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European germanium metal prices surge on tight market

  • : Metals
  • 25/06/13

European prices for germanium metal rose sharply this week following an uptick in enquiries from end-users and trading firms in an already-tight market.

Prices of 99.999pc-grade germanium metal reached a fresh high of $3,500-3,700/kg cif main airport Europe on 12 June, up by 12.5pc from a week earlier and more than 2.5 times the average price over the past 10 years of $1,353/kg.

The price jump comes after five months of muted spot trade and steady prices, as tight supply has restricted spot trade. But over the past week, market participants noted an uptick in the number of enquiries from consumers, as well as buying interest from trading firms looking to meet consumer demand and replace sold material. "I'm surprised there's enough material around to trade right now," a trading firm told Argus.

Germanium availability in Europe has tightened significantly since China expanded its list of export-controlled dual-use items to include the metal in August 2023. China tightened exports further this year, having exported just 4,287kg in January-April, down by 54pc from 9,239kg a year earlier, and banned exports to the US entirely.

And downstream demand for germanium products is strong. Germanium demand from the optical communications industry has increased with demand from AI data centres, and demand for infrared technology from the defence industry has climbed with defence spending and geopolitical tension, market participants said.

Optical communication is the US' largest downstream consuming sector for germanium, according to the US Geological Survey. In the first quarter of this year, US glassmaker Corning reported a 46pc year-on-year increase in sales to its optical communications sector on the back of mounting demand for cables used in AI data centres.

Meanwhile, market participants in Europe also have noted higher demand from the defence sector, where germanium is used in many specialised applications such as sensors, lenses and infrared imaging. Germanium is one of 12 raw materials listed as critical to defence by NATO, and demand for the metal could rise further as NATO members are raising their defence spending and turning to new technologies such as drones and missile systems that use germanium for infrared imaging and sensors.

But China's export controls on germanium have specifically targeted defence applications, having blacklisted many defence companies — such as Raytheon, Lockheed Martin and General Dynamics — from purchasing germanium and other export-controlled dual-use items. This leaves the defence industry with limited sourcing options and could push prices higher while China's export controls remain in place.


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