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Viewpoint: California dairy fight spills into 2025

  • : Emissions, Natural gas
  • 24/12/24

California must begin crafting dairy methane limits next year as pressure grows for regulators to change course.

The California Air Resources Board (CARB) has committed to begin crafting regulations that could mandate the reduction of dairy methane as it locked in incentives for harvesting gas to fuel vehicles in the state. The combination has frustrated environmental groups and other opponents of a methane capture strategy they accuse of collateral damage. Now, tough new targets pitched to help balance the program's incentives could become the fall-out in a new lawsuit.

State regulators have repeatedly said that the Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) is ill-suited to consider mostly off-road emissions from a sector that could pack up and move to another state to escape regulation. California's LCFS requires yearly reductions of transportation fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed the annual limits incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution to the state of approved, lower-carbon alternatives.

Regulators extended participation in the program to dairy methane in 2017. Dairies may register to use manure digesters to capture methane that suppliers may process into pipeline-quality natural gas. This gas may then be attributed to compressed natural gas vehicles in California, so long as participants can show a path for approved supplies between the dairy and the customer.

California only issues credits for methane cuts beyond other existing requirements. Regulators began mandating methane reductions from landfills more than a decade ago and in 2016 set similar requirements for wastewater treatment plants. But while lawmakers set a goal for in-state dairies to reduce methane emissions by 40pc from 2030 levels, regulators could not even consider rulemakings mandating such reductions until 2024.

CARB made no move to directly regulate those emissions at their first opportunity, as staff grappled with amendments to the agency's LCFS and cap-and-trade programs. That has meant that dairies continue to receive credit for all of the methane they capture, generating deep, carbon-reducing scores under the LCFS and outsized credit production relative to the fuel they replace. Dairy methane harvesting generated 16pc of all new credits generated in 2023, compared with biodiesel's 6pc. Dairy methane replaced just 38pc of the diesel equivalent gallons that biodiesel did over the same period.

The incentive has exasperated environmental and community groups, who see LCFS credits as encouraging larger operations with more consequences for local air and water quality. Dairies warn that costly methane capture systems could not be affordable otherwise. Adding to the expense of operating in California would cause more operations to leave the state. California dairies make up about two thirds of suppliers registered under the program.

Dairy supporters successfully delayed proposed legislative requirements in 2023. CARB staff in May 2024 declined a petition seeking a faster approach to dairy regulation. Staff committed to take up a rulemaking considering the best way to address dairy methane reduction in 2025.

Before that, final revisions to the LCFS approved in November included guarantees for dairy methane crediting. Projects that break ground by the end of this decade would remain eligible for up to 30 years of LCFS credit generation, compared with just 10 years for projects after 2029. Limits on the scope of book-and-claim participation for out-of-state projects would wait until well into the next decade. Staff said it was necessary to ensure continued investment in methane reduction.

The inclusion immediately frustrated critics of the renewable natural gas policy, including board member Diane Tarkvarian, who sought to have the changes struck and was one of two votes ultimately against the LCFS revisions.

Environmental groups have now sued, invoking violations that effectively froze the LCFS for years of court review. Regulators and lawmakers working to transition the state to cleaner air and lower-emissions vehicles will have to tread carefully in 2025.


