Industry wants SAF carbon allowance boost
The aviation industry today called for a new additional supporting mechanism under the EU's emissions trading system (ETS) allowing aircraft operators to gain carbon reductions from uplifting sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs).
The call was made ahead of an expected European Parliament vote on 18 May on legislative proposals to reform the ETS. Firms signing up include Neste, Siemens Energy, Norsk e-Fuel and Lanzatech as well as Airlines for Europe (A4E), airports, and aviation and aerospace manufacturers.
The group wants a new supporting mechanism under the EU ETS allowing aircraft operators to receive carbon allowances equal to overall CO2 reduced by SAF uplifting, suggesting a rate equal to CO2 save for SAFs from biofuel, but with a 200pc multiplier for advanced biofuels and synthetic fuels including hydrogen. The ETS tweak, they argue, would provide additional incentives for airline decarbonisation via SAFs over and above the mandated minimum blend. It would provide further bridging in terms of the current price gap with conventional jet fuel.
"The scheme creates an incentivising pricing system respecting the integrity of the EU single market, benefiting people across the EU, unlike many ad hoc national programmes or targeted funds," said Laurent Donceel, senior policy director at A4E.
Donceel sees increasing support in parliament, which will hold crucial votes next week on aviation in the ETS. EU member states too are showing growing interest. Once both parliament and EU states have reached their own formal positions, talks can begin on a final legislative text.
The EU proposed a SAF blending mandate last year whereby aircraft landing at EU airports must uplift blended jet fuel with a mandated SAF share of 2pc by 2025, 5pc by 2030, 20pc by 2035, 32pc by 2040 and 63pc by 2050.
The latest market outlook published by SAF producer SkyNRG indicates that some 4.7mn t of SAF will be needed by 2030 to meet the aggregate EU and UK demand with mandates.
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Norwegian Cruise swings to 1Q profit
Norwegian Cruise swings to 1Q profit
New York, 1 May (Argus) — US-based cruise ship operator Norwegian Cruise Line's (NCL) swung to a profit in the first quarter on record bookings. The company posted a $69.5mn profit in the first quarter, compared with a $127.7mn loss during the same period of 2023. Revenue rose by 20pc to $2.19bn in the quarter from a year earlier as the cruise operator reported record quarterly bookings. Cruise operating expenses were up by 8pc at $1.39bn in the quarter from a year earlier. Norwegian rerouted some of its voyages that were previously expected to sail through the Red Sea. But demand from other regions offset the effect of the redeployed voyages. The company spent $197.7mn on marine fuel in the first quarter, 1pc up from $194.9mn in the first quarter of 2023. The company burned 269,000t of marine fuel and did not disclose its fuel consumption for the first quarter of 2023. It expects to burn about 245,000t in the second quarter and 995,000t for full 2024, split evenly between residual fuel oil and marine gasoil. Currently, it has hedged about 35pc of its fuel oil consumption at $395/t and 75pc of its marine gasoil consumption at $746/t for the entire 2024. Starting this year, Norwegian had been applying to the EU innovation fund with the goal of accelerating the transition of six of its vessels from being methanol ready to being fully methanol capable. Biomethanol was pegged at $2,223/t very low-sulphur fuel oil equivalent (VLSFOe) or 3.7 times the price of VLSFO average in April in the Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp bunkering hub, Argus assessments showed. Methanol was assessed at $699/t VLSFOe or 1.2 times the price of VLSFO. The company also has half of its fleet equipped with shoreside technology allowing it to use port electricity and minimize emissions during port stays. Norwegian has ordered eight new vessels for delivery from 2025-2036. Separately, its subsidiaries Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Seas will take delivery of three new vessels from 2025-2029 and two new vessels from 2026-2029, respectively. By Stefka Wechsler Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Derailment may interrupt SoCal renewable diesel
Derailment may interrupt SoCal renewable diesel
