US bridge collapse may weigh on dry freight rates

  • : Coal, Freight
  • 24/03/26

The collapse of a major bridge in the Port of Baltimore, Maryland, will likely put downward pressure on dry bulk rates as ship traffic in and out of the port remains closed indefinitely.

Market participants differ on the extent of any such market pressure, however.

"We are in the shoulder months with less demand for thermal coal," a shipbroker said, suggesting mild global temperatures meant the collapse "may not have too much of an impact" on dry freight markets overall.

Some coal suppliers will be able to load their cargoes at ports such as Hampton Roads, said two shipbrokers. This could partly mitigate any potential downward pressure on rates from suspended vessel traffic in Baltimore that would come from decreased cargo demand.

But a third shipbroker doubted much US coal could be diverted to other east coast ports. Panamax rates would likely decline because "coal, unlike other commodities cannot easily pivot to alternate ports," she said. The loss of cargo could expand Panamax tonnage supply in the Atlantic, she said.

"It is conceivable that Panamax intended for coal will now head south as long as they can present grain clean lengthening tonnage lists which will drive down rates."

Meanwhile, vessel traffic in ports such as Charleston, South Carolina, and Savannah, Georgia, may increase on diversions across many shipping segments from Baltimore, according to market contacts.


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24/05/08

New Zealand’s Genesis Energy to resume coal imports

New Zealand’s Genesis Energy to resume coal imports

Sydney, 8 May (Argus) — New Zealand's upstream firm and utility Genesis Energy plans to resume thermal coal imports later this year to feed its dual gas- and coal-fired Huntly power plant. The resumption was because of lower domestic gas production and rapidly declining coal stockpiles, and will mark the firm's first coal imports since 2022. Coal inventories at the 953MW Huntly plant, — New Zealand's largest power station by capacity and the country's only coal-fired facility — recently slipped below 500,000t, down from 624,000t at the end of March, and will fall below 350,000t by the end of the winter. This will trigger a need to purchase more coal to maintain a target operational stockpile of around 350,000t ahead of winters in 2025 and 2026, the company said on 8 May. Imports are currently the most efficient option for the quantity the company will need, with a delivery time of around three months, chief executive Malcolm Johns said. Genesis typically imports from Indonesia, the company told Argus . Gas production in New Zealand has dropped at a faster rate than expected, with major field production in April down by 33pc on the year, Genesis said. Lower gas availability typically leads to more coal burn, because the Huntly plant runs on gas and coal. This is in addition to an extended period of low hydropower inflows in recent months, which required higher thermal generation to ensure supply security. A prolonged outage at Huntly's unit 5 gas turbine between June 2023 and January 2024 also led to an even greater need for coal-fired generation, Genesis said. Biomass transition The company — which is 51pc owned by the state — is the second-largest power retailer in New Zealand, behind domestic utility Mercury, according to data from the Electricity Authority. It has a NZ$1.1bn ($659mn) programme for renewable power generation and grid-scale battery storage , which includes a potential replacement of coal with biomass at Huntly. But the transition to biomass "will take some years," Johns said. Genesis has successfully completed a biomass burn trial at Huntly last year and has collaboration agreements with potential New Zealand pellet suppliers, but there is currently no local source for the type of pellets needed for the plant. Genesis is hoping to move to formal agreements "as soon as counterparties are able". The company will not consider importing pellets, it told Argus . "We will only use biomass if we can secure a local New Zealand supply chain that is sustainable and cost-effective," it said. Domestic gas production New Zealand's three-party coalition government said separately on 8 May that the "material decline" in local gas production threatens energy security, blaming the previous Labour party-led government for "policy decisions which have disincentivised investment in gas production." The decisions — which were part of the former government's pledge to achieve a carbon-neutral economy by 2050 — led to a reduction in exploration for new gas resources since 2021, while suppressed maintenance drilling reduced production from existing gas fields, according to a joint release from energy minister Simeon Brown and resources minister Shane Jones. "Due to this significant reduction in gas production, the government has also been advised that some large gas consumers are expressing concern about their ability to secure gas contracts," the government said. Major industrial users such as Canada-based methanol producer Methanex have been forced to reduce production as a result, it noted. "We are working with the sector to increase production, and I will be introducing changes to the Crown Minerals Act to parliament this year that will revitalise the sector and increase production," Jones added. By Juan Weik Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

