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Washington seeks input on GHG market changes

  • : Biofuels, Emissions
  • 25/04/21

Washington regulators are moving forward with a slew of potential changes to the state's "cap-and-invest" program through a pair of draft rules, despite ongoing uncertainty around new program mechanics under discussion in the California-Quebec carbon market.

The Department of Ecology opened public comment for the two draft rules on 16 April for the revised carbon market linkage rulemaking it kicked off in March.

The draft language builds on changes required by SB 6058, which lawmakers passed last year at the request of Ecology, to smooth out any incompatibility between the state's program and the larger California-Quebec market, known as the Western Climate Initiative (WCI).

In line with legislation, the agency is proposing to shift the program's greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions exemption for biomass-derived fuels to 35pc lower lifecycle emissions — down from 40pc — than the comparable petroleum fuels, allow the use of another jurisdiction's carbon offsets issued after July 2019 for compliance, and lower the allowance holding limits for general participants in a linked market. Ecology is proposing other changes required by the law, such as accounting for emissions from imported electricity.

Changes Ecology is proposing that are not required by SB 6058 include accounting for the combined total allowances between all three jurisdictions in the program's holding limit formulas and adding quarterly future vintage allowance auctions in line with the WCI.

Ecology began pursuit of linking with the WCI in 2023, the first year of the Washington's program.

While the agency continues to move forward on linkage-related due diligence required by state law, some program changes needed to join the WCI market, such as aligning program compliance periods and corporate affiliation group disclosures, must wait for guidance from California and Quebec. Ongoing work by the current WCI members to update their respective regulations has run into a series of delays.

One potential change California Air Resources Board staff floated in April 2024 is aligning the end of each compliance cycle with the program's emissions reduction targets in 2030, 2035, 2040 and 2045, rather than the current three-year compliance cycle. But the agency has largely been silent on the issue since, including in its most recent market notice on planned changes in October 2024.

Washington's "cap-and-invest" program aims to cut GHG emissions by 45pc by 2030, compared with 1990 levels, and to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050. The program covers industrial facilities, natural gas suppliers, power plants and other fuel suppliers with GHG emissions of at least 25,000 t/yr.

Ecology is requesting public comment on the draft language through 16 May.


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25/06/16

US biofuel feed prices jump on blending plan

US biofuel feed prices jump on blending plan

Houston, 16 June (Argus) — Prices for US biofuel feedstocks have risen sharply since the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) late last week proposed ambitious biofuel blending targets for the next two years along with lower incentives for using foreign feedstocks. Futures prices for soybean oil, the most widely used input for biodiesel production, have led the feedstock gains as the market prices in potentially higher demand. The Nymex front-month contract for soybean oil rose by 6.3pc on 13 June and by an additional 7.8pc on Monday to 54.6¢/lb, the highest since October 2023. The proposed targets , released on 13 June, would mandate that an equivalent amount of 5.61bn USG of biomass-based diesel be blended in 2026 and 5.86bn USG in 2027. The proposed volumes exceeded most market expectations and industry requests of 5.25bn USG and were significantly higher than the current-year mandate of 3.35bn USG, fueling expectations for increased biofuel feedstocks demand. In addition, domestic feedstocks may face reduced competition from foreign feedstocks under the proposal, which would cut federal Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credit generation by 50pc for imported biofuels or fuels produced from foreign feedstocks. Biomass-based diesel D4 RINs for the current year rallied Monday morning, trading between 127-132¢/RIN, up significantly from Friday's close of 109¢/RIN. Used cooking oil (UCO) railcar volumes to the US Gulf coast were reported trading at 59¢/lb early Monday morning, a 3.5pc jump from Friday's closing price of 57¢/lb, with additional selling interest emerging in the 60s¢/lb. UCO offers for volumes into California were noted in the high 60s¢/lb, up from last week's close in the high 50s¢/lb. Distillers corn oil (DCO) fob truck volumes in the Midwest traded at 61¢/lb on Monday morning, reflecting a 9pc jump from Friday's close of 56¢/lb. Poultry fat fob truck volumes in the southeast were offered in the low 50s¢/lb, up from last week's closing levels in the low 40s¢/lb, but buying interest has not emerged at those levels. Activity for other renewable feedstocks remains limited for now, but market participants anticipate increased trading later this week, driven by the recent proposal and gains in futures markets. The EPA proposal is currently in an open comment period, with a public hearing scheduled for 8 July. By Payne Williams and Jamuna Gautam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Climate plans so far fall short on fossil fuels: E3G