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25/02/18

US court pauses refiner's biofuel case after EPA shift

US court pauses refiner's biofuel case after EPA shift

New York, 18 February (Argus) — A US federal appeals court has paused the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)'s rejection of a refiner's request for exemptions from federal biofuel blend mandates, with relief possible for two more refiners as the US reassesses policy under a new administration. A three-judge panel on the US 5th Circuit Court of Appeals last week granted a request from Calumet's 57,000 b/d refinery in Shreveport, Louisiana, to pause a recent EPA action denying the refinery relief from its 2023 obligations under the federal Renewable Fuel Standard. The stay will remain as the court continues reviewing the legality of EPA's rejection, issued in the waning days of President Joe Biden's administration. Under the program, EPA sets annual mandates for blending biofuels into the conventional fuel supply but allows oil refineries that process 75,000 b/d or less to apply for exemptions if they can prove they would suffer "disproportionate" economic hardship. The Biden administration denied these petitions en masse, though most of these rejections were struck down by courts concerned with the government's reasoning. During his first term, President Donald Trump was more generous with refinery relief, which in turn weighed on biofuel demand and the prices of Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits at the time. Though the 5th Circuit did not explain its decision, EPA had shifted course after the presidential transition, telling the court earlier in the week that it did not oppose Calumet's request for a stay and that it was reconsidering the refiner's earlier exemption petition. The agency said in other court cases that it would not oppose similar pauses on recently issued waiver rejections affecting Calumet's 15,000 b/d oil refinery in Great Falls, Montana, and CVR Energy's 75,000 b/d refinery in Wynnewood, Oklahoma. EPA's ambivalence makes stays more likely, leaving those refiners with little reason for now to enter the market for RIN credits. The agency still says it "takes no position on the merits" as its review of small refinery exemptions continues but the filings at least suggest the possibility of reversing prior rejections. EPA has not yet signaled a more substantive policy around how it will handle similar small refinery requests, which have piled up in recent months. There were 139 pending petitions covering ten compliance years according to the latest program data. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EU proposal to extend gas filling targets due in 1Q


25/02/18
25/02/18

EU proposal to extend gas filling targets due in 1Q

London, 18 February (Argus) — The European Commission will publish a legislative proposal on the extension of its gas storage regulation before the end of March, according to a leaked document seen by Argus . The commission will work with member states to "promote more co-ordinated and flexible gas storage refilling, including with dynamic targets to reduce system stress linked to gas storage refilling and support summer preparedness", according to the document. The existing regulation — which obliges member states to fill their storage capacity to 90pc by 1 November, but with derogations for certain countries — expires at the end of this year. The EU's storage fill mandate has supported front-summer contracts across European hubs in recent months, as stronger underground storage withdrawals than in recent years have pushed up expectations of summer injection demand. Summer 2025 contracts have disconnected at well above winter 2025-26 prices. Filling up storage before winter in the context of inverted seasonal spreads has become a growing concern of member states . Some countries, including Germany, have called for the storage fill requirements to be less rigid . Last week, discussions between member states and the EU's gas co-ordination group regarding the potential relaxation of EU storage obligations led to tightened summer-winter spreads. The TTF summer 2025-winter 2025-2026 spread was €2.75/MWh on 17 February, in from €5.29/MWh a week earlier. Tighter gas market supervision The commission will consult stakeholders on tightening the supervision of gas-trading markets, according to the document. The consultation will cover exemptions from conduct and prudential rules applicable to investment firms for which gas derivatives trading is "ancillary" to their main commercial business, as well as position limits in EU spot markets. It will consult on the joint supervision of gas trading by energy and financial regulators and the creation of a database gathering all open positions held by market participants. These measures were promoted in a report by former European Central Bank president Mario Draghi published in September last year . Draghi warned that mounting activity and speculation in the gas derivatives market could lead to price volatility and called for greater oversight of gas trading. The commission had already set up a gas market task force earlier this month to scrutinise European gas markets and identify behaviours that distorted prices, according to the document. The gas market task force will provide recommendations by the fourth quarter of this year. By Isabel Valverde Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

UN Green Climate Fund approves $483.1mn for projects


25/02/18
25/02/18

UN Green Climate Fund approves $483.1mn for projects

London, 18 February (Argus) — The UN Green Climate Fund (GCF) has approved eight projects, allocating $483.1mn in climate funding across 31 developing countries. The GCF will consider four more projects — which would allocate around $253.7mn — during its board meeting, which runs from 17-20 February. Of the approved projects, five are focused on adaptation — adjusting to the effects of climate change where possible — and three on adaptation and mitigation, which refers to cutting emissions. The GCF operates under the financial mechanism of UN climate body the UNFCCC and is mandated to invest half of its resources in mitigation and half in adaptation. It is the world's largest climate fund and was originally capitalised with $10.3bn in 2015. The fund's first replenishment, in 2019, gathered a further $10bn in pledges and its second replenishment reached around $13.6bn after funds committed at the UN Cop summits in 2023 and 2024 . But the US rescinded "outstanding pledges" to the fund earlier this month, the country's State Department said. These are thought to amount to around $4bn. Recent UN climate talks have centred around finance for developing countries, to address climate change and decarbonise. Countries agreed at last year's Cop 29 to a new financing goal of "at least" $300bn/yr for developing nations by 2035. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Japan approves new energy mix target, climate plans


