creating price hikes," EU climate action commissioner Frans Timmermans told EU environment ministers on 6 October. France's 2018 gilets jaunes protests, sparked by fuel tax rises, are clearly on EU politicians' minds. But "the levels of social unrest, if we leave the climate crisis untackled, are going to be unsupportable", Timmermans says. "The problem here is the climate crisis. Europe needs to lead, so the rest of the world understands where we need to go."

Europe's energy price crisis focused the attention of ministers meeting to discuss European Commission legislative and policy changes intended to align EU emissions trading scheme (ETS) sectoral emissions reductions with the bloc's updated overall net greenhouse gas reduction target of 55pc by 2030, against 1990.

Some coal-dependent EU members have suggested that recent record-high EU carbon prices are playing a role in the energy price spikes. But revising the ETS will do little to tackle higher energy prices, Timmermans says, reacting to growing calls for changes to power and gas market legislation. The ETS is only responsible for up to 20pc of the higher energy prices, he says.

Among more direct responses, Spain is calling for a centralised European platform for buying natural gas, arguing that Europe should reproduce the model used to centrally purchase Covid-19 vaccines. EU officials have been sceptical of common gas purchasing, raising questions tied to the bloc's competition law. But Spanish economy minister Nadia Calvino Santamaria says there is increasing interest in a co-ordinated EU approach and that EU leaders will discuss proposals on 21-22 October. It "would allow us to negotiate with a single voice at European level towards major international gas suppliers", she says.

Russia is key among those suppliers, and Russian president Vladimir Putin has blamed current high gas prices in Europe on EU energy policies, offering Russia's "new pipelines" as part of the solution. Russia insists that it cannot increase supplies to Europe because it is producing at close to maximum levels and faces high domestic demand, but Putin has appeared to hint at the possibility of increasing supply through new routes such as the 55bn m³/yr Nord Stream 2 pipeline.

Align of fire

French economy minister Bruno Le Maire calls for improved regulation of gas markets and storage, and a "direct link" between average power generation in EU countries and prices paid by consumers — either through long-term contracts or regulated tariffs. "We can no longer accept electricity prices being aligned with gas prices. This is a dead end for the fight against climate change," he says. EU energy commissioner Kadri Simson plays down the role of climate policies or EU energy market rules on energy price rises. "Wind and solar have continued to generate the cheapest electricity in Europe in recent months," she says.

The commission, with EU energy regulator Acer, will launch a study of the power market's design, while Simson will propose gas market reforms later this year. But a leaked policy document to be put forward by the commission to tackle rising prices includes few new measures. The commission will only "explore" Spain's idea of "voluntary joint procurement of reserve gas". To support consumers, officials encourage countries to use revenues of €30bn ($34.7bn), expected in 2021, from auctioning 580mn emissions trading allowances.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

24/05/06

Brazil state faces power outages after record flood

Brazil state faces power outages after record flood

Sao Paulo, 6 May (Argus) — Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul state is facing power outages following record floods that killed more than 80 people and forced over 130,000 people out of their homes. The extreme weather took three substations, 25 transmission lines, five hydroelectric plants and 11 power transformers off line, according to grid operator ONS. In response, ONS started importing power from neighboring Uruguay and requested that the 250MW hybrid natural gas and diesel Canoas and 345MW coal-fired Pampa Sul power plants increase power generation. Earlier today, an estimated 435,000 consumers did not have electricity. The rains affected 341 of the 497 cities in the state, where the government declared a state of emergency in 336 municipalities. The government is working to re-establish power to the state as quickly as possible, the mines and energy ministry said in a social media post. The ministry also held an emergency meeting early yesterday and today to guarantee fuel supplies in the state . State capital Porto Alegre is expected to receive more rain later this week, according to Rio Grande do Sul-based weather forecaster MetSul. Metsul warned that parts of the Porto Alegre metropolitan area could remain uninhabitable for weeks or months. Brazil's airline association Abear said that the Salgado Filho international airport will remain closed indefinitely, after the airport's runway flooded. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US majors widen output gap over European rivals