25/06/16
25/06/16

Climate plans so far fall short on fossil fuels: E3G

Edinburgh, 16 June (Argus) — Only 10 of the 22 new nationally determined contributions (NDCs) — climate plans — submitted so far have reaffirmed commitments relating to phasing down coal power or transitioning away from fossil fuels, think-tank E3G said today. These mostly fall short of the goal of the Paris Agreement, it said, and it called on UN Cop 30 climate summit host Brazil to turn "signal into substance". NDCs from Japan, Singapore and Moldova mention the priorities of phasing down coal and transitioning away from fossil fuels, two key outcomes under the UN climate body UNFCCC's first global stocktake (GST) agreed at Cop 28 in Dubai. The GST, an assessment of climate action progress under the Paris Agreement, included an historic call to transition away from fossil fuels. But very little progress has been made on its implementation so far. The UAE in its new NDC stipulates that it "integrates the outcomes of the GST", while the Maldives and Moldova, which are heavily reliant on energy imports, have goals to reduce dependency on fossil fuel imports, citing energy security reasons, according to E3G. The think tank noted that 11 countries that have submitted plans are part of coalitions aiming at phasing out fossil fuels. But none "have introduced country-wide moratoriums on fossil fuel exploration and drilling," E3G said. Canada and Mexico have partial bans, while the UK has announced bans on new drilling licenses in the North Sea, it said, but most countries do not explicitly pledge to divest from fossil fuel assets in their new NDC. Except for the UK, major emitters' NDCs and implementation fall short of what is needed to keep global warming within "safe limits". "With the September NDC deadline fast approaching, Brazil has a critical chance to turn that signal into substance," and rally countries to submit climate plans with credible strategies to move beyond fossil fuels, E3G said. Looking at Brazil, which is hosting Cop 30 in Belem in November, E3G said the country has pledged that "in the medium and long term, it will seek to gradually replace the use of fossil fuels with electrification solutions and advanced biofuels." But Brasilia is looking to develop its oil and gas, including in the environmentally sensitive equatorial margin. It will offer 332 oil and gas blocks in an auction this week — the first since December 2023 — including 47 in the equatorial margin's Foz do Amazonas basin. A separate report today from civil society organisation Oil Change International noted that Brazil "is among the 10 largest expanders of oil and gas to 2035." The country's plans to ramp up oil and gas output "sets a detrimental example", Oil Change said. But Brazil "exemplifies the difficulties that emerging economies with oil and gas reserves face when trying to balance poverty eradication, industrialisation and climate goals", it added. The US is set to account for 58pc of carbon emissions from new oil and gas fields over 2025-35 — around 16pc of the remaining carbon budget — while Brazil's projected share of carbon emissions is 1.4pc, Oil Change found. Oil Change put the global cumulative CO2 emissions from projected new oil and gas extraction at just under 46bn t. The carbon budget refers to a limit on CO2 emissions, in order to keep the global rise in temperature to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, as sought by the Paris agreement. The reports were released to coincide with the beginning of the "halfway point" climate talks, hosted by the UNFCCC in Bonn, Germany. These technical negotiations are scheduled for 16-26 June. By Caroline Varin and Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Climate groups on alert for Brazil oil auction


