South Sudan eyes Dar Blend export restart in 6-8 weeks

  • : Crude oil
  • 24/04/17

South Sudan aims to restart exports of its heavy sweet Dar Blend crude grade within six-eight weeks as it works to repair a pipeline in war-torn Sudan, finance minister Awow Daniel Chuang told Argus.

Problems along the Petrador pipeline since February have prevented around 100,000 b/d of South Sudan's Dar Blend from reaching Sudan's Bashayer terminal on the Red Sea for export.

This has seen South Sudan's crude production almost halve to around 80,000 b/d because of a lack of alternative outlets for the grade. But production of the country's medium sweet Nile Blend grade continues as it is transported to Bashayer through the separate Greater Nile oil pipeline.

Landlocked South Sudan is entirely reliant on Sudan to export its crude and depends on oil sales for more than 90pc of government revenues.

Chuang, a former oil minister, said work to repair the pipeline was progressing well despite logistical challenges, and that unless something unforeseen happened, flows "should resume" within six-eight weeks.

The pipeline has suffered from gelling issues — solidifying crude — leaks and pressure drops for months. One key issue has been a lack of diesel, which is typically used to heat the crude or dilute it to help it flow.

Repairs have been complicated by the civil war in Sudan, pitting the army against the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces. The conflict passed the one-year mark on 15 April, with no end in sight.

While production and exports in both Sudan and South Sudan held up surprisingly well at the start of the conflict, problems have begun to pile up over the past few months. South Sudan is sending diesel to Sudan because of the closure of the 100,000 b/d Khartoum refinery, which has come under repeated fire.

Sudan typically produces around 50,000 b/d of mostly Nile Blend crude, but this is thought to have been impacted by the civil war. Argus assessed Sudan's crude output at 20,000 b/d in March.

South Sudan's crude production was trending at around 150,000 b/d before the pipeline outage. Argus assessed South Sudan's crude output at 80,000 b/d in March.

Crude exports from Sudan's Bashayer port averaged 130,000 b/d in 2023 and stood at 168,000 b/d in January, according to Kpler. But exports have only averaged about 65,000 b/d since February.

South Sudan's crude production stood at around 300,000 b/d in the first few months following its independence from Sudan in 2011. It has a short-term target to grow output to 230,000 b/d and 450,000 b/d in the longer term — something the country's leaders acknowledge will require political stability and a surge in foreign investment.


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24/04/30

US crude output rebounds by 4.6pc in February: EIA

US crude output rebounds by 4.6pc in February: EIA

Calgary, 30 April (Argus) — US crude output rebounded by 4.6pc in February after freezing temperatures in the prior month took production offline in the three largest producing states. Output averaged 13.15mn b/d in February, up by 578,000 b/d from January, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) said today in its Petroleum Supply Monthly report. February's production was up by 622,000 b/d from February 2023 but remained short of the 13.3mn b/d record high set in November 2023. North Dakota was hit particularly hard by winter storms in January, which temporarily knocked as much as 700,000 b/d of production offline. The country's third-largest producing state pumped out 1.29mn b/d during February, up by 173,000 b/d from January and 159,000 b/d higher than in February 2023. About 86pc of North Dakota's production was 40.1°API or higher, according to the EIA. Texas, home to more than 40pc of the country's crude production, pumped out 5.55mn b/d in February. This was up by 172,000 b/d from January and 242,000 b/d higher than February 2023. New Mexico, which shares the prolific Permian basin with Texas, also boosted its output in February with 1.98mn b/d of production. This was up by 120,000 b/d from January and up by 183,000 b/d from February 2023. Similar to North Dakota, about 91pc of crude produced in New Mexico was 40.1°API or higher, while in Texas about 55pc of output fell into that category. About 44pc of all crude produced in Texas fell into the relatively heavier 30.1-40°API range. US output in the Gulf of Mexico came in at 1.8mn b/d in February, up from the 1.78mn b/d produced in the prior month but down by 28,000 b/d from February 2023. Almost all the crude produced in the Gulf of Mexico was 40°API or lower. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Milei's bid to open Argentina's economy passes


