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Brazil hikes import tax on polymers, chemicals

  • : Petrochemicals
  • 24/09/19

Brazil's government increased import taxes of 30 polymers and chemicals to 20pc from 12.6pc this week, including polyethylene (PE), polypropylene (PP) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC).

Another 32 chemical products remain under evaluation by Gecex, the Brazilian committee for commercial trade management. With the 18 September decision, most rates will rise and will remain at this level for 12 months.

Domestic manufacturers and chemical industries associations welcomed the decision, arguing that the measure will help level the playing field against foreign competitors who benefit from lower production costs. Brazil's chemical industry association Abiquim has been asking the government provide commercial protections for 62 products since May.

Supporters of the tax hike, including Abiquim, say it will help create jobs and strengthen Brazil's domestic economy. They also said that the increased revenue from the higher taxes can be reinvested in infrastructure and public services, further benefiting the country.

Brazilian petrochemical major Braskem said Thursday that it sees the tax increase as a positive step towards ensuring fair competition and fostering growth within the industry. Braskem produces basic chemicals, PE, PP and PVC.

The most important aspect of the tax increase is not the number of products covered, but what it represents in value, said Abiquim's executive president Andre Passos Cordeiro. "These 30 products that were approved represent about 65pc of the import volume of this set of 62 products that we had proposed to the government," he said. "They also represent 75pc of the value of this same set of imports. The decision is welcome, well-founded technically, and brings relief to the chemical industry."

The share of chemical imports in the Brazilian market soared in the last 20 years, according to Abiquim, reaching 47pc in 2023 from 21pc in 2000. In the first half of this year, the sector's trade deficit was close to $23bn, while the national industry's idle capacity reached its worst level ever.

"We were losing strength with the closure of factories and loss of jobs," Cordeiro said. "I reiterate that the government's decision was essential for us, as an industry and as Brazilians. A strong industry presupposes a strong country."

The Brazilian chemical industry is responsible for around 11pc of Brazil's GDP, according to Cordeiro

Taxes could up consumer costs

Critics of the tax hikes say they will increase costs for consumers and manufacturers who rely on imported polymers and chemicals.

Brazil's plastic industry association Abiplast said it was concerned that the higher import taxes will increase production costs for plastic products, which could result in higher prices for end consumers.

In a letter to associates, Abiplast said that the measure could hurt small- and medium-sized enterprises that do not have the same capacity as larger companies to absorb the increased costs.

The tax hike could also negatively impact the competitiveness of Brazilian products in the global market, Abiplast said. By increasing the cost of raw materials, Brazilian plastic converters may find it more challenging to compete with foreign companies that have access to cheaper inputs. That could lead to a decrease in exports and a potential loss of market share internationally.

Furthermore, opponents of the tax increase highlight that the measure could have unintended consequences on the broader economy. Higher production costs could lead to inflationary pressures, affecting the purchasing power of Brazilian consumers. They also point out that the tax increase may not necessarily lead to the desired boost in domestic production, as the domestic industry may not have the capacity to meet the increased demand for polymers and chemicals.

The letter, signed by the chairman of the association's board Jose Ricardo Roriz Coelho, also said that despite exhaustive explanations to the government about the taxes' downsides, final approval [of the tax hike] still goes through Brazil's partners in trade bloc Mercosur — Argentina, Uruguay, and Paraguay. If validated, the measure is expected to go into effect in October and last for one year. Abiplast said it will continue battling to reverse the measure, which the association deems unreasonable.

Higher domestic prices may follow

The market is taking some notice of the new proposed measures. One US polymers exporter to Brazil told Argus that if the tax hike becomes effective, Brazilian polymers manufacturers are expected to immediately raise prices to recover their margins.

"The timing for the tax hike announcement was fine-tuned to let local producers secure additional margins in a time that sales are expected to increase in Brazil due to Christmas and New Year celebrations," one market participant told Argus.

But any drop in polymer imports into Brazil from the taxes should recover in he beginning of next year, the source said. "Brazil's polymers production is not enough to address local demand, so imports will always be needed," the source said.

Brazil's January-August PE imports surged by 45pc from the same period in 2023, reaching almost 1.4mn metric tonnes. North America had a 79pc share, while South America had another 10pc. The country also buys from Asia and the Middle East.