25/02/18
25/02/18

Japan approves new energy mix target, climate plans

Tokyo, 18 February (Argus) — Japan has approved its targeted power mix portfolio for the April 2040-March 2041 fiscal year, as well as its new greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction goal, it announced today. The new power mix goal, the centrepiece of the country's Strategic Energy Plan (SEP), is in line with Japan's aim to reduce GHG emissions by 73pc by 2040-41 compared to 2013-14 levels. Tokyo plans to submit the 2040-41 emission target, as well as a 60pc emissions reduction goal for 2035-36, to the UN climate body the UNFCCC on 18 February as the country's nationally determined contribution (NDC). The country has not made major changes to its draft proposal that it unveiled in December. The new SEP sees renewable energy making up 40-50pc of the country's power generation in 2040-41, up from 22.9pc in 2023-24. The share of thermal power will fall to around 30-40pc from 68.6pc, while that of nuclear will increase to around 20pc from 8.5pc during the same period. The 2040-41 target is based on Japanese power demand of 1,100-1,200 TWh, which is higher by 12-22pc from 2023-24. The government has planned the power portfolio so that it is not heavily dependent on one specific power source or fuel type, the country's minister for trade and industry (Meti) Yoji Muto said on 18 February, although the new plan suggests making maximum use of low-carbon power supply sources. Public consultation over 27 December-26 January revealed that some think Japan should slow or even stop the decarbonisation process, given the US government's reversal of its climate policies, including its withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement, said Meti. But global commitment to decarbonisation will remain unchanged, said Muto, adding that Japan will lose its industrial competitiveness if the country delays green transformation efforts. But US president Donald Trump's "drill, baby, drill" policy has prompted the Japanese government to delete a segment from the draft SEP that had initially proposed bilateral co-operation through Tokyo's green transformation strategy and the US' Inflation Reduction Act. Despite Tokyo's decarbonisation goals, the new SEP assumes that fossil fuels, including natural gas, oil and coal, will still account for over 50pc of primary energy demand in 2040-41 in all of its scenarios — although this is down from 93pc in 2013-14 and 83pc in 2022-23. The scenarios vary based on the degree of uptake of renewables, hydrogen and its derivatives, and carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies, to fulfil the 73pc emission reduction goal by 2040-41. Worst-case scenario Tokyo also has also set out a potential worst-case scenario, assuming slower development of clean technologies, in which fossil fuels would still account for 67pc of primary energy supply in 2040-41. Under this scenario, which assumes Japan will only reduce its GHG emissions by around 61pc by 2040-41, natural gas is estimated to account for about 26pc, or 74mn t, of Japan's primary energy supply, which is higher than the 53mn-61mn t in the base scenarios that are formulated in accordance to the 73pc emissions reduction target. Japan would need to address the potential 21mn t gap in gas demand, which will mostly be met by LNG imports, in 2040-41, depending on the development of clean technologies. The gap is equivalent to 32pc of the country's LNG imports of 65.9mn t in 2024. When asked by Argus whether the government will continue to try securing LNG to ensure energy supply security when considering the worst-case scenario, a Meti official said Tokyo should continue pursuing its 73pc GHG reduction target, but it is necessary to consider the potential risks for each individual policy and the measures that need to be taken, instead of making decisions based on the worst-case scenario. The new SEP has highlighted the role of LNG in the country's energy transition and the necessity to secure long-term supplies of the fuel. It is unclear what ratio gas-fired capacity will account for in Japan's 2040-41 power mix, as the SEP does not include a breakdown of thermal generation. But gas-fed output is expected to take up the majority share, given that gas has already outpaced coal in power generation and Tokyo has pledged to phase out inefficient coal-fired plants by 2030. By Motoko Hasegawa and Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Frustration over delays to UK CCS and H2 programmes