ANP reduz mescla de etanol e biodiesel no RS


24/05/06
24/05/06

ANP reduz mescla de etanol e biodiesel no RS

Sao Paulo, 6 May (Argus) — A Agência Nacional do Petróleo, Gás Natural e Biocombustíveis (ANP) diminuiu, temporariamente, a mistura obrigatória de etanol e biodiesel no Rio Grande do Sul por 30 dias, a partir de 3 de maio, em meio a enchentes catastróficas no estado. O mix de etanol anidro na gasolina caiu dos atuais 27pc para 21pc, enquanto o do biodiesel no diesel S10 está agora em 2pc, queda em relação à porcentagem vigente de 14pc. Também de forma temporária, a agência suspendeu a necessidade de mistura para o diesel S500. A ANP informou que pode revisar os prazos da medida dependendo das condições de abastecimento no estado. As chuvas no Rio Grande do Sul bloquearam rodovias e ferrovias que transportam os biocombustíveis para centros de distribuição, como Esteio e Canoas. O fornecimento de combustíveis fósseis pela ligação dutoviária da refinaria Alberto Pasqualini (Refap) às outras bases de distribuição do entorno não foi comprometido, afirmou a ANP. As enchentes no estado já deixaram pelo menos 83 mortos e 111 desaparecidos, de acordo com o governo local. Mais de 23.000 pessoas tiveram que deixar suas casas e cerca de 330 cidades estão em situação de calamidade pública. Por Laura Guedes Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.

Brazil lowers biofuel mix in flooded state


24/05/06
24/05/06

Brazil lowers biofuel mix in flooded state

Sao Paulo, 6 May (Argus) — Brazil's oil regulator ANP temporarily decreased the mandatory mix of ethanol and biodiesel in fuels in Rio Grande do Sul state for 30 days, starting on 3 May, amid floods in the region. The anhydrous ethanol blend on gasoline was lowered to 21pc from the current 27pc, while the mandatory biodiesel mix for 10ppm (S10) diesel is now at 2pc, down from the usual 14pc. The agency also temporarily suspended the blending mandate for diesel with 500ppm of sulfur (S500). ANP said it can revise deadlines depending on supply conditions in the state. Rainfall in Rio Grande do Sul blocked railways and highways where biofuels are transported to retail hubs, such as Esteio and Canoas. Supply of fossil fuels via pipeline from the 201,000 b/d Alberto Pasqualini refinery (Refap), in Canoas, and other retail bases has not been compromised, ANP said. Floods in Rio Grande do Sul have left at least 83 dead and 111 missing, according to the state government. More than 23,000 people have been forced from of their homes amid widespread damage. Over 330 cities are in a situation of public calamity. By Laura Guedes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Chuvas no Rio Grande do Sul alagam o estado