24/05/06
24/05/06

US majors widen output gap over European rivals

New York, 6 May (Argus) — ExxonMobil and Chevron are seeing investments in Guyana and the Permian shale basin pay off, widening a gap with their transatlantic counterparts that could get even bigger with the completion of recent mega-deals. ExxonMobil is championing a speedy ramp-up of a massive offshore oil discovery in Guyana, where production has surged to more than 600,000 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the space of just a few years. And Chevron recorded a 35pc jump in first-quarter US output from a year earlier, buoyed by better-than-expected performance from the Permian basin, as well as the $7.6bn acquisition of US independent PDC Energy that bolstered its footprint in Colorado's DJ basin. And after years of delays and cost overruns, its highly vaunted expansion project in Kazakhstan is finally close to seeing the light of day. Even though European rivals including Shell and BP are backtracking on previous plans to scale back their reliance on oil and gas production, the US majors are poised to extend their lead after dominating a recent round of industry consolidation. ExxonMobil will become the top producer in the Permian after wrapping up its $59bn takeover of shale giant Pioneer Natural Resources. Anti-trust regulators at the US Federal Trade Commission cleared the deal after barring Pioneer's former chief executive, Scott Sheffield, from gaining a seat on the board, following allegations that he sought to collude with Opec members. And Chevron is still optimistic that its pending $53bn purchase of independent producer Hess will close by the end of the year, even though ExxonMobil has thrown a spanner in the works by claiming its right of first refusal over Hess' 30pc stake in Guyana's prolific Stabroek block, where it is the operator. Chevron's attempt to muscle in on Guyana's oil riches would answer lingering concerns over its long-term growth profile. The dispute has now been referred to international arbitration in Paris and the company hopes the transaction can be completed this year. A failure of the deal to close would not "materially" hit Chevron's near-term valuation, according to bank HSBC. "However, the strategic gap between Chevron and ExxonMobil could widen over time if the Hess deal does not happen," the bank says. Advantage Exxon Excluding the Pioneer transaction, ExxonMobil forecasts its output will grow to 4.2mn boe/d by 2027 from about 3.8mn boe/d this year. Chief executive Darren Woods has doubled down on so-called "advantaged" projects including Guyana and the Permian, which offer the most profitable and low-cost barrels that will be key drivers of revenue growth. The company's share of overall production from such assets has increased to 44pc from 28pc in recent years. Woods sees the growing cash flow from those projects as vindication of his strategy to direct "counter-cyclical" investments before and during the pandemic, which were unpopular with some investors at the time. Spending discipline remains a key priority even as new projects start up. ExxonMobil has achieved $10.1bn of cost savings from 2019 levels, and is on course to hit $15bn by 2027. And Woods says there is scope for even more savings to be found. Meanwhile, Chevron says its output from the Permian is trending better than previous guidance for a 2-4pc decline in the first half of 2024, with more wells due to come on line later this year. The company is also preparing to start up its Anchor offshore platform in the Gulf of Mexico in the middle of the year, with more projects in the region to follow. "The outlook in the US is especially strong," chief executive Mike Wirth says. Chevron is guiding for 4-7pc overall output growth this year, after pumping a record 3.1mn boe/d last year. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Brazil hydroelectric dam bursts under record rains


24/05/03
24/05/03

Brazil hydroelectric dam bursts under record rains

Sao Paulo, 3 May (Argus) — Brazilian power generation company Companhia Energetica Rio das Antas (Ceran) found a partial rupture in its 100MW 14 de Julho hydroelectric plant following record precipitation in Rio Grande do Sul state. Flooding from the record rains has left 37 dead and forced more than 23,000 people out of their homes, causing widespread damage across the state, including washed out bridges and roads across several cities. Ceran reported that the dam of the hydroelectric plant on the Antas River suffered a rupture under the heavy rains and the company implemented an emergency evacuation plan on 1 May. Ceran's 130MW Monte Claro and 130MW Castro Alves plants are under intense monitoring, the company said in a statement. Rio Grande do Sul state governor Eduardo Leite declared a state of emergency and the federal government promised to release funding for emergency disaster relief. Leite said the flooding will likely go down as the worst environmental disaster in the state's history. Brazil's southernmost state along the border with Argentina has been punished by record precipitation over the past year owing to the effects of the strong El Nino weather phenomenon, according to Rio Grande do Sul-based weather forecaster MetSul Meteorologia. Brazilian power company CPFL Energia controls Ceran with a 65pc equity stake. Energy company CEEE-GT, which is owned by steel manufacturer CSN, owns another 30pc, and Norway's Statkraft owns the remaining 5pc. The state had declared a state of emergency as recently as September 2023 because of unusually heavy rains that resulted in the death of more than 30 people. Weather forecasters expect El Nino conditions to abate in the coming months over the eastern Pacific. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Chevron’s oily DJ basin buy boosts gas output


