Overview
Fuels for road transportation continue to drive the refining industry. But gasoline and diesel use is coming under increasing pressure from the introduction of low-carbon targets around the world.
Global oversupply, new regulatory measures and rapidly increasing competition for export markets are affecting refining margins. The need for accurate insight and data is more critical than ever.
Argus road fuels coverage includes price assessments and key insights into conventional fuels — gasoline, middle distillates and blending components — as well as biofuels, in each key region. Our trusted prices are delivered alongside the latest market-moving news, in-depth analysis, supply and demand dynamics, price forecasts and forward curves data.
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Northwest Mexico fuel sales fall 13pc in June
Northwest Mexico fuel sales fall 13pc in June
Mexico City, 18 August (Argus) — Retail gasoline and diesel sales fell by 13pc across Mexico's northwestern states in June, with Baja California, Baja California Sur, Sonora and Chihuahua states all posting declines from a year earlier as gasoline and diesel demand weakened throughout the region. Combined retail fuel sales in the four states fell to about 137,500 b/d in June from 158,500 b/d a year earlier, according to Argus calculations using the latest data from the national energy commission (CNE). Baja California remained the region's largest fuel market and recorded the steepest decline among the four states, with total demand falling by 14pc to 47,000 b/d from 55,000 b/d a year earlier. Baja California Sur also posted a 14pc decline, with fuel demand falling to 11,500 b/d from 13,500 b/d. Chihuahua's fuel sales fell by 12pc to 44,000 b/d from 50,000 b/d, while Sonora recorded a 12pc decline to 35,500 b/d from 40,500 b/d. The figures cover sales through retail fuel stations operating under the state-owned Pemex brand and other private brands. They exclude diesel supplied directly to industrial consumers and self-supply users, which account for a substantial share of Mexico's diesel demand. The data therefore reflect retail fuel demand rather than total consumption. Gasoline accounted for most of the decline across the four states. Combined regular and premium gasoline demand fell by 14pc to about 107,000 b/d from 125,000 b/d a year earlier. Regular gasoline sales declined by 11pc to 92,000 b/d from 104,000 b/d, while premium gasoline demand fell by 28pc to 15,000 b/d from 21,000 b/d. Baja California recorded the steepest decline in volume terms. Combined regular and premium gasoline demand fell by 15pc to 38,500 b/d from 45,500 b/d a year earlier. Chihuahua followed, with gasoline demand declining by 13pc to 33,500 b/d from 39,000 b/d. Sonora's gasoline sales fell by 13pc to 26,000 b/d from 30,000 b/d, while Baja California Sur recorded a 14pc decline to 9,000 b/d from 10,500 b/d. Diesel-related fuels also weakened throughout the region. Combined sales of diesel and ULSD fell by 9pc to about 30,500 b/d from 34,000 b/d a year earlier. All four states posted lower diesel demand, in contrast to Nuevo Leon, where retail diesel sales rose in June. Premium gasoline recorded the steepest decline among the region's major fuel categories. Sales fell by 28pc across the four states, compared with an 11pc decline in regular gasoline demand. Baja California posted the largest loss in premium volume terms, while Sonora, Baja California Sur and Chihuahua recorded similar declines. The June data suggest fuel demand weakened across a broad section of Mexico's northern region. Consumption declined in border markets such as Tijuana, Mexicali, Juarez and Nogales, as well as in tourism-oriented Baja California Sur, indicating the slowdown was not confined to a single state. Northwestern Mexico is supplied through a combination of Pacific coast shipments and cross-border imports. Pemex's Pacific logistics system moves fuel produced at the 330,000 b/d Salina Cruz refinery, as well as imported product, by tanker to terminals including Rosarito, Guaymas and La Paz. Rosarito is connected by pipeline to Ensenada and Mexicali, while Guaymas supplies Hermosillo and Ciudad Obregon in Sonora, with tank trucks serving other inland markets. Chihuahua can receive US product through the El Paso-Ciudad Juarez corridor, as well as supply moving north from Gomez Palacio, Durango state. Private-sector companies supplement Pemex through marine, pipeline, rail and truck imports. US projects could reshape supply Fuel flows in western US are also being reshaped after the closures of Phillips 66's 139,000 b/d Los Angeles complex and Valero's 145,000 b/d Benicia refinery removed about 17pc of California's refining capacity. The losses could tighten export availability and increase competition for Pacific coast cargoes in the near term, particularly for Baja California. But they are also prompting projects intended