Generic Hero BannerGeneric Hero Banner
Latest market news

Combustível do Futuro deve avançar rápido, diz Abicom

  • : Biofuels, Natural gas
  • 24/02/27

A Câmara dos Deputados deve aprovar rapidamente o projeto de lei (PL) Combustível do Futuro, disse o presidente da Associação Brasileira de Importadores de Combustíveis (Abicom), Sérgio Araújo, à Argus.

Nesta segunda-feira, o deputado federal Arnaldo Jardim (Cidadania-SP), relator do projeto, apresentou um relatório com mudanças no texto original.

"A demora excessiva para soltar o relatório me faz acreditar que ele [Jardim] já tenha divulgado um relatório costurado e amarrado com os principais decisores – incluindo os ministérios de Minas e Energia e da Agricultura", contou Araújo, acrescentando que o deputado é muito influente no Congresso.

Recentemente, o Combustível do Futuro também foi apensado a um projeto semelhante de autoria do deputado Alceu Moreira, que corre em caráter emergencial e pode facilitar a tramitação do pacote verde.

"Acho que o relatório está pronto para ser votado, principalmente na Câmara, e ser aprovado rapidamente", disse o presidente da Abicom à Argus.

O texto precisa ser aprovado pelas duas casas do Congresso e sancionado pelo presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva para ser transformado em lei. Mas é provável que o PL enfrente um debate maior no Senado, Araújo afirmou.

A aceitação do relatório não é unânime no setor de combustíveis fósseis, já que que os principais consumidores de diesel, como a Confederação Nacional do Transporte (CNT) e a Associação Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veículos Automotores (Anfavea), não estão satisfeitos com a adição do aumento do mandato de mistura do biodiesel na revisão proposta por Jardim, apontou Araújo.

"Deve acontecer uma reação bem forte dos principais consumidores, como as distribuidoras", ele acrescentou.

A última versão do projeto inclui o biodiesel no escopo e estabelece um cronograma de elevação anual do percentual de adição obrigatória no período de 2025 a 2030, de modo a chegar em 20pc e subir para 25pc a partir de 2031. Atualmente, a mescla do biocombustível no diesel está em 12pc.

O texto revisado também propõe a instituição do Programa Nacional do Biometano e abre espaço para elevar o percentual obrigatório do etanol anidro na gasolina dos atuais 27,5pc para 35pc, após testes de viabilidade técnica.

O governo Lula apresentou o PL pela primeira vez em setembro, como parte de esforços de transição energética para expandir o uso de combustíveis renováveis e reduzir emissões.


Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

25/02/04

Chinese UCO fate sealed long before tariffs

Chinese UCO fate sealed long before tariffs

New York, 4 February (Argus) — Broad US tariffs on Chinese imports that took effect today may reshuffle trade flows between the world's two largest economies, but demand for the once-pivotal US biofuel feedstock Chinese used cooking oil (UCO) was already waning. China exported 2.7bn lbs of UCO into the US over the first 11 months of 2024, more than any other foreign supplier, up from 1.6bn lbs in 2023 and just 100,000 lbs in 2022, according to US customs data. Clean fuel standards in states like California, Oregon, and Washington, along with a federal tax credit that rewards biofuels that produce fewer greenhouse gas emissions, spurred refiners to look beyond domestic supply and import low-carbon wastes from abroad. The US' new 10pc tariffs on Chinese imports could discourage further imports, since US refiners have a range of feedstock options for renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production. The US trade representative did not immediately confirm the tariff rate for UCO, but there was already an 8pc tariff on UCO from all origins and an additional 7.5pc tariff on China-origin UCO before even factoring in the new surcharge on all imports. Both countries have also recently taken steps to curb Chinese UCO exports, making further growth in UCO trade less likely, even if tariffs go away. China late last year cancelled a 13pc export tax rebate for UCO, reducing a key incentive to send the feedstock abroad at a time when the country is aiming to use more SAF domestically. The administration of former president Joe Biden then took steps to cut off US demand, closing off opportunities for fuels derived from foreign UCO from claiming a tax credit crucial for production margins. That incentive, known as "45Z," offers increasingly generous subsidies to fuels as they produce fewer emissions, which was initially expected to benefit refiners sourcing UCO over first-generation crop feedstocks. But the new government emissions model that road fuel producers must use to claim the credit for now offers no pathway for fuels derived from foreign UCO. The US Treasury Department justified the restriction by saying it had "significant concerns" about distinguishing imported UCO from palm oil, which is ineligible for 45Z. The guidance is only preliminary, meaning President Donald Trump will have the final say on how the government enforces rules around the credit. But the new administration is likelier to pursue even more sweeping restrictions on foreign feedstocks, which Republican lawmakers have argued are hurting demand for US crops that can also be refined into fuel. Republicans could use budget legislation this year to change the credit too, and key lawmakers on the House tax-writing committee have already floated potential restrictions on foreign feedstocks. There are some caveats to US biofuel markets that mean UCO imports will not entirely go away absent more muscular trade restrictions. US biofuel producers with foreign UCO on hand can still sell into state low-carbon fuel standard markets like California, which have not restricted the feedstock. And the current guidance around 45Z allows producers of SAF — but not road fuels — to use an alternative lifecycle emissions model known as CORSIA, which does not restrict any sources of UCO. Valero senior vice president Eric Fisher said last week on an earnings call that the current restrictions on road fuels derived from foreign UCO claiming 45Z would not affect Diamond Green Diesel, the refiner's joint renewable fuels venture with Darling Ingredients. Foreign UCO has "always" been directed to meet SAF demand in Europe and the UK, Fisher said, and the recent guidance "does not really change what we were going to do strategically with that feedstock." Europe and the UK have 2pc SAF mandates starting this year, though requirements do not become significantly more stringent until 2030. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

