Overview

Oil, gas and dry cargoes are being shipped all over the world every day. With seaborne transportation comes exposure to shipping costs. Be it via direct cost or through the prices of feedstocks or finished products, a freight factor is always there. Highly sensitive to market shifts, geopolitics and regulations, freight is a complex and volatile part of every trade.

To manage this exposure, industry participants, from producers and traders to government agencies and financial institutions rely on our freight data for contracts, pricing formulas, analytics and arbitrage tracking.

Argus Freight consists of three dedicated services, covering trade flows for tankers, dry bulk and gas markets. Each service provides daily freight indexes, industry-specific news, market analysis and exclusive content. This enables you to connect the dots between commodity prices and shipping costs, giving you a complete view of the supply chain.

Latest freight news


To unearth the true insights needed to make confident decisions, you need access to data, price assessments and analytical tools to manage freight risks.

23/10/24

Global LNG fleet to be well supplied in 2025-27

Global LNG fleet to be well supplied in 2025-27

London, 23 October (Argus) — The global LNG fleet looks likely to be well supplied in 2025-27, as the addition of new LNG carriers is expected to outpace loading demand from new liquefaction capacity. Some 251 newbuild carriers are due to be delivered in 2025-27, according to data from the International Maritime Organisation (IMO). But loading demand from 124mn t/yr of new liquefaction capacity over the same period may only require 171 additional carriers ( see graphs and projects table ). This scenario assumes 160,000m³ loadings and a 17 knot sailing speed ( see scenario table ) . This scenario does not include loading demand from Nigeria LNG's 8mn t/yr seventh train at the 22mn t/yr Bonny terminal, as feedgas at present is lower than loading demand from the terminal's present liquefaction capacity, or loading demand or vessel additions linked to Russia's 19.8mn t/yr Arctic LNG 2 project, which has been placed under US sanctions. This scenario also assumes no Suez or Panama canal voyages. Should deliveries from the US Gulf to northeast Asia via the Cape of Good Hope rise to 50pc of loadings from the new liquefaction capacity instead of the assumed 33pc, then loading demand could rise by a further 20 carriers. And if each carrier had an average of five days of additional idle time between round trips, then loading demand could rise by a further 23 carriers. If both of the above scenarios turned out to be the case, and all newbuild carriers were delivered on time, then newbuild additions would still be more than sufficient to cover loading demand from new liquefaction capacity. And in the past few years, new LNG terminals have faced greater delays than new LNG carrier deliveries, suggesting scope for an even better supplied fleet in the coming years should this trend continue. The projections follow a well-supplied past year for the global LNG fleet, with 53 carriers delivered over the past 12 months, compared with new liquefaction capacity over the same period requiring a loading demand of around 6-7 LNG carriers. Charter rates have fallen to record lows this month, in large part because of newbuild additions outpacing loading demand from new facilities. Running out of steam The retiring of older steam turbine LNG carriers could limit growth in the global fleet, especially if owners are unable to secure ample employment to cover costs in a market with greater two-stroke and tri-fuel diesel-electric (TFDE) carrier availability. Some 86 carriers that are at least 20 years old are in operation, according to shipping data from Equasis. Scrappage of older carriers has been in the single digits in recent years, but could rise in the coming years, market participants have said. Many older carriers have been under long-term charters that are nearing expiry, and could be up for retirement upon the end of the charters. And carriers typically have maintenance around every five years that requires drydocking, which can be costly for shipowners against a prospect of potentially lower charter returns. An increased number of emissions-based shipping policies from the IMO and the EU, such as the FuelEU regulations starting in 2025, will add to the need for more modern and efficient LNG carriers, further weighing on demand for older steam turbine carriers. But the prospect of a tighter freight market after 2027, as more liquefaction capacity is due to come on line against an expected relative slowdown in carrier deliveries, could push some owners to keep hold of older carriers in the expectation of future employment, even if they are unable to fix their carriers in the short term. By Martin Senior 2025-27 liquefaction capacity additions mn t/yr Project Capactiy First exports Loading demand* Plaquemines LNG 20.0 Dec-2024 33.8 Corpus Christi stage 3 11.4 Jan-2025 19.4 Tortue 2.3 Feb-2025 1.1 LNG Canada 14.0 Apr-2025 13.3 Golden Pass LNG 18.1 Dec-2025 30.6 Congo LNG (2nd Phase) 2.4 Dec-2025 3.5 Qatar NFE expansion 32.0 Feb-2026 34.1 Energia Costa Azul 3.2 Mar-2026 3.8 Atlamira onshore 1.4 Dec-2026 2.4 Hilli FLNG 2.4 Feb-2027 4.6 PFLNG3 2.0 Jun-2027 0.8 Port Arthur T1 6.8 Jun-2027 11.4 Rio Grande T1 5.8 Sep-2027 9.9 Woodfibre LNG 2.1 Sep-2027 1.8 Total 124.0 170.5 — Argus * Number of vessels needed to serve loading demand from the terminal Delivery scenario assumptions pc deliveries NE Asia NW India NW Europe US Gulf 33 0 67 Pacific Canada 100 0 0 Pacific Mexico 100 0 0 Qatar 60 20 20 Congo 50 0 50 Senegal/Mauritania 0 0 100 Argentina 50 0 50 Malaysia 100 0 0 — Argus *all inter-basin voyages via Cape of Good Hope LNG carriers on order Loading demand from new capacity vs newbuild additions Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more