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24/11/14

Brazil starts US, Canada PE-dumping probe

Brazil starts US, Canada PE-dumping probe

Sao Paulo, 14 November (Argus) — Brazil's government has started an anti-dumping investigation into polyethylene (PE) produced in the US and Canada. The country's foreign trade committee Gecex launched the investigation on 13 November following allegations from the sole Brazilian PE producer, major petrochemical company Braskem, that these countries are exporting PE to Brazil at prices below what is considered fair market value. Overall imported PE prices into Brazil have been in a downward trend since July, pushing down Braskem prices in the domestic market. Gecex said it will analyze export prices and compare them with those in the domestic markets of both countries. If dumping is confirmed, corrective measures may be applied to protect the Brazilian industry. A preliminary analysis has identified significant evidence of dumping, justifying the continuation of the investigation, Gecex said. It added that there was a considerable increase in PE imports from these countries — especially from the US — during the period being investigated, which may have contributed to the decline in domestic prices and harmed the domestic producer. The preliminary analysis of dumping evidence covered 1 April 2023 to 31 March 2024. The damage analysis period extended from 1 April 2019 to 31 March 2024. The anti-dumping investigation into PE imports from the US and Canada was preceded by an increase in import taxes on a number of polymers and chemicals to 20pc from 12.6pc, including PE, polypropylene (PP) and polyvinyl chloride (PVC), effective since 15 October. Repercussions An international trader specializing in polymer imports into Brazil told Argus that if anti-dumping duties are applied, his company's PE imports from the US to Brazil could drop by 20-30pc. "The decision has a 10-month deadline to be presented, but I believe it will be implemented and possibly announced earlier," he said, adding that this is another Braskem maneuver to regain its traditional 70pc market share in the Brazilian market. If confirmed, the measure is expected to have a significant impact on the Brazilian economy, especially on the plastic products manufacturing industry, as imports of finished plastic products could rise substantially, the trader said. One US-based trader selling US and Canada PE into Brazil sees the possible application of anti-dumping measures on the products as a structural development. "We will need to source PE in different production regions such as Asia and the Middle East, developing new ways of logistics, cash flows, ways of payment, to make it work flawlessly as it currently works with North American PE," the trader told Argus . "Prices should go up and we will increase our margins on PE sales." Brazil's January-September PE production increased by 1pc to 1.7mn t from the same period in 2023, while domestic sales fell bu 2pc to 1.24mn t. In contrast, PE imports jumped by 45pc to 1.54mn t, resulting in an apparent consumption of around 2.8mn t, up by 20pc higher year-on-year and a record high. By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Peru bets on trade ties with Asia as Apec starts


24/11/11
24/11/11

Peru bets on trade ties with Asia as Apec starts

Lima, 11 November (Argus) — Heads of 16 countries are in Peru this week to kick off the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation's (Apec) annual Leaders Week, as government officials in Lima look to grow their partnerships with Asia while staving off potentially disruptive strikes. The summit comes at a fragile time for Peru, where President Dina Boluarte has a historically low presidential approval rate of 4pc and bus drivers and small business owners are demanding protections from a wave of extortion. The event begins today with meetings among senior officials of the 21 member countries and closes on 16 November with the leaders' meetings, the pinnacle Apec event. With the confirmed arrival of Chinese president Xi Jinping later this week, the summit is likely to strengthen ties between Peru and Asia, amid US concerns of China's growing influence in Latin America. US president Joe Biden is also expected to travel to Lima from 14-16 November, according to the White House. He is then slated to go to Manaus and Rio de Janeiro to meet with Brazilian president Luiz Inacio Lula Da Silva. This week is also the scheduled ribbon-cutting of the Chancay megaport, a $1.3bn commercial hub north of Lima that will cut the transport time between Latin America and Asia from 35 days to 25 days. Cosco Shipping, the Chinese state-owned port operating company, owns 60pc of the project and the rest is owned by Peru mining company Volcan. It aims to become the main commercial port in the Pacific for neighboring Brazil and has a 17.8-meter depth, the greatest in Latin America. While the port will be inaugurated on 14 November, Cosco Shipping has said operations are expected to begin in early 2025. Peru's priorities for Apec include trade investments and the energy transition, with a focus on its critical mining sector — and workers' transition to the formal economy in Peru, where the informality rate is about 73pc. These goals extend to the CEO Summit, which is running simultaneously and will host hundreds of business leaders from Asia looking to invest in Peru's energy and mining sectors. Angel Manero, Peru's agriculture minister, said last week the government expects to approve sanitary protocols with China to export nuts, with the potential of expanding to meat imports, according to the official gazette. He added there are talks with China about attracting investments through the creation of Special Economic Zones. Peru last hosted the Apec in 2016. This time, workers in Lima — led by bus drivers' unions — have vowed a three-day strike during Apec to call attention to a string of killings they say are linked to resistance to extortion. Among their main asks is repealing a recent law approved by congress that they say weakens prosecution of organized crime by, among other things, changing its definition to exclude crimes of extortion. Prime Minister Gustavo Adrianzén has repeatedly asked workers not to strike to avoid "a bad show" during the high-level meetings. By Bianca Padró Ocasio Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Poland's Azoty ramps up PDH/PP operations at Police