HU-SK summer 2025 gas capacity nearly fully booked


25/02/04
25/02/04

HU-SK summer 2025 gas capacity nearly fully booked

London, 4 February (Argus) — Gas transmission capacity from Hungary towards Slovakia is almost entirely booked for the summer following near sold-out quarterly auctions on 3 February. Following a decision in January to make higher capacity at Balassagyarmat/Velke Zlievce permanent , the additional 25.4 GWh/d of space was offered for the next two quarters, with 23 GWh/d allocated for both ( see table ). After these auctions, roughly 99.4 GWh/d out of total technical capacity of 101.8 GWh/d from Hungary towards Slovakia has been allocated for April-September, although bookings drop to 68.7 GWh/d from October, Entso-G data show. Flows in this direction have been strong this year, averaging 87 GWh/d on 1 January-3 February, driven by Slovakia's need to replace Russian gas after the end of transit through Ukraine. And on the Hungarian-Ukrainian border at VIP Bereg, roughly 35 GWh/d of unbundled exit capacity was booked. Flows to Ukraine at Bereg averaged 17 GWh/d on 1 January-3 February, well below 56 GWh/d in December. Interest in this capacity may have been spurred by buying interest from Ukraine's Naftogaz , although throughout last summer there were also quick flows at Bereg, which then transited to Poland making use of Ukraine's short-haul regime. Elsewhere in the region, there was strong interest in quarterly bookings at VIP Brandov, on the German-Czech border, where 53 GWh/d was booked towards the Czech Republic for the second quarter and 48 GWh/d for the third quarter. Brandov has served as the only entry point for Czech supply since the turn of the year, as flows from Slovakia at Lanzhot dropped to zero after Russian transit halted. Given that the Czech Republic has national targets obliging a 90pc stockfill by 1 November, and storage was 51.4pc full as of Monday morning, there will probably be a need for a strong stockbuild this summer, necessitating inflows from Germany. By Brendan A'Hearn Quarterly capacity bookings GWh/d Network point Period Capacity Type Exit TSO Quality Exit TSO Entry TSO Quality entry TSO Offered capacity Allocated capacity VIP Brandov (DE/CZ) 2Q25 Bundled Gascade FZK firm Net4Gas FZK firm 154.1 53.4 VIP Brandov (DE/CZ) 3Q25 Bundled Gascade FZK firm Net4Gas FZK firm 151.3 47.8 VIP Bereg (HU/UA) 2Q25 Unbundled FGSZ Firm GTSOU 103.5 34.8 Balassagyarmat (HU) / Velke Zlievce (SK) 2Q25 Bundled FGSZ Firm Eustream Firm 25.4 23.0 Balassagyarmat (HU) / Velke Zlievce (SK) 3Q25 Bundled FGSZ Firm Eustream Firm 25.4 23.0 Kireevo (BG) / Zaychar (RS) 2Q25 Unbundled Bulgartransgaz Firm Gastrans 82.9 6.0 — RBP, Prisma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Tariffs not only US threat to Canada canola oil


