Indian steel mills expand on firm prices, demand hopes
State-controlled Indian steel producer Steel Authority of India (Sail) plans to raise its crude steel capacity to 50mn t/yr by 2030, adding to the list of domestic producers that are looking to expand owing to expectations of firm demand and stronger prices.
Sail has started work on the land bank study for the next phase of expansion, Sail chairman Soma Mondal said in a letter to shareholders earlier this month. The firm recently announced plans to raise hot metal production capacity at its Rourkela steel plant.
Sail produced 15.215mn t of crude steel in the financial year 2020-21 ending 31 March and 16.155mn t in 2019-20. The fall in output in the last financial year was the result of disruption caused by Covid-19. Prior to the pandemic, the firm's output had risen by just over fifth between 2011-12 and 2019-20.
"Strong cash generation due to higher steel prices and balance sheet strength will continue to support the funding requirements of long-term growth plans of steel companies," ratings agency Care Ratings' deputy manager-industry research, Rashmi Rawat, said.
The Argus domestic India hot-rolled coil (HRC) index rose by 91pc from a year earlier to Rs70,500/t ($957/t) in mid-June. The index currently stands at Rs64,000/t, up by 56pc from the previous year.
Steelmakers in India managed to cope with the loss of domestic demand last year because of firm export prices. International steel prices benefited from governments' stimulus measures to support economies following the outbreak of Covid-19 and a slow supply response.
The Argus cfr Asean HRC index registered a 160pc jump on the year to $1,048/t in mid-May.
"Focus on infrastructure and government initiatives such as ‘Make in India' are expected to boost steel demand growth. In addition, the government's focus on accelerating the rural economy and plans for building smart cities, affordable housing and dedicated freight and high-speed rail corridors are expected to create significant demand for steel," Rawat added.
As part of the government's national steel policy, announced in 2017, India aims to reach 300mn t/yr of crude steel production by 2030, more than double from the current capacity of 143.91mn t/yr.
"[300mn t] is a bold target. Financing is a very big challenge, which could be one of the bottlenecks. The larger players by themselves will not take us to 300mn t, the entire gamut of the primary as well as the secondary producers has to bring in investments for us to achieve the target," Icra Ratings assistant vice-president Ritabrata Ghosh said.
Securing contiguous tracts of land to build large steel projects and a sustained period of strong infrastructure growth will be critical, Ghosh said, adding that steel exports will also play a crucial role amid the shift in China's export policy. Indian steel export prices currently stand above domestic levels, whereas domestic prices are usually higher than export prices.
The world's leading steel producer, China, has removed rebates and imposed export taxes on certain steel products this year to discourage exports owing to high domestic demand. The country is also looking to cap steel output in efforts to reduce carbon emissions.
Indian steel mills have benefited from this move, with most companies registering higher sales, which have been supported by increased exports.
Dependency on coking coal imports is also a factor that poses a cost challenge for steel producers. The Argus fob Australia premium low-volatile coking coal index stood at a record-high $392.50/t today, up by 203pc on the year.