24/11/08
24/11/08

Poland's Azoty ramps up PDH/PP operations at Police

Warsaw, 8 November (Argus) — Polish chemical conglomerate Grupa Azoty said it is making progress in ramping up production at its new 437,000 t/yr propane dehydrogenation (PDH) and 429,000 t/yr polypropylene (PP) complex in Police, although it needs time to stabilise output and ascertain the unit's economic feasibility. Azoty said both units are operating even though formal commissioning of the entire project has not yet been yet completed. It is in negotiations with the contractor to undertake final improvements and overcome some defects, it said. Azoty expects to agree with the contractor on final terms of commissioning by the end of this year. Since the start of its operations, the PP plant has produced more than 200,000t and sales of PP reached 60,000t in the third quarter, Azoty said. Azoty sees healthy demand for its PP products from European buyers that want to diversify their supply portfolio to reduce risk in delays to imports from Asia-Pacific. "We see end users want have at least 30pc of their (PP) supplies to come from local European supplies," said plant manager Andrzej Dawidowski. He said the company sells PP through its own distribution as well as through traders that market in Europe and elsewhere. Azoty expects to make adjustments to this model as soon as it stabilises output, which would enable buyers to determine their demand for Azoty's product. Azoty said the Police plant is yet to generate positive earnings, and it requires stable supplies of feedstock propane. It said it is working with suppliers to secure financing to ensure steady propane supplies. Azoty also said the letter of intent with Polish integrated Orlen, about a possible sale of a stake in the PDH/PP project was extended until end of 2024, giving them more time to discuss the possibility of co-operation. By Tomasz Stepien Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Hungary’s Mol cuts forecast for 2024 refinery runs


24/11/08
24/11/08

Hungary’s Mol cuts forecast for 2024 refinery runs

Budapest, 8 November (Argus) — Hungarian integrated oil firm Mol has revised down its 2024 forecast for crude runs at its two landlocked refineries after a "turnaround-heavy" third quarter, it said today. The company expects to refine around 11.5mn t of crude combined at the 161,000 b/d Szazhalombatta plant in Hungary and the 115,000 b/d Bratislava complex in Slovakia this year, down from its previous guidance of about 12mn t. The two refineries processed 8.25mn t of crude in January-September, down from 9.09mn t a year earlier. Their combined crude throughput was down by 11pc on the year at 2.81mn t in the third quarter. Mol carried out scheduled maintenance at Szazhalombatta between 26 July and 19 September and expects to complete maintenance work on petrochemical units at Bratislava in the first half of November. Crude intake at Mol's third refinery, the 90,000 b/d Rijeka plant on Croatia's Adriatic coast, rose by 2.6pc on the year to 802,000t in the third quarter and was largely unchanged year-on-year at 1.26mn t in January-September. The company's crude throughput forecast only includes the Hungarian and Slovakian refineries. Mol cut the share of imported crude in its overall slate to 3.35mn t, or 93pc, in the third quarter from 3.8mn t, or 97pc, a year earlier, while it almost doubled intake from its own crude production to 255,000t in July-September from 129,000t in the same period last year. Szazhalombatta and Bratislava mostly process Russian crude received through the Druzhba pipeline system under an EU oil ban waiver, while Rijeka mainly takes non-Russian seaborne crude. The profitability of Mol's refining business was hit by a 71pc year-on-year fall in its refinery margin indicator — calculated based on the Dated Brent crude benchmark — to just $3.70/bl in July-September. Its oil product sales fell by 4.2pc from a year earlier to 4.88mn t in the third quarter. This included 1.52mn t of products Mol had to buy from third parties to complement its own output and satisfy demand, a significant rise from 1.25mn t of third-party oil products it sold a year earlier. The firm's upstream oil and gas production rose by 11pc on the year to 96,100 b/d of oil equivalent (boe/d) in the July-September quarter. It has raised its full-year forecast to about 92,000-94,000 boe/d from previous guidance of around 90,000 boe/d. Mol's profit fell to 111.5bn forint ($295mn) in the third quarter from Ft175.8bn a year earlier. By Béla Fincziczki Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Braskem eyes PE, PP gains from tariff hike