25/02/17
25/02/17

Frustration over delays to UK CCS and H2 programmes

London, 17 February (Argus) — Companies are growing increasingly frustrated with the UK government over unclear timelines and inadequate funding for carbon capture and storage (CCS) and clean hydrogen projects. The government has drawn strong praise for the design of its contracts-for-difference style production subsidies for electrolytic hydrogen and CCS systems to underpin low-carbon hydrogen from fossil fuels. But too few projects have been able to access the schemes and developers are losing confidence that the UK will match their ambition with sufficient and timely funding. "It's like building a great motorway with five lanes but very few, or no junctions," industry body OEUK's head of energy policy Enrique Cornejo said. "We have a great policy framework, but we don't have access, apart from a very small number of projects," he told the UK CCUS and Hydrogen Decarbonisation Summit in Leeds, northern England this month. Cornejo welcomed a recent final investment decision (FID) for the Teesside CCS system and progress made on northwest England's HyNet cluster, which is expected to reach FID this year, but he urged the government to set out funding and timelines for the Scottish "Acorn" and Humberside "Viking" CCS projects that are supposed to be next in line. "It's been a really long wait for these projects and the risk is very clear that if we don't hear some positive news from the government" there could be "lost investment", he said. It is a view shared by Norway's Equinor, which owns 45pc of the Teesside CCS project and a portfolio of Humberside hydrogen proposals that are in limbo having been overlooked in initial government selections. "Keeping projects on life support costs a lot of money," said the company's director of UK low-carbon solutions hydrogen, Dan Sadler. Equinor has spent "hundreds of millions" on its proposals for CCS-based hydrogen production, electrolytic hydrogen production, transport and storage infrastructure, he said. Sadler made the same appeal 12 months ago but has still received no update on the timing for the so-called "track 1 expansion process" which would allow its CCS-hydrogen project to move ahead. Optimism over the "fantastic" Teesside FID and contracts signed with three electrolytic projects must be balanced against concerns that HyNet has not reached FID nor have any of the UK's CCS-based hydrogen plants , Sadler said. On electrolytic hydrogen, the UK missed its deadline to shortlist winners of second round projects in 2024. Multiple electrolysis-focused developers at the Leeds conference talked of "standstill" in the sector, while financiers echoed the importance of the UK's second hydrogen allocation round (HAR2) shortlist. "We're waiting with bated breath for HAR2 so we know which projects we can look to finance," UK-based National Wealth Fund's managing director of banking and investments, Emily Sidhu, said. Opening applications for the UK's subsidy scheme for hydrogen pipeline and storage infrastructure has slipped to the fourth quarter of this year, which means it could be many months into 2026 before winners are selected and years until the projects get built. UK pipeline operators envy the government support that peers in continental Europe have received and have been trying to alert London about what companies perceive to be unduly arduous permitting processes, one pipeline firm told Argus . Emperor's new clothes The funding appeals come at a difficult time. The Labour government, which was elected last year, is reviewing spending across all departments, creating extra doubt. The total cost of the UK's ambitions for hydrogen and CCS would surpass several times over the £21.7bn ($27.3bn) for CCS and £2bn for electrolytic hydrogen that the government has confirmed for the first rounds. While raising funds from the government, the Emissions Trading System (ETS) or the so-called gas shipper obligation are possibilities, it is not sufficiently clear to give confidence to investors, Equinor's Sadler said. Moreover, the Labour administration has not said if it will stick to the former Conservative government's targets, Sadler noted. "It's rhetoric. Government policy for hydrogen and CCS? There isn't any. People quote 10GW [hydrogen production] and four [CCS] clusters by 2030 and 30mn t/yr [CO2 sequestration] by 2030. That's the Tory [Conservative] policy, the Labour government hasn't got a policy at the moment," Sadler said. The industry's belief in the UK as an investment proposition cannot be sustained forever, he said. The UK's Department for Energy Security and Net Zero has not responded to questions about the Labour government's hydrogen targets. By Aidan Lea Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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