to move Midcontinent and US Gulf coast supply west, reducing Arizona's historical dependence on southern California. Phillips 66, Kinder Morgan and HF Sinclair reached FID this month on the $5bn, 230,000 b/d Western Gateway system, targeting completion in 2029. The project would move fuel through a new pipeline from Borger, Texas, to Phoenix, Arizona, before sending some volumes west into California through a reversal of Kinder Morgan's existing SFPP West line. Oneok is separately considering its proposed 200,000 b/d Sun Belt Connector from El Paso, Texas, to Phoenix, while HF Sinclair is evaluating a first-phase expansion that could add 35,000 b/d of capacity to move Rocky Mountain supply into Nevada. None of the projects include a Mexican extension, but El Paso and Tucson, Arizona, are established supply points for fuel moving into northern Mexico. Additional supply at those hubs and in southern California could become available to buyers in Chihuahua, Sonora or Baja California through existing cross-border logistics, depending on prices and import regulations. By Cas Biekmann and Antonio Gozain Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Venezuela's refineries run at 350,000 b/d: PdV
Venezuela's refineries run at 350,000 b/d: PdV
Caracas, 17 August (Argus) — Venezuela's refineries are processing about 350,000 b/d of crude and producing enough gasoline to meet domestic demand, PdV president Hector Obregon said , an improvement from late 2025. Investments in Venezuela's refineries are helping PdV avoid gasoline imports, Obregon told state-controlled VTV television on 14 August. This represents a supply increase from late 2025 when PdV executive vice president Jovanny Martinez said that Venezuela was producing 108,000 b/d of gasoline and 53,700 b/d of diesel. Venezuela had 1.3mn b/d of nameplate refining capacity when late former president Hugo Chavez took office in 1999. But industry source have estimated that only about 500,000 b/d is usable. PdV is investing more in its refining system, Obregon said. It also continues to offer a 97-octane gasoline rolled out in February at more retail stations, he said. The 350,000 b/d processing rate is a realistic if approximate figure, one source in PdV's refining sector who asked not to be named said. Venezuela's domestic gasoline demand is roughly 200,000-300,000 b/d, and shortages and long lines at retail fuel stations have eased although structural problems remain, the source said. PdV previously had 1.2mn b/d of capacity in its Amuay refining complex alone before a massive explosion in 2012 from which it has never recovered, the source noted. Power outages and problems at the El Palito refinery that is crucial for supplying gasoline to central coastal Venezuela also limit output, the source said. US sanctions that have mostly been lifted after a US incursion on 3 January caused delays in maintenance as well. In addition to Amuay and El Palito, Venezuela's other main refining complexes are Bajo Grande and Puerto La Cruz. Venezuela continues to import naphtha, which it typically uses as a diluent for its extra-heavy crude production but the product can also be used as a gasoline blending component. Venezuela imported about 100,000 b/d of naphtha in July and is on track to import slightly more in August, about 125,000 b/d, with most of that coming from the US, according to Vortexa ship tracking. By Jose Chalhoub Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Hormuz traffic low despite US claims of control
Hormuz traffic low despite US claims of control
New York, 12 August (Argus) — Vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz remains severely disrupted, weighing on global oil demand despite US president Donald Trump's recent claims of the US' total control over the narrow waterway. Vessel traffic through the strait of Hormuz stood at 16 vessels total on 11 August, split between 11 inbound and five outbound transits, data from maritime security firm Windward show. There were six total transits — including three transits into the Mideast Gulf and three transits out — that took place on the southern US-supported transit lane, including a Sinokor-controlled very large crude carrier (VLCC) carrying 2mn bl of Iraqi crude destined for Rotterdam, Windward data show. "The USA has total control over the strait of Hormuz. I THINK WE WILL KEEP IT!" Trump posted on social media on 12 August. "Our naval blockade is being called, by everyone, 'A WALL OF STEEL' and there is nothing Iran can do about it." Trump's claim of the US' total control over the strait of Hormuz came the same day that the International Energy Agency (IEA) described an agreement enabling the reopening of the strait of Hormuz as "still elusive" in its latest Oil Market Report (OMR). It also lowered its global oil demand forecast "as the continued closure of the strait of Hormuz disrupts international supply chains and curtails product