Range sees 6pc gain in realized 3Q NGL pricing


23/10/24
23/10/24

Range sees 6pc gain in realized 3Q NGL pricing

Houston, 23 October (Argus) — Marcellus gas producer Range Resources received a 6pc higher premium versus Mont Belvieu, Texas, on its natural gas liquids (NGL) production in the third quarter owing to its access to markets in Europe and Asia. The Fort Worth, Texas, based producer received on average $25.96/bl for its NGLs, excluding derivatives, up 6pc versus last year. That exceeded average NGL prices at Mont Belvieu, Texas, by $4.10/bl. "Our ability to market ethane propane and butane into the international markets drove the highest NGL premium in company history, at over $4/bl over the Mont Belvieu index," said chief executive Dennis Degner. Range reported its natural gas liquids (NGL) production rose 5pc year over year to 10.2mn bl, or 111,465 b/d, in the third quarter as its gas production rose by 4pc to 1.5 bcf/d. Range updated its full-year guidance on its NGL pricing to Mont Belvieu plus $2.10-$2.35/bl, up from the 75¢/bl to $1.50/bl estimated in the second quarter, owing to gains in propane and butane prices at Mont Belvieu, Texas and higher spot premiums for exported cargoes out of the US. Range's average NGL estimates assumes 53pc of its production is ethane, 27pc propane, and 8pc normal butane. Mont Belvieu, Texas, LST propane averaged 72.9¢/USG in the third quarter, higher than the average of 68.9¢/USG in the third quarter of 2023. Mont Belvieu butane prices averaged 97.25¢/USG in the third quarter, up versus 83.47¢/USG last year. Range credited its term commitments on Energy Transfer's Mariner East system, which pipes NGLs from Range and other Marcellus producers to its export facility at Marcus Hook, Pennsylvania, with its higher realized prices on NGLs, particularly propane and butane, given higher netbacks from Europe and Asia. "International demand and pricing for NGLs remained robust in the third quarter, leading to near maximum US export capacity utilization," Degner said. "Improving Panama Canal throughput access, and a growing global fleet of LPG ships improved waterborne freight rates, and these factors combined to drive export price premiums to new levels relative to the Mont Belvieu index, and Range's portfolio of transportation and sales contracts provided reliable access to these premium markets." Argus-assessed prices for spot propane cargoes on a fob basis rose above Mont Belvieu +30¢/USG in mid-September, a multi-year high. Degner noted higher premiums on spot cargoes are expected to remain until US Gulf coast terminals expand capacity there in late 2025. By Amy Strahan Netback to Northwest Europe vs Mont Belvieu $/t Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

