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Global agencies agree 2024 was hottest year recorded

  • : Emissions
  • 25/01/10

Six international science and weather institutions have separately found that 2024 was the hottest year on record, the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) said today.

The organisations co-ordinated to release their 2024 average temperature data on the same day, "to underline the exceptional conditions experienced during 2024," the WMO said.

The WMO uses data from the six agencies — the UK's Met Office, Japan's Meteorological Agency (JMA), US non-profit Berkeley Earth, the EU's Copernicus and the US' National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (Nasa).

The global average surface temperature in 2024 was 1.55°C above the pre-industrial average, with a margin of uncertainty of 0.13°C either above or below that figure, WMO found in its analysis of the six datasets. This makes it "likely" that the world has experienced the first calendar year breaching the 1.5°C limit pursued by the Paris climate accord. Climate scientists use a timeframe of 1850-1900 for the pre-industrial average temperature. The Paris agreement seeks to limit global heating to "well below" 2°C above pre-industrial levels, and preferably to 1.5°C.

All six datasets put 2024 as the hottest year on record and flag up the recent rate of warming, but "not all show the temperature anomaly above 1.5°C due to differing methodologies," WMO said. Copernicus found the global average temperature in 2024 was 1.6°C above pre-industrial levels.

"Individual years pushing past the 1.5°C limit do not mean the long-term goal is shot," UN secretary-general Antonio Guterres said. "There's still time to avoid the worst of climate catastrophe. But leaders must act — now."

He urged governments to submit new national climate action plans this year.

The temperature limits sought by the Paris agreement work on a timeframe of 20 years or longer, Copernicus said. Long-term global warming is currently about 1.3°C above the pre-industrial baseline, a team of experts established by WMO found.

"We've had not just one or two record-breaking years, but a full 10-year series," said WMO secretary-general Celeste Saulo. "This has been accompanied by devastating and extreme weather, rising sea levels and melting ice, all powered by record-breaking greenhouse gas levels due to human activities."

The UK Met Office outlook finds that 2025 is likely to be one of the three warmest years, in terms of global average temperature, "falling in line just behind 2024 and 2023", it said today.


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25/11/17

Cop: Commitments fall short of methane cuts needed

Cop: Commitments fall short of methane cuts needed

London, 17 November (Argus) — Commitments made by countries would lead to an 8pc cut in emissions of the greenhouse gas methane by 2030, falling well short of a 30pc reduction target, but current legislation would see methane emissions continue to rise, according to a report from the UN environment programme (UNEP). The global methane pledge (GMP), established in 2021 at the UN Cop 26 summit, commits its 159 signatory countries to cut methane emissions by 30pc from 2020 levels by 2030. Methane emissions have contributed to 30pc of the increase in global temperatures since the industrial revolution, according to energy watchdog the IEA. But pledges made by governments in their nationally determined contribution (NDC) or methane action plan (MAP) roadmaps — documents outlining their efforts to reduce emissions in the context of international climate efforts — would lead to a fall in methane emissions to 310mn t in 2030, down by 8pc from 352mn t in 2020. But this refers only to pledges or plans, rather than actual legislation in force. Under current legislation, methane emissions are set to continue rising, reaching 369mn t in 2030, 5pc above 2020. But this is a fall from expected growth to 383mn/t in 2030 when the GMP was established. Some countries have identified emissions-reducing actions in their NDCs. But specific policies or timelines are often missing, UNEP said. And only "a handful" of countries have adopted comprehensive targets in line with the 2030 GMP goal, UNEP said. That said, the number of countries which included policies targeting methane in their NDC submissions had reached 127 as of June 2025, or 65pc of participants in the UN Cop climate summits, up from 92 countries in the previous round of NDCs in 2020. The fossil fuel sector offers potential for rapid emissions cuts, with 72pc of cuts expected from current legislation out to 2030 concentrated in the sector. And innovative voluntary methane abatement initiatives have proliferated since the establishment of the GMP, UNEP said. But policy development, country participation and implementation all fall short. Delivering the GMP pledge would require a nine-fold increase in financing over 2022 levels, UNEP said. But access to capital is not always the main barrier. Inadequate policy incentives, data availability, and institutional capacity must often be tackled at the same time. The [gap in ambition](https://direct.argusmedia.com/newsandanalysis/article/27492940 between NDCs and the efforts needed to limit global warming to well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels, in line with the 2015 Paris Agreement, is one of the themes of the Cop 30 summit currently underway in Belem, Brazil. By Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target