25/06/16
25/06/16

Climate groups on alert for Brazil oil auction

Sao Paulo, 16 June (Argus) — Climate change monitoring groups say that Brazil's upcoming oil and natural gas block auction will help increase CO2 emissions, a direct contradiction to the country's climate agenda. The auction, to be held on 17 June , will offer permanent concessions for 332 blocks, including several in the Amazon basin. Burning resources from these blocks could release more than 11bn metric tonnes of CO2 equivalent (tCO₂e), which exceeds the agribusiness' sector emissions over the past six years, according to non-profit climate change institute Climainfo and greenhouse gas tracking platform SEEG data. The agribusiness sector is one of the main CO2 emitters in Brazil, accounting for around 27pc of all of the country's emissions in 2023, according to SEEG. The environmentally-sensitive Foz do Amazonas offshore basin , along with other six Amazon sedimentary basins included in the offer — Parecis, Solimoes, Amazonas, Parnaiba, Barreirinhas and Para Maranhao — contain reserves of 69bn bl of oil equivalent. If exploited, these fossil fuels could release 24bn tCO₂e, nearly half of all global emissions in 2023, according to non-profit transition energy global network Fossil Fuel Treaty. Conflicting agendas The climate groups and other environmentalists argue that the upcoming auction highlights Brazil's contradictory stance on oil production and the fight against climate change. President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has spoken in favor of oil production several times — even clashing with environmental watchdog Ibama over a delay to award permits to drill the equatorial margin — despite also positioning himself and the country as a leaders in the fight against climate change . Brazil is one of the few G20 members that has unveiled NDCs under the Paris climate agreement, although some climate groups accuse them of lacking ambition . The country set a target of reducing its greenhouse gas emission (GHG) by 59-67pc below 2005 levels by 2035, which represents around 850mn-1.05bn tCO2e, according to the government. But many environmentalists find those two positions to be contradictory. "Brazil now has the chance to lead by example by suspending the auction and show the world...that it is ready for a just, sustainable, and fossil-free future," senior campaigner at nonprofit environmental advocacy organization Stand.earth Gisela Hurtado said. "The auction of new oil blocks in the Amazon must be canceled now," according to Mauricio Guetta, director of law and public policy at climate change NGO Avaaz, adding that the issue is "a matter of justice for indigenous peoples and the forest." "We need a global agreement to phase out oil extraction in a fair and just way," Fossil Fuel Treaty's campaign coordinator Clara Junger said. "In the meantime, the bare minimum is to stop the expansion [of production]." The federal prosecutor's office in Brazil's Para state recommended suspending the 17 June auction, or at least the exclusion of the Foz do Amazonas blocks. And climate institute Instituto Arayara also filed lawsuits challenging the bidding round. But the challenges were ignored and the auction will go ahead as planned. Brazil's oil production will peak at 5.3mn b/d in 2030, a 47pc rise from 3.6mn b/d in 2024, according to the government's 10-year plan for energy expansion. Indigenous groups worry, too Indigenous groups are also speaking out against oil exploration in Brazil and plan to use the auction and the upcoming UN Cop 30 climate conference — to be held in Para, in November— to also protest fossil fuel extraction in Foz do Amazonas. The initiative — led by the Coordination of Indigenous Organizations of the Brazilian Amazon (Coiab) with support from the Articulation of Brazil's Indigenous Peoples (Apib) and the International Coalition of the Indigenous Amazon — is pleading for a "just energy transition that prioritizes community-based renewable energy instead of predatory projects in its delimited territories." Other statements include pleas for an "official international commitment" to recognize indigenous lands as climate mitigation policies, direct access to climate resources from indigenous organizations and funds to ensure autonomy, protection of voluntary isolation. The group drafted a declaration — signed by entities representing more than 300 Brazilian indigenous groups as well as 28 segments of traditional communities and indigenous organizations of the Amazon basin — that will be presented at the Bonn climate conference next week. It is also planning protests during the 17 June auction. Brazil's NDC also commits to improving territorial, indigenous and environmental monitoring, the groups say. By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EPA proposes record US biofuel mandates: Update