24/05/03
24/05/03

Chevron’s oily DJ basin buy boosts gas output

New York, 3 May (Argus) — Chevron's US natural gas production has surged in recent quarters due to its crude-focused acquisition of Denver-based PDC Energy last August, increasing the oil major's exposure to the US gas market months after that market entered an extended price slump. Chevron's US gas production in the first quarter was 2.7 Bcf/d (76mn m3/d), up by 53pc from the year-earlier quarter and the highest since at least 2021, according to company production data. Chevron's total US output rose by 35pc year-over-year to 1.57 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d), while US crude output increased by 21pc to 779,000 b/d. The acreage Chevron picked up last year in the DJ basin of northeast Colorado and southeast Wyoming has higher gas-oil ratios than the rest of its US portfolio. Chevron mostly focuses US production in the crude-rich Permian basin of west Texas and southeast New Mexico. Since Chevron closed its acquisition of PDC on 7 August, US gas prices have mostly languished in loss-making territory. Prompt-month Nymex gas settlements at the US benchmark Henry Hub from 7 August 2023 to 2 May 2024 averaged $2.46/mmBtu, down from an average of $4.999/mmBtu in the year-earlier period. In a May 2023 conference call over Chevron's acquisition of PDC, chief executive Mike Wirth expressed optimism for the long-run outlook for natural gas, despite the more immediately dim outlook. "There's going to be stronger global demand for gas growth than there will be for oil over the next decade and beyond as the world looks to decarbonize," Wirth said. Despite lower US gas prices, Chevron has captured $600mn in cost savings from the PDC acquisition between capital and operational expenditures, the company told Argus . Crude prices have also been more resilient. Chevron's profit in the first quarter was $5.5bn, down from $6.6bn in the year-earlier quarter, partly due to lower gas prices. US gas prices have been lower this year as unseasonably warm winter weather and resilient production have created an oversupplied US gas market. A government report Thursday showed US gas inventories up by 35pc from the five-year average. By Julian Hast Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UN carbon market enshrines appeal, grievance processes


24/05/03
24/05/03

UN carbon market enshrines appeal, grievance processes

Berlin, 3 May (Argus) — The much-debated procedure for appeal and grievance processes for people negatively affected by carbon mitigation activities was finally passed this week by the regulator of the future UN carbon market. The supervisory body of the Paris agreement crediting mechanism, under Article 6.4 of the Paris climate agreement, called the appeal and grievance procedure a "crucial step towards developing a new international carbon market that sets the benchmark for high integrity carbon credits". The mechanism is expected to be passed at the UN climate summit Cop 29 in November in Azerbaijan. The appeal and grievance procedure sets the fee for filing an appeal at $30,000, compared with the $5,000 fee suggested in earlier iterations, which was seen by some supervisory body members at this week's meeting in Bonn, Germany, as "too low for project developers, but too high for vulnerable groups". The fee will be waived for appellants who are appealing for vulnerable groups, such as local communities and indigenous peoples. But the supervisory body failed to pass the mechanism's long-awaited sustainable development tool, instead launching a call for input. Members had criticised the lack of a validation and verification process for the tool, and its unclear delimitations, given that some of its objectives will be addressed in future rules on carbon removals activities or the carbon reduction methodologies under the mechanism. Making the tool mandatory was demanded by both countries and non-governmental organisations at recent Cop summits, with the lack of a grievance process and sustainable development tool part of the reason why the pricing mechanism was not finalised at Cop 28 in Dubai last year. The sustainable development tool of the Kyoto Protocol's clean development mechanism (CDM), which the new mechanism broadly aims to replace, was never made mandatory. A total of 1,796 carbon mitigation activities have now requested to transition from the CDM to the new mechanism, of which more than 300 have not yet provided full details and could miss the 31 August deadline, the UN's climate arm said in Bonn. The supervisory body called for an extension of the transition period to 4 November. Work on the new mechanism's registry is also advancing, with the supervisory body agreeing to launch a consultation on the "legal, technical and financial implications of providing functionality for the treatment of financial security interests in Article 6.4 emissions reductions within the mechanism registry". By Chloe Jardine Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more