Selected Indian firms' steel-making capacity | mn t/yr | ||
Company | Current capacity | Target capacity | Recent expansion projects and plans |
JSW Steel | 18.0 | 45.0 | -5mn t/yr Dolvi expansion near commissioning, 2.5mn t/yr Vijayanagar expansion under way -8mn t/yr pellet plant commissioned at Vijayanagar in Mar 2021 -2.5mn t/yr Bhushan Power & Steel acquired in Mar 2021 -1.2mn t/yr Plate & Coil Mill Division of Welspun Corp acquired in Apr 2021 -1mn t/yr Asian Colour Coated Ispat acquired in Oct 2020 -0.1mn t/yr Vallabh Tinplate acquired in Mar 2021 |
Tata Steel | 19.6 | 35.0-40.0 | -Kalinganagar expansion to 8mn t/yr under way -500,000 t/yr steel recycling plant commissioned at Rohtak in Aug 2021 -5 t/d carbon capture facility at Jamshedpur commissioned in Sep 2021 |
Sail | 15.2 | 50.0 | -Added 2.7mn t/yr BF in IISCO, rebuild coke over battery #1 & #2, upgraded BF#2 in Bokaro, added 2.8mn t/yr BF and new steel melting shop in Bhilai, installed new BF-5, coke over battery-6 and sinter plant-3 in Rourkela and added 55t steel melting shop-electric arc furnace in Salem -Plans to raise hot metal production capacity at Rourkela to 4.85mn t/yr |
JSPL | 8.6 | 15.9* | -To double capacity at Angul to 12mn t/yr, with installation of 4.25mn t/yr BF, 2.7mn t/yr DRI, 6.3mn t/yr steel melt shop; BF commissioning by end of Dec 2023 |
AM/NS | 7.3 | 30.0† | -Acquired 10mn t/yr Essar Steel in Dec 2019 -Acquired 500MW Bhander Power Plant in Hazira in Mar 2020 -Started operations at 5.5mn t/yr Thakurani iron ore mine in July 2020 -Commissioned second 6mn t/yr pellet plant in Paradeep in Sept 2021 -Begun ops at 7.16mn t/yr Ghoraburhani-Sagasahi iron ore mine at Sundargarh, in Sept 2021 |
*JSPL's target capacity is by FY25, #AM/NS's target capacity is long term |
Related news posts
Liberty Merchant Bar to be 'mothballed', sources say
Liberty Merchant Bar to be 'mothballed', sources say
London, 7 May (Argus) — Liberty Steel will announce the mothballing of Liberty Merchant Bar (LMB) in Scunthorpe, England, this week, multiple sources told Argus . LMB has effectively been mothballed for a couple of years, as it stopped producing in 2022 amid cash constraints and problems with energy supply. The mill was powered by gas captured in the coke-making process at British Steel , but that supply has now stopped. Sources suggest the mothballing announcement is really a sign that the plant will not reopen, given it has been off line for so long. Around 135 staff are employed at the site — it is not clear whether they will be redeployed elsewhere in the group. Liberty recently said it has signed a new framework agreement with its major creditors, following the refinancing of its Infrabuild business in Australia, which would enable it to "consolidate its UK steel businesses under a new entity with a simpler structure, a strong balance sheet and greater access to third-party finance and investment". Liberty has been promising to publish consolidated financial results since 2019, but is still yet to do so. Under this consolidation, existing UK companies will transfer their assets and employees to the new entity, the company said. The change has enabled "development of a comprehensive plan that aims to take Liberty's electric arc furnace (EAF) melting capacity" at Rotherham to 2mn t/yr, the company added. The two existing furnaces at the site — N and T — have a capacity of 1.2mn t/yr, but have been running well below this. Only T is running at present, following prepayment from aerospace customers, and it has produced less than 7,000t so far this year. Liberty's eventual plan is to produce feed for longs and engineering bar from furnace N, feed for aerospace customers from furnace T, and to install a new EAF to produce slab for the company's plate and coil mills in Scotland and Wales. The company declined comment. By Colin Richardson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Global battery installation growth slows in 1Q: SNE
Global battery installation growth slows in 1Q: SNE
Singapore, 7 May (Argus) — The growth of global electric vehicle (EV) battery installations during January-March this year has slowed with stuttering global EV demand, data from South Korean market intelligence firm SNE Research show. Global EV battery installations during the first quarter rose by around 22pc from a year earlier to 158.8GWh compared with 36pc growth for the same period last year. Most top battery manufacturers have experienced lower growth rate ( see table ), with Japan's Panasonic and South Korea's SK On installing fewer batteries compared with a year earlier. China's Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) and BYD continue to spearhead the growth, albeit also at a slower pace. Consumers' preference for battery EVs globally waned as plug-in hybrid EV and hybrid EVs growth gained momentum because of factors including continued high interest rates and a shortage of charging infrastructure, according to SNE. Samsung SDI earlier this year pinned its hopes on a gradual EV battery market recovery in this year's second half when it expected benefits from lower interest rates starting to be realised. Lower