25/06/13
25/06/13

EPA proposes record US biofuel mandates: Update

Updates with new pricing, reactions throughout. New York, 13 June (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration today proposed requiring record biofuel blending into the US fuel supply over the next two years, including unexpectedly strong quotas for biomass-based diesel. The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposal, which still must be finalized, projects oil refiners will need to blend 5.61bn USG of biomass-based diesel to comply with requirements in 2026 and 5.86bn USG in 2027. Those estimates — while uncertain — would be a 67pc increase in 2026 and a 75pc increase in 2027 from this year's 3.35bn USG requirement, above what most industry groups had sought. The proposal alone is likely to boost biofuel production, which has been down to start the year as biorefineries have struggled to grapple with uncertainty about future blend mandates, the halting rollout of a new clean fuel tax credit, and higher import tariffs. The National Oilseed Processors Association said hiking the biomass-based diesel mandate to the proposed levels would bring "idled capacity back online" and spur "additional investments" in the biofuel supply chain. The EPA proposal also would halve Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits generated from foreign biofuels and biofuels produced from foreign feedstocks, a major change that could increase US crop demand and hurt renewable diesel plants that source many of their inputs from abroad. US farm groups have lamented refiners' rising use of Chinese used cooking oil and Brazilian tallow to make renewable diesel, and EPA's proposal if finalized would sharply reduce the incentive to do so. Biofuel imports from producers with major refineries abroad, notably including Neste, would also be far less attractive. The proposal asks for comment, however, on a less restrictive policy that would only treat fuels and feedstocks from "a subset of countries" differently. And EPA still expects a substantial role for imported product regardless, estimating in a regulatory impact analysis that domestic fuels from domestic feedstocks will make up about 62pc of biomass-based diesel supply next year. The Renewable Fuel Standard program requires US oil refiners and importers to blend biofuels into the conventional fuel supply or buy credits from those who do. One USG of corn ethanol generates one RIN, but more energy-dense fuels like renewable diesel can earn more. In total, the rule would require 24.02bn RINs to be retired next year and 24.46bn RINs in 2027. That includes a specific 7.12bn RIN mandate for biomass-based diesel in 2026 and 7.5bn in 2027, and an implied mandate for corn ethanol flat from prior years at 15bn RINs. EPA currently sets biomass-based diesel mandates in physical gallons but is proposing a change to align with how targets for other program categories work. US soybean oil futures surged following the release of the EPA proposal, closing at their highest price in more than four weeks, and RIN credits rallied similarly on bullish expectations for higher biofuel demand and domestic feedstock prices. D4 biomass-diesel credits traded as high as 117.75¢/RIN, up from a 102.5¢/RIN settle on Thursday, while D6 conventional credits traded as high as 110¢/RIN. Bids for both retreated later in the session while prices still closed the day higher. Proposed targets are less aspirational for the cellulosic biofuel category, where biogas generates most credits. EPA proposes lowering the 2025 mandate to 1.19bn RINs, down from from 1.38bn RINs previously required, with 2026 and 2027 targets proposed at 1.30bn RINs and 1.36bn RINs, respectively. In a separate final rule today, EPA cut the 2024 cellulosic mandate to 1.01bn RINs from 1.09bn previously required, a smaller cut than initially proposed, and made available special "waiver" credits refiners can purchase at a fixed price to comply. Small refinery exemptions The proposal includes little clarity on EPA's future policy around program exemptions, which small refiners can request if they claim blend mandates will cause them disproportionate economic hardship. EPA predicted Friday that exemptions for the 2026 and 2027 compliance years could total anywhere from zero to 18bn USG of gasoline and diesel and provided no clues as to how it will weigh whether individual refiners, if any, deserve program waivers. The rule does suggest EPA plans to continue a policy from past administrations of estimating future exempted volumes when calculating the percentage of biofuels individual refiners must blend in the future, which would effectively require those with obligations to shoulder more of the burden to meet high-level 2026 and 2027 targets. Notably though, the proposal says little about how EPA is weighing a backlog of more than a hundred requests for exemptions stretching from 2016 to 2025. An industry official briefed on Friday ahead of the rule's release said Trump administration officials were "coy" about their plans for the backlog. Many of these refiners had already submitted RINs to comply with old mandates and could push for some type of compensation if granted retroactive waivers, making this part of the program especially hard to implement. And EPA would invite even more legal scrutiny if it agreed to biofuel groups' lobbying to "reallocate" newly exempted volumes from many years prior into future standards. EPA said it plans to "communicate our policy regarding [exemption] petitions going forward before finalization of this rule". Industry groups expect the agency will try to conclude the rule-making before November. The proposed mandates for 2026-2027 will have to go through the typical public comment process and could be changed as regulators weigh new data on biofuel production and food and fuel prices. Once the program updates are finalized, lawsuits are inevitable. A federal court is still weighing the legality of past mandates, and the Supreme Court is set to rule this month on the proper court venue for litigating small refinery exemption disputes. Environmentalists are likely to probe the agency's ultimate assessment of costs and benefits, including the climate costs of encouraging crop-based fuels. Oil companies could also have a range of complaints, from the record-high mandates to the creative limits on foreign feedstocks. American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers senior vice president Geoff Moody noted that EPA was months behind a statutory deadline for setting 2026 mandates and said it would "strongly oppose any reallocation of small refinery exemptions" if finalized. By Cole Martin and Matthew Cope Proposed 2026-2027 renewable volume obligations bn RINs Fuel type 2026 2027 Cellulosic biofuel 1.30 1.36 Biomass-based diesel 7.12 7.50 Advanced biofuel 9.02 9.46 Total renewable fuel 24.02 24.46 Implied ethanol mandate 15 15 — EPA Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

