India's bitumen consumption rose by 5pc from a year earlier to 2.9mn t during April-September, as the country's general elections held over April-May led to a series of road projects being completed.
Road construction activity in India typically peaks towards the end of its fiscal year ending 31 March and then starts to weaken from July onwards with the onset of the monsoon season.
But the country's bitumen production fell by 6.5pc to 2.3mn t during April-September amid scheduled refinery maintenances at several state-controlled refineries. IOC's 270,000 b/d Koyali refinery started maintenance in mid-March for 75 days as it prepares for supplying International Maritime Organisation-compliant 0.5pc sulphur specification cargoes, aswell as producing Bharat Stage-6 transport fuels of 10ppm (0.001pc) sulphur or less. Bharat Petroleum's 240,000 b/d Mumbai refinery also had maintenance in June. Refiners in India are gearing up to meet the new gasoline standards effective from 1 April 2020, which has resulted in reduced bitumen production.
The weaker bitumen output was offset by increased imports, which was up by 65.8pc to 641,000t for April-September.
Indian demand for bitumen in October has also remained mostly weak, largely because of a prolonged monsoon. But industry participants said the slower pace of funds being released from state governments has affected road projects. Limited availability of credit from banks has also slowed down the projects.
India's bitumen demand outlook is bearish amid a slowing economy. India's economy is forecast to grow by 6.1pc this year and 7pc in 2020, according to the IMF. This is down by 1.2 percentage points for 2019 and 0.5 of a percentage point for 2020 since the IMF's April forecast amid weaker private-sector consumption and investment. But growth will be supported by the lagging effects of a monetary policy easing, a reduction in corporate income tax rates, measures to address corporate and environmental regulatory uncertainty and government programmes to support rural consumption, the IMF said.

