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Trump's shift in tone fails to revive Hormuz traffic

  • : Freight, LPG
  • 26/03/24

US president Donald Trump's sudden shift from threats to talks with Iran has done little to revive tanker traffic through the strait of Hormuz. Only two notable crossings were recorded in the past 24 hours, according to MarineTraffic data.

The Gas Lucky, an LPG carrier, transited the channel between Qeshm and Larak islands at around 08:00 GMT on Tuesday. The Jasmin, a small tanker carrying fuel oil, sailed westbound into the Mideast Gulf on Monday evening.

Traffic through Hormuz remains 95pc below pre-war levels, shipbroker Clarksons said today, averaging four crossings a day over the past week compared with around 125 before the conflict began on 28 February.

Trump on Monday postponed a threatened round of US strikes on Iranian power plants for five days, citing "very strong" talks with unidentified figures he said "seem to be running" Iran. But Tehran later denied any negotiations had taken place, with parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf saying "fake news" was being used "to manipulate the financial and oil markets".

The contradiction appears to have reinforced caution among shipowners and charterers considering a passage through the strait.

Clarksons said roughly 1,100 vessels are currently inside the Gulf, excluding local trading ships. The total includes about 300 oil tankers accounting for 6pc of global crude tanker tonnage and 4pc of product tanker tonnage.

Around 10 oil tankers — carrying about 12mn bl — have passed through Hormuz in the past week, compared with about 250 vessels carrying 300mn bl in a normal week, Clarksons said. Before the conflict, about a fifth of global oil supply passed through Hormuz, alongside 19pc of global LNG trade and 28pc of global LPG volumes, it added.


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