Houston, 1 May (Argus) — A Union Pacific train derailment in Colton, California, this week could curtail rail-delivered renewable diesel (RD) availability near Los Angeles. Up to three train cars derailed on the morning of 30 April in the Union Pacific West Colton rail yard, about 65 miles east of Los Angeles, Union Pacific said Wednesday. The cars remained upright during the incident, and cleanup was ongoing as of Wednesday morning. Renewable diesel market participants said the terminal — a hub for the product — was sold out pending the restart of deliveries, although there was no immediate price reaction in the R99 spot market. Spot differentials for rail delivered R99 in Los Angeles have ranged from 20-30¢/USG above Nymex ULSD this week. Renewable diesel deliveries by rail into PADD 5 were down in the first two months of 2024, according to Energy Information Administration data. Rail volumes totaled around 1.19mn bl in February, the lowest monthly total since May 2023 and a 10pc monthly decline after deliveries from the Midwest more than halved from January. By Jasmine Davis Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
G7 coal exit goal puts focus on Germany, Japan and US
G7 coal exit goal puts focus on Germany, Japan and US
London, 1 May (Argus) — A G7 countries commitment to phase out "unabated coal power generation" by 2035 focuses attention on Germany, Japan and the US for charting a concrete coal-exit path, but provides some flexibility on timelines. The G7 commitment does not mark a departure from the previous course and provides a caveat by stating the unabated coal exit will take place by 2035 or "in a timeline consistent with keeping a limit of 1.5°C temperature rise within reach, in line with countries' net-zero pathways". The G7 countries are Italy — this year's host — Canada, France, Germany, Japan, the UK and the US. The EU is a non-enumerated member. The announcement calls for accelerating "efforts towards the phase-out of unabated coal power generation", but does not suggest policy action. It calls for reducing "as much as possible", providing room for manoeuvre to Germany, Japan and the US. Coal exports are not mentioned in the communique. Canada and the US are net coal exporters. France, which predominantly uses nuclear power in its generation mix is already scheduled to close its two remaining coal plants by the end of this year. The UK will shut its last coal-fired plant Ratcliffe in September . Italy has ended its emergency "coal maximisation plan" and has been less reliant on coal-fired generation, except in Sardinia . The country has 6GW of installed coal-fired power capacity, with state-controlled utility Enel operating 4.7GW of this. The operator said it wanted to shut all its coal-fired plants by 2027. Canada announced a coal exit by 2030 in 2016 and currently has 4.7GW of operational coal-fired capacity. In 2021-23, the country imported an average of 5.7mn t of coal each year, mainly from the US. Germany Germany has a legal obligation to shut down all its coal plants by 2038, but the country's nuclear fleet retirement in 2023, coupled with LNG shortages after Russia's invasion of Ukraine, led to an increase in coal use. Germany pushed for an informal target to phase out coal by 2030, but the grid regulator Bnetza's timeline still anticipates the last units going offline in 2038. The G7 agreement puts into questions how the country will treat its current reliance on coal as a backup fuel. The grid regulator requires "systematically relevant" coal plants to remain available as emergency power sources until the end of March 2031 . Germany generated 9.5TWh of electricity from hard-coal fired generation so far this year, according to European grid operator association Entso-E. Extending the current rate of generation, Germany's theoretical coal burn could reach about 8.8mn t. Japan Japan's operational coal capacity has increased since 2022, with over 3GW of new units connected to the grid, according to the latest analysis by Global Energy Monitor (GEM). Less than 5pc of Japan's operational coal fleet has a planned retirement year, and these comprise the oldest and least efficient plants. Coal capacity built in the last decade, following the Fukushima disaster, is unlikely to receive a retirement date without a country-wide policy that calls for a coal exit. Returning nuclear fleet capacity is curtailing any additional coal-fired generation in Japan , but it will have to build equivalent capacity to replace its 53GW of coal generation. And, according to IEA figures, Japan will only boost renewables up to 24pc until 2030. The US The US operates the third-largest coal-power generation fleet in the world, with 212GW operational capacity. Only 37pc of this capacity has a known retirement date before 2031. After 2031, the US will have to retire coal-fired capacity at a rate of 33GW/yr for four years to be able to meet the 2035 phase-out deadline. By Ashima Sharma Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Larger EU H2 bank auction could still clear below €1/kg
Larger EU H2 bank auction could still clear below €1/kg
