Weak steel demand drives Japan scrap exports in 1Q
Japanese ferrous scrap exports rose by over a third on the year in the first quarter, driven by weak domestic demand as mills ramped down in response to a sluggish steel market.
Japan's scrap exports rose by 36pc year on year to 2.41mn t in January-March, customs data show.
Exports in March fell by 2pc from February to 866,254t, but this was almost double the total in March 2019.
Covid-19 restrictions imposed in February-March depressed domestic steel demand as some manufacturing and construction activities halted. Steelmakers were forced to cut production to reduce their costs and scrap demand fell as a result, leaving Japanese suppliers looking to export markets to absorb ample supply.
Japanese exporters offered material at competitive prices, displacing US supply in Vietnam and Taiwan.
Export market consolidates
The four largest buyers of Japanese scrap comprised 90.51pc of Japan's ferrous scrap exports in March, down by 1.68 percentage points from February.
South Korea regained top spot, accounting for a third — 285,580t, up by 1.7pc on the month. But South Korean demand for seaborne scrap is expected to fall in the second quarter as mills signalled plans to cut output. Mills will probably step up domestic scrap collections instead.
Vietnam had a 30pc share of exports in March, receiving 260,176t, down by 26pc on February, but up by 38.5pc on the year. Steel demand in Vietnam was weak and is expected to remain so in the near future. Mills have been unable to raise their domestic rebar prices because of weak demand.
Exports to Taiwan rose by 6pc from February to 112,929t, with Japanese scrap priced competitively against US material. Availability from US suppliers from March was limited as Covid-19 measures hit collection rates.
Japanese offers into Taiwan were mostly at a $10/t premium to US offers in late January-late February. This gave Japanese suppliers an advantage, given that container handling charges for US scrap exceeded $10/t. The Japan-Taiwan delivery time was also around half that for US-Taiwan shipments.
Exports to Bangladesh rose most sharply — by 53pc to 99,726 in March. First-quarter exports nearly trebled on the year to 208,267t. Strong steel demand meant Bangladeshi buyers were willing to pay higher prices for prime grade scrap.
Momentum fades
Japanese scrap exports are likely to fall soon, despite the state of emergency being lifted in regions apart from Tokyo, Osaka and Hokkaido on 14 May, because of tight domestic availability and lower global steel demand.
Many market participants expect any recovery in operating rates to be slow and see domestic scrap availability remaining tight, with Japanese suppliers extending lead times for their most recent export sales over the past week. They are no longer confident they can collect sufficient scrap to meet orders under a typical four-week lead time. Suppliers into Vietnam in the past week asked for the delivery period to be specified as July, rather than mid-June.
Global steel demand is not expected to rebound any time soon, as many countries remain under lockdown. And any recovery in usage by large consumers, such as the automotive industry, is likely to be slow.
Related news posts
US inflation slows broadly in April
US inflation slows broadly in April
Houston, 15 May (Argus) — US consumer price gains eased in April, with core inflation posting the smallest gain in three years, signs the economy is slowing in the face of high borrowing costs. The consumer price index (CPI) rose by an annual 3.4pc in April, easing from 3.5pc over the prior 12-month period, the Labor Department reported on Wednesday. Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy, rose by 3.6pc, slowing from 3.8pc the prior month. The easing inflation comes as the Federal Reserve has pushed back the expected start of interest rate cuts after holding its target rate at a 23-year high since July 2023 as the US economy has continued to grow and generate jobs at greater than expected rates. Job growth however slowed to 175,000 in April, the lowest since October 2023, and job openings and wage gains have also slowed while a measure of manufacturing has contracted. The CME FedWatch tool boosted the probability of Fed rate cuts in September to about 72pc today from about 65pc on Tuesday. The energy index rose by 2.6pc over the 12 months ended in April, accelerating from 2.1pc. The gasoline index slowed to an annual 1.2pc in April from 1.3pc The food index rose by an annual 2.2pc, matching the prior month. Shelter slowed to 5.5pc from 5.7pc. Services less energy services slowed to 5.3pc from 5.4pc. Transportation services accelerated to an annual 11.2pc, led by insurance costs, from 10.7pc in the 12 months through March. On a monthly basis, CPI inflation slowed to 0.3pc in April from 0.4pc the prior two months. Core inflation slowed to 0.3pc from 0.4pc the prior three months. Energy held flat at a monthly 1.1pc. Services less energy services slowed to a monthly 0.4pc gain from 0.5pc. By Bob Willis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Liberty looks to sell or recapitalise EU rolling lines
Liberty looks to sell or recapitalise EU rolling lines