interest rates could spur consumers spending and business investment. But US Federal Reserve policymakers earlier this month signalled that they are likely to hold rates higher for longer until they are confident inflation is slowing "sustainably" towards the 2pc target. The higher interest rates and lower residual values of EVs given price cuts on new vehicles could push up EVs' monthly leasing terms, which are often financed, according to Dutch investment bank ING's senior economist Rico Luman and senior high yield credit strategist Oleksiy Soroka. The scaling back of subsidies in Germany will also weigh on EV uptakes, they said. The IEA has forecast that EV sales will continue to grow in most major markets this year but at a slower rate compared with 2023. Global EV sales this year are forecast to top 17mn, more than 20pc of total global vehicle sales. By Joseph Ho Global EV battery installations (GWh) Jan-Mar '24 Jan-Mar '23 1Q '24 y-o-y % ± 1Q '23 y-o-y % ± CATL 60.1 45.6 31.9% 32.9% BYD 22.7 20.3 11.9% 103% LGES 21.7 20.1 7.8% 43.6% Panasonic 9.3 10.6 -12.6% 21.8% Samsung SDI 8.4 6.2 36.3% 44.2% SK On 7.3 7.9 -8.2% 17.9% CALB 6.3 5.2 22.2% 26.8% EVE 3.6 2.3 54.7% 64.3% Guoxuan 3.4 2.7 22.1% 3.8% SVOLT 2.7 0.9 217.7% NA Others 13.4 8.4 59.2% NA Total 158.8 130.2 22% 35.8% Source: SNE Research 1. Calculated 1Q '23 growth rate using SNE Research adjusted figures 2. Used SNE Research 1Q '24 growth rate figures 3. Omitted 1Q '23 growth rate figure for "others" given SVOLT's likely in the list (making it an inaccurate comparison) Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Japan’s Daihatsu fully reopens domestic auto operations
Japan’s Daihatsu fully reopens domestic auto operations
Tokyo, 7 May (Argus) — Japanese car manufacturer Daihatsu resumed operations at Kyushu and Osaka on 6 May and 7 May respectively, marking the full reopening of its domestic plants. Daihatsu produces around 400,000 units/yr and 6,000 units/yr at Kyushu in south Japan and Osaka in west Japan respectively, according to a company representative that spoke to Argus. Combined production at these two plants accounts for around half of its total domestic output. It suspended all its operations in December 2023 after it was accused of tampering with safety test results. Daihatsu partially resumed operations in February and March but the Kyushu and Osaka plants remained closed. The company's March output fell by 65.8pc from a year earlier to 30,453 units , although it recovered from 6,692 units and none in February and January respectively. The country's overall industrial production index increased by 3.8pc from the previous month, according to the ministry of trade and industry last week, mostly driven by a production recovery of passenger vehicles. By Yusuke Maekawa Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil unlocks relief spending to flooded state
Brazil unlocks relief spending to flooded state
Sao Paulo, 6 May (Argus) — Brazil's president Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva signed a decree to ease relief spending to Rio Grande do Sul state, which has been hit with historically heavy rainfall and floods. "We are going to do everything in our power to contribute to Rio Grande do Sul's recovery," he said today after signing the decree, adding that was only the first of "a large number of acts" for the state. The decree recognizes the state of emergency in Rio Grande do Sul and allows the federal government to grant funding and tax waivers to the state without having to comply with spending limits. In addition, it makes rules for public authorities to contract services and purchase products more flexible. The decree still needs both senate and congressional approval — which should be hasty, as both the senate and house leaders were present at the decree's signing. It is still not clear how much money it will take to rebuild the state, chief of staff Rui Costa and planning minister Simone Tebet said. But the minister of regional integration Waldez Goez estimated that it will take around R1bn ($200mn) to rebuild the state's highways. Rio Grande do Sul has been hit with heavy rainfall since 29 April. The highest volumes reached the central areas of Rio Grande do Sul, with cities receiving rainfall of 150-500mm (6-20 inches), regional rural agency Emater-RS data show. The monitoring station of Restinga Seca city, in the center of the state, recorded rainfall of about 540mm. Rainfall in Rio Grande do Sul overall surpassed 135mm in most of the state, according to the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). State capital Porto Alegre is expected to receive more rain later this week, according to Rio Grande do Sul-based weather forecaster MetSul. MetSul warned that parts of the Porto Alegre metropolitan area could remain uninhabitable for weeks or months. The floods have left at least 83 dead and 111 missing, according to the state government. An additional 130,000 people have been displaced from their homes. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Business intelligence reports
Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.
Learn more