24/11/07
24/11/07

Braskem eyes PE, PP gains from tariff hike

Sao Paulo, 7 November (Argus) — Brazilian petrochemical giant Braskem expects to increase its domestic share of polyethylene (PE) and polypropylene (PP) markets because of higher import tariffs that took effect last month. The Brazilian government's decision to increase import tariffs to 20pc, up from 12.6pc, effective from 15 October and valid for one year, is also expected to boost first-quarter sales by $30mn, the company said Thursday. Additionally, Braskem's operating rates for plastic resins, including polyvinyl chloride (PVC), are expected to rise in the first quarter from 64pc currently, following the seasonally weak fourth quarter. Braskem acknowledged that the higher import tariffs are a temporary government measure. The company is working to boost competitiveness in the petrochemical industry through conversion to renewables, improved technology and greater tax incentives for the industry, among other structural measures, Braskem chief financial officer Pedro Freitas said during the company's earnings call. To bolster the competitiveness of plastic resins made in Brazil, Braskem and fellow PVC producer Unipar Carbocloro have jointly requested the Brazilian government to increase the anti-dumping tariffs already imposed on PVC produced in the US, currently at 8.2pc. Both companies are also monitoring other polymers produced abroad for potential anti-dumping tariff requests. On the investment side, Freitas said Braskem may as much as double capacity at its petrochemical complex in Rio de Janeiro, where the company's cracker operates 100pc on ethane feedstock, and also increase capacity at its petrochemical complex in Bahia, which partially uses ethane. The company is monitoring the regulation of natural gas in Brazil to ensure greater availability of ethane present in the natural gas extracted from Petrobras' offshore operations in the country. The use of this ethane is in the company's plans, according to Freitas. Braskem also stated that it will invest around $60mn in a 30-40 day scheduled maintenance shutdown at its Mexican joint venture Braskem Idesa. The company's cracker in Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro, also is expected to be shut for scheduled maintenance down next year. In the US, Braskem said it is studying potential investments to produce green PP. Looking ahead to next year, Braskem said Donald Trump's victory this week in the US presidential election could lead to greater protectionism in the US, which would be beneficial for Braskem's US operations, or it could lead to weakened domestic demand in Brazil if overseas products that would typically have gone to the US instead shift to Brazil. Freitas said that even with the better outlook for next year coming from the tariff hike on polymers in Brazil, the Trump factor and other global issues such as the currently low petrochemical cycle are causing Braskem to consider possible capacity rationalization, with a possibly decision next year. 3Q production and sales Braskem's domestic resin sales fell by 2pc in the third quarter from a year prior, with volumes also falling in the US, Europe and Mexico. Domestic sales declined mostly because of higher levels of PE and PVC inventories in the transformation chain, Braskem said. Domestic resin sales reached 869,000 metric tonnes (t) in the third quarter, down from 884,000t a year earlier. Compared to the second quarter, the company's Brazil resin sales were up by 6pc on higher volumes of PP after operations at the Rio Grande do Sul petrochemical complex resumed after severe flooding, and greater demand from the hygiene and cleaning sectors. PVC volumes were supported by greater commercial opportunities in the civil construction and sanitation sectors. In Mexico, PE sales through the Braskem Idesa joint venture fell by 3pc on the year to 208,000t because of lower demand. Sales declined by 17pc from the second quarter mainly on inventory management and the expectation of a reduction in PE prices in the international market in the following periods. Third-quarter PP sales were 501,000t, according to consolidated numbers for the US and Europe, down by 8pc from a year earlier and little changed from the previous quarter. The declines were mainly because of lower availability of products for sale in both regions. Braskem narrowed its third-quarter loss to $106mn from a $497mn loss in the same period last year. The loss was largely attributed to a negative exchange rate variation of R$1.2bn ($211mn). By Fred Fernandes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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