24/04/30
24/04/30

Milei's bid to open Argentina's economy passes

Montevideo, 30 April (Argus) — Argentina's congress today approved the government's sweeping economic legislation that could open the door to more private-sector investment in energy and commodities. The bill passed on a 142-106 vote, with five abstentions, after a marathon 20-hour debate. Changes include privatizing some state-owned companies, controversial labor reforms and measures to promote LNG development. The omnibus legislation, which includes 279 articles, is an important victory for President Javier Milei's administration and will change the way many sectors, including energy, operate in the country. Lawmakers aligned with Milei's Liberty Advances party swiftly moved to the second stage of the process, which requires approval of individual articles. The omnibus bill was initially approved in February, but the administration withdrew it after congress failed to approve several key individual articles. That original version included 664 articles. Several of the more controversial articles were brought up immediately after the blanket approval and easily passed. They included an article allowing for privatization of state-run enterprises — national power company Enarsa is on the list — and another delegating to the administration the power to eliminate state agencies without having to consult with congress. Also approved was the article on labor reform. The country's oilseed industry and port workers' unions called a strike the previous day to pressure congress to modify the labor reform. That did not happen. It passed in a separate 136-113 vote. The strike started to fizzle with approval of the legislation. Approval of the package includes several articles the administration says will open the door to major investments in the energy sector. Chapter II specifically covers natural gas, and introduces new regulations for LNG. The chapter includes five articles that allow for 30-year contracts for LNG export projects and guarantees that gas supply cannot be interrupted for any reason. The energy secretariat has six months to design the implementing rules for LNG. The government wants to speed up monetization of the Vaca Muerta unconventional play, which has an estimated 308 trillion cf of natural gas reserves. It is pushing for Malaysia's Petronas to fully commit to a large-scale LNG facility that would start with a $10bn investment. Chapter IX of the legislation creates a new framework, known as the Rigi, for investments above $200mn. It offers tax, fiscal and customs benefits. Companies have two years from implementation of the legislation to take advantage of the Rigi. The chapter on this framework is one of the most complex in the bill, including 56 articles. It includes specific references to energy projects, from power generation to unconventional oil and gas development. The administration claims the legislation will help tame inflation and stabilize the economy. Inflation was 276pc annualized through February, but is declining, and Milei announced that monthly inflation would be in single digits when the March numbers are announced. The country recorded a 0.2pc quarterly fiscal surplus in the first quarter of this year, something not achieved since 2008. By Lucien Chauvin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

G7 countries put timeframe on 'unabated' coal phase-out


24/04/30
24/04/30

G7 countries put timeframe on 'unabated' coal phase-out

London, 30 April (Argus) — G7 countries today committed to phasing out "unabated coal power generation" by 2035 — putting a timeframe on a coal phase-out for the first time. The communique, from a meeting of G7 climate, energy and environment ministers in Turin, northern Italy, represents "an historic agreement" on coal, Canadian environment minister Steven Guilbeault said. Although most G7 nations have set a deadline for phasing out coal-fired power, the agreement marks a step forward for Japan in particular, which had previously not made the commitment, and is a "milestone moment", senior policy advisor at think-tank E3G Katrine Petersen said. The G7 countries are Italy — this year's host — Canada, France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US. The EU is a non-enumerated member. But the pledge contains a caveat in its reference to "unabated" coal-fired power — suggesting that abatement technologies such as carbon capture and storage could justify its use, while some of the wording around a deadline is less clear. The communique sets a timeframe of "the first half of [the] 2030s or in a timeline consistent with keeping a limit of 1.5°C temperature rise within reach, in line with countries' net-zero pathways". OECD countries should end coal use by 2030 and the rest of the world by 2040, in order to align with the global warming limit of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels set out in the Paris Agreement, according to research institute Climate Analytics. The countries welcomed the outcomes of the UN Cop 28 climate summit , pledging to "accelerate the phase out of unabated fossil fuels so as to achieve net zero in energy systems by 2050". It backed the Cop 28 goal to triple renewable energy capacity by 2030 and added support for a global target for energy storage in the power sector of 1.5TW by 2030. The group committed to submit climate plans — known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs) — with "the highest possible ambition" from late this year or in early 2025. And it also called on the IEA to "provide recommendations" next year on how to implement a transition away from fossil fuels. The G7 also reiterated its commitment to a "fully or predominantly decarbonised power sector by 2035" — first made in May 2022 and highlighted roles for carbon management, carbon markets, hydrogen and biofuels. Simon Stiell, head of UN climate body the UNFCCC, urged the G7 and G20 countries to lead on climate action, in a recent speech . The group noted in today's outcome that "further actions from all countries, especially major economies, are required". The communique broadly reaffirmed existing positions on climate finance, although any concrete steps are not likely to be taken ahead of Cop 29 in November. The group underlined its pledge to end "inefficient fossil fuel subsidies" by 2025 or earlier, but added a new promise to "promote a common definition" of the term, which is likely to increase countries' accountability. The group will report on its progress towards ending those subsidies next year, it added. Fostering energy security The communique placed a strong focus on the need for "diverse, resilient, and responsible energy technology supply chains, including manufacturing and critical minerals". It noted the important of "guarding against possible weaponisation of economic dependencies on critical minerals and critical raw materials" — many of which are mined and processed outside the G7 group. Energy security held sway on the group's take on natural gas. It reiterated its stance that gas investments "can be appropriate… if implemented in a manner consistent with our climate objectives" and noted that increased LNG deliveries could play a key role. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