25/11/17
25/11/17

Cop: Denmark commits to new 2035 climate target

London, 17 November (Argus) — Denmark has committed to a new, "very ambitious" climate target for 2035, to cut emissions by 82pc by 2035, from 1990 levels, the country's climate minister Lars Aagaard said today at the UN Cop 30 climate summit. Denmark was expected to communicate a 2035 target this year. It has a legally-binding target to reduce emissions by 70pc by 2030, from the same 1990 baseline. This new target for 2035 will be "binding", Aagaard said today. Independent advisory body the Danish Council on Climate Change previously found that under the country's current climate policy, projections indicate that Denmark would achieve emissions reductions of 78pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark's new target for 2035 goes beyond the EU's aim for the same timeframe. The bloc earlier this month finally reached agreement on climate goals for 2035 and 2040. It plans to cut emissions by 66.25-72.5pc by 2035, from 1990 levels. Denmark holds the rotating EU Council presidency until the end of the year. Aagaard has thus overseen much of the bloc's discussions of and decisions on new climate targets. Signatories to the Paris climate agreement are expected to establish new climate goals and submit plans, known as nationally determined contributions (NDCs), every five years, under the terms of the accord. Countries and jurisdictions are currently submitting NDCs for 2035, although these lack ambition to hit Paris-aligned targets . By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: More countries join carbon market coalition


25/11/17
25/11/17

Cop: More countries join carbon market coalition

Belem, 17 November (Argus) — Another seven countries have joined the Open Coalition on Compliance Carbon Markets, according to the UN Cop 30 climate summit's presidency. The coalition was launched by Brazil, China and the EU during the leaders' summit, held a week before Cop 30. It is an initiative to standardise and integrate different national carbon markets. Andorra, Guinea, Monaco, New Zealand, Norway, Rwanda and Singapore have now joined the coalition, following Armenia, Canada, Chile, France, Germany, Mexico, the UK and Zambia. Brazil's ministry of finance is leading the development of the initiative, which will enable countries to work together in defining best practices to monitor, report and verify carbon markets, to establish common accounting standards and ensure the integrity of offset mechanisms, the ministry's deputy executive secretary Rafael Dubeux said. A regulated carbon market is an essential pathway to achieve a "structured, orderly and equitable" transition away from fossil fuels, he added. The topic has emerged as one of Cop 30's key points . The EU's energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen also voiced his support for the initiative. "The coalition can establish a benchmark to fully integrate relevant standards into final national targets and the design of domestic carbon markets," he said. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: Ministers left with mountain of work at Cop 30


25/11/17
25/11/17

Cop: Ministers left with mountain of work at Cop 30

Belem, 17 November (Argus) — Ministers gathering for the second week of the UN Cop 30 climate summit are tasked with piecing together informal negotiations, including on a potential roadmap on transitioning away from fossil fuels, responses to the lack of ambition in new climate plans, and other topics on the official agenda. Ministers will have to wrap up talks held in informal presidency consultations on four key topics — unilateral trade measures, climate finance obligations, emissions reporting and responses to climate plans — even though it remains unclear how a potential deal might look. The Brazilian Cop 30 presidency released a note on 17 November highlighting where parties continue to disagree. Gaps remain on finance, with some countries eyeing a work programme, while developed countries reaffirm that their obligations towards developing countries are covered under the new $300bn/yr finance goal agreed last year in Baku . There are also five options on the response to climate plans. One is to have an "annual consideration" under official negotiations of the report weighing country targets and actions, while another is to have an unnamed roadmap to accelerate implementation, international co-operation and investment to be published before Cop 31. Some negotiating groups, including the alliance of small island states (Aosis) and the Environmental Integrity Group (EIG) are supporting the creation of a fossil fuel phase-out roadmap, while the "EU strongly welcomes the idea for a roadmap being discussed at Cop 30," energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen said. Germany, Spain, Switzerland and the UK have also signalled support. But UK energy minister Ed Miliband pointed out the difficulty for some countries to move away from fossil fuels, including reliance on hydrocarbons for energy and jobs. Brazil and Colombia are also supporting the roadmap. But few other developing oil producers have spoken in favour of it, pointing to their dependence on hydrocarbons, the need for increased finance flows and a just transition. "It's acceptable that Nigeria is ready to transition, but transitioning now has to be consistent with a bunch of economic priorities," the director general of Nigeria's national council on climate change Omotenioye Majekodunmi said. Transitioning away from fossil fuels "must recognise the very strong differences in economic opportunities," she said. The Arab Group, which includes major oil producers Saudi Arabia and the UAE, wants to focus on the climate finance obligations of developed countries. The calls for a fossil fuel roadmap have yet to turn into something more tangible, according to the presidency. Brazilian environment minister Marina Silva said that she does not expect a decision on this at this Cop but welcomes the "beginning of the construction". Even if a roadmap fails to materialise in Belem, the pressure on fossil fuels is likely here to stay at climate summits. Official talks Ministers will also need to agree on official items this week, including adaptation, just transition and the UAE dialogue, which aims to advance the implementation of the global stocktake (GST). The GST agreed two years ago at Cop 28 in Dubai featured the call to transition away from fossil fuels and triple renewable energy capacity by 2030, which has since received some pushback. To help them, the Brazilian presidency asked countries to finish all technical works on the agenda items by 18 November. Cop 30 chief executive Ana Toni struck a positive note about negotiations at the end of the first week, saying several texts have already been approved, but conceded that a lot of work remained to be done. An informal text on the just transition work programme featured options with language on fossil fuels and the phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies, but the paragraphs face opposition. The text recognises the role of transitional fuels — largely natural gas — while transition minerals have been included within the scope of the programme. "To get, you must give, and being honest, we need to be giving more," UN climate body UNFCCC executive secretary Simon Stiell said. "The issues that may not be priorities for you are clearly issues and priorities for other nations," he added. By Lucas Parolin and Caroline Varin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Cop: 'Tangible' transition from fossil fuels needed