London, 15 May (Argus) — Beleaguered steelmaker Liberty Steel is looking to recapitalise or divest its main European rolling lines, the company said today. The lines are Liege in Belgium, Dudelange in Luxembourg and Piombino in Italy, and have a capacity of over 2.5mn t, the company said. Liege and Dudelange galvanise hot-rolled coil (HRC) and produce tinplate and blackplate, Magona produces prepaint and hot-dipped galvanised (HDG) products. "The primary objective is to review options for strategic partnerships through long-term HRC feedstock supply contracts, but will also consider and [sic] co-investment and divestment options," Liberty said. Negotiations over at least one of the assets have been ongoing for a number of months, but have potentially stalled at the contract signing stage, sources suggested this week. The company refused to comment on "speculation". As with Liberty's other EU and UK assets, the lines have not been producing anywhere near full capacity, if at all, for a number of years. They have not been supplied with feedstock from the company's own mills. Galati in Romania is operating, but nowhere near capacity, while Ostrava is rolling limited quantities of imported slab with the aid of third-party financing. As far back as June 2021, Belgium's Walloon government discussed loaning Liberty Steel an undisclosed fee to continue operating Liege-Dudelange, subject to the organisation of a sales procedure being started. Walloon's investment firm Sogepa said the loan would be subject to "strict conditions", including the organisation of a sale, but the loan was not finalised in the end. That same month, Liberty merged the downstream assets of Dudelange, Liege and Piombino into its Galati organisation. At the time the company said this would see Galati become the primary supplier of HRC to the rolling lines. The difficult market environment in Europe is compounding the difficulties faced by Liberty. Last week it mothballed its merchant bar mill in Scunthorpe, UK , as first reported by Argus . In reality, the mill has not produced anything for years. At Liberty's Speciality Steel business in south Yorkshire, UK, around 7,000t has been produced this year, out of nameplate capacity of 1.2mn t/yr. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
VW idles Brazil auto plants as floods hit parts supply
VW idles Brazil auto plants as floods hit parts supply
Sao Paulo, 14 May (Argus) — Persistent heavy rains in Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul led Volkswagen to announce collective vacation for workers in three of its local plants as the automaker struggles with a lack of parts made in the flood-hit state. The Anchieta, Taubate and Sao Carlos facilities, in southeastern Sao Paulo state, will have collective vacation starting 20 May as floods forced auto part suppliers to stop production. "Due to the heavy rains affecting the state and people of Rio Grande do Sul, some Volkswagen do Brasil parts suppliers, with factories installed in the state, are unable to produce at this time," the company said on Tuesday. Volkswagen declined to comment on which auto parts suppliers were affected by the floods. Volkswagen's Sao Jose dos Pinhais facility, in Rio Grande do Sul, will remain operating, the company said. Heavy rains that began flooding Rio Grande do Sul in late April persisted over the weekend , continuing to wreak havoc in the state. Rains reached an accumulated 123mm (4.8in) on 10-12 May in the state capital Porto Alegre, according to Brazil's national meteorological institute Inmet. Some areas experienced around 80mm of rain on 12 May alone, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Showers lessened but continued on 13 May, reaching 35mm in some parts of the state. The extreme weather has left 148 dead and 124 missing, according to the civil defense. Over 538,000 people are displaced. By Carolina Pulice Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Anglo American to exit from coal, Ni, platinum: Update
Anglo American to exit from coal, Ni, platinum: Update
Adds details of Anglo American's latest plan to demerge or sell its assets Singapore, 14 May (Argus) — UK-South African mining firm Anglo American has announced plans to exit its coal, platinum, nickel and diamond businesses, shortly after rejecting Australian resources firm BHP's latest takeover bid. Anglo American wants to sell its coking coal business in Australia, which includes the 6.5mn t/yr Moranbah and 5mn t/yr Grosvenor mines in Queensland. The firm also plans to demerge Anglo American Platinum, as well as sell or demerge its De Beers diamond business, it said on 14 May. Anglo American will also slow investment in its Woodsmith polyhalite fertilizer project in the UK, where it was previously targeting first commercial output in 2027 . It is also exploring options for care and maintenance as well as divestment of its nickel assets in Brazil. The move to "accelerate the delivery of consistently stronger shareholder returns" with the latest plan comes on the back of a takeover bid by BHP. Anglo American turned down a revised £34bn ($42.7bn) takeover proposal from BHP on 13 May because it "continues to significantly undervalue Anglo American and its future prospects". It earlier rejected BHP's £31bn all-share offer for the same reason. "The latest proposal from BHP again fails to recognise the value inherent in Anglo American," Anglo American chairman Stuart Chambers said on 13 May. Anglo American shareholders are well positioned to benefit from increasing demand from "future-enabling products", Chambers added. Copper was the second-highest contributor to Anglo American's earnings last year, accounting for 32pc of its earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation, after iron ore. BHP's latest offer represents a total value of around £27.53 per Anglo American ordinary share, including £4.86 in Anglo Platinum shares and £3.40 in Kumba shares, BHP said on 13 May. The takeover proposal came with a requirement for Anglo American to complete two separate demergers of its entire shareholdings in Anglo American Platinum and Kumba Iron Ore — its assets in South Africa — to Anglo American shareholders. "This leaves Anglo American, its shareholders and stakeholders disproportionately at risk from the substantial uncertainty and execution risk created by the proposed inter-conditional execution of two demergers and a takeover," Anglo American said. By Reena Nathan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more