US commends China's Middle East mediation


24/04/29
24/04/29

US commends China's Middle East mediation

Washington, 29 April (Argus) — The US hopes China will continue using its diplomatic influence in the Middle East after the two countries cooperated earlier this month to de-escalate tensions between Israel and Iran, US secretary of state Tony Blinken said today. "We did come very close to an escalation, a spread of the conflict," after Israel and Iran exchanged aerial attacks on each other's territory, Blinken said at a special meeting of the World Economic Forum in the Saudi Arabia capital Riyadh. The US saw that China used its influence in Iran to prevent an outbreak of a broader regional conflict "and that's a positive thing," Blinken said. Beijing stepped in last year to mediate an agreement between Tehran and Riyadh to normalize relations, playing a mediation role that the US could not carry out on its own. The US supported Chinese efforts to normalize Saudi-Iranian relations "because, if we can find through diplomacy ways to ease tensions and to avoid any conflict, that's a good thing," Blinken said. China has "a clear, obvious interest in stability in the Middle East," he said. "They obviously depend on the region for energy resources. There are many vital trading partners here." China provides a critical economic lifeline to Iran by absorbing nearly all of Iranian crude exports, "which is another challenge," Blinken said. But the US sees China as acting in its self-interest to help bolster stability in the Middle East. Finding some common ground on Iran was a rare positive spot during Blinken's visit to China last week. Blinken pushed his Chinese counterparts to put an end to private Chinese companies' supplies for Russia's military industry, while President Xi Jinping accused the US of undermining China's economic growth. "China and the US should be partners rather than rivals," Xi told Blinken during their meeting in Beijing on 26 April. The two countries should find common ground "rather than engage in vicious competition," Xi said. The US contends that Chinese companies supply 70pc of the machine tools and 90pc of the microelectronics for the Russian military industry, allowing Moscow to significantly increase weapons output in the past year. It remains to be seen whether the US threat of sanctions against Chinese companies accused of helping Russia's military industry will work, Blinken said. By Haik Gugarats Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Service firms talk up long-term gas prospects


24/04/29
24/04/29

Service firms talk up long-term gas prospects

New York, 29 April (Argus) — Leading oil field service firms are bullish on the outlook for natural gas demand in coming years even though the fuel remains stuck in the doldrums for now, with US prices near pandemic lows amid oversupply after a mild winter. "This is the age of gas," Baker Hughes chief executive Lorenzo Simonelli says, adding that global demand for the power plant and heating fuel is due to climb by almost 20pc through 2040. "Gas is abundant, lower emission, low cost, and the speed to scale is unrivalled," he says. Halliburton also sees natural gas as the "next big leg of growth" in North America, driven by demand for LNG expansion projects, although its current plans do not envisage any comeback this year. Given a shrinking fracking fleet and lack of new equipment being built, the stage is set for an "incredibly tight market" in future, chief executive Jeff Miller says. A recovery in natural gas activity in the US may not happen until the end of this year or even 2025, Liberty Energy chief executive Chris Wright says. "Customers need to see that prices have firmed, that export volume demand actually is pulling upward at a meaningful rate," he says. On recent first-quarter earnings calls, service firms were upbeat about international growth prospects in the face of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The backdrop remains one of growing demand for oil and gas and an "even deeper focus" on energy security, according to Olivier Le Peuch, chief executive of SLB, the world's biggest oil field service company. SLB, formerly known as Schlumberger, expects overseas growth momentum to make up for a slowdown in North America this year. "The relevance of oil and gas in the energy mix continues to support further investments in capacity expansion, particularly in the Middle East and in long-cycle projects across global offshore markets," Le Peuch says. But results in North America will be depressed by the combination of low gas prices, capital discipline and producer consolidation. International rescue Halliburton expects international revenue growth in the "low double-digits" for the full year, with some margin expansion given the tight market for equipment and labour. Steady activity levels are seen in North America after land completion activity bottomed out in the fourth quarter of 2023 and rebounded in the first quarter. "The world requires more energy, not less, and I'm more convinced than ever that oil and gas will fill a critical role in the global energy mix for decades to come," Miller says. The positive outlook is reinforced by customers' multi-year activity plans across markets and assets. Baker Hughes forecasts "high single-digit growth" when it comes to the outlook for international drilling and completion spending this year. But customer spending in North America is expected to fall in a "low to mid-single-digit range" when compared with 2023. "We continue to anticipate declining activity in the US gas basins, partially offsetting modest improvement in oil activity during the second half of the year," Simonelli says. Beyond 2024, upstream spending is seen growing further across international markets, albeit at a "more moderate" pace than seen in recent years, according to Baker Hughes. SLB paced a decline among oil service stocks at the end of January when state-controlled Saudi Aramco scrapped plans to increase crude output capacity to 13mn b/d from 12mn b/d. But Saudi Arabia has stepped up its plans to boost gas output, by 60pc by 2030. This new energy mix was not anticipated six months ago, but it will "not have a natural impact on our ambition for growth" in Saudi Arabia, Le Peuch says. And Saudi gas plans will require substantial investment in gas infrastructure, which is a "long-term net positive" for Baker Hughes, Simonelli says. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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