26/01/06
Viewpoint: Thailand’s LNG demand poised to remain slow
Viewpoint: Thailand’s LNG demand poised to remain slow
Singapore, 6 January (Argus) — Thailand's LNG demand has been on a downtrend,
and sluggish economic growth in the country is expected to further slow
consumption and imports. Thailand imported around 8.6mn t of LNG over
January-October 2025, about 11pc lower compared with the same period in 2024,
according to Global Trade Tracker data. A total of 157,976 GWh of electricity
usage was recorded over January-September 2025 compared to 163,395 GWh over
January-September 2024, according to data from Thailand's Energy Policy and
Planning Office (Eppo). Demand was likely limited by the mild weather in the
past year, keeping inventories higher than expected and limiting demand for
additional gas-fired power generation. Thailand's gas demand was previously
forecasted to rise through the years up to 2030 , according to the country's
proposed gas management plan for 2024-37. But demand is now likely to fall as
Thailand's GDP growth is expected to narrow to 2.2pc for 2025, and 1.6pc for
2026, down from a record of 2.5pc for 2024, according to a forecast by the Bank
of Thailand. Natural gas consumption in 2024 was recorded at 4.496bn m³/d, up by
2.2pc from a year earlier, according to Eppo. Electricity generation and use for
gas in the petrochemical and other industries rose by 6pc and about 7pc
respectively, accounting for most of the increase in line with the expanding
economy that year, although consumption of natural gas by industrial sector
consumption fell by about 13pc following a slowdown in industrial goods
production. This slowdown is likely to continue this year, according to market
participants. Spot trends Thailand's interest for LNG is mostly still driven by
gas-fired power generation in the industrial and electricity sectors, which
prioritise stability in prices, some traders said. Thailand has committed to at
least another 3.4mn t of LNG through term contracts for deliveries from 2025
onwards, which may signal a decreased appetite for spot requirements because of
the limited potential for a growth in power demand. Thai utility Gulf Energy
most recently signed a 10-year term agreement to receive up to 800,000 t/yr of
LNG from Italy's Eni. With the latest deal between Gulf Energy and Eni, Thailand
may receive up to 9.1mn t/yr of LNG through term deliveries in 2027, up from
6.5mn t/yr in 2025, and a projected 8.3mn t/yr in 2026, according to Argus data.
The number of spot tenders issued by Thai importers has dwindled notably, from
an average of about 12-13 tenders per quarter over 2024 to just about under
seven per quarter in 2025 as of end-November, according to Argus data (see
graph) . This is despite new entrants in private-sector imports — B Grimm Power,
Gulf Energy and Hin Kong Power. Southeast Asia LNG demand in the wider southeast
Asia region could also be curtailed as a result of gas turbine shortages and
increasing production costs. The Philippines and Vietnam plan to boost their
gas-fired power capacity, but significant backlogs in the manufacturing of gas
turbines could result in delays. LNG demand in the region may hence be capped,
despite the downward trend in spot LNG prices resulting from a new wave of LNG
supplies entering the market in 2026 and after. The 14mn t/yr LNG Canada
terminal's 7mn t/yr second train , for example, restarted recently, adding more
volumes to the Pacific region. But some demand from Indonesia could surface.
Indonesian state-run utility PLN requires 104 cargoes in 2026, while fellow
state-controlled gas distributor PGN may need as many as 19 cargoes over the
same period, a senior official from the country's energy and mineral resources
ministry told Argus . By Joey Chan and Naomi Ong Thailand term supply Buyer
Seller MTPA Start Year Duration Gulf Energy ENI 0.8 2027 10 PTT Cheniere 1.0
2026 20 PTT Oman LNG 0.8 2026 9 PTT Oman 0.3 2025 4 PTT Brunei LNG Undisclosed
2025 4 Gulf Energy ENI 0.5 2025 2 Hin Kong Power Gunvor 0.5 2024 Undisclosed PTT
BP 1.0 2017 20 PTT Petronas 1.2 2017 15 PTT Shell 1.0 2017 15 PTT Qatargas III
2.0 2015 19 Argus Thailand's LNG tenders Number of tenders Send comments and
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