25/02/04
25/02/04

Tariffs not only US threat to Canada canola oil

New York, 4 February (Argus) — Canadian canola farmers have reason to celebrate a last-minute deal to at least delay US tariffs. Changing US biofuel policies, however, could dim their excitement. The two countries agreed Monday to pause for a month 25pc tariffs on most Canadian imports, including agricultural products like canola oil. While best known for its use in food, canola oil has become an increasingly important ingredient in US biofuel production. Canada exported 800,000 lbs of crude canola oil to the US in 2021, before US regulators allowed more canola-based fuels to qualify for a biofuel mandate, but more than three times that total over just 11 months in 2024 according to customs data. Canola oil from all origins made up around 12pc of the US biomass-based diesel feedstock mix last year. The challenge for Canada is that policies in the US that helped cement canola oil's role in biofuel production are increasingly encouraging producers to use other feedstocks. The mere threat of tariffs could speed that trend along. A long-running US tax credit for blenders of biomass-based diesel expired last year and was replaced by the Inflation Reduction Act's "45Z" credit, which requires fuels to meet an initial carbon intensity threshold and then ups the subsidy as emissions fall. This shift was always expected to benefit waste feedstocks over crops, which incur a carbon penalty for land changes and fertilizer use. The clear message to refiners — both from the US government and from California regulators that run the state's influential low-carbon fuel standard — has been to diversify beyond vegetable oils. But an updated emissions model released by the Department of Energy last month surprised some in the industry by assessing the default carbon intensity of canola-based fuels as too high to automatically qualify for 45Z. Although fuels from soybean oil generally earn some credit, diesels made from canola oil could go from earning $1/USG last year to nothing this year. Before even factoring in potential tariffs, Canadian canola oil appears less attractive for refiners than even competing crops. Guidance on 45Z is preliminary , meaning canola crushers can push for final rules that are less restrictive. But energy lobbyists say privately that they do not expect the new administration to act with urgency to implement an incentive created by Democratic lawmakers and oriented around climate change. And many Republicans' concern with the credit is not that it is too harsh on canola — but that it is too permissive of foreign feedstocks they see as hurting US crop demand. The introduction of 45Z could simultaneously leave Canadian biofuel producers less able to backfill canola oil demand if US buyers look elsewhere. The credit can only be claimed by US producers, cutting off subsidies for imported fuels. At the same time, 45Z does not require fuel to be consumed stateside — meaning that US biorefineries can send subsidized fuel abroad to chase additional incentives Canada offers for biofuel usage. "The on-again off-again status of US tariffs and Canada's counter-tariff response do not alter the bare economics of biofuel production between jurisdictions when one has an exportable tax credit and the other does not," said Fred Ghatala, president of Advanced Biofuels Canada. The future of renewable diesel production in Canada, previously expected to grow significantly to the benefit of farmers, is in doubt. ExxonMobil's Canadian subsidiary is on track to open a 20,000 b/d renewable diesel plant this year, but other companies collectively representing more production capacity are wavering. Plans for an integrated canola crush and 15,000 b/d renewable diesel facility in Saskatchewan were paused last month. And it is unclear if Braya Renewable Fuels' 18,000 b/d biorefinery in Newfoundland is running now or if Tidewater Renewables' 3,000 b/d British Columbia plant will run after March. If demand from Canadian biorefineries remains limited, some traders expect that Trump's tariff threats could divert more canola oil previously bound for the US to Europe . But there is no perfect alternative to the US market, which accounted for 91pc of all Canadian canola oil exports in 2023 according to the US Department of Agriculture. "There is logistics capacity to sell canola oil, seed, or meal abroad. That's certainly an option," said Chris Vervaet, executive director of the Canadian Oilseed Processors Association. "The best option though is to continue to maintain and grow our trade relationship with our most important trade partner, which is the United States." By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Trump makes U-turn on Canada, Mexico tariffs: Update