25/11/15
25/11/15

Cop: 'Tangible' transition from fossil fuels needed

Belem, 15 November (Argus) — Kazakhstan's deputy minister of natural resources Mansur Oshurbayev today called for a "tangible, not rhetorical" transition away from fossil fuels at a panel during the UN Cop 30 climate summit in northern Brazil. Nigerian and Fijian representatives at the same panel noted the need for "real alternatives" for industry and workers, and for the finance to support a transition, respectively. The topic of moving away from fossil fuels has drawn attention at Cop 30, with host country Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva calling for a roadmap to overcome dependence on them . But talks on the topic are moving slowly. Cop 30 chief strategy and alignment officer Tulio Andrade said earlier this week that they are not on the formal negotiation table. Almost 200 countries agreed to transition away from fossil fuels at Cop 28 in 2023. Some developing nations such as Colombia are eager for a phase-out plan at Cop 30, but others, especially in the Middle East and Africa, are concerned that it might hinder their development, according to delegates. A growing number of countries are discussing an option similar to the so-called Baku to Belem roadmap , which sets out paths to scale climate finance for developing countries to $1.3 trillion/yr by 2035. A fossil fuel phase-out roadmap could look similar, a French delegation source said. Any reduction in fossil fuel production can only come "with real alternatives for firms, workers and regions", Oshurbayev said during the panel. "We must preserve and redeploy this human capital into activities that support the climate transition and do not directly compete with the coal and oil and [natural] gas operations", he added. The phase out of fossil fuels is a "difficult conversation", the director general of Nigeria's national council on climate change Omotenioye Majekodunmi said. Around 80pc of Nigeria's economy relies on fossil fuels and the country uses about 40GW of fossil-powered generators to generate electricity, he said. But there have been some strides at the national level, such as removing taxes on photovoltaic systems, solar panels and batteries, which will allow "small mom and pop shops and homes to adopt renewable energy options other than burning gasoline and diesel", he said. The country also removed long-standing fuel subsidies in 2023. The Netherlands' vice-minister of climate and energy Michel Heijdra called on countries to reduce fossil fuels subsidies earlier in the week during a Cop 30 high-level event. And fossil fuel subsidies throughout the world are mostly "underpriced, underused or unjust", the deputy chief of IMF's climate policy division Diego Mesa said. Nigeria is also considering creating an additional tax on oil products, Majekodunmi said, which would encourage the country to "reimagine alternative energy sources to drive its economy". The country will rely on natural gas as a "transition fuel" as it winds down over-dependence on fossil fuels, Majekodunmi said. Electrification can also help countries reduce fossil fuel usage, Oshurbayev said. Bold and joint action will be needed to mitigate the consequences of irreversible climate change, including to phase out fossil fuels, the permanent secretary of Fiji's environment and climate change ministry Sivendra Michael said. And any such action will require financing, he told Argus on the sidelines. Some countries, such as India and Saudi Arabia, are pressing for the climate finance obligations of developed countries to developing countries to be addressed at this summit. This is one of four contentious topics that did not make it onto the official agenda, but that countries are discussing in consultations overseen by the Cop presidency. "The ball is [in the] rich countries' court", Michael said. The technical phase of Cop 30 is now wrapping up, as countries' ministers are starting to arrive. The talks will shift into a political phase from 17 November. By Lucas Parolin and Rhys Talbot Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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