24/05/06
24/05/06

Chuvas no Rio Grande do Sul alagam o estado

Sao Paulo, 6 May (Argus) — O estado do Rio Grande do Sul continua sendo afetado pelas fortes chuvas que começaram em 29 de abril, levando o governo a decretar estado de emergência em 2 de maio. Os maiores volumes de chuva atingiram as áreas centrais do Rio Grande do Sul, com cidades recebendo chuvas entre 150mm a 500mm, de acordo com dados da Empresa de Assistência Técnica e Extensão Rural (Emater-RS) do Rio Grande do Sul. A estação de monitoramento da cidade de Restinga Seca, no centro do estado, registrou o recorde de quase 540mm. As chuvas no Rio Grande do Sul superaram 135mm na maior parte do estado, de acordo com o Instituto de Meteorologia dos Estados Unidos (Noaa, na sigla em inglês). Enquanto isso, nas demais regiões do Brasil prevaleceu o clima seco. O NOAA espera que as chuvas diminuíam nesta semana, mas as condições climáticas adversas devem continuar. Até 3 de maio, 154 trechos de 68 rodovias estavam totalmente ou parcialmente bloqueadas, de acordo com a Defesa Civil do estado. A usina hidrelétrica 14 de julho, com capacidade de 100MW, também foi afetada e teve sua operação parcialmente rompida. O porto do Rio Grande não suspendeu as operações, porém a movimentação está mais lenta. Apesar das chuvas intensas, as taxas de demurrage e o tempo de espera para atracação e desembarque ficou estável em $1/tonelada (t) e os custos totais para a movimentação de fertilizantes permaneceram em $19/t. Porém, participantes de mercado esperam que a situação mude nos próximos dias, o que deve aumentar as taxas de demurrage. Se a chuva não parar e os níveis do Rio Guaíba continuarem subindo, é provável que algumas áreas do porto inundem nos próximos dias, como aconteceu no porto de Porto Alegre. Em meio a movimentação de carga mais lenta, dificuldades logísticas e a demanda para serviços de transporte de fertilizantes, que já estava baixa, o frete de fertilizante na rota Rio Grande-Dourados, monitorada semanalmente pela Argus, caiu em média R$20/t, para R$225-250/t. Excesso de chuva pode prejudicar safra de soja O Rio Grande do Sul está colhendo a safra de soja 2023-24, que deve ser a segunda maior do país nesta temporada. Os trabalhos alcançaram 76pc da área esperada no estado até 2 de maio, avanço de 10 pontos percentuais na semana, apesar do excesso de chuvas, segundo a Emater-RS. Os agricultores aproveitaram as janelas mais curtas de clima favorável— ou quando as chuvas diminuíram — para intensificar as atividades de campo, especialmente nas áreas em que eram esperadas produtividades maiores e que não foram profundamente afetadas pela seca no início do ano. Os níveis de umidade dos grãos colhidos são considerados acima da média e vão necessitar de mais investimentos no processo de secagem. Algumas áreas reportaram germinação prematura e queda das plantas em razão do excesso de umidade. A Emater-RS mantém a produtividade média do estado projetada em 3.329 kg/hectare (ha), com os resultados recentes permanecendo dentro das projeções anteriores, de acordo com o boletim de 2 de maio, divulgado semanalmente pelo órgão. Com isso, ainda é esperado que a produção de soja do Rio Grande do Sul alcance o recorde de 22,2 milhões de t. No entanto, participantes de mercado concordam que as projeções para o estado devem cair nas próximas semana, uma vez que os estudos de campo começam avaliar com precisão os prejuízos causados pelo excesso de chuvas. Por João Petrini, Maria Albuquerque e Nathalia Giannetti Envie comentários e solicite mais informações em feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . Todos os direitos reservados.

Indonesia’s MBAP sets lower coal output target for 2024


24/05/06
24/05/06

Indonesia’s MBAP sets lower coal output target for 2024

Manila, 6 May (Argus) — Indonesian coal producer Mitrabara Adiperdana (MBAP) has set a lower output target of 2.01mn t for 2024, to focus on developing its mining infrastructure. MBAP plans to improve its mining infrastructure to prepare for higher output in the next two years. It has earmarked $57.8mn for its capital expenditure this year, 49pc of which will be used for infrastructure development. This investment will allow MBAP to increase its output to 2.45mn t/yr in 2025-26, in line with its approved RKAB work plans. The firm aims to produce 2.01mn t in 2024, down by nearly 4pc from its 2023 output. The Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (ESDM) has approved MBAP's target. But MBAP hopes to sell 2.3mn t of coal in 2024, up from 2.13mn t a year earlier, with sales including deliveries by its coal trading arm. Exports accounted for 73pc of the firm's total sales in 2023 and is expected to remain steady at 72-75pc this year. South Korea is expected to remain MBAP's largest market, with the country accounting for 29pc of total sales in 2023. But sales to China, which were at 18pc last year, are expected to increase this year. By Antonio delos Reyes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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