25/02/03
25/02/03

Trump makes U-turn on Canada, Mexico tariffs: Update

Washington, 3 February (Argus) — US president Donald Trump reversed course on planned tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico, delaying their implementation by one month. Trump over the weekend issued executive orders for a 25pc tariff on all imports from Mexico, a 25pc tariff on non-energy imports from Canada, a 10pc tax on Canadian energy imports and a 10pc tariff on all imports from China, all to be effective on 4 February. But Trump delayed the tariffs on Mexico and Canada by a month and has indicated that tariffs on China likewise could be subject to negotiations with Beijing. Trump's decision-making on Mexico and Canada tariffs so far looks like a signature move from his first term — escalatory rhetoric and action followed by de-escalation after extracting concessions that do not appear to be significant. Trump said today he agreed to postpone the implementation of tariffs on Mexican goods after receiving assurances from Mexico president Claudia Sheinbaum that she would immediately reinforce the shared border with 10,000 national guard troops. Trump also cited similar assurances from Canadian prime minister Justin Trudeau. "As President, it is my responsibility to ensure the safety of ALL Americans, and I am doing just that," Trump said via his social media platform. "I am very pleased with this initial outcome." In both cases, the border security pledges touted by Sheinbaum and Trudeau recast initiatives already planned or underway. Trump told reporters today he would "be speaking to China probably over the next 24 hours" — likely meaning the country's president Xi Jinping. Unlike Mexico and Canada, China has taken a restrained stance to Trump's announcement of tariffs. Like the US immediate neighbors, China already has been taking steps to cut off the illegal manufacturing and exports of precursors for fentanyl — the pretext for Trump's tariffs. Things can only get bitter The announcement of tariffs that would have directly hit US energy trade will leave many in the industry scratching their heads about Trump's future moves. A major trade war that would have severely curtailed the flow of energy and other commodities across North America is averted for now, but Trump is signaling that tariffs remain a key plank on his policy agenda. Trump has shrugged off any negative impacts on the US energy sector and the broader economy, saying over the weekend that "WE WILL MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN, AND IT WILL ALL BE WORTH THE PRICE THAT MUST BE PAID." In remarks to reporters today, Trump pushed back against criticism of negative impacts of his tariffs. "Very simply, every single country that you're writing about right now is dying to make a deal," Trump said. In the immediate term, the Trump administration will hold high-level talks with the governments of Mexico and Canada against the deadline for the delayed imposition of tariffs. But down the line, there are other motivations for Trump to move forward with tariffs against key US trading partners. Trump today once again decried the "massive deficits" the US has in trade with Canada, Mexico, China, the EU and the UK. And then there is the lure of tariff revenue that Trump — with an eye toward upcoming congressional deliberation of extending tax cuts beyond 2025 — says would be sufficient to offset lower personal and corporate taxes. Trump set a 1 April deadline for US government agencies to prepare a report on "unfair trade practices" by key US trading partners, which would kick off a legal process for imposing tariffs in the following two months. Trump is separately planning to review the US-Mexico-Canada free trade agreement that his first administration negotiated in 2019. Unlike the tariffs that were due to be imposed on Tuesday by an executive order, the broader plan for tariffs scheduled to kick in after 1 April would be harder to reverse or to negotiate away. And his first two weeks in office show that, despite his claim to be championing America's "energy dominance", the US energy industry would not be exempt during the upcoming trade wars. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US delays Canada tariffs by a month: Trudeau


25/02/03
25/02/03

US delays Canada tariffs by a month: Trudeau

Calgary, 3 February (Argus) — US tariffs threatened against Canada will be delayed by 30 days, prime minister Justin Trudeau said this afternoon after talking with US president Donald Trump. "I just had a good call with President Trump," Trudeau posted on X, before describing Canada's plan to send thousands of officials to the US border to police fentanyl trafficking. The two leaders spoke twice on Monday, the eve of sweeping tariffs Trump had proposed against Canada and Mexico . Earlier in the day Mexican tariffs were also delayed by a month after similar promises for more troops on the border. "Nearly 10,000 frontline personnel are and will be working on protecting the border," Trudeau wrote. "In addition, Canada is making new commitments to appoint a Fentanyl Czar, we will list cartels as terrorists, ensure 24/7 eyes on the border, launch a Canada-US Joint Strike Force to combat organized crime, fentanyl and money laundering." Canada will be putting C$200mn ($139mn) towards tackling organized crime and fentanyl. In light of the US-Canada tariff pause, manufacturing and mineral-heavy Ontario said it would pause retaliation measures of its own announced earlier in the day. That would have banned US companies from provincial contracts, removed American products in liquor stores and cancelled a contract with Elon Musk's Starlink internet services. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more