From surging Brent and WTI prices to extreme weather outages, geopolitical flashpoints and shifting trade flows, the oil landscape is entering a new phase of volatility. Add currency swings, sanctions pressure and fragile supply recoveries, and the picture becomes even harder to read.
In this episode David Fyfe (Argus Chief Economist) unpacks:
- The sharp rally in crude benchmarks and what’s driving it
- US production shut‑ins and Kazakhstan’s slow return after major disruptions
- OPEC+ holding steady amid mounting uncertainty
- A weakening US dollar, record‑breaking gold prices and rising geopolitical risk
- The real impact of renewed Venezuelan flows — and what’s hype vs reality
- Why light sweet crude curves are smiling again despite turbulence
Smiling through Turbulence
After several weeks of unprecedented turbulence, crude futures have trended higher, with geo-economic risks front and centre.

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