EPA proposes record US biofuel mandates, foreign limits


25/06/13
25/06/13

EPA proposes record US biofuel mandates, foreign limits

New York, 13 June (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration today proposed requiring record biofuel blending into the US fuel supply over the next two years, including unexpectedly strong quotas for biomass-based diesel. The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) proposal, which still must be finalized, projects that oil refiners will need to blend 5.61bn USG of biomass-based diesel to comply with requirements in 2026 and 5.86bn USG in 2027. That's a 67pc increase in 2026 and a 75pc increase in 2027 from this year's 3.35bn USG requirement, above what most industry groups had sought. The proposal alone is likely to boost biofuel production, which has been down to start the year as biorefineries have struggled to grapple with uncertainty about future blend mandates, the halting rollout of a new clean fuel tax credit, and higher import tariffs. The EPA proposal also would halve Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits generated for foreign biofuels and biofuels produced from foreign feedstocks, a major change that could increase US crop demand and hurt renewable diesel plants that source many of their inputs from abroad. US farm groups have lamented refiners' rising use of Chinese used cooking oil and Brazilian tallow to make renewable diesel, and EPA's proposal if finalized would sharply reduce the incentive to do so. The Renewable Fuel Standard program requires US oil refiners and importers to blend biofuels into the conventional fuel supply or buy credits from those who do. One USG of corn ethanol generates one RIN, but more energy-dense fuels like renewable diesel can earn more. In total, the rule would require 24.02bn RINs to be retired next year and 24.46bn RINs in 2027. That includes a specific 7.12bn RIN mandate for biomass-based diesel in 2026 and 7.5bn in 2027, and an implied mandate for corn ethanol of 15bn RINs, similar to prior years. EPA currently sets biomass-based diesel mandates in physical gallons but is proposing a change to align with how targets for other program categories work. US soybean oil futures surged following the release of the EPA proposal, and RIN credits rallied similarly. Current year D6 credits, typically generated from conventional ethanol production, traded at 92¢/RIN near the opening of the session before peaking at 110¢/RIN and then retreating slightly. Current year biomass-based diesel D4 RINs followed a similar trajectory, trading up to 116¢/RIN and widening the gap with conventional D6 RINs. Proposed targets are less aspirational for the cellulosic biofuel category, where biogas generates most credits. EPA proposes lowering the 2025 mandate to 1.19bn RINs, down from from 1.38bn RINs previously required, with 2026 and 2027 targets proposed at 1.30bn RINs and 1.36bn RINs, respectively. In a separate final rule today, EPA cut the 2024 cellulosic mandate to 1.01bn RINs from 1.09bn previously required, a smaller cut than initially proposed, and made available special "waiver" credits refiners can purchase at a fixed price to comply. Small refinery exemptions The proposal includes little clarity on EPA's future policy around program exemptions, which small refiners can request if they claim blend mandates will cause them disproportionate economic hardship. EPA predicted Friday that exemptions for the 2026 and 2027 compliance years could total anywhere from zero to 18bn USG of gasoline and diesel. EPA plans to continue a policy from past administrations of estimating future exempted volumes when calculating the percentage of biofuels individual refiners must blend, effectively requiring those with obligations to shoulder more of the burden to meet high-level volume targets. EPA in the proposal said it plans to "communicate our policy regarding [exemption] petitions going forward before finalization of this rule". Industry groups expect the agency will try to conclude the rule-making before November. Notably though, the proposal says little about how EPA is weighing a backlog of more than a hundred requests for exemptions stretching back to 2016. Many of these refiners had already submitted RINs to comply and could push for some type of compensation if granted retroactive waivers, making this part of the program especially hard to implement. An industry official briefed on Thursday ahead of the rule's release said Trump administration officials were "coy" about their plans for the backlog. The proposed mandates for 2026-2027 will have to go through the typical public comment process and could be changed as regulators weigh new data on biofuel production and food and fuel prices. Once the program updates are finalized, lawsuits are inevitable. A federal court is still weighing the legality of past mandates, and the Supreme Court is set to rule this month on the proper court venue for litigating small refinery exemption disputes. By Cole Martin and Matthew Cope Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2025. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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