Hamburg, 1 May (Argus) — The EU will launch a second European hydrogen bank auction later this year, ramping up the budget from a pilot for which results were published on 30 April. A bigger budget will allow more projects to win subsidies, but developers might still have to bid at or below €1/kg to stand a chance of being successful. As a result of the pilot, the EU will subsidise seven renewable hydrogen projects in Spain, Portugal, Norway and Finland with a total €720mn ($768mn), to be disbursed as a fixed premium per kg produced over a 10-year period. The European Commission picked the projects that requested the least support and the auction cleared at €0.48/kg, far below the bid ceiling of €4.50/kg . A second auction later this year is slated to have a much larger budget of around €2.2bn. This could open the door for projects with less competitive bids, but developers may still have to bid for less than €1/kg, data released by the commission suggest. If another €2.2bn had been available to the "next best projects" in the pilot, bringing the total budget to nearly €3bn, the auction would have cleared at around €1/kg, the data indicate. Spanish projects would have been the main beneficiaries of the larger budget. But it would have also unlocked subsidies for projects that did not field any winners in the pilot, including Germany, France, Austria and the Netherlands. This suggests that projects in these countries might be able to get subsidies in the second auction. That said, some German projects that participated in the pilot are bound to get funds from a separate €350mn budget set aside by Berlin , meaning they could not take part in the next round. In any case, the second round could clear even far below €1/kg, if developers revise their bidding strategies now they have indications from the pilot on how low they might have to go. Such signposts were not available for the first round, other than from a Danish auction last year with similar parameters — which had indicated that winning bids in the hydrogen bank pilot were likely to stay well below €1/kg . The commission plans to tighten some of the eligibility criteria for the second round , which might prevent some projects from participating again. A draft document suggests winners of the second round would have to commission their plants within three years, down from five in the pilot. And developers would have to provide a completion guarantee equivalent to 10pc of the requested subsidies, up from 4pc. The second auction will also have a lower bid ceiling of €3.50/kg based on the draft, although this is highly unlikely to be tested by the successful submissions. Budget uncertainties While previous commission comments suggested a budget of around €2.2bn for the second round, the draft rules leave the exact funds open. The commission initially earmarked €800mn for the pilot and might top up the second round with the unused €80mn. It plans to set an unspecified slice of the budget aside exclusively for projects targeting offtake for maritime transport, adding a degree of complexity. Austria is planning to top up the second auction with €400mn , while others, such as Belgium , could follow suit. Moving the needle? While bids in the pilot auction came in well below the ceiling — and are bound to do so again in the second round — the funds will only be enough to support a fraction of the EU's 10mn t/yr renewable hydrogen production target by 2030. The pilot auction will subsidise 1.58mn t, or 158,000 t/yr, of production from the seven selected projects — assuming the support they secured will be enough to get them built as planned. If the next best projects from the pilot were to repeat their bids in a €2.2bn second round successfully, the round could support close to 300,000 t/yr. While this would lift subsidised output across both auctions to nearly 460,000 t/yr, it would still be less than 5pc of the 10mn t/yr target. Assuming developers that missed out in the first round shoot lower in the second and the volume-weighted average of successful bids is in line with the pilot's €0.45/kg, 480,000 t/yr could be subsidised. Together with the pilot, this would yield 640,000 t/yr, or just over 6pc of the EU's target, although extra funds from Germany, Austria and potentially others could lift this further. The EU hopes this initial operating support, combined with subsidies for capital expenses, infrastructure developments and demand-side initiatives, will be enough to kickstart the sector and other projects will follow even without hydrogen bank support. By Stefan Krumpelmann Renewable H2 projects selected in hydrogen bank pilot auction Project Coordinator Project location H2 output t/yr Electrolyser capacity MW Bid price €/kg Requested funding mn € eNRG Lahti Nordic Ren-Gas Finland 12,200 90 0.37 45.2 El Alamillo H2 Benbros Energy Spain 6,500 60 0.38 24.6 Grey2Green-II Petrogal Portugal 21,600 200 0.39 84.2 Hysencia Angus Spain 1,700 35 0.48 8.1 Skiga Skiga Norway 16,900 117 0.48 81.3 Catalina Renato PtX Spain 48,000 500 0.48 230.5 MP2X Madoqua Power2X Portugal 51,100 500 0.48 245.2 - European Commission Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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