availability". The latest remarks by Trump come as the US and Iran appear to be moving further away from the potential for diplomatic resolution to reopen the strait of Hormuz, based on recent escalations in rhetoric from both countries. Iran continues to heighten its demands for the reopening of the strait of Hormuz, linking it to the end of the US' blockade, the release of frozen Iranian assets and a region-wide ceasefire that includes Lebanon and Gaza. Meanwhile, Trump in an 11 August post on social media floated the idea that Iran "should be responsible for the damages and death caused to the people of Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, and Gaza!" Wright or wrong? US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said on 11 August that thanks to the US and its Gulf allies the seven-day average for oil leaving the strait of Hormuz is up to almost 9mn b/d, a figure much higher than available information. Data from vessel tracking firm Vortexa places the weekly average for oil leaving the strait of Hormuz between 31 July and 7 August at 3.34mn b/d, with the UAE, Iraq and Kuwait as the leading exporters. It is unclear whether the vessels transited on the US-supported southern lane or the northern Iranian-controlled transit lane. Iran had previously exempted its ally Iraq from paying tolls to transit the strait in June. The IEA confirmed in its latest OMR that "following significant gains in May and June, crude and condensate flow through Hormuz (…) collapsed in July." Wright doubled down on his claims on 12 August stating that "many private businesses undercount the number of ships leaving the strait of Hormuz due to ships moving covertly through the waterway". The US Central Command (Centcom) has repeatedly claimed that US-assisted transits through the strait of Hormuz have been averaging around 20 vessels a day, even on days where vessel tracking and satellite information detected only 10 vessels making it through the waterway. Centcom has declined to respond to multiple requests for additional details on the transits from Argus . By Charlotte Bawol Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
EIA raises renewable diesel output view
EIA raises renewable diesel output view
Houston, 11 August (Argus) — The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) today raised its projections for renewable diesel production and net exports while trimming domestic demand expectations. EIA raised its forecast for renewable diesel production in 2026 to 241,000 b/d, the agency said Tuesday in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook , up by 5,000 b/d from July's forecast. The production outlook for next year was unchanged at 294,000 b/d. The outlook for domestic renewable diesel demand this year was trimmed by 9,000 b/d to 208,000 b/d, while the 2027 forecast was reduced by 4,000 b/d to 291,000 b/d. EIA increased its expectation for net renewable diesel exports this year to 30,000 b/d, up by 13,000 b/d from July's projection and equal to the level recorded in 2025. Next year, renewable diesel imports and exports are expected to be balanced, compared with 5,000 b/d in net imports projected last month. US biodiesel domestic demand is expected to average 101,000 b/d in 2026 and 115,000 b/d in 2027. The 2026 forecast was cut by 1,000 b/d from EIA's July outlook, while the 2027 outlook was unchanged. Biodiesel output is expected to reach 101,000 b/d in 2026 and 109,000 b/d in 2027, both unchanged from the previous report. Biodiesel imports and exports in 2026 are also expected to be balanced, a decrease of 1,000 b/d in net imports from last month's projection. The agency expects 6,000 b/d of net biodiesel imports in 2027, unchanged from the previous report. EIA's forecast for US production and consumption of "other biofuels" — including sustainable aviation fuel — were unchanged from last month's outlook at 42,000 b/d this year and 53,000 b/d next year. The US Department of Agriculture (USDA) maintained its forecast for US soybean oil use for biofuels in its July World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates report, holding at 8.07mn metric tonnes for the 2026–27 marketing year. US soybean crush margins have remained volatile since the start of July, peaking at $3.268/bushel (bu) on 22 July before soybean oil futures prices dove lower. Crush margins were last calculated at $2.745/bu on 10 August. Current-year D4 Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits were last assessed at 221.5¢/lb on 10 August, down substantially from an all-time high of 255.875¢/RIN reached on 7 July, lowering production margins for US biofuel producers. The US requires refiners to blend various types of biofuels each year or cover their obligations by purchasing RIN credits from others that do. By Thompson Corpus Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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