CSX forecasts softer 4Q rail demand


17/10/24
17/10/24

CSX forecasts softer 4Q rail demand

Washington, 17 October (Argus) — Eastern US railroad said it expects that fourth quarter commodity market conditions will be mixed, limiting some freight demand. "Going into the fourth quarter, near-term conditions look modestly more challenging," chief executive Joe Hinrichs said on Wednesday. But the railroad expects "modest volume growth", supported by a few segments including chemicals and agriculture. But lower locomotive fuel prices and the impact of international coking coal prices, which are linked to export rail contracts, could drive a decrease in total revenue during the fourth quarter. He estimated that impact at roughly $200mn compared with last year's fourth quarter revenue of $3.68bn. CSX expects to see a carryover of year-over-year momentum in chemicals, agriculture and food, forest products and minerals, while metals and automotive will continue to be challenged. Demand for metals shipments is predicted to soften through the end of the year. Interest in shipments, particularly steel, is soft because of "sluggish demand, ample supply and low commodity prices", chief commercial officer Kevin Boone said. A weaker-than-anticipated automotive market contributed to the drop in metals demand. Consumer demand for automotive products has been reduced by high retail prices and interest rates, which has led to increased dealer inventories and slower production, Boone said. But CSX expects that an "interest rate easing cycle will help these markets normalize," Boone said. Metals and equipment volume fell in the second quarter, primarily because of lower steel and scrap shipments. Shipments of metals and equipment fell by 9pc to about 64,000 carloads compared with the same three months in 2023. Revenue dropped to $208mn, down by 8pc from a year earlier. Automotive volume dropped in the second quarter because of lower North American vehicle production, CSX said. Automotive traffic fell to 301,000 railcars loaded, down by 2pc from the third quarter 2023. Automotive revenue dropped to $98mn, down by 3pc compared with a year earlier. The outlook for fertilizer shipments is mixed following the third quarter as a decline in long-haul phosphates shipments persisted. Volume was negative, but the railroad was able to haul some profitable spot shipments. Shipments of fertilizer fell to 45,000 carloads in the third quarter, down by 4pc from a year earlier. Fertilizer revenue dropped to $118mn, down by 5pc from a year earlier. CSX expects growth in some market segments. Chemicals freight demand is expected to continue growing following "consistent, broad strength across plastics, industrial chemicals, LPGs, and waste. That demand helped boost chemicals volume by 9pc compared with a year earlier. Chemicals revenue rose to $727mn in the second quarter, up by 13pc compared with a year earlier. Agricultural and food products shipping demand is expected to continue growing, led by demand for grain and feed ingredients from the Midwest for supplies. That follows a third quarter when higher ethanol shipments, as well as increased overall volume helped raise volume by 9pc from the third quarter of 2023. Revenue from shipping agricultural and food products rose to $416mn, up by 11pc from a year earlier. CSX expects intermodal growth to continue with the trucking market falling, which would help drive more container freight to rail. Intermodal shipments are goods shipped in containers and trailers between different modes of transportation. The 1-3 October strike by the International Longshoremen's Association (ILA) did impact intermodal traffic, but the railroad was pleased with the "relatively quick short-term solution", Boone said. International intermodal volume during the third quarter rose because of higher east-coast port traffic. Domestic volume was mostly flat. Overall intermodal volume during the quarter increased by 3pc compared with a year earlier. But lower revenue per container helped reduce total intermodal revenue by 2pc to $509mn. CSX does not expect a major shift in coal volume through the end of the year as coal markets seem relatively stable and utility stockpiles are sufficient, Boone said. Rising natural gas prices are also unlikely to stimulate a "near-term step-up in volumes". Export coal demand has been consistent lately, particularly from buyers in Asia. But revenue per railcar for export coal could make a modest single digit drop, as contracts are tied to international coal benchmarks and prices fell earlier this year. Expport coal voume rose to 11.1mn short tons (10.1mn metric tonnes) in the second quarter on higher demand for thermal and coking coal. But domestic coal deliveries fell to 10.2mn st, down by 12pc from a year earlier, on lower deliveries to power plants and lake and river terminals. Rail coal volume fell by 2pc from a year earlier, while revenue dropped by 7pc to 553mn st. Total CSX profits rose to $894mn, up by 8pc compared with third quarter 2023. Revenue increased to $3.6bn, up by 1pc. By Abby Caplan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Kinder Morgan to shut Tampa terminals Tuesday


07/10/24
07/10/24

Kinder Morgan to shut Tampa terminals Tuesday

Houston, 7 October (Argus) — Kinder Morgan is planning to shut its terminals and fuel racks in Tampa, Florida, on Tuesday as the region prepares for Hurricane Milton to make landfall Wednesday evening . "We will continue to monitor the storm's path and make any adjustments as needed," Kinder Morgan said in a statement on Monday. Kinder operates the Port Sutton, Tampa Bay Stevedores and Tampaplex terminals in Tampa's Hillsborough Bay and the Port Manatee terminal further south in the Tampa Bay. The terminals handle a wide range of bulk products including fertilizers, scrap metal, petroleum coke and coal according to Kinder Morgan's website. Kinder's Tampa refined products terminal has 1.8mn bls of storage and is connected to the Central Florida Pipeline (CFPL) which transports gasoline, diesel, ethanol and jet fuel to Orlando, including to Orlando International Airport. The airport said today that it will cease operations the morning of 9 October in advance of the hurricane. By Nathan Risser Hurricane Milton projected path Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Florida ports preparing for Hurricane Milton


07/10/24
07/10/24

Florida ports preparing for Hurricane Milton

Houston, 7 October (Argus) — Ports on Florida's Atlantic and Gulf coasts closed to inbound vessel traffic Monday in preparation of Hurricane Milton, which strengthened into a category 5 storm . The US Coast Guard late Sunday set condition X-Ray at ports from Jacksonville, on Florida's Atlantic coast, to Panama City, on the state's Gulf coast. This means gale force winds (39-54mph) were forecast within 48 hours. All commercial traffic and transfer operations can continue during X-Ray, but the Coast Guard said ocean-going commercial vessels greater than 500 gross tons should make plans to depart the port or request permission from authorities to remain in port. Incoming vessel traffic is prohibited without Coast Guard permission. A ship agent expects the Coast Guard to set port condition Yankee from Miami to Tampa on Monday evening, which would mean gale force winds within 24 hours. Milton, with maximum sustained winds of 160 mph, was about out 130 miles west of Progreso, Mexico, according to an 11am ET National Hurricane Center advisory. The storm is forecast to make landfall in Florida on Wednesday. By Tray Swanson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Explore our freight products

The Argus advantage

icon

Our people

Our dedicated team of industry professionals are close to local markets, so you benefit not only from precise pricing data, but the breadth of market intelligence at their fingertips. Data alone - no matter how accurate - is not sufficient.

icon

Methodologies

The unique market insights that our clients benefit from are founded upon proven methods. Our methodologies for price discovery are transparent and firmly based on rigorous market-appropriate processes.

icon

Heritage

For over 50 years, clients have benefited from the precise market intelligence delivered by Argus experts working collaboratively across the global commodity markets.